Schlagwort: crypto analysis

Key takeaways

• BTC is down 1% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $71,000.
• The ongoing geopolitical tensions and the inflation fears continue to weigh on market sentiments. 

Bitcoin (BTC) is starting the week on shaky ground, hovering near the critical $70,700 support level on Monday. A decisive break below this zone could open the door to a broader correction. 

Geopolitical tensions dent risk appetite

The primary catalyst behind the poor performance is the geopolitical tension between the United States and Iran. 

Efforts to reach a resolution between the United States and Iran ended without progress, following talks in Pakistan that failed to produce a ceasefire agreement. US Vice President JD Vance described the proposal as a final offer, which Iran rejected, with state media citing excessive demands.

Furthermore, US President Donald Trump announced plans for a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to disrupt a fragile ceasefire. At the same time, ongoing Israeli military activity in Lebanon has heightened fears of a wider regional escalation.

Macroeconomic pressures are also limiting Bitcoin’s upside. Fresh data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed inflation accelerating sharply, with the Consumer Price Index rising 0.9% in March—its fastest monthly increase in four years. On an annual basis, inflation climbed to 3.3%, up from 2.4% in February.

The data has prompted investors to scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, reinforcing a more hawkish outlook. 

Despite the current market conditions, institutional demand provided a degree of support last week. Data from SoSoValue shows spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded inflows of $786.31 million, building on modest gains from the prior week. 

If the institutional inflow increases, it could help stabilize prices and potentially drive a rebound in the near term.

Bitcoin price outlook: BTC approaches a crucial support level

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Bitcoin is approaching a crucial support level. 

Bitcoin recently found support near its 200-week exponential moving average around $68,100 and posted a modest weekly gain. As of Monday, BTC is trading just above $70,700.

If bullish momentum builds, Bitcoin could target a move toward $74,500, which marks its 2025 yearly low. Indicators suggest early signs of stabilization, with the Relative Strength Index trending upward and the MACD signaling a bullish crossover on the weekly chart.

However, Bitcoin continues to face resistance from key moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day levels.

If the daily candle closes above the 50-day EMA near $70,700, it could open the path toward $72,500 and beyond. 

On the downside, failure to hold this level could see BTC slide toward the $65,800 support zone.

The post Bitcoin holds above $70K support as geopolitical tensions weigh on market sentiment appeared first on CoinJournal.

• Dogecoin (DOGE) stalls near $0.095 as profit-taking caps upside.
• DOGE price is currently compressing between the $0.089 and $0.095 range.
• A breakout is likely as volatility builds ahead of April 20.

The price action around Dogecoin continues to sit in a tight and indecisive range, with recent trading showing very little directional strength.

At the time of writing, DOGE was trading around $0.092, moving inside a narrow 24-hour band between $0.091 and $0.0947.

Each attempt to push higher has been met with immediate resistance at $0.0947, while pullbacks continue to find support around $0.091, creating a balanced but fragile structure, where price remains stable on the surface but increasingly tense underneath.

Profit-taking pressure keeps bulls in check

A key factor limiting DOGE’s upside momentum is consistent profit-taking near local highs.

Over the past trading sessions, price has repeatedly failed to hold above $0.094–$0.095, with every move into this zone triggering selling and pushing price back toward the mid-range near $0.092.

This behaviour is reinforced by the broader weekly structure.

Despite minor gains of around 1% over the past 7 days, DOGE remains largely unchanged across longer timeframes, with only +0.8% over 30 days.

This lack of trend continuation suggests that buyers are not committing beyond short-term trades.

On top of that, derivatives positioning has added scepticism to the upside.

The presence of notable short positions in the market shows that some traders are actively betting against sustained rallies.

This does not guarantee downside movement, but it does explain why upward pushes struggle to build momentum.

Compression builds as technical structure tightens

From a technical perspective, DOGE is clearly in a compression phase.

The 24-hour range of roughly $0.091 to $0.0947, combined with a 7-day range of just over $0.089 to $0.095, highlights how tightly the price is coiling.

This structure aligns with a descending triangle pattern, where lower highs continue to form while support remains anchored near the $0.089–$0.090 zone.

At the same time, price is also trading inside a broader Ichimoku cloud on the 4-hour chart, which typically signals indecision and equilibrium rather than a trending market.

