Ether eyes $3,500 if support levels hold; Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • ETH is down 1% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $3,200.
  • The coin could rally above $3,500 if the daily candle closes above $3,100.

ETH approaches $3,200 as market takes a breather

The cryptocurrency market has been extremely bearish since the start of the month, with Bitcoin losing a key psychological level. Bitcoin dumped to a six-month low of $93k on Sunday, with altcoins also recording massive losses.

Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is trading below $3,200 after retesting the $3k support level during the weekend. The coin has lost 11% of its value in the last seven days, signifying the third consecutive week of losses for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

Ether’s poor performance aligns with the broader crypto market, with liquidity tightening measures by the Federal Reserve affecting risk-based assets. However, analysts are confident that the crypto market will turn things around in the near term.

Derek Lim, research lead at Caladan, told The Block that,

In my opinion, the primary market driver remains liquidity. Liquidity is (and will be) temporarily tight as the U.S. government shutdown has kept the treasury general account elevated.

Ether’s performance over the next few days will likely depend on whether it continues to defend the $3k psychological and support level. 

Ethereum could recover if the $3k support level holds

The ETH/USD daily chart is bearish and efficient as Ether has underperformed over the last seven days. The coin faced rejection at the previous broken trendline around $3,592 last week and has lost 12% of its value since then. At press time, ETH is trading at $3,192 per coin. 

ETH/USD Daily Chart

If the support level at $3,017 holds, Ether could continue its recovery and rally towards the key resistance level at $3,592. Similar to Bitcoin, Ether’s RSI is rebounding from oversold territory, indicating a fading bearish momentum. 

On the flip side, if Ether’s daily candle closes below $3,017, it could record further bearish performance and decline toward the next key support at $2,749.

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Smart trader shifts to Hyperliquid’s HYPE after pocketing $2.5M profit on STRK

  • A savvy trader locks in over $2.5M on a Starknet long position opened three days ago.
  • He has rotated to HYPE with a 10x long worth roughly $2.98M.
  • Hyperliquid’s token could be poised for an upward move.

Smart money participants are celebrating profits despite the current broader bearish sentiments, which underpins Bitcoin around $95,000.

One trader is grabbing attention with his high-stakes leveraged bets.

According to on-chain tracker Lookonchain, the player has secured over $2.5 million in returns after a well-timed long on Starknet (STRK), executed three days ago.

Most interestingly, he has redirected attention to a new position, going long on Hyperliquid’s HYPE with a substantially higher leverage of 10x.

These back-to-back moves are coming as uncertainty engulfs the financial landscape, with most traders opting for wait-and-watch and caution.

Meanwhile, the latest trade has fueled optimism among HYPE holders, as it indicates confidence in the altcoin’s potential rally in the near term.

An STRK long that hit its target

Blockchain data shows the wallet opened a 5x long on 29.5M Starknet tokens, a position worth roughly $6.7 million, three days ago.

The player entered just as STRK began creating a short-term base.

The digital token has remained on the watchers’ radar lately due to ecosystem upgrades, a thriving staking marketplace, and uncertainty linked to overall market downsides.

While many hesitated as fear crippled the cryptocurrency sector, the smart trader joined before the short-lived rally started, riding a clean uptrend.

His profit surpassed $2.5 million as Starknet extends its recovery, now up 30% the past seven days.

STRK is trading at $0.2104 after losing 8% the past 24 hours amid broader weakness and profit-taking after the latest surge.

HYPE set to rebound after POPCAT scandal?

Hours after the STRK returns emerged in trackers, the trader entered a new position – a long on 77,598 HYPE, worth approximately $3 million, with a significantly higher 10x leverage.

The timing drew attention.

Hyperliquid has been among the most-watched DEXs the past week, following POPCAT’s manipulation, which saw the platform temporarily halt withdrawals.

HYPE endured substantial bearishness following the event, losing more than 10% of its value in the past week.

With the wallet’s transaction becoming some sort of sentiment indicator, enthusiasts trust HYPE is poised for a rebound as the exchange’s manipulation debates settle.

Committing almost $2.98 million to a 10x long underscores the conviction of short-term uptrends amidst broader market struggles.

HYPE remained relatively stable the past 24 hours, losing only 1.40% to trade at $38.41.

Technical indicators display neutral conditions as HYPE eyes the next move.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence remained relatively flat with the signal line on the 1-hour chart.

