Kraken Q1 revenue jumps to $472 million amid Trump-era crypto volatility

  • EBITDA for the quarter reached $187.4 million, a 17% increase.
  • Trading volume rose 29% amid a 35% rally in Bitcoin prices.
  • Launch of institutional FIX API boosted futures volumes by 250%.

Kraken, one of the longest-operating cryptocurrency exchanges in the United States, reported a 19% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first quarter of 2025, reaching $472 million.

The jump in trading activity followed heightened price volatility across the crypto market, largely driven by the return of Donald Trump to the White House and his pro-crypto policies, which included discussions of a national Bitcoin reserve.

Kraken’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) reached $187.4 million, up 17% from Q1 2024.

However, despite strong numbers, regulatory pressure, rising competition, and market uncertainty remain key hurdles for the company’s long-term strategy.

Revenue climbs on market volatility and pro-Bitcoin sentiment

According to company data, Kraken’s trading volume surged 29% during the January–March period, mirroring the 35% rise in Bitcoin prices — from $69,000 to $94,000 — during the same timeframe.

The increased volume was partly driven by favourable sentiment following the Trump administration’s commitment to explore Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.

This policy signal helped fuel broader interest in the cryptocurrency sector, with major exchanges, including Kraken, benefiting from the resulting speculative activity.

The surge in crypto valuations and trading enthusiasm also coincided with rising adoption of advanced features on the Kraken platform.

The company rolled out a futures-focused FIX API during the quarter, specifically targeting institutional users.

The product launch led to a 250% increase in monthly futures trading volumes, underscoring the shift towards professional-grade infrastructure.

NinjaTrader acquisition adds new traders, products to portfolio

Kraken expanded its offering in March 2025 by acquiring NinjaTrader for $1.5 billion.

The deal added nearly 2 million traders to its ecosystem and allowed Kraken to diversify beyond cryptocurrencies into broader financial markets.

With the acquisition, Kraken now offers trading in futures contracts tied to commodities, forex, and equities — a strategic pivot aimed at reducing the platform’s reliance on crypto market cycles.

The company said its institutional strategy will continue evolving throughout 2025, with further integrations and platform improvements in the pipeline.

Its diversification into adjacent markets mirrors a trend seen across the industry, as exchanges seek to weather periods of low volatility and attract capital from outside the crypto-native audience.

Challenges ahead despite strong Q1

Despite the growth, Kraken still faces key operational and competitive challenges.

The exchange operates in an increasingly saturated market, with Binance, Coinbase, and several Asia-based players aggressively pursuing global market share.

Maintaining user growth will likely require continued product innovation and regional expansion.

The company’s revenue model remains closely tied to trading volume, which makes it vulnerable to market consolidation or prolonged bearish cycles.

While early 2025 benefited from speculative tailwinds, any cooling of the Bitcoin rally could impact the next quarter’s results.

Kraken must navigate a fluid regulatory environment.

While the Trump administration has signalled support for digital assets, regulatory oversight from the Securities and Exchange Commission and other agencies continues to evolve.

Global compliance requirements may also pose hurdles as Kraken pushes into new geographies, including Asia.

The company’s blog post dated 1 May 2025 hinted at plans for expanding Kraken Pay and on-chain staking services, offering a potential path to more stable, recurring revenue.

However, execution risks remain, especially as competition intensifies and regulatory clarity remains inconsistent across jurisdictions.

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PepeX presale raises $1.83 million as Solana memecoins rally

  • PepeX presale has raised over $1.83 million.
  • Stage 6 tokens are priced at $0.0255, up from $0.02 at launch.
  • Forecasts place PepeX at $0.30–$0.50 by 2026 if momentum continues.

PepeX, a new AI-powered meme coin launchpad on the Solana blockchain, has raised over $1.83 million since its presale began on 24 March.

With a capped supply of 5 billion tokens and strong emphasis on fairness and decentralisation, PepeX is positioning itself as a next-generation alternative in a rapidly evolving memecoin market.

The project arrives as interest in Solana-based memecoins such as Dogwifhat and Bonk continues to surge.

PepeX’s presale structure, featuring dynamic pricing and stage-based increases, has caught investor attention.

It offers early buyers a potential return of over 240% if it lists at its planned $0.085 price.

