Crypto Price Prediction: ThorChain (RUNE), Flare, Tron

  • Cryptocurrencies jumped on Wednesday after Grayscale’s victory.

  • They then recoiled on Thursday after the SEC delayed its decision on ETFs.

Cryptocurrencies had a mixed week after Grayscale scored a major victory against the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). That verdict led to a major rebound of most cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Litecoin. 

The gains were short-lived after the SEC decided to delay its decision on several ETF proposals by companies like Blackrock, Invesco, and WisdomTree. This artcle looks at some of the top coins to watch this weekend, including Flare, Tron, and ThorChain (RUNE).

Flare price prediction

Flare price has moved sideways in the past few weeks. On the four-hour chart, we see that the coin has formed an ascending channel shown in black. This channel has seen it rise from a low of $0.012 on August 18th to the current $0.018. 

Flare is consolidating at the 50-period and 25-period  moving averages. It has also moved back to the lower side of the ascending channel. At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator (SO) have drifted upwards.

The outlook for the FLR token is mildly bullish as buyers target the upper side of the channel at $0.014. The alternative scenario is where the token makes a bearish breakout and retests the support at $0.012.

Tron price prediction

Tron price has been in a tight range in the past few days. It was trading at $0.076, where it has been since mid-August. The coin is consolidating at the 50-day moving average. 

On the daily chart, the coin has formed an ascending channel shown in black. The lower side of the channel connected the lowest levels since January 6th. At the same time, the price is at the Woodie pivot point while the Stochastic Oscillator has moved below 80.

Therefore, Tron price will likely remain in this range during the weekend. The key support and resistance levels to watch will be at $0.070 and $0.08.

ThorChain price prediction

ThorChain price has been one of the best-performing cryptocurrencies since June. The token surged from a low of $0.77 in June to a high of $1.93 in August. On the daily chart, the token has Jumped above the 50-day and 25-day moving averages.

The Stochastic Oscillator has moved below the neutral level of 40 while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed a bearish divergence pattern. ThorChain seems to be forming a double-top pattern, meaning that the price could retest the upper side at $1.93.

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Maker (MKR) price soars amid South Korea expansion push

  • Maker price rally continued on Friday as cryptocurrencies recoiled.

  • The coin reacted to Maker’s push in South Korea.

Maker (MKR) price rally continued as investors watched the expansion of the network in South Korea, one of the biggest players in the crypto industry. The MKR token jumped to a high of $1,150 on Thursday, the highest level since August 16th. It has soared by more than 17% from the lowest level in August.

The main catalyst for the MKR price rally is the developer’s push into South Korea. In a statement on August 29th, the developers said that they were keen to introduce SubDAO in the country. The SubDAO Genesis event will take place on September 3rd in South Korea.

A subDAO is an approach that enhances governance in a blockchain platform. It has an independent foundation and ownership structure but is then tied to the parent DAO inits mission. The goal is to boost more decentralization in the ecosystem.

As part of its South Korean push, Marker is also co-sponsoring EthconKorea, a major event happening in Seoul. 

Maker price is also jumping as demand for Spark Protocol continues. Data compiled by Defi Llama shows that the DeFi protocol has seen its TVL jump to over $681 million in the past few months. Its highest TVL was $700 million.

Investors are attracted to Spark Protocol because of its substantially higher yields compared to its rivals. This also explains why the Dai market cap has been rising recently.

Maker price prediction

The 4H chart shows that the MKR price has been in a steady upward trend in the past few days. In this period, the coin has managed to move above the important resistance level at $1,121, the highest point on August 22nd. The coin has jumped above the 25-period and 50-day moving averages.

Maker price has also jumped above the Ichimoku cloud indicator. Therefore, the outlook for the con is bullish, with the next level to watch being at $1,200. The stop-loss of this trade will be at $1,100.

How to buy Maker

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LTC/BTC bearish trend continues, as Bitcoin outperforms

  • LTC/BTC has been in a bearish trend for the last five years
  • Bitcoin’s outperformance is likely to continue
  • A descending triangle keeps the bearish bias intact

One of the most interesting markets to trade are cross pairs. Crosses are less liquid than major pairs and often move in tight ranges. This is a general rule for the classic currency market but also valid for cryptocurrency.

