Schlagwort: crypto market

Key takeaways

• Hoskinson clarifies social media break as ADA remains under intense selling pressure 
• ADA is down 30% this week and could extend its selloff in the near term. 

Cardano fell another 13% on Friday, bringing its weekly losses to more than 30% as investors reacted to comments from founder Charles Hoskinson and broader market weakness.

The decline marks ADA’s fifth consecutive day of losses, despite a notable increase in network activity and community engagement.

Hoskinson clarifies that he is not leaving Cardano

Market anxiety intensified after Charles Hoskinson posted a brief message on social media stating, “I’m taking a break, TTYL,” which some investors interpreted as a potential departure from Cardano and its development ecosystem.

Following the backlash, Hoskinson returned with a live broadcast to clarify that he is stepping back only from public-facing activities and social media engagement, not from his involvement in Cardano or blockchain research.

He emphasized that his focus remains on addressing complex industry challenges such as the blockchain trilemma, while distancing himself from expectations surrounding ADA’s market performance.

“I am not passionate about making the price of ADA go up,” Hoskinson stated during the discussion.

While the market reacted negatively, on-chain and social metrics suggest the Cardano community remains highly engaged.

According to Santiment data, Social dominance climbed to approximately 0.52%, the highest level recorded this year.

Furthermore, daily active addresses surged to 28,459, the strongest reading in roughly four months.

The spike indicates that discussions and network participation accelerated as investors responded to speculation surrounding Hoskinson’s comments.

However, increased activity has so far failed to offset persistent selling pressure.

Cardano price forecast: Technical outlook remains bearish

From a technical perspective, Cardano remains in a firmly bearish trend. ADA continues to trade well below its key long-term moving averages (50-week EMA: $0.4139, 100-week EMA: $0.4967, and 200-week EMA: $0.5095)

Momentum indicators also remain weak. The RSI has fallen to 22, entering oversold territory, while the MACD remains slightly positive but is nearing a bearish crossover.

These signals suggest downside momentum remains dominant despite emerging oversold conditions.

If the bearish trend persists, the next major support level sits near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $0.1274, calculated from Cardano’s 2020–2021 bull market advance.

However, the $0.1500 psychological support could serve as a short-term demand level in the near term. 

If the bullish trend resumes, immediate resistance would be seen at $0.2345 (50% Fibonacci retracement) and $0.4139 (50-week EMA).

A sustained break below $0.1500 would increase the risk of a deeper correction toward the $0.1274 area, while any recovery attempt would first need to overcome resistance near $0.2345 before challenging longer-term trend barriers.

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Key takeaways

• ZEC is down 45% and is now trading around $309 per coin.
• The vulnerability was fixed within days, and findings suggest that actual exploitation of the bug is unlikely.

Zcash Zcash fell sharply on Friday after researchers disclosed a critical vulnerability in its Orchard shielded transaction pool that could have theoretically enabled the creation of unlimited counterfeit tokens.

The price dropped about 45% to $309 with most of the decline occurring shortly after the security disclosure was made public.

Critical flaw found in Zcash Orchard shielded pool

The vulnerability was identified by security researcher Taylor Hornby during an audit commissioned by Shielded Labs, an independent support organization for the Zcash ecosystem.

According to the report, the issue was located in the Orchard circuit, the zero-knowledge proof system that secures private transactions within Zcash’s shielded pool.

The flaw allowed under-constrained inputs in elliptic curve computations, making it possible to pass invalid values as valid proofs

In a test environment, researchers were able to generate an undetectable counterfeit ZEC. The bug has existed since Orchard’s activation in May 2022. The vulnerability was patched on June 1, shortly after discovery.

Despite the severity of the issue, Shielded Labs said there is no clear evidence that the vulnerability was exploited in the wild.

Reasons cited include: The complexity of Orchard’s privacy system obscures transaction tracing, the bug remained undetected for years despite cryptographic scrutiny, and no confirmed anomalies in supply have been identified

However, the organization acknowledged that absolute certainty is impossible due to the privacy-preserving nature of shielded transactions.

ZEC dips by 45%. Will it recover soon?

The ZEC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Zcash has lost 45% of its value in the last 24 hours.

The momentum indicators have flipped bearish, with the RSI of 33 indicating an oversold condition. The MACD lines are also within the negative territory, adding further confluence to the bearish bias.

sell

If the selloff continues, ZEC could drop below the Friday low of $245 and retest the $200 pychological level.

However, the bounce back above $300 indicates that the selloff could end soon. If the bulls regain control, ZEC could surge towards the first major resistance level at $413, with further hurdles around the $527 zone.

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Key takeaways

• XLM extends its loss for a fourth straight day as retail sentiment weakens and futures positioning declines. 
• The token remains under bearish technical pressure, but is holding above its 200-day EMA and showing fading momentum. 

Stellar’s XLM extends its declines for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, as selling pressure intensified across the cross-border payments sector. The token continues to struggle with weakening retail sentiment.

The broader correction highlights fading enthusiasm for remittance-focused crypto assets, which had previously benefited from narrative-driven rallies tied to institutional adoption and real-world asset tokenization themes.

Retail sentiment cools as futures positioning contracts

Recent derivatives data points to a sharp unwind in speculative positioning across both assets.

XLM futures open interest dropped to $260.35 million on Thursday, down significantly from Monday’s peak of $358.78 million, according to CoinGlass. 

The steady decline suggests traders are scaling back bullish bets that had formed around optimism linked to the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) partnership and asset tokenization narrative.

Stellar holds key support, but momentum weakens

The XLM/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Stellar is down 9.5% in the last 24hours. Unlike XRP, Stellar is still maintaining a more constructive technical structure, trading above $0.2110 and holding above its 200-day EMA near $0.1975.

