Quant (QNT) extends gains toward $80, testing breakout resistance

Key takeaways

  • Quant (QNT) extends its rally toward $80, supported by rising whale and retail demand. 
  • A breakout above the $80 resistance could set the stage for a potential rise toward $100. 

Quant (QNT) has extended its recent gains towards the $80 mark on Thursday, testing the potential breakout from a long-standing resistance trendline. 

The cryptocurrency’s bullish technical outlook is supported by rising leverage-based activity from large wallet investors, or whales, with a daily close above $80 paving the way for a possible rally toward the $100 target.

Whale and retail demand fuel Quant’s steady recovery

Quant’s steady short-term recovery is being driven by growing demand from both retail and large-wallet investors. 

CryptoQuant data reveals an increase in the average order size of executed orders in the leverage market, indicating heightened whale activity. Additionally, the 90-day cumulative volume difference between buy and sell orders reflects a clear buy dominance, further supporting bullish sentiment.

CoinGlass data shows that QNT futures Open Interest (OI) has surged to $17.61 million, up significantly from $16.96 million on May 1. 

This steady recovery in QNT futures is now approaching the peak of $38.27 million reached on September 21, indicating continued investor interest and positive market sentiment.

Technical outlook: Will Quant reach $100?

The QNT/USD 4-hour chart is bullish as Quant is up by 7% in the last 24 hours. It is currently trading at $78, above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $77.52. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is positive, with the MACD line crossing above its signal and both moving above zero, signaling strong bullish momentum. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 64, indicating firm bullish momentum, though edging closer to overbought territory as price approaches higher resistance levels.

If the rally continues, a decisive close above the descending trendline break level near $77.89 would confirm a breakout from the triangle pattern on the daily chart. 

Such a breakout could pave the way for a rally toward the $88.30 swing high, followed by the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level at $101.14.

QNT/USD 4H Chart

However, if the bears regain control of the market, they would encounter initial support at the 50-day EMA near $72.03. 

A deeper pullback would target the 50% retracement level around $68.79, with further support found at the former rising trendline region near $67.86 and the 38.2% retracement near $66.86.

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Bitcoin struggles below $80,000 amid institutional withdrawal

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin has dipped below $80,000 after being rejected by the key 200-day EMA supply zone.
  • US-listed spot ETFs recorded an outflow of $635 million on Wednesday.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $80,000 on Thursday after failing to overcome a key overhead supply area earlier this week. 

The pullback is attributed to fading institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) experiencing significant outflows, as well as a surge in traders’ profit-taking activity, increasing selling pressure on the leading cryptocurrency.

Highest single-day ETF outflow in three months signals weakening institutional demand

Institutional demand for Bitcoin has weakened, with spot ETFs recording a massive outflow of $635.23 million on Wednesday, the highest single-day withdrawal since the end of January. 

According to CoinGlass data, this marks the second consecutive day of withdrawals this week. If outflows persist or intensify, Bitcoin’s price correction could continue, further amplifying the bearish pressure.

Profit-taking among Bitcoin holders has surged, further adding to the selling pressure. CryptoQuant’s weekly report highlights that 14,600 BTC were realized in daily profits on May 4, the highest figure since December 10. 

The 37% rally from the April lows has brought Bitcoin holders back into profitable territory, triggering a wave of selling. This kind of behavior typically precedes further price declines, as traders capitalize on their gains.

Bitcoin price forecast: BTC could dip below $79,000

Bitcoin is trading at $79,458 on Thursday, having faced rejection from the overhead supply zone. 

The cryptocurrency has corrected for three consecutive days this week but is still holding above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which are clustered just under $76,800. 

Despite this, Bitcoin remains capped below the 200-day EMA at $81,986 and the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $83,437.

While the broader uptrend remains intact, the technical outlook suggests a cautious approach. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the mid-50s, indicating a mild bullish bias, but the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is still in negative territory, hinting at tentative upside momentum.

