Ether climbs above $3,600, but technical indicators show signs of weakness

Key takeaways

  • ETH is up nearly 2% in the last 24 hours and now trades above $3,600.
  • Technical indicators are showing signs of weakness, suggesting a bearish trend for the coin.

ETH stays above $3,600 as BTC dips

The cryptocurrency market has been volatile over the last couple of hours, with Bitcoin dropping below the $116k level. Bitcoin lost nearly 2% of its value and now risks dropping below $115k if the selloff continues.

However, Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is currently in the green after adding more than 1% to its value in the last 24 hours. This allowed it to top the $3,600 mark.

However, the technical indicators are suggesting signs of weakness, and ETH could experience a selloff. The higher timeframe chart remains bullish, indicating that the buyers are still in control. 

ETH could retest $3k if the bearish trend persists

The ETH/USD 4-hour chart remains bullish as Ether outperforms Bitcoin and some other leading cryptocurrencies. The price is also efficient, suggesting that ETH could be getting ready for another upward movement. 

However, the technical indicators on the lower timeframe are switching bearish, suggesting a selloff on the horizon. ETH failed to find support around the daily level of $3.730 and declined below $3,600.

ETH/USD 4H Chart

However, it has recovered its position above $3,600. If Ether closes below the $3,500 daily candle, it could experience a correction to retest the $3,000 psychological level. 

The Relative Strength Index of 49 shows that the bulls are losing control of the market, indicating a fading bullish momentum.

Furthermore, ETH’s MACD indicator is converging closer together, and the green histogram bars are also falling, both suggesting a growing bearish appetite.

On the flipside, if ETH’s daily candle closes above $3,500, the bulls could push the price higher in the near term. ETH could retest the $3,730 resistance level in the coming hours or days before aiming for the $4k psychological level.

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Michael Saylor’s Strategy upsizes ‘stretch’ preferred stock sale to $2.8 billion

  • Michael Saylor’s Strategy launched and upsized a new preferred stock offering from $500M to $2.8 billion.
  • The ‘Stretch’ security promises a hefty 9% annual payout with no end date and a flexible, adjustable dividend.
  • The deal is the latest in Saylor’s years-long effort to transform Strategy into a financial vehicle to acquire Bitcoin.

Michael Saylor’s relentless quest to transform his company, Strategy, into a Bitcoin-acquiring financial juggernaut has reached a new level of ambition.

The firm has launched and then promptly upsized a novel preferred stock offering, raising a staggering $2.8 billion in a deal that further showcases Saylor’s prowess in the capital markets and the insatiable investor appetite for exposure to the booming crypto market.

As crypto prices continue their upward march, Saylor’s Bitcoin holding company, Strategy, has once again demonstrated its unique ability to tap into market enthusiasm.

The company priced a new kind of security on Thursday, which it has dubbed “Stretch.” This offering promises buyers a hefty 9% annual payout with no specified end date, an unusual feature in the often-arcane world of preferred stock.

Initially planned as a $500 million deal, the offering was upsized to $2.8 billion due to overwhelming demand, according to a person familiar with the transaction who asked to remain anonymous.

This move is the latest, and perhaps most audacious, demonstration of Saylor’s Wall Street wizardry in his years-long effort to pivot a middling software firm, formerly known as MicroStrategy, into a corporate entity singularly obsessed with one goal: raising as much money as possible to acquire as many Bitcoin as possible.

At last count, the company’s hoard stood at some 600,000 coins, worth approximately $70 billion.

“This is not the first financial engineering initiative by Strategy,” noted Campbell Harvey, a professor at Duke University. “In any situation where your company is worth far more than fundamental value, you raise money.”

Since Strategy’s first groundbreaking Bitcoin purchase in 2020, Saylor has employed a diverse range of financial instruments, including selling equity, issuing various types of debt, and layering multiple stacks of preferred shares.

In doing so, he has not only amassed a colossal Bitcoin treasury but has also inspired a fleet of imitators, spurring a new industry of public companies dedicated to the so-called “treasury strategy” of buying and holding cryptocurrencies.

The ‘Stretch’ security: a new twist on an old theme

Many of the previous financial instruments that have fueled Strategy’s rise have proven to be more popular than expected, but even against that backdrop, the demand for “Stretch” was notable.

The company’s common shares rose 0.5% on Wednesday and are up an impressive 43% for the year.

The new “Stretch” shares occupy a specific place in Strategy’s complex and unusual capital structure.

