Schlagwort: crypto analysis

Key takeaways

• Ethereum trades near $1,918 with a mildly bullish short-term outlook.
• ETH holds above the 50-day EMA at $1,864 but remains capped by the 100-day EMA near $1,924.
• The RSI at 56 signals steady buying momentum without overbought conditions.

Ethereum consolidates near $1,918

Ethereum (ETH) trades around $1,918, maintaining a mildly constructive outlook as buyers defend the area above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

The second-largest cryptocurrency is currently caught between the 50-day EMA at approximately $1,864 and the 100-day EMA near $1,924. This narrow range reflects an ongoing battle between buyers seeking to extend the recovery and sellers defending the longer-term resistance level.

Ethereum’s ability to hold above the 50-day EMA suggests that traders continue to buy price declines. However, ETH must decisively overcome the 100-day EMA to establish stronger bullish momentum.

ETH buyers defend the 50-Day EMA

The 50-day EMA at $1,864 provides Ethereum’s most important near-term support. ETH’s position above this indicator signals that the short-term trend is improving and that buyers remain active during pullbacks. 

Continued support above the moving average would preserve the possibility of a breakout toward $2,000.

However, Ethereum remains below the 100-day EMA at $1,924. This moving average has emerged as an immediate barrier and could continue to limit the recovery unless trading volume and buying pressure strengthen.

A sustained daily close above $1,924 would provide an early indication that bulls are gaining control.

Ethereum’s momentum indicators support a cautiously optimistic outlook. The Relative Strength Index stands near 56, above its neutral midpoint of 50. 

This reading points to steady bullish momentum while remaining comfortably below the overbought threshold of 70.

The RSI therefore leaves Ethereum with room to advance before the rally becomes technically overstretched.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence line remains slightly negative but continues to improve. This setup indicates that bearish momentum is weakening, although it does not yet confirm a fully established bullish trend.

Together, the RSI and MACD suggest that buyers are gradually strengthening their position.

Ethereum faces its first immediate resistance at the 100-day EMA near $1,924. A decisive move above this level could clear the way toward the psychological and horizontal resistance at $2,000. 

This area will likely represent a significant test because round-number levels often attract increased selling and profit-taking.

A sustained breakout above $2,000 would improve Ethereum’s technical structure and bring the 200-day EMA at approximately $2,124 into focus.

The 200-day EMA is particularly important because it serves as a broader measure of the long-term trend. ETH would need to reclaim this level to signal a more significant bullish reversal.

Ethereum’s recovery faces three major overhead barriers:

• The 100-day EMA at $1,924
• The psychological resistance at $2,000
• The 200-day EMA at $2,124

Breaking through $1,924 would strengthen the short-term outlook, while a move above $2,000 could attract additional buying interest.

However, the 200-day EMA at $2,124 remains the broader trend cap. Failure to clear this moving average could leave Ethereum vulnerable to renewed selling pressure after any short-term rally.

The current pivot area around $1,918 provides Ethereum’s initial support. If ETH loses this level, the 50-day EMA at $1,864 would become the next important defensive zone. Buyers must protect this moving average to preserve the constructive short-term structure.

A decisive break below $1,864 could weaken momentum and increase the risk of a deeper correction. In that scenario, the distant horizontal support at $1,385 could eventually come into focus, although intermediate support levels may slow the decline.

For now, Ethereum maintains a mildly bullish bias above the 50-day EMA. A confirmed close above $1,924 is needed to open the path toward $2,000 and potentially the 200-day EMA at $2,124.

The post Ethereum holds above $1,900 as bulls target the $2,000 resistance appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Pi Network is testing a breakout from a short-term triangle near $0.085.
• RoboPay has added Pi Network as a payment partner for robot-based services.
• PI futures Open Interest increased to $8.82 million, indicating steady speculative demand.

Pi Network (PI) edges higher on Wednesday as the token attempts to break out of a short-term triangle pattern near $0.085.