These overlapping structures matter because they all point to the same conclusion: volatility is being compressed.

When multiple technical signals converge like this, the market often prepares for a sharp expansion move.

However, direction remains undefined until either support or resistance breaks convincingly.

Liquidity positioning and the “Doge Day” factor

Beyond chart structure, short-term market dynamics are also shaping sentiment.

Robinhood transferred 327 million DOGE (valued at about $30 million) from cold storage to hot wallets on April 9.

While this is not direct buying pressure, it is widely interpreted as preparation for increased trading activity.

This timing is notable as it coincides with growing attention toward the upcoming “Doge Day” period around April 20.

Historically, these events tend to increase retail participation and short-term volatility, even if they do not always produce sustained trends.

At the same time, broader crypto conditions have provided only mild support.

Bitcoin’s modest gains have helped stabilise sentiment across the market, but DOGE has not shown strong independent momentum. Instead, it continues to trade within its own compressed structure.

Key Dogecoin price levels that will define the next move

For now, DOGE remains in a consolidation phase where patience matters more than prediction.

Once price finally breaks out of the current range, the move is likely to be fast, sharp, and decisive, simply because the market has already spent days building pressure without releasing it.

As the market awaits the next move, the most important DOGE price level for traders remains the $0.09 psychological support zone.

Dogecoin price has held above this level consistently, and any sustained breakdown below $0.089 would mark a clear shift in structure.

Below that, the next area of interest sits near $0.088, where previous accumulation has occurred.

On the upside, resistance remains firmly in place between $0.094 and $0.095.

A daily close above $0.095 would be an important technical signal, suggesting that buyers are finally absorbing overhead supply.

If that happens, the next potential target would be the $0.104 region, which marks a previous local high.

The post Dogecoin price analysis: profit-taking stalls rally attempts as breakout setup forms appeared first on CoinJournal.

• XRP price has slipped after failing to hold the $1.38 resistance level.
• Momentum stays weak as volume and buying pressure remain low.
• Price is compressed between $1.32 support and $1.39 resistance.

XRP slipped back after briefly pushing toward $1.38, marking another failed attempt to break higher.

Notably, XRP has spent the past several days moving between roughly $1.32 and the upper resistance zone near $1.35–$1.39.

But each push higher has struggled to attract enough buying pressure to sustain a breakout, and as a result, the market remains stuck in a tight range, with neither bulls nor bears fully in control.

Weak momentum keeps upside in check

One of the biggest issues for XRP right now is the lack of momentum.

Even with the impressive gains, the strength behind those gains is limited. Indicators are hovering around neutral levels, showing that buyers are not stepping in aggressively.

Volume has also been inconsistent, and in some cases, it has even declined during upward moves. That is usually a warning sign that the rally may not last.

This weakness becomes even more noticeable when compared to the broader market.

Bitcoin has been leading recent gains, lifting many altcoins along with it and while XRP has followed this trend, it has not shown much independent strength of its own.

That matters because externally driven rallies tend to be fragile.

If Bitcoin slows down or pulls back, XRP could quickly lose support and fall back into its lower range.

Without a strong internal catalyst, it is difficult for XRP to break away from this pattern.

A market in compression, not in trend

While momentum remains weak, there is another side to the story that cannot be ignored.

XRP’s supply on exchanges appears to be tightening, suggesting that more holders are choosing to keep their tokens rather than sell.

At the same time, there is very little leverage in the market. Traders are not taking large speculative positions, which reduces the chances of sudden, exaggerated moves in either direction.

This combination creates what would be termed a compression phase, since the price is not moving much, volatility is shrinking, and participation is relatively low.

XRP breakout potential vs downside risk

The current setup leaves XRP at a crossroads. On one hand, the tightening supply and improving broader sentiment suggest that a breakout is possible.

On the other hand, the lack of momentum and weak participation make it difficult to trust any move higher without confirmation.

If XRP manages to hold above the $1.28–$1.31 support zone, another attempt at testing the $1.35–$1.39 resistance zone is likely.

And a decisive push above $1.39, supported by stronger trading activity, could shift sentiment and push the price towards the multi-month resistance at $1.43.