With the public platform set to launch in Q3 2025, all eyes are on whether PEPX can outperform rivals like Myro and rise beyond its meme status.

PepeX: Why should you invest in this?

PepeX’s presale runs for 90 days, with 50% of the 5 billion token supply allocated to early investors.

By early April, the project had raised more than $1.25 million from the sale of around 62.5 million tokens.

Stage 5 of the presale saw tokens priced at $0.0243, while Stage 6 began on 8 April at $0.0255.

Each presale stage lasts three days, with token prices increasing by roughly 5% per stage.

At this pace, the final presale stage could hit a token price of approximately $0.0823.

If the token lists on exchanges at the projected $0.085, early participants from Stage 5 stand to gain around 240% to 311%, depending on their entry point.

The platform also promises anti-sniping protections, liquidity locks, automated smart contract audits, and a fair launch model where the team holds just 5% of the total supply—an unusually low figure for meme coins.

Dogwifhat and Bonk boost Solana meme sentiment

While PepeX is still in presale, established Solana-based memecoins have been rallying. Bonk saw a 26% rise in the week ending 23 April, while Dogwifhat gained around 30%.

At the end of April, Bonk was trading near $0.0000188 with a market cap of roughly $1.49 billion.

Dogwifhat, priced around $0.616, had a market cap of approximately $620 million.

These surges were supported by a broader altcoin rally driven by Bitcoin nearing $95,000 in early March.

Both Bonk and Dogwifhat have benefited from widespread listings, active community support, and integration into Solana’s DeFi and gaming ecosystems.

This meme-led momentum on Solana has created the perfect launch window for newcomers like PepeX to capitalise on demand for high-upside tokens.

PepeX price forecast

Short-term projections suggest PepeX could reach between $0.09 and $0.14 within one to three months of launch.

Medium-term estimates place the token at $0.15 to $0.25 within six months, and potentially between $0.30 and $0.50 by 2026.

That long-term estimate would translate to gains of over 1,000% for Stage 1 presale investors.

However, analysts caution that short-term pullbacks are possible.

Some expect early investors to take profits at listing, which could push the price temporarily back toward $0.0198—just below its initial $0.02 presale level.

PepeX’s future depends on its ability to deliver a working launchpad and attract meme creators and users to its ecosystem.

With its unique combination of AI tools, tokenomics, and fair launch approach, the token is positioned to capture attention in an increasingly competitive landscape.

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The miner’s paradox: why Trump’s era isn’t golden for US Bitcoin firms

  • Most major US public Bitcoin miners expected to report Q1 losses despite high BTC prices.
  • US tariffs on imported mining rigs raised costs and created strategic uncertainty for miners.
  • The April Bitcoin halving event further pressured revenue by cutting block rewards by 50%.

Despite entering office with promises to champion the US Bitcoin mining industry, President Donald Trump’s return to the White House hasn’t translated into immediate prosperity for the sector.

As American crypto miners prepare to release their first quarterly earnings since the administration change, analysts anticipate a challenging period marked by losses, squeezed margins, and operational headwinds, even against the backdrop of Bitcoin hitting record highs earlier in the year.

The paradox of pain: losses despite high Bitcoin prices

The prevailing expectation is one of financial strain.

According to analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg, seven out of the eight largest publicly traded Bitcoin miners based in the US are projected to report a net loss for the first quarter of 2025.

This stark outlook contrasts sharply with the significant adjusted net income of $1.1 billion reported collectively by the group in the same period of 2024, now estimated to swing to a loss of $190 million.

Among the cohort, only CleanSpark Inc. is anticipated by analysts to post a profit.

This downturn comes despite Bitcoin reaching a record above $109,000 in January and averaging roughly 75% higher in price during the first quarter compared to the previous year.

Concrete results are already emerging: Riot Platforms Inc., a major player, reported a Q1 loss of $296.4 million on Thursday, a dramatic reversal from its $211 million net income in Q1 2024.

Competitive squeeze: record difficulty and rising costs

Several factors are converging to pressure miners’ profitability.

A primary challenge is the soaring level of competition within the network.

Mining difficulty, a metric reflecting the total computing power dedicated to securing the Bitcoin blockchain, has repeatedly broken records in recent months.

