Kategorie: Crypto Analysis

Key takeaways

• BTC eases back from 76k, a monthly high.
• Technical indicators suggest further correction in the near term.

Bitcoin has dropped below $74,000 after pulling back from a monthly high earlier this week. The cryptocurrency surged from $70K at the start of the week to hit $76K on Tuesday, before easing to its current level. 

Mixed signals for the crypto market

The US Navy has confirmed a full blockade of Iranian ports, amplifying concerns over oil supply disruptions and pushing prices higher from three-week lows. However, President Trump has suggested that the conflict may be nearing an end, which has tempered further upside in oil prices and kept hopes of a de-escalation alive. 

In addition to that, treasury yields have been on a downward trend, supported by softer-than-expected PPI data for March, which rose 0.5% month-on-month, below the 1.2% forecast. This easing of inflation concerns benefits Bitcoin, as lower yields signal improving liquidity and reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like crypto.

The US stock market has also been resilient, with the Nasdaq posting its tenth consecutive winning session, gaining nearly 10% in April. Crypto markets have mirrored this strength, with Bitcoin up approximately 8.5% so far this month. 

These parallel moves suggest that Bitcoin is increasingly trading as a macro-sensitive asset, responding to broader market sentiment rather than purely crypto-specific factors.

Despite the current market conditions, institutional demand continues to support Bitcoin’s price action. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $411 million in net inflows on Tuesday, despite a $291 million outflow the previous day. This brings total net inflows for April to $741.9 million.

The growing institutional acceptance of Bitcoin is further highlighted by Goldman Sachs’ filing with the SEC for a Bitcoin premium income ETF, signaling a deeper commitment to crypto from traditional finance. 

BTC could retest low support levels

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Bitcoin is down by more than 1% in the last 24 hours. 

Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a rising channel that has been in place since early February. BTC is testing a key resistance level around $76K, which coincides with both the March high and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October high near $126K. 

If the bulls regain control and Bitcoin embarks on a sustained break above $76K, it could target $80K, followed by $85K and the 200-day SMA at $88K.

On the downside, Bitcoin has initial support near $71K, with stronger support at $69.6K, the 50-day SMA. A move below $65K would signal a lower low, indicating a shift in market sentiment.

The post Bitcoin dips below $74K amid Middle East tensions and mixed market signals appeared first on CoinJournal.

• Hedera (HBAR) price is hovering near a fragile $0.08 support cluster.
• Losing $0.08 could open a move toward $0.07842 or lower.
• Upside only improves if the $0.0942 resistance is reclaimed.

Hedera’s price has been drifting lower again, and the latest price action is starting to circle a level that traders are watching very closely.

At around $0.0856, the token is down about 1.5% over the past 24 hours, with intraday trading ranging between $0.0846 and $0.0875.

On the surface, it looks like a normal pullback in a weak market.

But underneath, the structure is tightening around a critical zone that could decide whether the next move is stable consolidation or a deeper slide toward February’s lows near $0.072.

Notably, the broader trend hasn’t been friendly to altcoins in general.

Over the past week, Hedera has lost more than 6%, and the monthly decline is now above 12%.

Even longer-term momentum remains negative, with the asset still significantly lower compared to where it traded a year ago.

What makes the current situation more sensitive is that this weakness is happening without any strong internal catalyst.

There has been no major ecosystem shock or technical breakdown tied to the project itself.

Instead, the pressure is coming from a wider rotation out of altcoins and into safer assets, leaving tokens like HBAR more exposed to downside moves.

Pressure builds around a fragile support zone

Right now, the most important area on the chart sits just below the current price.

Short-term support has been forming around $0.0838, while another closely watched structural level sits at $0.08067.

These two zones are effectively acting as a support cluster. If they hold, price action could continue to move sideways as traders wait for new catalysts.

But the problem is that this cluster has already been tested indirectly through repeated dips and weak bounces.

Each retest weakens confidence. If selling pressure increases again, there is very little structural support until lower levels come into play.

Below this region, historical price data points to a more significant breakdown zone near $0.0703.

That would represent a much deeper correction, but markets rarely move in straight lines.

