SOL could dip below $120 as ETF inflows and sentiment weaken

Key takeaways

  • Solana is down 10% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $140.
  • The coin could dip further as the market sentiment weakens.

Market sentiment weakens as cryptos suffer huge losses.

SOL, the sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has lost 13% of its value this week, making it the third consecutive week of recording losses. The bearish performance comes despite the two-week-old Solana spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in the US recording the lowest net inflows ever, suggesting softer institutional demand. According to Sosovalue, the US Solana spot ETFs logged $1.49 million net inflow on Thursday, mainly driven by the Bitwise Solana staking ETF. This was the lowest inflow since the inception of Solana ETFs, suggesting a decline in demand from institutional investors. 

In addition to that, CoinGlass data reveals that the SOL futures Open Interest (OI) is down 3.34% in the last 24 hours to $7.35 billion. This suggests that futures traders are either closing long positions or reducing leverage. 

In line with the current market conditions, the OI-weighted funding rate has shifted to a negative level of -0.0076% from near-neutral levels earlier in the day, indicating that traders are holding more short positions. If the current market conditions persist, the recovery would be a tough battle for bulls. 

Will Solana extend the decline to $120?

The SOL/USD daily chart remains bearish and efficient as Solana has underperformed in recent days. The coin is edging lower for the fourth consecutive day this week after breaking below the $150 psychological level a few hours ago. 

At press time, SOL is trading at $138 and is aiming for the $126 low from June 22. If SOL breaks below this low, it could test the $100 psychological support over the coming days or weeks. 

SOL/USD Daily Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dips to 36 on the same chart, oscillating towards the oversold zone, indicating selling pressure. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also failed to cross above the signal line, extending the downward trend.

However, if the technical indicators improve and SOL maintains its value above $126, it could record a slight recovery towards the $155 demand-turned-supply zone. The next resistance level at $175 could prove challenging in the near term.

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Crypto romance scams now a national threat, not just consumer fraud

  • Organised crime groups run scam operations from Southeast Asia.
  • The US DOJ seized $112 million in crypto linked to these scams in 2023.
  • Chainalysis reported scam revenues reached $9.9 billion in 2024.

Pig-butchering scams, once seen as consumer-level fraud, have quietly evolved into a global web of organised crime.

With links to human trafficking, cryptocurrency abuse, and international money laundering, authorities are now viewing these scams as matters of national security.

In a recent Chainalysis podcast, Andrew Fierman, the firm’s head of national security intelligence, and Erin West, a former prosecutor and founder of Operation Shamrock, discussed the evolution of pig-butchering scams.

They painted a chilling picture of how the fraud has transformed from digital deceit to a full-blown transnational crime model.

The scam involves creating trust-based relationships with victims over time, sometimes romantic, sometimes platonic, before luring them into bogus cryptocurrency investments.

Funds are then siphoned through fake platforms and disappear into an opaque crypto network.

Southeast Asian compounds and forced scam labour

Pig-butchering operations are no longer run by isolated hackers. Fierman and West explained that many are now backed by sprawling fraud rings operating across Southeast Asia.

These rings run dormitory-style compounds where trafficked workers, often victims themselves, are forced to operate scam networks.

In 2023, the US Department of Justice (DOJ) seized around $112,000,000 in crypto tied to such schemes.

However, according to Chainalysis, the problem has grown rapidly.

Scam-related revenue in the crypto space exceeded $9.9 billion in 2024, with pig-butchering scams alone increasing by nearly 40% compared to the previous year.

Victims often suffer more than once. After being drained of their initial funds, many receive follow-up messages from fraudulent recovery companies offering to “help” retrieve their lost assets.

These secondary scams use the same tactics, often targeting victims again by using lists sold among fraud rings.

Using blockchain visibility to fight back

While pig-butchering relies on exploiting emotions and trust, the infrastructure often moves through traceable digital rails.

Fierman suggested that this is where blockchain transparency can be turned against the scammers.

By tracking wallet flows and transactions on-chain, regulators, exchanges, and virtual asset service providers (VASPs) can intervene.

This is particularly possible at the point of cashing out, which remains the critical vulnerability for these operations.

Efforts are being made to freeze and reclaim these funds.

In August, a joint action by APAC law enforcement agencies and firms like Chainalysis, OKX, Binance, and Tether resulted in freezing $47,000,000 tied to pig-butchering schemes.

DOJ leads with new task force

The US is treating the matter seriously.

On 12 November, the DOJ announced the launch of a new “Scam Center Strike Force”.

This unit will specifically target transnational crime syndicates linked to Southeast Asia that have engineered these elaborate crypto investment frauds.

The strategy goes beyond arrests.

It involves targeting facilitators of the scam economy, including those offering payment solutions, managing the digital platforms, and providing banking rails.

This approach includes sanctions, indictments, and diplomatic efforts designed to pressure bad actors across borders.

Erin West stated the need to use all available legal and technical tools in this battle.

