Stellar price forecast: XLM risks breakdown below $0.22 as bears target $0.20 support

  • Stellar price dropped sharply as altcoins shed recent gains.
  • Broader market conditions, with Bitcoin dipping towards support, are a critical indicator.
  • XLM bulls could see stagnation if the price drops to $0.20 or lower.

Stellar price traded lower as top altcoins mirrored the movement of Bitcoin on Monday, and a slice through $0.22 threatened further declines toward the critical $0.20 support area.

As selling pressure mounts, drawing fresh bearish bets across crypto exchanges, the broader market caution could allow for a deeper correction.

Currently, bears dominate sentiment, fueled by technical breakdowns and fading on-chain conviction.

XLM price nears multi-month support

Stellar’s price has seen $0.20 emerge as a multi-month demand zone in recent months.

Recently, the altcoin trended to above $0.24 before falling to support at $0.22.

An attempt to recoup losses ended around $0.23, leaving the altcoin sliding to under $0.21 on Jan. 19 as Bitcoin plunged to under $93,000.

The repeated rejections, with a marked downtrend, might erode buyer resolve and allow for a plunge to $0.20 or below.

In favour of bears are derivatives that currently scream caution. Open interest has dropped to $131 million, with long-to-short ratios signaling more shorts piling in. This setup emboldens bears eyeing sub-$0.20 targets. BTC correlation will also matter.

“Gold just hit a new all-time high of $4,600. It’s now headed towards $5,000, a major 4.618 Fibonacci extension resistance level,” crypto analyst Lark Davis noted on X.

But the analyst added:

“But the faster gold blasts through to $5,000, the quicker we could see meaningful capital rotation out of precious metals and into Bitcoin.”

Stellar price technical outlook

Bears thrive on clear chart failures and XLM trades below both its 50-day ($0.227) and 200-day ($0.324) moving averages.

Prices have accelerated lower since October 10, 2025, forming a bearish structure with RSI retreating to under 50 following a brief spike to the overbought line.

Stellar Price Chart
Stellar price chart by TradingView

The price rejections at previous support zones mean $0.25 and $0.22 now act as overhead resistance.

Meanwhile, a daily close below $0.20 could accelerate the dump toward multi-year lows of $0.18 and $0.14.

On the upside, Stellar will target $0.32 and $0.41 supply zones. A daily close above $0.23 will validate this thesis, opening up conviction trades.

The last time XLM price went parabolic, bulls exploded from lows of $0.10 to above $0.63 in November 2024, and again from lows of $0.24 to peak at $0.52 in July 2025.

Gains came amid spikes for XRP, an altcoin related to XLM in terms of its product goals.

The Ripple token reached highs of $3.42 in July, outpacing the broader market amid major catalysts such as regulatory milestones and the launch of the RLUSD stablecoin.

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SUI price crashes 13% as tariff jitters trigger risk-off selloff; Bitcoin slips below $93K

  • Sui price fell as tariff jitters spooked global markets.
  • The token tumbled 12% in the past 24 hours as Bitcoin retreated under $93,000.
  • Tariff jitters and overall risk-off sentiment threaten further SUI downturn.

Sui price plunged nearly 13% to lows of $1.55 amid a broader market downturn marked by significant capital exodus from risk assets.

This sharp correction, amplified by Bitcoin’s retreat from $96,000 highs to under $93,000 and Ethereum’s retest of $3,200, came as crypto saw over $680 million in longs liquidated.

Many analysts are pointing to escalating geopolitical tensions tied to U.S. tariff threats on Europe over Greenland.

Sui price plunges amid Bitcoin weakness

Sui tumbled from $1.70 to a daily low of $1.54, breaching its 50-day exponential moving average at $1.70. The altcoin’s price has entered oversold territory with RSI below 40.

Sui Price Chart
Sui price chart by TradingView

Bears showed their teeth as Bitcoin’s price revisited the $92,500 support mark. As seen recently, this exacerbated the drop in altcoins.

Sui, with a higher beta, suffered notable losses and saw over 10 million SUI tokens flow to exchanges.

Technically, failure to reclaim $1.65 risks a slide to $1.40, with Sui’s support breach amid BTC deleveraging screaming further caution for bulls.

Recently, a six-hour network outage dented community sentiment, and despite key upgrades, the lingering concern suggests a potentially slow recovery.

However, if Bitcoin stabilises above $92,000 and reclaims key levels below $100,000, a follow-up altcoin rebound could see SUI eye the $2 mark and higher in the coming days.

Sui price fell as tariff jitters spooked global markets

The rout in top altcoins comes as BTC and ETH pull back after President Trump’s threat of 10% tariffs on several European countries.

Escalating to 25% by June, the tariffs will target imports from Denmark, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, the UK, and Finland.

These measures retaliate against opposition to the US acquisition of Greenland, prized for Arctic security and rare earth minerals.

European indices like DAX and CAC 40 fell over 2% on Monday, but gold surged, and the dollar index topped 108, pressuring crypto.

In retaliation, the EU has readied €93 billion in countermeasures, but with a potential trade war in the making, many alts could face further pain.

While Bitcoin ETF inflows offer a floor, miner capitulation as profitability weakens may spell doom.” It means the $90k zone is a key threshold, with retail doomed if prices fall further.

Crypto trader BitGuru thinks the decline has allowed Sui to sweep liquidity “into a key demand zone.” The next move is key as the current price level has often acted as a base for the next leg up.

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Will DOGE slip below $0.11 if selloff continues? Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • Dogecoin is down 7% in the last 24 hours, making it the worst performer among the top 10.
  • The leading memecoin could record further losses as technical indicators switch bearish.

