Schlagwort: crypto analysis

Key takeaways

• HYPE is up 10% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the other major cryptocurrencies.
• The coin could surge towards the $50 psychological level in the near term.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) nears $40 as US-Iran ceasefire boosts market sentiment

HYPE, the native coin of the Hyperliquid DEX, is approaching the $40 mark on Wednesday, extending its recovery linked to the US-Iran ceasefire. 

Retail demand for HYPE continues to rise, driving increased futures Open Interest amid a broader market rally. Technically, HYPE has broken out of a falling channel pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling a bullish near-term outlook.

Throughout the US-Iran conflict, Hyperliquid showed resilience, with its 24/7 trading platform for crude oil and other commodities gaining traction during the crisis. The ongoing recovery in the crypto market, driven by the ceasefire, has increased anticipation for HYPE’s recovery.

According to CoinGlass data, HYPE futures Open Interest (OI) reached $1.64 billion on Wednesday, marking a 9% increase in the last 24 hours. Typically, such an OI expansion during a spot market rally signals growing demand entering the leverage market.

Liquidations in the last 24 hours totaled $4.49 million, led by $4.28 million in short liquidations, indicating a sell-side weakness. Additionally, the OI-weighted funding rate remains positive at 0.0082%, showing sustained bullish sentiment among traders.

Will HYPE rally towards the $50 mark?

The HYPE/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient as Hyperliquid is the best performer among the leading cryptocurrencies. 

HYPE is trading above the 50- and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the 4-hour chart, reflecting a potential trend reversal. 

At the time of writing, HYPE trades around $39.00, extending the breakout gains of a falling channel pattern.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is above its signal and the zero line, suggesting strengthening upside momentum. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 66 remains below overbought territory, suggesting firm buying pressure without clear exhaustion at this stage.

If the rally persists, HYPE would likely surge towards the first major resistance level at $43. A daily candle close above this level would pave the way for further rally towards the $50 psychological zone.

However, if the market reverses, HYPE could test the 200-period EMA at $37.10. A drop below this support zone would nullify the bullish breakout and deepen the downside risk.

The post Hyperliquid outperforms other major coins, eyes further gains appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• BTC is up 4% and is now trading above $71k.
• The rally could push Bitcoin’s price above $76k for the first time since March 16.

Bitcoin and crypto market surge following U.S.-Iran ceasefire announcement

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and the broader cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rise over the last 24 hours after the U.S. and Iran reached a ceasefire agreement.

At press time, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $71,640, up 4.3% in the last 24 hours. Earlier in the day, the cryptocurrency briefly surpassed $72,700, marking its highest value since March 18.

Ethereum gained 6.7%, reaching $2,257, while XRP increased 5.8% to $1.37. Solana surged 6.5%, hitting $84.81. The overall crypto market was up 3.95% during the same period.

The surge coincided with President Donald Trump’s announcement that the U.S. and Iran had agreed to a two-week “double-sided ceasefire.” Trump, who had previously warned of a possible military response if Iran failed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, emphasized that the ceasefire was a result of having met all military objectives and being close to a long-term peace agreement.

Iran’s official statement confirmed its commitment to allowing safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most vital oil trade route. This had previously caused significant volatility in global oil prices and disrupted supply chains.

BTC eyes $76k as bullish momentum persists

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient despite the recent rally. The leading cryptocurrency has surpassed the $69,200 resistance level and could challenge the swing high of $76,000 over the next few hours or days.

The momentum indicators show that the bulls are currently in control of the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 70, approaching the overbought condition, indicating that the bulls are in control.

The MACD lines are also within the positive territory, reaffirming the bullish bias. If the rally persists, BTC could retest the $76,000 resistance level for the first time since March 16. Surpassing this resistance level would pave the way for Bitcoin to surge toward the $80k psychological zone.

However, if the bulls fail to capitalize on this rally, Bitcoin will find immediate support around the Tuesday low of $67,719.