Before that level becomes relevant, traders are focused on a nearer and more psychologically important target: the February low at approximately $0.07270.

If price loses the $0.08 region decisively, the path toward that February floor opens quickly.

In thin or sentiment-driven markets, these levels tend to act like magnets.

Upside potential is still there, but it needs confirmation

Despite the current pressure, the structure is not entirely broken. There is still a clear resistance ladder above the market that could come into play if sentiment shifts.

The first key level sits at $0.0942. A move back above this zone would signal that buyers are regaining control in the short term.

Above that, the next resistance zones are located around $0.1051 and then $0.1174, marking progressively stronger recovery thresholds.

However, the market is not in a position where upside levels are immediately relevant.

Before any recovery attempt can take shape, the price needs to stabilise and reclaim lost ground. At the moment, that has not happened.

Instead, each rally attempt has been smaller than the previous one, which is often a sign of weakening demand.

HBAR price outlook

The near-term outlook now hinges on one simple condition: whether $0.08 holds or breaks.

If buyers defend this area again, Hedera could continue ranging between the mid-$0.08s and low-$0.09s while waiting for a stronger catalyst. In that case, price action would likely remain choppy but contained.

If $0.08 fails, however, the structure shifts quickly, and market projections place the next visible target as the February low at $0.07796, and below that, the broader support zone near $0.0727 comes into view.

The speed of any drop would depend on how quickly liquidity disappears below current levels.

But there is still one wildcard in the background: upcoming Hedera Hashgraph ecosystem developments and broader market sentiment shifts.

These events can temporarily interrupt bearish momentum, but so far, they have not been strong enough to reverse the current trend.

The post Hedera (HBAR) risks dropping to February lows if $0.08 gives way appeared first on CoinJournal.

• Chainlink price rose to highs of $9.42 as LINK mirrored broader gains.
• Bitcoin’s surge to $74,500 could embolden LINK bulls to challenge resistance around $10.
• The supply zone has capped upside for months.

Chainlink (LINK) price is once again pressing into the robust supply zone near $10, with intraday gains to $9.42 outlining bulls’ intentions.

Despite sentiment around most altcoins being cautiously optimistic, largely due to what happens next after Bitcoin’s upswing to $74,500, gains for LINK above $9.50 could see buyers target $12.

In this case, the 80% jump in daily volume may indicate an upbeat outlook, particularly if the bellwether asset BTC pumps further.

​Chainlink tests resistance amid broader market gains

​The Chainlink price is up nearly 6% in the past 24 hours, joining the rest of the market in riding the upside momentum in BTC.

However, LINK has notably underperformed the wider market over the past months, repeatedly failing to secure a sustained break above the $9.40-$10 area.

​The underperformance has held despite the project’s steady stream of ecosystem milestones and integrations.

Amid this outlook is the token’s rebound from a nearby demand zone, but it continues to face heavy pressure as bulls pare gains seen as prices rose to $9.42.

The region thus remains key to sellers who have consistently faded rallies and defended prior breakdown levels.

​At the same time, analysts view $10 as a decisive short‑term line in the sand: bulls need a clean daily close above this level.

If this is backed by strong volume, it could flip market structure from defensive to constructive and open a path toward the $11.5-$12 region.

Until that happens, the prevailing pattern of lower highs since November keeps bulls on the back foot and allows bears to reassert control on every test of resistance.

​Chainlink price: Technical analysis

​On the technical front, Chainlink is trading near a key inflection zone, with several indicators hinting that downside momentum is waning even as resistance remains firm.

Lower time‑frame charts show prices attempting to build a base above recent demand.

​LINK’s Bollinger Bands setup indicates the bands have compressed significantly, a classic precursor to a reversal.

​Meanwhile, higher time frames highlight constructive setups, including a golden cross pattern.

The MACD continues to hover around or slightly above the zero line, a posture that typically accompanies early trend reversals rather than deep distribution.

For the immediate outlook, traders are likely to watch immediate resistance at $9.50-$10.

The area marks the region where repeated rejections have formed a tight supply wall.