The recovery comes amid improving momentum indicators, steady derivatives demand, and a new payment partnership with RoboPay. However, PI remains confined within a broader falling channel and must overcome resistance near $0.09 to establish a stronger bullish trend.

RoboPay adds Pi Network as payment partner

Fabric Foundation announced on Wednesday that Pi Network had joined RoboPay as a payment partner.

The integration will allow Pi users to pay for robot-powered services using PI tokens. Potential applications include deliveries, security patrols, inspections, and services performed by humanoid robots.

The partnership represents another potential real-world use case for PI and could support adoption if the services gain traction among Pi Network users.

However, the longer-term effect will depend on the scale of RoboPay’s operations, user demand and the availability of supported services.

Speculative demand for Pi Network remains relatively stable this week. CoinAnk data shows that PI futures Open Interest increased to $8.82 million on Wednesday from $8.51 million the previous day.

The increase indicates that the value of active perpetual futures contracts is rising as traders build new positions. While this signals growing market participation, Open Interest alone does not reveal whether those positions are predominantly bullish or bearish.

Pi Network tests triangle resistance

PI is extending its modest recovery and testing the upper resistance trend line of a short-term triangle pattern near $0.085.

The triangle has developed within a larger descending channel, meaning the token remains under pressure from the broader bearish structure. An additional downtrend line near $0.09 strengthens the resistance zone immediately above the current price.

A confirmed breakout from the smaller triangle would improve the near-term outlook, but PI must surpass the wider resistance cluster near $0.09 to restore a more convincing bullish trend.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence and its signal line are trending modestly higher, pointing to early signs of improving upside momentum.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index has recovered to 44. Although it remains below the neutral 50 level, its upward movement indicates that bearish momentum is beginning to fade.

The indicators support a mildly bullish short-term bias but do not yet confirm that buyers have regained full control.

A decisive close above the overhead trend lines around $0.09 could strengthen PI’s recovery and bring the 127.2% Fibonacci extension at $0.0961 into focus.

Clearing that level would provide further evidence that the short-term trend is shifting in favor of buyers.

If PI fails to break above the triangle and descending-channel resistance, the token could retreat toward the record low of $0.07. This support area is reinforced by the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $0.0679.

A sustained break below that zone would invalidate the developing recovery and signal a continuation of the broader downtrend.

The post Pi Network tests triangle breakout as RoboPay partnership boosts adoption appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Ethereum traded sideways as mixed on-chain activity reflected uncertainty among investors.
• Whale wallets holding 10,000–100,000 ETH accumulated a net 130,000 ETH over the past week.
• Smaller wallet cohorts collectively reduced their holdings by approximately 360,000 ETH.

Ethereum (ETH) continued trading sideways on Tuesday as whale accumulation was offset by selling among smaller wallet cohorts and subdued institutional demand.

On-chain indicators reflect mixed sentiment, with larger investors returning to accumulation while other holders reduce their exposure near break-even prices.

Ethereum whales accumulate 130,000 ETH

Wallets holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH added a net 130,000 ETH over the past week. The increase marked the cohort’s first significant inflow in almost three weeks.

The renewed whale accumulation suggests that some large investors view Ethereum’s current price range as an opportunity to increase their holdings.

However, selling among smaller investors outweighed those purchases, limiting ETH’s ability to establish a clear upward trend.

Wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH reduced their combined balance by approximately 230,000 ETH after remaining relatively stable during the previous two weeks.

Investors holding between 100 and 1,000 ETH also sold roughly 130,000 ETH. This cohort has steadily reduced its Ethereum holdings throughout the year.

Together, the two groups recorded net outflows of approximately 360,000 ETH over the past week—nearly three times the amount accumulated by whale wallets.

Ethereum’s Spent Output Profit Ratio hovered between 0.98 and 1.01 during the past week.

SOPR measures whether recently transferred assets were moved at a profit or loss. A reading near one indicates that most investors sold close to their acquisition price.