Disruption at scale, especially across the entry and exit points of crypto fraud, remains the immediate priority for law enforcement.

Common tactics and growing digital risks

The core mechanics of pig-butchering have not changed, even as the scale and coordination have grown.

Scammers still initiate contact over messaging platforms, using charm and emotional manipulation to build trust.

Fast declarations of love, secrecy about personal details, and the push toward investing in a “guaranteed” crypto platform are major warning signs.

These scams often include screenshots showing fake profits to pressure victims into depositing funds.

Once in, victims are encouraged to invest more before being ultimately locked out of the system.

Now, however, these scams sit within a broader framework of crime that merges human exploitation and financial laundering.

Victims are no longer just people who lose their savings.

They are also unknowingly interacting with a global machinery that fuels trafficking and cross-border criminal finance.

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Ethereum price forecast: ETH could dip below $3k amid bearish PA

Key takeaways

  • ETH is down 10% and now trades around $3,100 per coin.
  • The bearish performance comes as the broader crypto market records a massive selloff.

ETH dips 10% amid wider market selloff

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has lost 10% of its value in the last 24 hours, sparking increased profit-taking and loss realization, as prices approached the cost basis of whales.

This latest development comes as Ethereum investors have intensified their selling activities over the past few days. Data obtained from Santiment revealed that investors have booked over $500 million in profits and $100 million in losses since Sunday. 

In addition to that, Ether’s price is approaching the average cost basis or realized price of whales with a balance of 10K-100K ETH, which is around $2,900. A dip below this cost basis will spark intense selling pressure as the whales look to cut losses.

Whales have been key in absorbing selling pressure since ETH’s price decline accelerated over the past month, as they have increased their collective balance by 890K ETH during the period. 

ETH could dip below $3k as selling pressure intensifies

The ETH/USD daily chart remains bearish and efficient as Ether has lost 10% of its value in the last 24 hours. The coin faced rejection at the previous broken trendline around $3,592 earlier this week and has dipped by 10% since then. At press time, ETH is trading at $3,140 per coin. 

If the selloff continues, ETH could lose the $3k support level and dip towards the $2,900 psychological level. Failure to close the daily candle above the $3,170 region could spark further selloff for Ether.

ETH/USD Daily chart

Similar to Bitcoin, Ethereum’s RSI and MACD indicate bearish momentum gaining traction, signaling a deeper correction ahead.

However, if Ether recovers and closes the daily candle above $3,170, it could rally towards the next resistance level at $3,592.

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Cardano price dips 9% as bulls face market turmoil

  • Cardano price dips 9% as bulls face mounting pressure amid market turmoil.
  • ADA’s plunge saw bulls risk crashing below the $0.50 mark.
  • Despite the bearish outlook, analysts are upbeat on the longer-term performance for Bitcoin and top altcoins.

Cardano (ADA) has plummeted nearly 9% in the past 24 hours, trading as low as $0.51 on November 14, 2025.

The sharp decline has added significant pressure on bulls, with ADA dropping to near the psychologically vital $0.50 support level.

Losses in close to double-digit figures now see this mark in jeopardy, threatening a dump to lows witnessed in October.

Cardano price falls 9% to near $0.50

As one of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalisation, Cardano’s native token has mirrored the sector-wide downturn.

In the past 24 hours, this dip has gathered pace amid Bitcoin’s breach below $100,000, with BTC touching $97,000.

For Cardano, the drop from intraday highs of $0.57 to current levels around $0.51 highlights the fragility of recent demand zones at $0.56 and $0.54.

Notably, bears have capitalised on the momentum, extending losses from earlier peaks near $0.60.

Cardano Chart
Cardano chart by CoinMarketCap

Another leg down if bulls fail to hold $0.50 could accelerate selling, potentially seeing ADA revisit year-to-date lows of $0.27.

The altcoin touched the mark on October 10, 2025.

However, the level did serve as a rebound buffer in recent months.

Why did Cardano price fall sharply?

As noted, Cardano’s plunge in the past 24 hours is emblematic of a cascading altcoin rout.

Bitcoin’s dramatic fall below $100,000 for the first time since May had top altcoins shedding gains.

Ethereum dropped 8% to near $3,160, Solana declined nearly 10% to below $143, and XRP shed 8% to under $2.30.

Overall, the market convulsion appears pegged on macroeconomic headwinds, this week getting downside momentum despite the US government shutdown, the longest in history at over 40 days, ending on November 13.

President Donald Trump signed a short-term funding bill to end the impasse, a move that sparked brief optimism.

However, investor jitters quickly resurfaced, with US stocks cratering amid fears over the shutdown’s economic scars.

Mostly, the market is pricing in a collapse in the odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December.

Analyst on market outlook

Also, risk-off sentiment saw Bitcoin ETF flows flip negative with $870 million in outflows on Nov. 13, the second-largest so far.

Spot Ethereum ETFs also saw exits, with a total of $260 million net outflows that marked the third consecutive day of outflows for the top altcoin.