The post Bitcoin recovers as US and Iran Agree a Ceasefire Deal appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Bitcoin is holding near $69K as Iran-related geopolitical tensions keep markets cautious.
• Rising oil prices and inflation concerns are limiting upside, but strong ETF inflows and institutional support are helping BTC stay resilient.

Bitcoin is trading sideways near the $69,000 mark as investors remain cautious amid escalating geopolitical tensions tied to the conflict in Iran.

The leading cryptocurrency briefly pushed above $70,000 on Monday—its first move past that level since March—but failed to sustain momentum. 

Geopolitics dominate market sentiment

The ongoing situation in Iran continues to shape global risk appetite. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned of severe consequences if a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is not reached by the Tuesday 20:00 ET deadline.

Iran has rejected a proposed 45-day ceasefire, instead calling for a permanent end to hostilities alongside the removal of sanctions.

For Bitcoin, this macro backdrop is significant—higher oil prices tend to support inflation, push Treasury yields higher, and reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer.

Despite the current situation, Bitcoin has held up better than some traditional markets. While it has not staged a breakout, its ability to maintain levels above $65,000 suggests underlying support from positioning and institutional demand.

Meanwhile, Gold has lost more than 10% of its value as investors scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

Flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have been a key factor. After four consecutive months of outflows, March saw $1.2 billion in net inflows. Momentum has continued into April, with spot ETFs recording $471.3 million in inflows in a single day—the largest since February.

These inflows have helped keep Bitcoin’s price, although resistance near $76,000 continues to cap upside.

For Bitcoin to break higher, a clear catalyst is likely required. A confirmed ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran could be pivotal, particularly if it drives oil prices below $100 per barrel and alleviates inflation concerns.

Technical forecast: Bitcoin eyes the $70k resistance once again

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient as Bitcoin continues to defend the $65,000 support level. 

The price has recovered from this low and is testing resistance around 69k, the 50-day EMA, and the lower band of the rising channel. 

The RSI of 61 on the 4-hour chart is above the neutral level, indicating a growing bullish bias. The MACD lines are also above the zero line, adding further confluence to the bullish narrative. 

Buyers will need to rise above $69,000 to bring $74,000 into focus, the mid-point of the rising channel and the falling trendline resistance dating back to October’s $126,000 record high. 

A surge above the $74,000 resistance level would allow BTC to test the March high of $76,000 in the near term. 

However, failure to rally higher would see the bears push the price towards the $65,000 support level once again.

The post Bitcoin steadies above $68K as Iran tensions keep markets on edge appeared first on CoinJournal.

• Toncoin adoption grows with 87 million Telegram wallet users in the US.
• Market sentiment remains bearish due to altcoin rotation and whale activity.
• The resistance at $1.28 will likely define Toncoin’s short-term price movements.

Toncoin (TON), the native token of the TON blockchain, has been in the spotlight recently due to the ongoing Sub-Second mainnet activation and its integration with Telegram’s massive user base.

💎 The Sub-Second mainnet activation starts now!

TON Core has just shared the completion of the Bug Bounty & stated that changes were already implemented. Now they are moving to the next stage – Sub-Second Mainnet activation.

For additional reliability, activation will be… pic.twitter.com/ddSdwXDnYM

— TON 💎 (@ton_blockchain) April 1, 2026

The upgrade, which is scheduled to run from March 31 to April 12, is set to improve the network’s speed, efficiency, and scalability, which could impact Toncoin’s adoption and market behavior.

However, despite its technological potential, Toncoin has faced a challenging market environment in recent months.

Currently, TON coin trades around $1.23, down about 2.5% over the past 24 hours.

This underperformance is largely linked to a broader trend in the crypto market known as altcoin sector rotation, where investors move their capital from higher-risk altcoins into more stable assets.

The Altcoin Season Index, which measures market interest in altcoins, has dropped significantly, highlighting the cautious sentiment among traders.