Memecoins underperform as the broader market dips

The cryptocurrency market is having a poor start to the week as Bitcoin, Ether, and XRP are all in the red. The biggest losers remain the memecoins, with Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe (PEPE), extending the decline from last week.

Dogecoin has lost 7% of its value in the last 24 hours, making it the worst performer among the top 10 leading cryptocurrencies by market cap. It is currently trading below the crucial moving averages, aiming for the immediate support to enable it rally higher. 

The decline in Dogecoin aligns with the broader market pullback, as Bitcoin (BTC) drops below $93,000 on Monday after a leverage-driven rally failed to hold momentum.

DOGE could dip lower if the selling pressure persists

The DOGE/USD 4-Hour chart is bearish and efficient, thanks to Dogecoin losing 7% of its value in the last 24 hours. 

At press time, DOGE is trading at $0.1275, below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average at $0.1375 and the 50-day EMA at $0.1417, maintaining a bearish setup as both averages slope lower.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram on the 4-hour chart has slipped into negative territory and is expanding, suggesting strengthening bearish momentum. 

DOGE/USD 4H Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 37 reflects an increase in selling pressure and is getting closer to the oversold region. 

If the bulls regain control, DOGE could rally towards the $0.14 level in the near term. However, failure to improve the market sentiment could see DOGE slip below the December 31 low at $0.1161. An extended bearish run could allow the bears to target the October 10 low at $0.09500.

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Ethereum price forecast: Ether reclaims $3,200 after slipping to $3,170

Key takeaways

  • ETH is down 3% in the last 24 hours and is now trading above $3,200.
  • The bearish performance comes amid renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU.

ETH dips below $3,200 on the U.S.-EU trade tensions

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is down 3.4% in the last 24 hours and briefly dropped below the $3,200 level. The coin is now trading at $3,205 after slightly recovering from the dip.

The bearish performance comes amid the ongoing trade tensions between the United States and the European Union. President Donald Trump threatened to escalate tariffs, starting at 10% on February 1 and rising to 25% by June, on imports from eight NATO allies (Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland).

The president added that the tariffs will stay in place until Denmark agrees to sell Greenland to the United States. 

Rachael Lucas, crypto analyst at BTC Markets, stated that,

“The latest U.S.-EU trade war headlines have certainly injected fresh volatility into an already uneasy market … adding a layer of geopolitical uncertainty that markets were in no shape to absorb. But while the headlines are loud, they’re not the fundamental driver of the current pullback in crypto.”

ETH eyes the $3,360 resistance level as the market begins recovery

The ETH/USD 4H chart is bearish and efficient after Ether lost more than 3% of its value in the last 24 hours. The technical indicators remain positive, suggesting that ETH could rally higher in the near term.

The RSI of 52 is above the neutral 50, indicating a fading bullish momentum. The MACD lines remain above the neutral zone, signalling that the buyers remain in control.

ETH/USD 4H Chart

If the market recovery continues, ETH could rally towards the first major resistance level at $3,360 over the next few hours or days.

However, if the market correction continues, ETH could retest the January 12 swing low of $3,068.

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Cardano price hits a supply wall near $0.40: can ADA hold support?

  • Cardano price dropped to $0.37 after another rejection around $0.40.
  • The technical picture points to a potential downside continuation to $0.32.
  • The ADA price was down 4% in the past 24 hours.

Cardano’s ADA token is down and faces a brutal supply wall near $0.40, where relentless selling pressure threatens to derail bulls’ hopes of an extended upside.

The token changed hands nearly 4% in the red on Friday, hovering around $0.38 as short-term downside risks persist for top coins. As the chart below shows, ADA traded to a daily low of $0.379.

Cardano price hits supply wall near $0.40

Cardano’s price action has recently encountered a formidable supply wall around the $0.40 threshold, a level that has repeatedly acted as a barrier to upward momentum.

Cardano Price Chart
Cardano price chart by TradingView

The 50-day exponential moving average sits at $0.41, and acts as a stubborn ceiling that has informed multiple price rejections.

Meanwhile, ​the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart currently lingers below the neutral mark. In technical analysis, this highlights a potential extension towards the oversold territory with a sloping outlook.

Another indicator, the ADX, shows a reading of 19.5 and points to bearish strength.

The negative directional dominance favours sellers.

The MACD similarly shows bearish divergence under the zero line, while Bollinger Bands contract toward the lower rail. It all adds up to a token facing huge downside volatility.

The $0.40 zone is therefore just another key resistance level, but a zone of notable supply overhang.

Cardano shows weakness amid broader headwinds

Cryptocurrencies ended the past year largely bearish amid broader market headwinds.

This saw Bitcoin struggle to defend key levels and fall to lows of $80,000 before bouncing. BTC, however, has retreated from above $97,500, and this looks to have capped momentum for top altcoins.

QCP analysts recently noted that while the macro environment could boost bulls, volatility might remain elevated. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum thus show a risk-off outlook unless the market sees cleaner spot bids.

Vaulta is among the altcoins to falter amid this downturn, and Cardano’s on-chain metrics, like dormant supply activation, point to similar sell-off pressure.

Recent rejections from the 50-day EMA also come after prices fell sharply from above $0.82 on October 10, 2025. The moving average now sits at $0.41 and recently triggered a decline to lows of $0.37.

Currently, ADA is back at the fragile $0.38 support, and with funding rates flipping negative, shorts may have an upper hand.

This classic bearish signal signals that retail optimism is evaporating. However, the 26% decrease in daily volume betrays weak conviction, and price may probe the key supply zone again.

If ADA price doesn’t reclaim $0.40 with a volume surge, it risks a 10% breakdown that could bring multi-month support lows of $0.32.

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