While the overall sell-off pressure could see ADA price fall and extend the rot below $0.50, analysts are suggesting a short-term dump followed by sustained gains.

Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi contextualised the market outlook. In a post on X, he noted:

“Today’s market is much easier,” citing solid fundamentals and a resilient crypto infrastructure.

Still, short-term consolidation or weakness looms for BTC and altcoins.

If Cardano gets into the mix as has happened so far, a dip below the $0.50 threshold might allow bears to chase $0.27.

Longer-term, though, Cardano’s fundamentals suggest bulls have a shot at regaining the upper hand.

This scenario puts a rebound toward $1 as a base case, with the all-time peak of $3.10 a key target.

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UAE makes Bitcoin wallets a crime risk in global tech crackdown

  • The UAE’s Federal-Decree Law No. 6 of 2025 came into effect on 16 September.
  • Article 62 places APIs, explorers, and decentralised platforms under Central Bank control.
  • Article 61 regulates all marketing, emails, and online posts about crypto services.

In a sharp pivot from its crypto-friendly image, the United Arab Emirates has enacted sweeping new legislation that classifies basic cryptocurrency infrastructure, including Bitcoin wallets, as potentially criminal unless licensed by the Central Bank.

Legal experts from Gibson Dunn have flagged the law’s scope as unusually broad, warning that its language introduces significant risk for global technology providers.

This shift, embedded in Federal-Decree Law No. 6 of 2025, comes into force from 16 September and carries global consequences for developers and platforms offering crypto access.

The law replaces the 2018 banking statute and significantly widens the definition of financial activity. What sets this legislation apart is not only its scope but also its enforcement teeth.

Penalties for non-compliance range from fines of AED 50,000 to AED 500,000,000 (up to $136,000,000) and may include imprisonment.

Importantly, this applies not just to entities operating within the UAE but also to those whose products are accessible from within the country.

Licensing now applies to wallets, APIs and even analytics

The most consequential element of the new law is found in Article 62. It grants the Central Bank control over any technology that “engages in, offers, issues, or facilitates” financial activity.

The wording is broad enough to encompass self-custodial wallets, API services, blockchain explorers, analytics platforms, and even decentralised protocols.

This marks a fundamental change in how crypto infrastructure is regulated in the UAE.

Previously, licensing obligations focused on traditional financial entities, but the updated framework shifts this focus to include software and data tools.

According to developer analysis, even public-facing tools such as CoinMarketCap and open-source Bitcoin wallets may now require licensing to remain accessible within the UAE.

For the first time, developers may face criminal penalties for offering unlicensed crypto tools, even if they are based abroad.

This extension of jurisdiction signals a new regulatory posture that treats access to crypto as tightly as its ownership or exchange.

Communications and marketing now fall under regulation

The crackdown does not stop at financial infrastructure. Article 61 of the same law defines the marketing, promotion, or advertising of financial services as a licensable activity.

In practice, this means that simply hosting a website, publishing an article, or sharing a tweet about an unlicensed crypto service could be considered a legal violation if that content reaches UAE residents.

This change dramatically expands the compliance footprint for companies and developers.

Gibson Dunn highlights that these provisions materially broaden the enforcement perimeter, especially for firms with no formal presence in the UAE.

The law applies to communications that originate outside the country but are accessible inside it.

The result is a regulatory landscape where developers, content creators, and infrastructure providers must weigh whether their platforms are indirectly accessible by users in the UAE.

In many cases, avoiding legal exposure may require disabling access or halting service altogether.

Dubai’s free zones no longer shield crypto services

Over recent years, the UAE has positioned itself as a hub for blockchain innovation.

Jurisdictions such as Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) and Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) attracted global attention with purpose-built crypto licensing frameworks.

However, the new federal law overrides these free-zone arrangements, asserting Central Bank control nationwide.

Federal law supersedes any rules introduced by the UAE’s free zones, effectively dissolving the regulatory arbitrage that once drew companies to Dubai.

The broader context includes the country’s history of digital restrictions.

For instance, WhatsApp voice calls remain blocked across the UAE, reinforcing a consistent policy approach to centralised control over communications and digital tools.

While this may bring the UAE in closer alignment with international pressure from groups like the Financial Action Task Force, it also puts crypto service providers in a difficult position.

In other jurisdictions facing similar pressure, firms have withdrawn entirely to avoid enforcement risk.

Enforcement begins in 2026, with further rules expected

Entities have a one-year window from 16 September 2025 to come into compliance. This grace period may be extended at the discretion of the Central Bank.

During this time, further regulations are expected to clarify how these broad rules will be applied in practice.

Despite this, the scope of the law is already causing concern.

The language around facilitation and communication, combined with the severe penalties under Article 170, suggests that firms offering crypto tools globally must now consider the risk of incidental exposure to UAE users.

For software developers and platform operators, this marks a significant departure from the norms of decentralised access and open-source innovation.

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