XRP, SOL and ADA price outlook as BTC struggles ahead of key macro events

  • XRP, Solana, and Cardano prices hover near $1.30, $80, and $0.24, respectively.
  • Currently, BTC trades around $66,430 after retreating from highs of $68,000.
  • Analysts say the week is heavy on macroeconomic data releases, and that’s likely to impact volatility.

XRP, Solana, and Cardano prices hover at critical support levels amid a potentially volatile week for cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin poised just above $66,000 as traders brace for a fresh wave of macroeconomic data.

While geopolitical risk from the Iran war continues to roil markets, investors weighing the next moves might also want to pay attention to key macroeconomic events this week.

QCP Group has noted, via a post on X, that these data releases will likely shape the next leg of the Bitcoin price.

On Monday, analysts at Greeks.live opined that, in addition to macroeconomic factors, volatility could also hinge on announcements from US President Donald Trump.

Bitcoin led altcoins briefly higher after Trump announced that the US was looking to end its military operation in Iran.

Key macro events to watch this week

This week’s macro calendar is packed, with analysts at QCP Capital highlighting several data releases as potential volatility triggers across traditional markets and cryptocurrencies.

For investors, the key focus is how incoming data shapes expectations for US growth, inflation, and the interest-rate path—factors that continue to drive risk assets, including Bitcoin.

On March 31, attention turns to US Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Openings, and the Chicago PMI.

QCP identifies JOLTS as a key volatility catalyst, as signs of labour market cooling or tightness directly influence Federal Reserve expectations and the dollar, with spillover effects on crypto flows.

Tokens such as XRP, Solana, and Cardano are likely to track Bitcoin’s direction.

On April 1, the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released, with the ISM reading seen as particularly important.

A weaker print could strengthen expectations for rate cuts and support crypto, while stronger data may reinforce a “higher for longer” rate outlook and weigh on digital assets.

A similar dynamic applies to jobless claims data, another closely watched indicator.

A sharp rise could signal labour market weakness and potentially support Bitcoin as markets adjust expectations for monetary easing.

The week culminates on April 3 with the release of US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP).

QCP flags this as a primary macro event that could revive inflation concerns and strengthen the dollar.

Historically, a stronger greenback has pressured Bitcoin, while softer payrolls tend to support the broader digital asset market through expectations of looser policy.

XRP, SOL, and ADA price outlook

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin enters this data-heavy period with a constructive but fragile setup on the daily chart.

Traders are balancing macroeconomic risks with geopolitical tensions, particularly around the Iran conflict and disruptions linked to the Strait of Hormuz.

The result is a market caught between competing drivers of volatility, with implications across risk assets.

Bitcoin’s sensitivity to incoming data could drive broader moves in altcoins.

XRP is holding near $1.30 support but may slip toward $1.20 if BTC weakens following non-farm payrolls data.

On the upside, softer inflation readings could support a move toward $1.50.

Solana (SOL), trading near $80, is testing key moving averages and could face downside risk toward $70.

A stronger bullish push, however, may open the path toward $100.

Meanwhile, Cardano (ADA) has declined to around $0.24, with potential for further downside toward $0.22.

A renewed influx of buyers could instead see the token attempt a move back toward the $0.30 resistance level.

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Bitcoin stalls near $66K: is a bigger drop coming this week?

  • Bitcoin price tests $65,000 support amid oversold conditions and weak momentum.
  • Rising US real yields and oil prices weigh on short-term buying pressure.
  • Traders should watch the $68,400 resistance and $65,100 support for the next moves.

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of short-term fatigue as it navigates a tricky market environment.

After failing to break above resistance near $68,400, BTC has retreated toward critical support between $65,600 and $65,100.

The cryptocurrency is now hovering in a delicate range, where technical oversold signals clash with potent macroeconomic pressures.

Technical analysis

The seven-day RSI currently sits at 32.37, suggesting that Bitcoin is nearly oversold.

Bitcoin price chart

This level often indicates a potential bounce, but the market has yet to show sustained buying strength. Short-term momentum is fragile, with price action struggling to maintain levels above $66,000.

Even though buyers have defended the $65,600 band so far, a break below $65,100 could signal a deeper correction.

Resistance remains firmly in place at $68,400, and attempts to push past it have been met with immediate selling. Traders should closely watch the $68,000–$68,500 zone, as it represents the ceiling for any short-term recovery attempts.

In this range-bound setup, the market is consolidating rather than trending decisively.

The macro headwinds shaping Bitcoin price movements

Bitcoin’s short-term struggles are compounded by external pressures.

Rising real yields, especially on 10-year TIPS in the United States, have increased the appeal of government bonds over risk assets like BTC.