LTC/BTC is such a cross. It moves based on the differences in the prices of Litecoin and Bitcoin.

Since 2018, the market has been in a bearish trend. It means that Bitcoin has quite outperformed Litecoin in the past five years.

Litecoin chart by TradingView

The chart above shows that the cross formed a series of lower highs and lower lows – characteristic in bearish triangles. Also, the bearish bias remains strong due to the presence of a descending triangle.

A descending triangle is a bearish continuation pattern. Its measured move equals the size of the longest segment of the triangle, projected from the horizontal base.

Therefore, traders may want to wait for the triangle to break lower before shorting the cross with a stop at the previous lower high.

What moves a cross?

Other rates influence a cross pair’s movements. In this case, the LTC/BTC cross pair reflects the differences between the LTC/USD and BTC/USD pairs.

Because the cross is in a bearish trend, Bitcoin outperformed Litecoin in the last five years. In other words, it means that Bitcoin was a better investment than Litecoin. Given the bearish bias for the cross, Bitcoin’s outperformance should continue.

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DOT/USD price forecast: A descending triangle keeps bulls at bay

  • DOT/USD is in a triangular consolidation
  • The bias remains bearish
  • Conservative traders might want to wait for the market to move first

There is nothing positive in the DOT/USD chart for bulls. The price action remains constrained by a triangular pattern that formed in the last twelve months.

Sure enough, the triangle may break in either direction. But the bias is bearish while Polkadot’s price action holds inside the pattern.

Polkadot’s price collapsed after the triple failure at the $50 area. The dollar’s strength was one reason, but surely some other factors contributed to the selloff.

Not even the renewed optimism in the cryptocurrency market that was seen in 2023 was enough. After a small bounce, Polkadot gave away all of its 2023 gains as the market was (and still is) unable to break the lower highs series. At the same time, it pushes for another lower low – a bearish development.

Polkadot chart by TradingView

The bullish case for Polkadot

The only way to construct a bullish case for Polkadot is to wait for the market to move first simply. For a “proof of life,” if you want.

Such proof that the market turned bullish will appear only if the price moves above $8. And, if it holds there.

It would mean that the previous lower high is broken, and the bias turned bullish. Until such a move is seen on the daily chart, buying DOT/USD is risky.

The bearish case for Polkadot

It is easier to build a bearish case because of the descending triangle mentioned earlier. If the market makes a new lower low, the triangle’s measured move points to a drop toward the $1 area.

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Key US data to move the cryptocurrency market this week

  • The US dollar is at an inflection point
  • Core PCE data today is key
  • The NFP report might miss expectations

Today marks the last trading day of the month. As usual, it means that volatility in financial markets will increase, especially during the London and North American sessions.

The US dollar’s volatility was a main driver for the cryptocurrency market this year. For instance, the dollar weakened since last October, as reflected by the EUR/USD bouncing from 0.95 and rallying to 1.12. At the same time, Bitcoin rallied too.

But as the EUR/USD could not hold above 1.12, nor did Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies hold at their 2023 highs. In some cases, some cryptocurrencies reversed all of their gains against the dollar – and some more.

Therefore, it is clear that what happens with the US dollar also moves the cryptocurrency market. This week, despite having just two trading sessions left, the US dollar might move aggressively on two pieces of economic data:

  • Core PCE Price Index m/m
  • August NFP report

Core PCE Price Index

The PCE data is the Fed’s favorite way of interpreting inflation. It shows the change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers but leaves out food and energy prices. The data will be released later today in the North American session.

The market expects it at 0.2% MoM, but the risk is that it will be lower. Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, stated at the Jackson Hole this August that he believes inflation has peaked. If that is the case and the PCE data confirms it, the dollar might take a hit.

August NFP report

The second part of the Fed’s mandate deals with job creation. For the Fed to stop hiking the funds rate, it must see a softening labor market.

So far this week, both the JOLTS report and the private employment have disappointed. Therefore, the bias is that the NFP report will also come on the soft side. In such a case, the dollar’s weakness should accelerate.

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