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Bitcoin price crosses $81K, but derivatives and network activity remain low: check forecast

  • Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $81,000 as short-term momentum strengthens.
  • Weak network growth signals cautious market participation.
  • BTC faces major resistance at $89,500.

Bitcoin has climbed above $81,000, extending its monthly recovery and testing its highest trading range in roughly three months.

At press time, BTC was trading around $81,467 after gaining 5.2% over the past seven days and 17.6% over the last 30 days.

The latest move places Bitcoin in a critical technical zone, with several underlying metrics suggesting the rally is still developing under cautious conditions rather than broad market conviction.

Network activity and derivatives participation remain muted

While Bitcoin’s spot price has improved, on-chain data point to weaker user participation than during previous major rallies.

Active addresses and transaction activity have not increased at the same pace as price, signalling that retail demand remains limited.

This divergence between price and blockchain activity often suggests that current momentum is being supported more by institutional demand and large investors than by widespread organic adoption.

Notably, institutional participation through spot Bitcoin ETFs has surged, with billions in capital inflows helping stabilise prices above key support zones.

However, derivatives market participation has remained relatively restrained compared to previous breakout cycles, with lower speculative leverage and softer futures activity indicating traders are cautious.

In addition, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index currently reads 50, placing sentiment in neutral territory.

This reflects a market that is neither euphoric nor fearful, reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin’s recent strength has not yet triggered widespread speculative enthusiasm.

Technical indicators show bullish momentum

Bitcoin’s short-term technical structure remains positive, with 12 out of 23 major technical indicators leaning bullish currently.

Furthermore, BTC is trading above its 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages, which support continued bullish momentum.

Bitcoin price analysis

However, Bitcoin remains below its long-term 200-day EMA, showing that macro resistance is still intact.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 69.5, placing BTC just below overbought territory.

While this suggests strong momentum, traders should closely watch for possible exhaustion if RSI breaks above 70 without stronger volume.

Post-halving cycle points to late-stage expansion

Bitcoin’s fourth halving took place in April 2024, reducing miner rewards to 3.125 BTC per block.

The asset is now approximately 25 months into its post-halving cycle.

Historically, this stage has often aligned with stronger price expansion, heightened volatility, and eventual cycle peaks before larger retracements.

Previous Bitcoin bull cycles reached new all-time highs roughly 1,405 to 1,477 days apart.

Based on this pattern, the current cycle may still have room for further upside, though historical trends also suggest increasing risks of correction as the cycle matures.

Short-term Bitcoin forecast remains cautiously bullish

Looking at the current market structure, the immediate resistance zone sits at $89,479.

A confirmed close above that level could open the path toward the next resistance near $90,975.

However, in case of a pullback, especially if the oversold region is reached, then the key support level sits at $75,109.

A break below $75,109 would likely weaken the bullish structure and raise the probability of deeper corrections.

Moving ahead, traders should carefully monitor the Bitcoin ETF inflows, whale accumulation, and RSI behaviour, for clearer confirmation of whether the current move can develop into a larger sustained rally.

The post Bitcoin price crosses $81K, but derivatives and network activity remain low: check forecast appeared first on CoinJournal.

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XRP holds above $1.40 as ETF inflows return: Check forecast

Key Takeaways

  • XRP holds above $1.40 with modest ETF inflows and improving sentiment.
  • The weak derivatives activity and strong resistance levels keep the short-term outlook cautious.

Ripple (XRP) is trading just above $1.40 on Tuesday, showing gradual momentum despite lingering macro uncertainty.

The token, alongside the broader crypto market, has remained resilient even as tensions in the Middle East persist and the US–Iran ceasefire faces renewed pressure.

Risk appetite has stabilized in recent weeks, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index rising to 50 from 40 a day earlier, reflecting a shift toward more neutral sentiment.

ETF inflows signal cautious optimism

Investor interest in XRP spot ETFs remains mixed but constructive. US-listed products recorded modest inflows of $3.87 million on Monday following subdued activity at the end of last week, suggesting a cautiously bullish short- to medium-term outlook.

Cumulative inflows have now reached $1.29 billion, with total assets under management at $1.07 billion. Continued ETF demand remains a key pillar for sustaining positive sentiment and supporting the case for a broader uptrend.

In the derivatives market, momentum remains muted. Open Interest (OI) in XRP perpetual futures edged up slightly to $2.60 billion from $2.50 billion the previous day.

However, this is still well below the $10.94 billion peak seen in July, when XRP reached its all-time high of $3.66. The divergence highlights the importance of stronger retail participation to drive a more meaningful rally.