As a result, investors seeking yield are diverting capital toward these safer instruments, leaving Bitcoin with weaker demand.

At the same time, WTI crude oil prices have surged past $103 per barrel and Brent crude oil prices have hit $114, adding another layer of market uncertainty.

Energy-driven inflationary concerns make the broader financial environment more cautious, further dampening appetite for speculative assets.

Adding to the pressure, a $2.2 billion payout by the FTX Recovery Trust to FTX creditors is scheduled for March 31, 2026.

Recipients may choose to liquidate portions of their holdings, which could add temporary selling pressure and keep BTC range-bound.

Even large buyers, often referred to as whales, are active but appear to be accumulating cautiously below $70,000.

This cautious accumulation suggests that institutional players are positioning for the long term but are unwilling to push aggressively at current levels.

What traders should expect this week?

Short-term momentum is still weak, so any bounce is likely to be contained unless macro conditions improve.

Overall, Bitcoin is at a crossroads, balancing oversold technical conditions against persistent bear pressures from rates, oil prices, and potential selling catalysts.

Traders should monitor the $65,100 level closely, as a decisive hold here would support consolidation between $65,100 and $68,000.

A break below this band could open the door to a further decline toward $63,000 or lower.

On the upside, sustained moves above $68,400–$68,500 would be required to challenge resistance near $70,000.

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Bitmine hits 4.73M ETH with biggest 2026 buy amid outflows

  • Bitmine has increased its Ethereum (ETH) holdings to over 4.73 million.
  • The company is adding to its ETH treasury strategy despite market struggles.
  • Ethereum price holds near $2,000.

Bitmine Immersion Technologies, led by Tom Lee, has accelerated its Ethereum acquisitions, marking its largest purchase of 2026 so far.

According to a company update, Bitmine’s total Ethereum holdings have risen to more than 4.73 million ETH, while its combined crypto and cash reserves now exceed $10.7 billion.

The firm has also expanded its staking activity, even as Ethereum trades near the $2,000 level amid broader weakness in the crypto market.

The downturn has prompted notable capital outflows from ETH-focused investment products.

Largest weekly purchase lifts holdings

In a Monday update, Bitmine said it executed its biggest weekly Ethereum purchase of the year, acquiring 71,179 ETH.

The transaction lifted its total ETH treasury to 4.73 million tokens, representing about 3.92% of Ethereum’s total supply.

The latest purchase significantly exceeds the firm’s recent weekly average of 45,000–50,000 ETH, underscoring a more aggressive accumulation strategy.

This contrasts with broader market behavior, where many digital asset treasuries have either paused purchases or liquidated holdings amid declining prices.

Crypto outperforms despite macro headwinds

Ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures have weighed on risk assets.

Commenting on the trend, Bitmine chairman Thomas Lee said:

“As the Iran war enters its fifth week, ETH and crypto have outperformed the broader market, with ETH outperforming equities by 1,160 basis points. This stands in contrast to gold, which has underperformed by more than 750 basis points. Crypto is demonstrating its potential as a wartime store of value.”

Bitmine remains one of the few large corporate buyers maintaining a consistent accumulation strategy despite market headwinds.

In contrast, Michael Saylor’s Strategy—the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin—recently paused its 13-week buying streak.

Ethereum holds above $2,000 despite outflows

Ethereum has remained resilient around the $2,000 level and is up nearly 10% over the past month, although upside momentum remains limited.

The asset has held near this range despite persistent exchange outflows and cautious institutional sentiment.

Data from CoinShares showed that ETH investment products recorded $222 million in net outflows last week.

Bitcoin products also saw outflows of more than $194 million, contributing to a broader $414 million withdrawal across crypto investment vehicles.

Long-term conviction persists

Despite these outflows, Bitmine’s continued accumulation highlights strong long-term conviction among select institutional players.

The Ethereum Foundation also signaled a similar stance, staking more than $46 million worth of ETH on Monday.

Looking ahead, Ethereum prices could benefit from underlying resilience and potentially move higher in the coming weeks or months.

However, a break below the $2,000 level remains a risk if negative sentiment intensifies.

 

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Bitcoin tests $68K as Trump says the US looking to end Iran operation

  • Bitcoin price tested resistance around $68,000 amid gains for US stocks.
  • The uptick came amid investor reaction to President Trump’s comments on the Iran war.
  • Analysts say Trump’s posts this week could be weightier than macroeconomic data releases.

Bitcoin (BTC) hovered near highs of $68,000 on Monday as traders braced for potential market-moving signals this week.

The benchmark cryptocurrency rose as US stocks jumped amid news that President Trump is looking to end the Iran operation.

As the broader market enters what many see as a “wait-and-see mode,” analysts warn that beyond key macroeconomic data releases, US President Donald Trump’s commentary and events in Iran could be crucial to the next moves in BTC and the broader crypto market.