If the bearish trend persists, immediate support is found at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around $78,962, followed by the 100-day EMA at $76,756 and the 50-day EMA at $76,479. 

If selling accelerates, further support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $74,487 and the broken upward trendline around $70,171.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

On the upside, bulls need to clear the 200-day EMA at $81,986 to ease immediate pressure. Resistance then emerges at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $83,437 and the horizontal barrier near $84,410. 

A daily close above this level would strengthen the case for a renewed push toward the January highs of $97,924.

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PI faces increased selling pressure, risks further decline below $0.1700

Key takeaways

  • Pi Network extends losses on Thursday and could dip lower in the near term.
  • The technical outlook for PI is mildly bearish as the short-term support is near $0.1687

Pi Network (PI) is edging lower on Thursday, threatening a potential bearish breakout below the $0.1700 mark. 

The rise in selling pressure is likely linked to renewed mainnet migration activity, with over 1 million PI tokens being deposited on centralized exchanges (CEXs), weighing down on the PI token’s price.

CEX deposits surge amid renewed mainnet migration

Pi Network is experiencing increased selling activity as investors transfer their PI tokens to exchanges after completing their Know Your Customer (KYC) verification.

PiScan data reveals that over 36 million PI tokens were migrated to the mainnet in the past four days, coinciding with the 26.20 million PI tokens unlocked from Pi Core Team wallets. 

Simultaneously, Pi-supporting exchanges saw an influx of 1.15 million tokens, indicating that large holders are reducing their exposure amid the option for an exit.

Technical outlook: PI risks deeper correction below $0.1700

The PI/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient. At press time, Pi Network is trading around $0.1700, with a bearish near-term outlook. 

The PI token remains well below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.1739 on the 4-hour chart, as well as the 100- and 200-period EMAs, which are clustered between $0.1750 and $0.1767. 

These moving averages, combined with the downward trendline, form a dense resistance zone that limits any upward movement.

The price is approaching the May 12 low of $0.1687, which has served as a base for short-term consolidation. 

The token is trapped within a descending wedge pattern, indicating that the current structure leans bearish. 

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 40, slipping below the midline, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line and its signal line remain marginally below zero, signaling that downside momentum is still in control.

If the bulls regain control, initial resistance lies near the 50-period EMA and the downward trendline break area around $0.1739. 

PI/USD 4H Chart

However, if the selloff persists, immediate support is loosely defined around the $0.1700 region, close to the May 12 low at $0.1687. 

A clear break below this level could open the door to fresh lows on the 4-hour chart, especially as the broader structure remains capped by the overhead moving averages and trendline resistances.

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Cardano price forecast: is $0.40 next as $ADA flashes buy signal?

  • The supertrend indicator paints a potential bullish breakout for Cardano (ADA).
  • However, the momentum may not materialize, rendering the buy signal invalid.
  • ADA could target highs above $0.40 next, although the $0.25 support remains key.

Cardano price has dropped again as broader selling caps the crypto market bounce. ADA is down 3% in the timeframe and near support levels around $0.26, which mirrors the pullback for Bitcoin.

The cryptocurrency bellwether recently rallied to near $83,000, but has pared gains and currently hovers around $79,800 amid macroeconomic headwinds. Cardano’s price trajectory has aligned with the BTC drop.

However, could ADA be about to pump amid fresh buying interest?

Cardano price: daily chart flashes buy signal

Overall, cryptocurrencies are showing weakness, and ADA remains potentially bearish.

Yet, a key trend indicator is flashing bullish on the daily chart, with the SuperTrend indicator turning green.

Prices have fallen since the indicator flipped red in early February, while long-term declines go back to slip below $1 in September 2025.

The SuperTrend indicator held red for several months and coincided with an eventual 70% decline in ADA price.

When it previously flashed green, ADA price rose sharply, reaching above $0.43 earlier in the year.

Cardano Price Chart
Cardano price chart by TradingView

Analysts say that while Cardano has struggled since falling below $0.30, the correction and lengthy consolidation could give way to a trend reversal.