Technical outlook: XRP faces a key resistance zone

The XRP/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient. XRP is trading just below the 50-day EMA at $1.41 and remains under the 100-day and 200-day EMAs at $1.51 and $1.74, indicating that upside attempts are still being capped.

Momentum indicators show mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 60, pointing to mild bullish pressure but largely consistent with consolidation.

Meanwhile, a contracting negative MACD histogram suggests bearish momentum is fading.

XRP/USD 4H Chart

A decisive daily close above the $1.51 resistance zone—aligned with the 100-day EMA and broader downtrend—would be needed to shift sentiment and open the path toward $1.74.

On the downside, immediate support lies at $1.39, followed by the monthly open near $1.37.

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BNB holds key support at $630 as traders brace for next big move

  • BNB price is looking to defend $620 amid Bitcoin’s retreat from $81,000 highs.
  • Supply dynamics highlight $570 as potential support.
  • Upside catalysts could include BNB Chain ecosystem strengths and capital inflows.

BNB hovers near a key support area as bulls defend gains following retreat below the $630 level, with cautious sentiment prevailing as weak momentum shows across altcoins.

The Binance Coin’s price thus remains under pressure amid overall caution in risk appetite. But what could trigger renewed momentum?

BNB price sees slight retreat to support

BNB’s price hovered around $627 at the time of writing, as largely flat action in the past 24 hours kept bulls off intraday highs of $638 reached on Monday.

This pullback aligns with Bitcoin’s partial unwind from its recent spike above $81,000, where the leading cryptocurrency briefly tested resistance before cooling off.

Despite shedding gains to under $630, traders note that BNB has successfully held the zone as critical support.

A key factor supporting this resilience is the BNB Foundation’s recent 35th quarterly token burn, which eliminated over 1.56 million BNB tokens worth roughly $1.02 billion at the time.

This deflationary mechanism has trimmed the total BNB supply to about 134.7 million, enhancing scarcity and providing a floor against downside pressure.

Meanwhile, on-chain data reveals trading with reduced volume.

This comes as long-term holders accumulate amid the consolidation. Per CoinMarketCap, daily volume was down 9% to $1.74 billion.

Leverage ‘still adjusting’

BNB has traded in a more subdued manner since plummeting to $570 in early April, with the level key as the main support from the bloodbath in February.

Year-to-date declines have erased substantial gains.

The downturn wiped most of the explosive pump to $1,376 highs in October 2025, which occurred amid elevated leverage across the Binance ecosystem.

CoinGlass data shows that over the past 24 hours, BNB spot trading volume stood at over $109 million while BNB futures trading volume hovered around $667 million.

During this period, about $234,082 in BNB futures positions were liquidated as open interest of BNB lingered at just over $1 billion.

Analysts say the data suggest that leverage is still adjusting.

BNB price- support/resistance levels

Should prices slip below $600, analysts warn of a potential retest of deeper demand zones around $550-$570, where institutional reloads could materialize.

This negative outlook might strengthen if oil prices remain above $110 a barrel, with de-risking likely to explode if the global economy suffers amid rising inflation.

Conversely, upside potential remains. However, it could hinge on multiple catalysts.

Broader market conditions, such as sustained Bitcoin strength above $80,000, could propel BNB toward the $650-$670 resistance.

Network developments, including tokenization traction and scalability upgrades, could also act as tailwinds. A similar sentiment is likely amid fresh capital inflows as geopolitical tensions ease.

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XRP holds near $1.40, but can bulls take control amid a BTC uptick?

  • XRP rose above $1.40 as Bitcoin surpassed $81,000.
  • A 23% surge in daily trading volume suggests sellers are active.
  • The CLARITY Act, ETF inflows, and regulated exposure are likely to aid bulls further.

XRP trades near the $1.40 resistance level, with recent upward momentum pushing the cryptocurrency above a key level amid overall market enthusiasm.

While the uptick has stalled following Bitcoin’s breakout to above $81,000 and slight retreat, a pause could act as a base for fresh consolidation before XRP ticks up.

The Ripple-linked asset looked to have shrugged off news that a key insider trimmed their holdings in favour of the Ripple stock.

XRP price today

XRP is trading near the $1.40 resistance, with price action stalling at the level after the latest push higher amid Bitcoin’s spike to above $81,000.

The Ripple-linked cryptocurrency could eye an upside extension. However, it also risks a pullback on potential profit-taking across the market.

A 23% increase in daily volume suggests that sellers are active, with bulls now in need of a decisive breakout to retain control.