They sit above the company’s common stock and its other preferred shares—which carry creative names like “Strike” and “Stride”—but remain subordinate to its convertible bonds and another preferred stock known as “Strife.”

A key feature that distinguishes “Stretch” from earlier offerings is its flexible dividend. Unlike a fixed payout, this security allows Strategy to tweak the dividend rate.

Each month, the firm will set a new payout rate with the aim of keeping the share price near the $100 mark, raising or lowering the dividend as needed to maintain this target. It’s a unique combination of a dynamic pricing model and a trust exercise, and a clear reminder that in the world of financial engineering, Strategy often creates its own rules.

Diminishing returns? A discount to win over investors

While this flexibility may appeal to Saylor’s large and dedicated fan base of retail investors, it also introduces a new layer of uncertainty into an already complex capital structure.

There are some signs that Saylor’s tactics may be facing somewhat diminishing returns, as the value of the company, relative to the Bitcoin it owns, has reportedly gone down.

In a move to win over investors for its latest offering, Strategy offered the “Stretch” shares at a discount. The shares, which are set to carry an initial dividend of 9%, were sold for $90 each.

This was at the bottom of the marketed range and represents a discount to their face value of $100, according to the person familiar with the deal.

Despite the discount, the outsized demand for the deal provides the latest and most powerful sign of both Saylor’s avid following and the continued speculative fervor that is running through the financial markets.

According to a previous Bloomberg report, major financial institutions including Morgan Stanley, Barclays Plc, Moelis & Co., and TD Securities worked on this landmark deal.

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DOGE slips to $0.234 after 6-month high

  • Short-term holders trigger correction by locking in gains.
  • DOGE trades at $0.234, below key resistance at $0.245.
  • Price could test $0.198 if $0.220 support fails.

Dogecoin has shed 15% of its value after reaching a six-month high earlier this month, as a wave of profit-taking among short-term holders triggered a reversal in the memecoin’s recent rally.

The downturn reflects a broader pattern of sell-offs across the cryptocurrency market, where traders are taking gains off the table amid uncertain macroeconomic signals and resistance at key price levels.

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.234, down from recent highs and sitting below the key resistance level of $0.245.

The pullback marks a significant change in sentiment after a period of renewed optimism.

Dogecoin price
Source: CoinMarketCap

Investor behaviour signals short-term weakness

The realised profit/loss ratio for Dogecoin surged this week, reaching its highest level in six months. This metric tracks the profit or loss recorded by investors at the time of selling.

A sharp rise in this indicator suggests a large number of holders are exiting positions in profit, indicating that confidence in further gains is weakening.

This wave of profit-taking has mostly come from short-term investors, who contributed heavily to DOGE’s recent price correction.

The decision to lock in gains at current levels has put downward pressure on the coin’s price action, suggesting a reluctance to hold through potential near-term volatility.

Market participants are closely watching the $0.220 support level.

If DOGE drops below this zone, it could fall further to around $0.198—a key area last seen in earlier trading cycles.

Long-term holders remain steady amid volatility

Despite the short-term selling, Dogecoin’s long-term outlook may not be entirely compromised.

One key indicator, Liveliness—which measures the activity of long-term holders (LTHs)—continues to decline.

This trend suggests that LTHs are not moving their DOGE, implying they are not joining the sell-off.

This reluctance to liquidate positions has previously served as a stabilising force for Dogecoin during periods of intense market activity.

The declining Liveliness could act as a cushion, slowing the pace of the current correction and potentially preventing a full breakdown in price.

Market analysts often view the behaviour of LTHs as a bellwether for a coin’s resilience.

Their current stance suggests that Dogecoin may still have underlying strength, provided the support levels hold and broader sentiment doesn’t worsen further.

Critical resistance could define next move

Dogecoin’s short-term trajectory will likely hinge on whether it can reclaim the $0.245 resistance level.

A breakout above this threshold could invalidate the current bearish setup and open the door to a recovery towards $0.268.

On the other hand, continued profit-taking without fresh buying momentum could see DOGE extend its losses.

If the $0.220 support gives way, the market could quickly test lower support at $0.198.

As it stands, Dogecoin’s future price action will depend on whether long-term holders can provide enough support to offset the current selling pressure from short-term investors.

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Bitcoin price prediction: BTC dips below $118k as $120k resistance level holds

Key takeaways

  • BTC dips below $118k as altcoins record huge losses.
  • The leading cryptocurrency could drop below the $116k support level if bearish sentiment grows stronger.