The data suggests that many holders may be exiting Ethereum positions once prices return to break-even levels rather than waiting for a sustained recovery.

Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and the Federal Reserve’s moderately hawkish position may be contributing to the cautious sentiment across financial markets.

Ethereum’s Exchange Netflow remains negative, meaning more ETH is still leaving exchanges than entering them. However, the indicator has risen from approximately -34,000 ETH to -4,000 ETH since mid-July.

Negative exchange flows are typically viewed as constructive because withdrawals reduce the amount of ETH immediately available for sale. The movement toward zero suggests that this bullish spot-market pressure is weakening, although only gradually.

The slowdown comes amid reports that the wider cryptocurrency market is experiencing some of its lowest trading volumes since November 2023. Weak activity indicates that investors remain reluctant to take a strong directional position.

Net Realized Losses also increased on Monday, suggesting that most ETH moved at the start of the week was transferred at a loss.ins Weak

Institutional demand for Ethereum remains subdued. US spot ETH exchange-traded funds attracted $27.42 million in net inflows last week.

However, the products returned to negative territory on Monday, recording combined net outflows of $11.42 million.

The reversal highlights inconsistent institutional demand and provides limited support for a sustained ETH price recovery.

Ethereum trapped between key moving averages

Ethereum recorded $17.77 million in liquidations over the past 24 hours, including $11.77 million in short positions.

On the daily chart, ETH remains trapped between the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1,851 and the 20-day EMA at $1,869. This narrow range reinforces the neutral short-term outlook.

The 100-day EMA at $1,931 and a previously broken ascending trend line near $1,948 present additional resistance.

The Relative Strength Index stands near 51, reflecting balanced momentum between buyers and sellers. Meanwhile, the Stochastic oscillator near 29 suggests momentum is stabilizing following the recent pullback rather than developing a decisive trend.

A daily close above the 20-day EMA at $1,869 could allow ETH to challenge the 100-day EMA at $1,931 and the former trend-line support near $1,948.

Further buying pressure could bring resistance at $1,961 into focus. A sustained breakout above this area would expose higher targets at $2,172 and $2,431.

On the downside, immediate support lies at the 50-day EMA of $1,851, followed by the horizontal level at $1,809.

A decisive break below $1,809 would weaken the neutral structure and could send ETH toward $1,701. More substantial selling pressure could expose the deeper support level at $1,507.

The post Ethereum price stalls as retail selling offsets whale accumulation appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Dogecoin is trading near $0.070 after declining 3.5% last week.
• DOGE’s long-to-short ratio rose to a one-month high of 1.25, signaling bullish positioning.
• Funding rates remain positive at 0.0074%, indicating stronger demand for long positions.

Dogecoin (DOGE) is holding steady near $0.070 at the time of writing on Tuesday after falling 3.5% last week.

Although the broader technical trend remains bearish, improving derivatives data and bullish divergences across key momentum indicators suggest that selling pressure may be easing. This setup could support a short-term recovery if buyers defend the current support zone.

Derivatives data supports a bullish DOGE outlook

Dogecoin derivatives traders are showing signs of growing optimism. The DOGE long-to-short ratio climbed to 1.25 on Tuesday, its highest level in more than a month, according to CoinGlass. 

A reading above 1 indicates that long positions outnumber shorts, suggesting more traders expect the price to rise.

Dogecoin’s funding rate also supports this bullish outlook. The rate turned positive on July 24 and stood at 0.0074% on Tuesday.

Positive funding rates mean traders holding long positions are paying those with short positions, typically reflecting stronger demand for bullish exposure.

Dogecoin technical outlook: Bullish divergence emerges

Dogecoin is trading near $0.070 on Tuesday but remains below its major moving averages, maintaining a bearish near-term structure.

The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages are located at $0.075, $0.083, and $0.100, respectively. These levels are expected to act as resistance during any recovery attempt.