This surge in the global “hash rate” means more miners are competing for the same fixed amount of newly issued Bitcoin rewards.

“This is going to be an interesting quarter for the Bitcoin miners and perhaps a difficult one over the past few months,” commented Brian Dobson, managing director at brokerage firm Clear Street.

“We will see margin compression and lower revenues from Bitcoin mining due to that higher global difficulty rate.”

This intense competition is partly a legacy of the late 2024 Bitcoin price surge, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto stance, which prompted miners to rush orders for more powerful, specialized mining machines (rigs).

Furthermore, rising energy costs in some key US mining states have added to operational expenses during the same period.

Growth in international mining operations, including from Russia and China, has also intensified the global hash rate competition, according to Ethan Vera, COO at Luxor Technology.

Tariff tremors and strategic hesitation

Compounding the competitive pressure are the direct and indirect impacts of US trade policy.

The specialized mining rigs essential for operations are mostly manufactured in Asia.

Tariffs imposed on these machines, some originating from countries like Malaysia, directly increase capital expenditure for US miners.

Vera noted that potential further tariff hikes “will be very detrimental, return profiles and growth forecasts can be hindered from that,” adding wryly, “With tariffs coming in, I think everyone outside the US will benefit from that.”

Supply chains faced additional disruption early this year due to heavy border inspections and the US Commerce Department’s blacklisting of an AI affiliate (Xiamen Sophgo Technologies Ltd.) of Bitmain, the largest rig supplier, in January.

More broadly, the unpredictable nature of tariff policy under the Trump administration is creating strategic paralysis.

“The management teams are hesitant to develop a multi-year strategy based on what tariffs look like today when they realize that three months from now we could have a very different conversation on what the tariffs would look like,” explained Dobson.

Capital crunch: shifting financing strategies

Accessing capital has also become more challenging. Historically, many public miners relied heavily on “at-the-market” (ATM) stock offerings to raise billions for purchasing machines and funding energy-intensive operations.

However, the retreat in the broader stock market since the post-election highs has made equity financing less attractive.

Consequently, companies are increasingly turning towards debt instruments. MARA Holdings Inc., Riot Platforms, and CleanSpark have all utilized convertible bonds or credit facilities recently to secure liquidity.

“I think the big public companies don’t want to sell shares in the current market, this is an expensive way for them to raise capital, whereas the debit instruments are just lower-cost capital,” Vera observed.

Adding a final layer of difficulty is the impact of the Bitcoin “halving” event that occurred last April.

This pre-programmed code update slashed the Bitcoin rewards paid to miners for validating transactions by 50%, directly cutting into their primary revenue stream.

An unintended consequence?

While President Trump campaigned on making the US a leader in Bitcoin mining, the first quarter under his administration seems defined by miners grappling with the challenging side effects of his broader policies.

Tariffs are hiking equipment costs and potentially benefiting foreign competitors, while market volatility linked to policy uncertainty has hampered access to equity capital.

As Vera concluded, “In terms of the tariffs, I don’t think Trump has Bitcoin mining as his number one priority to focus on… The trade war, for him, is the most important thing.”

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Bybit-FXStreet report sees gold hitting $4,000 by end-2025

  • Bybit and FXStreet have released a joint report forecasting that gold could rise to $4,000 per ounce by the end of 2025.
  • The report comes on the heels of gold reaching an all-time high of around $3,500 per ounce.
  • The report also points to silver as a compelling diversification opportunity.

Bybit and FXStreet have released a joint report forecasting that gold could rise to $4,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, driven by a combination of macroeconomic pressures, technical momentum, and increasing investor aversion to traditional assets.

The report comes on the heels of gold reaching an all-time high of around $3,500 per ounce last month, marking a 26% gain year-to-date and a 41% jump over the past 12 months.

Over the same period, the S&P 500 has declined 11%, highlighting gold’s renewed strength as a safe-haven asset.

Safe-haven demand intensifies

Investors are reallocating capital into gold in response to persistent inflation, a weakening US dollar, and deteriorating real returns in equity and bond markets.

The metal’s traditional role as a hedge against currency devaluation has resurfaced, with both central banks and private investors seeking shelter from fiat instability.

Adding to this flight to safety are escalating concerns over US trade policy under President Donald Trump, which has reignited fears of a global tariff war.