Bitcoin retests $68k amid Trump’s war comments

Bitcoin surged to the $68,000 resistance on Monday, March 30, 2026, mirroring a broad stock market rally sparked by President Donald Trump’s optimistic comments on winding down U.S. military operations in Iran.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by more than 300 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively.

Investors interpreted Trump’s Truth Social post as a de-escalation signal amid the ongoing conflict.

“The United States of America is in serious discussions with a new, and more reasonable regime to end our military operations in Iran,” Trump posted, adding that “great progress has been made.”

Trump, however, typical of his posts, tempered optimism.

He warned that if the US does not hit a deal with Tehran and absent an immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the US would end its “lovely ‘stay’ in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating” the electricity grid, oil wells, and Kharg Island.

Bitcoin price outlook

BTC had gained amid the optimism, testing resistance around $68,080. However, prices hovered near $67,770 as the initial surge slowed.

Analysts at derivatives platform Greeks.live have highlighted that Bitcoin’s short-term implied volatility has dipped below 50%.

BTC has consolidated around current prices, with analysts saying the market has entered a “wait-and-see” phase.

More significantly, the analysts opine that what Trump says next on the Iran conflict could be a key volatility trigger.

“The market has entered a wait-and-see mode,” the analysts stated. “This Friday’s unemployment rate and nonfarm payroll data are particularly important, and while there is a significant amount of macroeconomic data this week, none of it carries as much weight as President Trump’s tweets.”

This emphasis stems from Trump’s outsized influence on sentiment, with the ongoing Iran war and threats to the Strait of Hormuz, a major factor.

Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for 20% of global oil supply, and escalations related to a blockade have recently spiked energy prices and stoked inflation fears.

With US forces bolstering their presence in the region, any of Trump’s posts on Truth Social could drive rapid repositioning.

From a technical perspective, BTC faces key resistance at $68,500, but a fresh break below $65,000 could allow bears to target $62,000.

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XRP price outlook: relief bounce driven by Ripple CEO optimism

  • XRP rises to $1.36 on institutional optimism and CEO remarks.
  • Technical relief bounce supported by oversold conditions and volume surge.
  • Key levels to watch are the support at $1.33 and the resistance at $1.40.

XRP has seen a notable lift in the past 24 hours, climbing to $1.36 and outperforming much of the broader market.

The rally appears to be driven by a combination of technical relief and renewed confidence from institutional investors.

Over the past 24 hours, trading volume surged nearly 50%, signalling that buyers are stepping in after the recent oversold conditions.

Ripple CEO commentary sparks optimism

A major factor behind this price movement is the recent commentary from Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse.

In a March 27 Fox interview, Garlinghouse highlighted a growing demand for digital assets and stablecoins from traditional financial institutions.

He emphasised that the crypto landscape is maturing, with more banks and investment firms considering digital assets as part of their portfolios.

Garlinghouse also underscored progress on regulatory fronts, particularly regarding the anticipated CLARITY Act.

The CEO indicated that the act could provide clearer guidelines for crypto operations, fostering confidence among institutional participants.

The combination of regulatory clarity and increased interest from financial firms has sent a strong signal to traders.

Market participants appear to be reacting positively, interpreting the remarks as validation that XRP is positioned for broader adoption in the traditional finance sector.

Reports of large institutional XRP holdings, such as Goldman Sachs’ exposure through XRP ETFs, have further reinforced the bullish narrative.

Technical relief supports the bounce

Alongside these fundamental drivers, XRP’s technical indicators also support the recent surge.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) had dipped to around 44, indicating that the asset is approaching oversold territory, which has created conditions for the bounce as selling pressure eases and buyers re-enter the market.

XRP price chart

Moreover, XRP’s price gained modest tailwinds from a slight recovery across the broader crypto market.

While the overall market movement was subdued, it contributed to the momentum that carried XRP higher.

The short-term XRP price forecast

For traders watching the immediate market, $1.33 remains a critical support level.

Remaining above this support will be crucial for any attempt to test higher levels.

In case of a continued bullish trend and XRP breaks above $1.40, analysts believe the altcoin could see additional buying pressure and extend the current relief rally.

Other notable resistance levels that traders should watch include $1.45, which has acted as a ceiling over the past week.

Sustaining momentum beyond this level could open the door to a more meaningful uptrend.

However, failure to hold $1.33 could result in a pullback toward $1.30, where buyers may re-enter.

Notably, regulatory developments, particularly progress on the CLARITY Act, will be the key catalyst in the coming weeks.

Positive news could encourage further institutional participation, while delays might keep XRP trading within the $1.30–$1.40 range.

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