If this happens, bulls could target crucial resistance at $0.33 and then year-to-date highs above $0.40. A decisive breakout could bring $0.75-$1.00 into play.

Likely to help the bullish perspective is the fact that Cardano’s key stakeholders have slowly accumulated by buying the dip.

According to Santiment, wallets with at least 1 million ADA tokens have added to their bags to about 67% of supply.

That metric hovers at over 25.09 billion ADA, with buying happening despite the asset shedding more than 70% of its market capitalization over the past 9 months.

Cardano price – short-term bearish outlook!

While the SuperTrend indicator suggests a potential bullish breakout for ADA, skeptics warn that imminent momentum might fizzle, invalidating the buy signal altogether.

Supporting this cautious view are other key oscillators.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is downsloping near the 50 mark, indicating limited buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows potential bearish crossover.

Should sellers regain control, ADA could first probe the $0.25 support zone before mounting any meaningful recovery.

However, a deeper breakdown below that level might accelerate losses toward $0.23. The potential demand reload zone aligns with the lower boundary of a multi-month channel.

The broader market outlook, including macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, could influence the next path for this altcoin.

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Ethena price: ENA dips despite 5-week peak in whale activity

  • Ethena’s native token, ENA, saw its price decline as Bitcoin slid below $79,000
  • The slight dip happened despite ENA notching a 5-week high in whale activity.
  • Prices could fall further, but a rebound for BTC could boost ENA.

Ethena (ENA) price faced downward pressure today, dropping nearly 4% to intraday lows of $0.11 as Bitcoin grappled with renewed selling amid macroeconomic headwinds.

This decline unfolded even as on-chain metrics signaled robust interest from large holders.

Analysts say the move highlights a disconnect between whale behavior and short-term price action.

Ethena hits 5-week high in whale activity

On-chain data shows Ethena’s ecosystem has managed notable momentum.

For one, the network just hit its largest daily network growth in over three months.

The platform did not just see a surge in new wallet creations, but had ENA whale activity surging to a five-week peak, with this aligning with heightened interest bolstered by several bullish catalysts.

According to Santiment, one of the key drivers was Grayscale’s decision on May 7 to incorporate ENA into its DeFi Fund.

Ethena also recently saw a massive $310 million USDC transfer, a transaction that injected fresh liquidity and drew widespread attention.

Santiment has also highlighted that the spotlight on ENA increased further when LayerZero announced a temporary bridge suspension on May 9, keeping Ethena at the forefront of DeFi discussions.

Adding to the optimism, the Ethena Foundation recently affirmed that all conditions outlined by its Risk Committee for activating the “fee switch” have been satisfied.

This mechanism, designed to distribute protocol fees to stakers, awaits a governance vote from ENA holders in the coming days.

The whale positioning ahead of the pivotal vote helped ENA price pump to highs of $0.14 on May 10.

Why’s ENA price down?

Despite the positive catalysts, ENA’s price succumbed to broader market dynamics.

Both RSI and MACD on the 4-hour chart suggest prices could fall further.

Ethena ENA Chart
Ethena price chart by TradingView

On May 13, crypto sentiment soured following the release of U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data.

This came in hotter-than-expected and exacerbated fears of persistent inflation and delayed rate cuts.

US stocks slid, and Bitcoin, the crypto sector’s bellwether, tumbled below $79,000 during intraday trading.

Declines meant bulls retreated to levels seen following Tuesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.

BTC prices had earlier bounced to above $81,000.

This macro-driven risk-off mood rippled across altcoins, with Ethereum down near $2,250, Solana slipping to $90, and XRP capped under $1.50.

Many DeFi tokens mirrored the weakness, including ENA, which traded from intraday highs of $0.12.

The profit-taking could extend losses to support at $0.10.

While the dip impacts ENA’s short-term outlook, network fundamentals and overall market outlook could position the token for potential recovery.

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