However, momentum indicators suggest bearish pressure is beginning to fade. DOGE formed a lower price low on August 1 while the daily Relative Strength Index registered a higher low. This bullish divergence indicates that selling momentum is weakening despite the decline in price.

The Awesome Oscillator reinforces this signal. Its recent lows have been rising while DOGE continues to trade near its price lows, suggesting that downside momentum is losing strength.

Immediate support is located at the horizontal level of $0.070. If DOGE loses this level, the yearly low at $0.067 would become the next key support. A decisive daily close below $0.067 could trigger further losses toward the psychological level of $0.065.

The 50-day EMA at $0.075 represents the first major resistance level. Above it, DOGE could encounter selling pressure around the descending trendline breakout area near $0.080, followed by the 100-day EMA at $0.083 and horizontal resistance at $0.088.

A stronger recovery would require Dogecoin to reclaim the 200-day EMA at $0.100 and the major horizontal barrier at $0.102. Moving above these levels would help ease the prevailing bearish outlook.

The post Dogecoin holds $0.070 as bullish divergence signals easing selling pressure appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• AAVE is holding above its 50-day EMA at $90.80 as its near-term recovery continues.
• Deposits in Aave V3 on Monad increased by more than $500 million over the past month.
• Aave V4 deposits reached a record high above $350 million.

Aave (AAVE) is extending its mild recovery on Tuesday, trading above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80.

The recovery comes amid increased adoption of Aave’s lending protocols. Aave V3’s deployment on the Monad Layer 1 blockchain attracted more than $500 million in deposits over the past month, alongside more than $215 million in active loans.

Despite the rise in protocol activity, weak derivatives data and bearish momentum indicators continue to cloud AAVE’s price outlook.

Aave V4 deposits reach record high

Deposits in Aave V4 have surpassed $350 million, establishing a new record after increasing by more than $100 million over the past 30 days.

The growth suggests rising adoption and may be partly driven by an attractive USDC borrowing offer. Holders of cbBTC, WBTC, WETH and wstETH can reportedly access a borrowing rate of negative 0.2%.

The increase in deposits across Aave V3 on Monad and Aave V4 highlights growing use of the protocol, even as demand for the AAVE token remains subdued among retail traders.

AAVE is losing momentum in the derivatives market despite the growth in protocol deposits.

Futures open interest declined by more than 6% over the previous 24 hours to $302.15 million, according to CoinGlass. The drop reflects a contraction in the value of outstanding futures contracts and suggests traders are reducing their exposure.

AAVE’s funding rate also fell below zero to negative 0.0046%. Negative funding indicates a bearish tilt, with short-position holders paying traders holding long positions.

Meanwhile, the 24-hour long-to-short ratio declined to 0.9372, showing that active short positions outnumber longs and reinforcing the cautious market outlook.

AAVE technical outlook: Could the price fall to $70?

AAVE is hovering above $90 at the time of writing on Tuesday, maintaining a mildly constructive near-term position above its 50-day EMA at $90.80.

However, the token remains well below its 200-day EMA at $112.75, suggesting that its broader recovery potential remains limited.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator continues to decline below its signal line, reflecting persistent bearish momentum.

The Relative Strength Index stands near 49 and is trending lower while AAVE’s price forms a modest upward trend. This bearish divergence suggests that buying momentum is weakening despite the recent price recovery.

The 50-day EMA at $90.80 is the key immediate support level. A decisive daily close below this moving average could accelerate selling pressure and trigger a roughly 20% decline toward the June 18 low of $70.65.

The psychological $100 level represents AAVE’s first major resistance. This area sits close to the May 10 high of $103.51, creating a broader resistance zone between $100 and $103.51.

A sustained break above this region would strengthen the bullish case and could allow AAVE to target the 200-day EMA at $112.75.

The post AAVE holds above $90 as protocol deposits rise, but retail demand weakens appeared first on CoinJournal.