Bitcoin drops after US inflation data; $ 24k is the next target

  • US inflation remains well above the Fed’s target
  • The disinflationary momentum continues  
  • US dollar buyers are likely to emerge as more rate hikes are likely 

Last week, the Federal Reserve of the United States signaled its willingness to pause the rate hiking cycle. It said that the committee would remain data dependent. 

Well, data shows that the Fed is likely to keep raising rates. Yesterday, the US inflation report for April was released. 

While the annualized inflation keeps decreasing, it remains well above the Fed’s target. Coupled with the resilient jobs market, it gives the Fed the green light for more tightening. 

Bitcoin followed a similar path to fiat currencies. The US dollar is up and trending higher, as seen by the AUD/USD exchange rate unable to keep above 0.68 and down now about 100 pips points. 

But for Bitcoin, the bearishness appears to be more accentuated. A head and shoulders pattern indicates a drop to $24k, should the US dollar’s momentum continue. 

Bitcoin chart by TradingView

Technical analysis favors a drop to $24k

Bitcoin failed at 30k after a strong rally in 2023. One can spot a bearish technical pattern – a head and shoulders. 

The measured move, seen in blue, points to a drop to $24k, an area that offered resistance in the past. Therefore, according to the interchangeability principle, it should offer support the first time it will be retested. 

Bitcoin followed the US dollar, and the events in the traditional financial markets influenced how Bitcoin moved. Yesterday’s inflation report shows that the Fed will likely continue to raise interest rates, so the downside is the path of least resistance for Bitcoin. 

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Why is the crypto market down today? BTC briefly slips below $27k

Key takeaways

  • The cryptocurrency market is down by roughly 1% over the past 24 hours.

  • Bitcoin briefly dropped to $26,990 earlier today before recovering to now trade above $27,500.

  • The dump came due to reports that there was a transaction with the United States government’s BTC wallet.

Why the crypto market is down today

The cryptocurrency market recorded a sharp spike in movement a few hours ago. Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency by market cap, was trading just above $28k earlier today.

However, BTC fell below the $27k level for the first time in more than a week, briefly touching the $26,990 mark before retracing its movement.

According to market experts, the sharp decline in Bitcoin’s price came as a result of a transaction from the United States government’s BTC wallet. 

Data obtained from Blockstream showed that 9819.01814463 bitcoins were on the move from the wallet. This large transaction was reflected in the market, with Bitcoin dropping below the $27k mark for the first time in a month. 

Bitcoin recovers to trade above $27,500

The dump didn’t last long, as Bitcoin is now trading above the $27k level once again. At press time, the price of Bitcoin stands at $27,502, down by more than 2% in the last hour.

Bitcoin is not the only cryptocurrency that recorded losses. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, also dropped below the $1,800 mark earlier today before retracing to now trade at $18,36 per coin.

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Crypto price prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum and KAVA after CPI data

  • Bitcoin price broke to $28,200 while Ethereum hovered above $1,800 as stocks climbed on US CPI data.
  • KAVA price also rose, jumping 11% amid the positive sentiment and increased network activity.
  • BTC, ETH and KAVA are trading near key technical levels.

The global cryptocurrency market rose 1.8% on Wednesday to $1.2 trillion as investors reacted to the latest US inflation data. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) was up 3% to $28,270 while Ethereum retested levels above $1,800 following recent dumps for the top two coins by market cap.

Elsewhere, US stocks turned green as Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed inflation continued to cool, with the annual rate now at its slowest pace in two years.

Gains across equities and in the crypto major caps were also replicated in the medium and small cap altcoins. A notable upside was with the price of Kava (KAVA), which was up more than 11% as of 12:20 ET.

BTC, ETH, KAVA price prediction: what next after CPI bump?

BTC/USD

Bitcoin price had fallen below $28k this week following the large transaction volumes that hit the network and saw fees skyrocket. The congestion, attributable to the rise in BTC-20 tokens, forced crypto exchange Binance to halt BTC withdrawals on two occasions. The ensuing FUD pushed Bitcoin price lower.

Although prices are above $28k again, market experts and analysts suggest bulls are not in control yet. This is because the price remains below the key technical level of $30,000. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital noted via a tweet:

ETH/USD

Ethereum is hovering above a key support level after this week’s weakness. The ETH/USD pair fell to lows of $1,800 on Monday and saw four consecutive red candles on the daily timeframe before today’s uptick.

The RSI and MACD suggest bears are still strong and bulls are likely to struggle for support at current prices. This means the $2,000 remains a key technical level and moving further off it could spell more bloodbath for ETH price. Here’s an analyst’s Ethereum price prediction?