This environment has made it difficult for Toncoin to break out from its current range, despite ongoing development progress.

TON adoption and ecosystem growth

TON’s growth is closely tied to its adoption within Telegram, which now supports over 87 million active users in the United States with its self-custodial TON Wallet.

This wallet allows users to transfer and stake Toncoin directly within the messaging app, offering a seamless on-ramp for millions of potential users.

Such integration provides Toncoin with a unique advantage, as it could benefit from network effects far faster than many other Layer-1 blockchains.

On-chain activity supports this potential, with Toncoin showing consistent daily usage.

According to available data, the network records hundreds of thousands of active wallets and millions of daily transactions.

This suggests that while Toncoin’s price has been stagnant, actual usage is steadily growing, signaling a foundation for long-term adoption.

However, a significant portion of the token supply, around 68%, is held by whales.

This concentration increases the risk of large sell-offs, making sudden price spikes less predictable.

Toncoin technical analysis

Toncoin presents an intriguing case of technological potential versus market sentiment.

Its integration with Telegram gives it a unique edge, and the Sub-Second mainnet activation may improve network performance, but short-term price action remains uncertain.

From a technical perspective the short-term support lies near $1.02, with a secondary floor around $0.81.

If the price rebounds following the Sub-Second mainnet activation, the immediate resistance sits at $1.34, followed by higher resistance levels at $1.50 and $1.90.

Historically, a break above $1.28 has always meant momentum for higher price ranges.

But while the Sub-Second mainnet activation could provide a short-term positive driver, the token’s price is still largely influenced by broader market conditions rather than project-specific developments.

On the downside, analysts highlight that failure to hold the $1.20 level could lead to tests of the yearly low around $1.10, especially if broader altcoin rotation continues.

The post Toncoin struggles near $1.23 despite Telegram boost and upgrade push appeared first on CoinJournal.

Solana (SOL) is trading just above $82 at the time of writing on Monday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery. While funding rates for SOL futures have climbed, a simultaneous drop in Open Interest suggests sentiment remains divided. From a technical perspective, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $88.80 stands out as the key resistance level to watch.

Derivatives signal optimism, but participation declines

Market data points to rising bullish positioning among traders, even as overall participation in SOL futures contracts declines. According to CoinGlass, the OI-weighted funding rate has increased to 0.0067% from 0.0042% on Sunday, indicating that long-position traders are willing to pay a premium—typically a sign of growing confidence in further upside.

However, this optimism is not fully supported by market activity. Open Interest in SOL futures has dropped to $4.97 billion from $5.07 billion on Friday, signaling a reduction in total capital committed to the market. This divergence—rising funding rates alongside falling Open Interest—highlights a mixed sentiment, where bullish bias exists but conviction appears limited.

Institutional demand remains soft

On the institutional side, demand for Solana continues to show weakness. Data from Sosovalue reveals that SOL-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded net weekly outflows of $5.24 million, marking a second straight week of withdrawals. If this trend persists, it could represent the longest streak of weekly outflows so far, potentially adding downward pressure to SOL’s spot price in the near term.

Will Solana extend its recovery to $93?

The SOL/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and inefficient, with the coin up by nearly 4% in the last 24 hours. At press time, SOL is trading at $82.50 per coin. 

The near-term bias is mixed as SOL holds well below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages, keeping a broader corrective structure.

The momentum indicators have also switched bullish, with further gains in the near term. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line remains above its signal line, signaling persistent buying pressure. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 60 is above the neutral 50, signaling a growing bullish momentum.

If the rally persists, Cardano would meet an immediate resistance at the 50-day EMA near $88.81, which caps rebounds and guards a stronger move toward $98.02, close to the 100-day EMA at $102.18.

However, if the sellers regain control, the support zone between $75.63 and $77.60 could serve as a bounce-back spot. An extended selling pressure would bring into focus the February 6 low at $67.50.

The post Will Solana rally to $93 despite mixed derivatives sentiment appeared first on CoinJournal.