However, the downside risk is just as important. A break below the $1.32–$1.33 support zone could lead to a quicker drop, with analysts highlighting $1.28 as the next support level to watch.

If selling pressure increases further, deeper support near $1.13 could come into focus.

For now, the market is not trending but rather preparing for its next move.

The pullback from $1.38 highlights the lack of strength, but it also reinforces how tightly price is coiling, and the longer XRP remains in this range, the more meaningful the eventual breakout or breakdown is likely to be.

The post XRP stalls below $1.38 as weak momentum keeps breakout at bay appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• ENJ is one of the best performers in the crypto market, up 45% in the last 24 hours.
• The rally could allow ENJ to surge towards $0.045 in the near term. 

Enjin Coin (ENJ) continues to rally

Enjin Coin (ENJ) extends its gains, holding steady above $0.035 on Thursday following a remarkable 45% price increase in the last 24 hours. 

This bullish momentum is underpinned by both on-chain and derivatives data, with a positive technical outlook suggesting that ENJ may continue its upward trend in the near future.

Data obtained from Santiment shows that Enjin Coin’s ecosystem trading volume surged to $216.97 million on Thursday, marking the highest trading volume since April 2025. 

Meanwhile, CoinGlass data shows that ENJ’s futures Open Interest (OI) reached a new record of $74.68 million on Thursday, up significantly from $19.82 million on Tuesday. A rising OI indicates fresh capital entering the market, which could further propel the coin’s price upward.

Despite the rally, traders remain cautious as some early signs of buyer fatigue begin to surface. According to CryptoQuant, there is a rise in retail activity, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. 

Furthermore, sell-side dominance in both the spot and futures markets may point to potential bearish pressure, signaling that the current rally could face resistance in the near term.

ENJ eyes further gains after 45% increase

The ENJ/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient thanks to the 45% rally. The rally has lifted ENJ price back above the short- and medium-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), leaving only the 200-day EMA at $0.035 as immediate overhead resistance.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 70, indicating a bullish bias. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram turning strongly positive reinforces growing upside momentum.

If the rally persists, initial resistance is seen at the 200-day EMA at $0.035. If the daily candle closes above this level, it could extend its rally towards the $0.051 resistance level, followed by $0.066 and $0.082 zones. 

However, if the bears regain control, ENJ would likely face the initial support at $0.031. The 100-day EMA at $0.024 and the 50-day EMA at $0.022, together with the lower horizontal level at $0.019, form a deeper demand zone that could also prove to be bouncing support levels in the near term.

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Key takeaways

• ADA is down 3% and is now trading around $0.2512 per coin.
• The bearish performance could see ADA slip below the $0.2400 support level.

Cardano (ADA) faces renewed selling pressure as bullish interest fades

Cardano (ADA) continues to face significant selling pressure, with the cryptocurrency extending its 4% loss from Wednesday, falling to the $0.2500 at the time of writing on Thursday. 

The decline has been driven by intense long liquidations in ADA futures over the last 24 hours, signaling a diminishing bullish sentiment among traders. For a potential recovery, Cardano must reclaim the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2672.

The broader market sentiment remains mixed, as the US-Iran ceasefire risks being undermined by Israel’s ongoing missile strikes on Lebanon. While Cardano futures initially saw some bullish interest following Tuesday’s ceasefire announcement, this has since diminished.

Data from CoinGlass reveals that liquidated ADA derivatives positions over the past 24 hours totaled $602,370, with $544,540 coming from long liquidations, indicating a significant wipeout of bullish positions. This liquidation pressure has contributed to an 6% drop in ADA futures Open Interest (OI), which now stands at $412.36 million.

Furthermore, the OI-weighted funding rate dropped to -0.0045% on Thursday, indicating that traders are increasingly shifting towards short positions.

ADA could dip below the $0.2400 support level

The ADA/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient following the recent day. ADA is currently trading below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

Momentum indicators only hint at tentative stabilization rather than a clear bullish shift. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a marginally positive reading, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 hovers just above the neutral midline level.

If the selloff continues, ADA could slip towards the March 29 low at $0.2328, with the February 6 low at $0.2205 providing further support.

On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, they would encounter initial resistance at the 50-day EMA around $0.2673. A daily close above this barrier would ease the immediate bearish tone and open the way toward the $0.2991 resistance level.

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