Ripple CTO trimmed XRP holdings

Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer Emeritus, David Schwartz, has publicly admitted he holds little XRP, saying he has moved most of his assets away from crypto exposure.

He revealed this via X, noting he recognizes crypto offers “a once-in-a-generation” wealth opportunity. However, Schwartz says he is choosing peace of mind over the potential windfall that crypto promises.

In this case, he has decided to buy Ripple stock for exposure to the company’s fortunes without worrying about the massive volatility characterizing cryptocurrencies.

“I don’t have that much left anymore. I’ve tried to get most of my assets (other than Ripple stock) away from crypto exposure. As I’ve said, I really don’t like risk even though pretty much every risk I’ve taken has worked out amazingly well for me,” he noted.

XRP price outlook

The technical picture for XRP shows that the price continues to grind sideways, currently above the middle of the channel range formed since the February 2026 lows. Buyers have typically absorbed supply at $1.35 in recent weeks, with further support around $1.30.

XRP Price Chart
XRP price chart by TradingView

Despite seller participation remaining steady, bulls could be positioning for a breakout above $1.50.

Meanwhile, the upsloping RSI at 52 on the daily chart supports this outlook. The daily RSI, sloping upward at 52, bolsters this view, indicating building momentum without overbought conditions.

External catalysts like the CLARITY Act, growing ETF inflows, and expanding regulated access further empower bulls.

Notably, Russia’s Moscow Exchange (MOEX) will launch four new crypto indexes next week.

Going live on May 13 are indexes for XRP, Solana (SOL), Tron (TRX), and Binance Coin (BNB). MOEX is looking to enhance institutional visibility and liquidity.

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Kresus teams up with Canton to push blockchain from pilot to production


  • Kresus and Canton aim to accelerate institutional blockchain deployment.
  • Focus shifts from pilot projects to full-scale production systems.
  • Hanwha partnership targets tokenized private market assets.

Kresus and the Canton Network are joining forces to push institutional blockchain use beyond the pilot stage and into production, in a collaboration aimed at making deployment easier for enterprises and financial firms.

Announced Monday in San Francisco, the effort centers on a familiar challenge in digital assets: many institutions have explored blockchain through proofs of concept, but far fewer have moved live systems into full operation.

Kresus says the new collaboration will help organizations design, build and deploy blockchain applications “from first integration to full-scale launch,” combining its implementation capabilities with Canton’s institutional-grade infrastructure.

The companies said they are already working on several projects, with additional developments expected in the coming months.

Focus shifts from experimentation to execution

The collaboration is built around a practical problem that has slowed institutional blockchain adoption: implementation.

According to the companies, the aim is to reduce friction for enterprises and organizations that want to move from strategy to deployment.

That means helping clients navigate the technical and operational demands of production-grade blockchain systems rather than stopping at trials.

Kresus said the arrangement is designed to support institutions across industries, not just financial firms, as they look to deploy live blockchain solutions.

Canton’s infrastructure is positioned as the foundation for that effort, while Kresus brings delivery capabilities intended to bridge the gap between planning and production.

Hanwha partnership highlights real-world asset push

Kresus said it is already working with leading global financial institutions to bring next-generation blockchain applications into production on Canton.

One of those efforts is its partnership with Hanwha Investment & Securities, which is aimed at supporting the development of a tokenized digital asset platform focused on private market assets.

The platform is expected to enable the issuance, management and distribution of tokenized financial instruments aligned with real-world asset, or RWA, use cases.

That places the project squarely in one of the most closely watched areas in digital finance, where institutions are testing how traditional assets can be represented and managed on blockchain infrastructure.

Kresus also said it is bringing its core product stack to the Canton ecosystem. That includes enterprise-grade wallet infrastructure, tokenization systems and its secure middleware layer, KITE.

The company said these tools are designed to integrate into existing financial environments and support production deployments across payments, tokenized assets and digital asset management.

Institutional infrastructure remains the central pitch

The strategic message from both companies is clear: institutions need systems that are secure, reliable and scalable before blockchain can reach broader adoption.

“Financial institutions are moving beyond trials and toward actual blockchain applications,” Trevor Traina, founder and CEO of Kresus said.

The CEO added:

Success in regulated markets requires more than technology; it requires the ability to design, build, and deliver systems that meet real-world requirements. Kresus works directly with clients to bring these applications into production on Canton.

“Institutions need secure, reliable, and scalable systems to advance digital asset adoption,” Yuval Rooz, CEO of Digital Asset and co-founder of Canton said.

Through this collaboration, we are combining Canton’s institutional-grade blockchain with Kresus’ ability to implement production-ready applications that meet the needs of financial institutions.

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