KAVA/USD

KAVA is the native token of layer-1 blockchain Kava, which ranks as the 98th largest cryptocurrency by market. The price of KAVA hit the all-time high of $9.12 in August 2021. At current prices, its value is more than 90% down.

However, increased ecosystem activity around DeFi on the Kava blockchain has aided the double digit gains seen in the past 24 hours. It’s what pushed KAVA/USD towards the psychological $1. 

The main barrier for KAVA remains the $1.12 zone, while bears could enjoy some bloodbath to $0.52.

Kava price daily chart outlook. Source: TradingView

 

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HCW analyst raises price target on Coinbase stock after its strong Q1 report

  • Coinbase reported strong results for its first financial quarter last week.
  • HCW analyst Mike Colonnese now sees upside in “COIN” to $77.
  • Coinbase stock is already up about 85% versus the start of the year.

Coinbase Global Inc is trading up this morning after an H.C. Wainwright analyst raised his price objective on the largest U.S. based crypto exchange.

Coinbase stock has upside to $77

Mike Colonnese now sees upside in the Coinbase stock to $77 that suggests it could climb another 25% from here.

The bullish call arrives only days after the crypto company reported solid results for its first financial quarter. What thrilled this analyst in particular was improvement in terms of the retail take rate.

Coinbase increased spreads to drive over a 13-bps sequential increase in blended average retail take rate to 1.68%. So, we view its pricing power as very encouraging.

Colonnese is bullish on Coinbase Prime as well that saw record volumes in the first quarter. Shares of Coinbase Global Inc are already up 85% for the year at writing.

Coinbase shares have positive risk-reward

The H.C. Wainwright analyst now expects the Nasdaq-listed firm to generate $3.04 billion in revenue this year.

Earlier this year, Coinbase received a “Wells Notice” from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. But Colonnese remains constructive based on what executives said on the earnings call.

Management said the company is 100% committed to U.S. and is optimistic on U.S. getting crypto regulation right, citing strong bipartisan support to introduce new legislation.

All in all, he sees positive risk-reward in the Coinbase stock especially considering the ongoing recovery in crypto prices at large and the international exchange this company launched earlier this month in Bermuda.

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AltSignals (ASI) price prediction as token sale hits $723k

  • AltSignals’ token sale has already raised $723k or 67% of the initial target.

  • The success is mostly because of the artificial intelligence hype in the industry.

The artificial intelligence (AI) hype continued this week as more companies announced their plans about the industry. For example, Palantir stock price surged after the company announced strong earnings and demand for its AI products. 

At the same time, IBM decided to relaunch Watson as an AI development studio. WatsonX will be a platform that will help companies launch their AI projects. IBM will offer the service as well as consultations on the same. 

AltSignals token sale continues

Analysts believe that artificial intelligence is the most disruptive technology in modern era. Some analysts see it as the iPhone moment that disrupted the mobility industry forever. That’s because AI will disrupt specific industries like health, education, and even journalism. For example, doctors are now using AI models to diagnose diseases while journalists are using AI to write content.

The ongoing AI hype explains why the AltSignals token sale is going on so well. The developers have already raised $723k from investors from around the world. This means that the developers are approaching the 70% mark since the first phase seeks to raise $1 million.

An ASI token is going for just $0.015, making it highly affordable to most people. Like in other token sales, the developers are expected to hike the price in the next stage of the sale. 

What is AltSignals?

For starters, AltSignals is a company that has been in existence for a while. It is a profitable company that provides trading signals for traders in the forex and cryptocurrency industry. These signals, which are highly accurate, are sent to thousands of traders every day. They are developed using technical indicators like moving averages and the Relative Strength Index.

As part of its growth, the developers have announced plans to leverage artificial intelligence in its process. This AI will leverage other technologies like natural language processing, machine learning, regression, and predictive modeling among others.

In addition to trading signals, the AI layer of the network will have more features including an AI members club, trading tournaments, and community governance among others.

According to its white paper, the second quarter will have several events in the ecosystem. The most important one will be the token launch and listing it on Uniswap and other exchanges. The developers will also expand the team, secure OTC partnerships, and introduce the sentiment analysis engine. 

AltSignals (ASI) price prediction

It is hard to make a precise ASI price prediction since the token is yet to be launched in exchanges. However, judging by history, there are several reasons why the AltSignals price will rise after being listed. First, in most periods, tokens tend to rally after being listed in exchanges. This happens mostly because of the overall hype.

Second, AltSignals is in industry that is expected to grow rapidly in the coming years. We have seen this with the success of other AI tokens and companies that are betting on the industry. Further, AltSignal will likely rise ahead of the AI layer launch. 

However, like other cryptocurrencies, ASI will always have its ups and downs. As such, it makes sense to only allocate funds you can easily afford to lose. You can buy the AltSignals ASI token here.

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