However, short-term momentum is deteriorating. The RSI has cooled sharply from overbought levels to around 44, signaling a growing bearish strength. Meanwhile, the MACD is approaching a potential bearish crossover as upward momentum continues to contract.

Immediate support is anchored at the 200-day EMA, and a breakdown below this level could trigger a deeper correction toward prior consolidation zones.

On the upside, a rebound from current levels could see XLM retest resistance near $0.2579, which previously capped gains in late May.

XLM now sits at a technical crossroads, with weakening derivatives positioning and fading retail enthusiasm weighing on sentiment.

The current market conditions remain bearish as macroeconomic conditions suggest that the ongoing selloff could continue in the near to medium term.

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Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, dropped below $70 on Thursday after delivering an 80% gain in May. The dip comes amid renewed weakness across the broader cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $63,000 and sparked a wave of risk-off sentiment among investors.

A key catalyst behind HYPE’s recent surge has been rising institutional participation. Newly launched HYPE-focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracted roughly $135 million in inflows last month, highlighting growing demand from professional investors and helping drive the token into price discovery territory.

While momentum remains firmly bullish, analysts caution that the rally has become increasingly stretched, even as long-term projections point toward a potential move above the $100 mark.

Capital rotates from Bitcoin ETFs to Hyperliquid products

Institutional flows reveal a stark contrast between Bitcoin and Hyperliquid investment products.

Bitcoin ETFs recorded $396.6 million in net outflows on Wednesday, extending cumulative withdrawals to $4.37 billion over the past 13 trading days. The trend suggests waning institutional appetite for the world’s largest cryptocurrency amid broader market uncertainty.

By comparison, HYPE-focused ETFs attracted $2.99 million in inflows on Wednesday, marking their 15th consecutive day of positive flows and bringing total inflows to approximately $140 million.

The data points to a broader rotation of capital toward exchange-related tokens, as investors increasingly focus on platforms generating tangible revenue and expanding their product ecosystems.

Further reinforcing this trend is the launch of Grayscale’s HYPE-focused ETF on Thursday, a development widely viewed as another sign of growing institutional confidence in the Hyperliquid ecosystem.

Hyperliquid’s growth story extends beyond ETF demand. According to Hyperscreener data, the platform’s HIP-3 protocol—which enables 24/7 trading of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), including publicly listed stocks, pre-IPO shares, and commodity perpetual futures—generated $62.63 billion in trading volume during May.

The milestone marks the third consecutive month in which HIP-3 volume exceeded $60 billion, underscoring the platform’s expanding role as an “everything exchange” serving multiple asset classes.

HYPE price outlook: Can HYPE reach $100?

HYPE traded above $67 at the time of writing, extending a rally that has now lasted five consecutive weeks.

Technical indicators continue to support a bullish outlook, although they also suggest the token may be approaching overheated conditions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 82 on the weekly chart, deep in overbought territory, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains firmly positive with expanding bullish momentum.

From a technical perspective, HYPE is approaching the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level at $79.40. A decisive weekly close above this resistance could pave the way for a move beyond the psychologically important $100 threshold.

Should bullish momentum continue, the next major upside target sits near the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $114.75, which also aligns with a long-term overhead trendline.

Despite the strong uptrend, investors should remain aware of potential downside risks. The first significant support level lies near $59.45, which previously acted as a major Fibonacci high. If selling pressure intensifies, additional support could emerge around the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $47.34.

For now, sustained institutional inflows, growing trading activity, and expanding product offerings continue to support the bullish case for Hyperliquid as it attempts to establish itself as one of the crypto market’s strongest-performing assets.

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Key takeaways

• XRP has dropped below $1.25 after three straight days of losses, its lowest level since February 6.
• The bearish performance comes as the broader crypto markets remain under pressure from geopolitical tensions. 

Ripple’s XRP has dropped below the $1.25 support level on Tuesday after extending losses for a third consecutive day, marking its weakest price since February 6. 

The broader cryptocurrency market continues to face selling pressure as investors adopt a risk-off stance, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Although U.S. President Donald Trump suggested that a peace deal with Iran could be reached “over the next week,” uncertainty persists. 

A CNN report also indicated that negotiations between the two countries resumed shortly after Iran paused talks following Israel’s offensive in Lebanon, further contributing to market volatility.

Mixed capital flows show continued institutional interest in XRP

Despite the price decline, XRP continues to attract institutional inflows across digital investment products, including U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

According to CoinShares, roughly $20 million flowed into XRP-related products in the week ending June 1, making it one of only a few assets to record meaningful inflows above $1 million.

At the ETF level, XRP spot products recorded $4.13 million in net inflows last week, extending a five-week streak of positive flows. 

Cumulative inflows have reached approximately $1.43 billion, with total net assets under management standing at $1.11 billion, according to SoSoValue data.

XRP technical outlook: bearish pressure builds below key moving averages

XRP is currently trading around $1.23, remaining below its key short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages, reinforcing a bearish near-term structure.

Momentum indicators also reflect continued downside pressure. The MACD histogram remains negative, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 37, approaching oversold territory but still indicating persistent bearish momentum.

If the bulls regain control, immediate resistance is seen at the 50-day EMA around $1.38, followed by the 100-day EMA near $1.45. 

A stronger rebound would require a break above a descending trendline near $1.52. A broader trend reversal would only be signaled if XRP can reclaim the 200-day EMA around $1.65.

While institutional inflows continue to provide underlying support, XRP remains under pressure from broader macro uncertainty and technical weakness. 

With the buyers failing to defend the $1.25 support level, XRP could likely drop below $1.20 in the near term.

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