Near-term support lies around the $8 zone, which may be revisited if a broader pullback hits crypto.

The post Chainlink price analysis: can bulls push LINK above $10 amid crypto gains? appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Hyperliquid is up 8% in the last 24 hours, maintaining its position in the top 10.
• The coin could rally towards the $50 psychological level if the bullish sentiment persists.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) continues its upward momentum, trading above $44 as of Tuesday after an 8% surge on the previous day. With strengthening on-chain data, favorable derivatives metrics, and technical analysis pointing to further gains, the outlook for HYPE remains bullish, with a target of $50 in sight.

Bullish Sentiment Backed by On-Chain and Derivatives Metrics

On-chain data from CryptoQuant suggests a strong buy-side dominance in both Hyperliquid’s spot and futures markets, with cooling conditions indicating a favorable environment for a potential price rise. The market shows mostly neutral conditions across other metrics, reinforcing the possibility of an upside move.

On the derivatives front, CoinGlass data reveals that HYPE’s futures Open Interest (OI) has surged to $1.96 billion on Tuesday, up from $1.5 billion on April 3. This steady rise in OI points to new capital entering the market, which could propel HYPE’s price higher. This is the highest level of futures OI seen since early November.

Moreover, CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for HYPE stands at 1.04, signaling a predominantly bullish sentiment in the market, as more traders expect the price to rally.

Price Forecast: HYPE bulls target $50

The HYPE/USD 4-hour chart is extremely bullish and efficient. HYPE’s price has extended its gains, surpassing the March high of $43.75 and reaching above $44 on Tuesday. If the upward trend continues, HYPE could target the October 30 high of $50.15.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 69, indicating strong bullish momentum as it moves toward overbought territory. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator recently showed a bullish crossover on April 10, further supporting a positive outlook for HYPE.

Should HYPE experience a pullback, it could find support near the psychological $40 level. However, the prevailing market conditions suggest a strong potential for further upside, with $50 being the next major resistance.

The post Hyperliquid (HYPE) price continues to surge, targeting $50 Mark appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• BTC is approaching $75,000 after adding nearly 5% to its value since Monday.
• The rally comes despite the ongoing crisis in the Middle East.

Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized above $74,000 as of Tuesday’s press time, following a 5% rally the previous day. This price surge comes as the US enforces a blockade on the Strait of Hormuz during ongoing peace talks with Iran. US Vice President JD Vance hints at a grand deal in the works, demanding an end to Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

Market sentiment recovers with $500M in liquidations

The broader cryptocurrency market is seeing a recovery, with over $500 million in liquidations across the last 24 hours, primarily driven by short squeezes. Aave (AAVE), Algorand (ALGO), and Ethereum (ETH) are leading the charge in the market’s upward momentum.

As negotiations between the US and Iran progress, the US military has started blocking the Strait of Hormuz, halting the movement of transiting ships. Vice President JD Vance emphasized that the situation is now in Iran’s hands, with the primary focus of US talks being Iran’s nuclear material exit and halting uranium enrichment. Former President Donald Trump also commented that “the other side” has approached him for a deal.

The peace talks appear to be fueling a “risk-on” sentiment, especially in the cryptocurrency market. According to CoinGlass data, the last 24 hours saw $531 million in liquidations, with $426 million attributed to short liquidations. This massive short squeeze indicates a major bearish wipeout.

Bitcoin is approaching key resistance levels

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient despite the recent rally. Bitcoin remains in a neutral-to-bullish trend, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $71,019. However, it is still capped below the 100-day EMA at $75,309.

Immediate resistance lies near the 100-day EMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $75,623, from a previous downtrend spanning $126,199 to $60,000. A daily close above this range would signal potential upward movement, with the next target being the 200-day EMA at $82,936, followed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $93,099.

Market momentum is favoring the bulls, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at around 62 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) in positive territory, both suggesting upward pressure is gaining traction.

On the downside, Bitcoin’s initial support is found at the 50-day EMA around $71,019. A break below this support could weaken the current bullish momentum and push the price lower, potentially testing the Fibonacci support level near $60,000.

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