The report added:

By serving as a neutral reserve asset, gold provides much-needed stability amid shifting trade patterns and geopolitical tensions.

The report notes that capital is being pulled from vulnerable currencies—including the euro, yen, yuan, and peso—into gold, which offers liquidity and political neutrality.

Bullish technical setup

From a technical standpoint, indicators remain supportive of further gains.

The MACD remains in positive territory, with the 12-day moving average above the 26-day, signaling sustained bullish momentum.

Meanwhile, the RSI at 60 reflects ongoing strength without tipping into overbought levels.

Analysts expect gold to consolidate near $3,500, a key resistance level, before targeting $4,000 by year-end, assuming macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds persist.

Silver: the overlooked hedge

The report also points to silver as a compelling diversification opportunity.

Though trailing gold in performance, silver remains well below its 2011 peak of $50 per ounce and may benefit from both defensive capital flows and rising industrial demand, particularly from green energy and infrastructure sectors.

For investors seeking broader exposure, silver’s asymmetric upside presents an attractive hedge.

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VIRTUAL token surges 183% in April amid rising institutional demand

  • Institutional interest drives the VIRTUAL rally.
  • Chaikin Money Flow signals strong capital inflows.
  • The price pattern shows a bullish formation.

While most digital assets struggled to maintain direction in April, VIRTUAL emerged as one of the few cryptocurrencies to post sharp gains.

The token has rallied 183% since April 1, making it the top-performing asset in the crypto space during a month marked by subdued sentiment and low volatility.

With its price up 22% in the last 24 hours alone, investor attention has turned to the technical indicators, suggesting further upside may be on the horizon.

The rally comes amid a broader shift in smart capital allocation, as institutional buyers appear to be rotating into mid-cap altcoins with strong momentum and liquidity.

Institutional interest drives the VIRTUAL rally

VIRTUAL’s uptrend began on 22 April and has since shown consistent price appreciation.

One of the most notable developments has been the surge in its Smart Money Index (SMI), which currently stands at 3.07.

The SMI tracks institutional trading patterns by focusing on price movements during the opening and closing hours of each trading day.

A rising SMI along with increasing price generally signals accumulation by professional or large investors.

This correlation suggests that “smart money” is positioning itself for longer-term gains, adding weight to VIRTUAL’s recent momentum.

On-chain data also shows that the number of whale addresses holding VIRTUAL has risen since mid-April, providing additional evidence of institutional accumulation.

Chaikin Money Flow signals strong capital inflows

Further confirming the bullish sentiment is VIRTUAL’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which remains in positive territory at 0.25 and continues to trend upwards.

The CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a given period, helping traders assess the strength behind a price move.

A positive and rising CMF reading reflects strong buying pressure and sustained capital inflows.

Together with the elevated SMI, this trend reinforces the narrative that VIRTUAL’s current rally is backed by increasing liquidity and investor confidence.

Analysts tracking short-term trends have also noted heightened activity on VIRTUAL’s decentralised exchange pairs, with total volume crossing $20 million over the past week.

This points to both retail and institutional participation in the ongoing uptrend.

Price pattern shows a bullish formation

Technically, VIRTUAL has been trading within an ascending parallel channel since its breakout on 22 April.

This formation, defined by consistently higher highs and higher lows within two upward-sloping trendlines, is generally considered a bullish signal.

As long as the token remains within this pattern, the current trend is likely to continue.

If momentum persists and demand remains high, VIRTUAL’s price could rise to test the upper resistance level near $2.26.

That would represent a further 25% increase from current levels.

However, if profit-taking intensifies and breaks the token’s support at $1.55 (£1.24), the bullish structure may fail.

In that case, the price could drop towards the $0.96 region, where previous demand re-emerged.

Short-term sentiment remains bullish

Despite broader market weakness, sentiment around VIRTUAL remains positive in the short term due to favourable on-chain metrics and increased institutional interest.

The token’s strong performance in April has sparked discussions around whether it can sustain momentum into May, particularly as altcoin volatility returns.

Technical indicators currently favour a continuation of the uptrend, though any macroeconomic shock or sudden risk-off sentiment in the crypto sector could pose downside risks.

Market participants are watching upcoming economic data releases closely, which may influence liquidity across risk assets, including VIRTUAL.

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