Bitcoin stagnates around $117k as altcoins bleed

The cryptocurrency market has been bearish over the last 24 hours after enjoying a bullish trend over the last couple of days. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, is down by less than 1% in the last 24 hours and now trades around $117k.

However, altcoins recorded heavy losses as they undergo a correction. XRP is down 11% and risks dropping below $3.0 while Ether could drop below $3,500 after losing 3% of its value.

Solana, BNB, TRX, ADA, and Dogecoin are all trading in the red. The bearish performance saw the total crypto market cap decline by 2.6% to now stand at $3.85 trillion. This comes a few days after the total crypto market cap hit a record high of $4 trillion.

BTC risks dropping below $116k if selling pressure increases

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient, suggesting that the bulls are still in control despite signs of weakness. The technical indicators remain bullish but have slowed down over the past few days.

The pair is currently consolidating and could either expand to the upside to a new all-time high or face a correction downward. BTC could likely retest the $116k support and TLQ level over the next few hours. The TLQ level could serve as a liquidity to push BTC’s price higher. However, failure to defend this level could see BTC drop lower.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

The MACD lines are in the neutral zone, suggesting that the market is consolidating. The RSI of 51 also shows that buyers are losing control of the market.

If the bulls fail to defend the $116k support level, BTC could experience a sharp decline towards the next support at $112k. However, if the TLQ at $116k serves as a springboard, it would push BTC above the $120k resistance and towards a new all-time high.

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PUMP holders sell at a loss as Pump.fun founder confirms airdrop won’t happen soon

  • Two wallets dumped 1.25B PUMP coins within 2 hours, incurring $1.19M loss.
  • The move came after Pump.fun founder confirmed delays in the much-awaited airdrop.
  • The alt exhibits bearishness amidst community restlessness, down 4% in the past day.

Pump.fun’s meme token has failed to keep pace due to massive dumps from key investors.

PUMP has plummeted from its private sale price of $0.004 to $0.002202 amid overwhelming selling pressure since the July 12 public sale event.

The meme token’s sell-off continued today.

Lookonchain data shows two whale wallets, linked to early investors, dumped 1.25 billion PUMP coins within two hours.

The combined sale was worth approximately $3.81 billion and led to losses of over $1.19 million.

The participants offloaded at $0.00305 per token.

The continued sell-offs have stirred concerns among PUMP holders.

While enormous token sales from early investors are usual in the digital assets space, the timing and scale of Pump.fun’s sale, combined with disappointing updates about the much-awaited airdrop, magnified the bearish momentum.

Pump.fun founder confirms no immediate airdrop

While analysts speculated that delayed airdrop prompted the considerable token dumps, Pump.fun’s founder has cemented this fact.

The meme generator’s founder, Alon Cohen, addressed the airdrop concerns during an interview with Michael ThreadGuy Jerome on Wednesday.

Alon confirmed that the project will hold an airdrop.

However, he emphasized that the giveaway event will have to wait, as the current priority remains ecosystem development and long-term growth.

Alon clarified that Pump.fun targets a well-executed and meaningful giveaway that rewards the community instead of rushing to meet hype-fueled deadlines.

He said:

We want to make sure that it is a meaningful airdrop and it is executed well. We’re actually focusing on bringing back a lot of that attention and hype to our ecosystem. That being said, the airdrop is not going to be taking place in the immediate future.

Alon added that they will communicate any details and timelines when it’s appropriate.

While the explanation may have made sense to some, others view it as a delay that signals internal uncertainty or fading momentum.

Private investors exit Pump.fun

Despite official confirmation, on-chain experts have identified addresses dumping PUMP as those that purchased during the early public sale period.

The most alarming thing is the participants are opting to exit at a loss.

That could only indicate two things: a lack of trust in PUMP’s short-term performance or strategic exits before a liquidity crunch.

PUMP price action

Pump.fun’s native token has lost nearly 4% in the past 24 hours to trade at $0.02202.

Technical indicators demonstrate downward pressure.

PUMP trades below the vital 50- and 100-Exponential Moving Averages on the 1D chart, confirming dominant sellers.

the 1D RSI at 55 suggests room for more PUMP dips before oversold situations emerge.

Also, 3HMACD displays a weakening momentum, failing to decisively surpass the signal line since the July 18 bearish crossover.

With technicals and fundamentals screaming bearish, Pump.fun’s native token remains poised for extended declines before securing a reliable footing.

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