Also, the Relative Strength Index at 48 suggests indecisiveness.

For now, market players are watching to see whether the smart whale turns into a reliable signal.

If his history rhymes, HYPE could be poised for a near-term rebound.

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Why the European Commission wants to seize control of crypto oversight

  • MiCA currently lets companies gain cross-border access via a single national licence.
  • National regulators and firms fear a loss of control and added bureaucracy.
  • France, Austria and Italy have backed ESMA’s expanded role for large firms.

The European Commission is preparing to give the European Securities and Markets Authority sweeping powers over the crypto sector.

If approved, ESMA would become the sole body responsible for supervising all crypto asset service providers in the European Union, reported Bloomberg.

The proposal marks a significant change to how the bloc regulates digital assets, placing oversight in the hands of a central authority rather than relying on 27 national regulators.

This draft plan, expected to be announced next month, comes just months before the full implementation of the Markets in Cryptoassets Regulation.

MiCA, passed in 2023, is set to become the EU’s flagship framework for crypto regulation.

Under MiCA, companies currently only need a licence in one member state to operate across the bloc.

This structure has been the result of years of work by both regulators and firms.

MiCA faces uncertainty

MiCA was designed to provide legal clarity and consistency across the EU.

It allows firms to gain authorisation in a single country and use that to offer services in other EU states. This system is known as passporting.

The goal was to reduce fragmentation and streamline operations for businesses.

But the Commission’s new plan would override this process by giving ESMA direct responsibility for approving and monitoring all providers, regardless of where they are based.

The draft proposal suggests ESMA could delegate tasks back to national authorities when needed.

However, the central point of contact would still be ESMA. This change has raised concerns from those involved in the rollout of MiCA.

With the implementation window closing in 2024, firms and local regulators worry that shifting the framework now could cause delays and confusion.

Critics argue that restarting the discussion around MiCA could undermine legal certainty.

Others say that moving responsibilities to ESMA without enough resources could weaken enforcement.

The proposal still needs support from both the European Parliament and the Council of the EU before it becomes law.

Pushback from regulators

The Commission’s move has not gone unnoticed by crypto industry bodies. Many believe that local regulators are better equipped for day-to-day engagement with firms.

Blockchain for Europe, an industry group, has warned that centralising control at this stage would divert attention from the task of getting MiCA running smoothly.

Some consultants have also pointed out that ESMA would require more staff and funding to take on such a role.

National authorities have already invested heavily in building teams and expertise to meet MiCA’s demands.

Replacing that with a central process could result in delays in licensing and supervision.

ESMA chair Verena Ross said earlier this year that the current structure, with 27 separate supervisors preparing for the same task, may not be the most efficient model.

France backs centralised model

France, along with EU institutions, has pushed hardest for expanding ESMA’s powers.

In September, regulators from France, Austria and Italy called for ESMA to supervise major crypto firms directly, while smaller companies could remain under national watch.

This idea would create a two-tier system and offer a compromise between full centralisation and local control.

The proposal is part of a wider trend in the EU to centralise financial oversight.

Brussels has also suggested giving ESMA control over clearing houses, trading venues, and depositories.

However, some countries have resisted, arguing that giving up national control could create unnecessary bureaucracy and reduce flexibility.

The urgency of reform increased in July when ESMA raised concerns about Malta’s crypto licensing practices.

The Maltese regulator had issued MiCA approvals to several firms, prompting questions about consistency and due diligence across the EU.

This incident added weight to the argument for a more unified supervisory model.

As the Commission finalises its proposal, the crypto sector remains on edge.

Businesses are waiting to see whether their licensing and regulatory future will remain at the national level or shift entirely to an EU-wide body.

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Hyperliquid loses $5M in POPCAT attack, HYPE price comes under pressure

  • The POPCAT manipulation caused the Hyperliquid HLP to absorb $5M in losses.
  • Hyperliquid’s token price currently trades below key EMAs amid bearish momentum.
  • HYPE’s retail demand has dropped, and futures Open Interest has fallen to $1.56B.

Hyperliquid price has come under intense pressure following a sophisticated POPCAT attack that left the decentralised derivatives platform reeling from multi-million-dollar losses.

The POPCAT hack, which targeted Hyperliquid’s liquidity provider system, exposed vulnerabilities in Hyperliquid’s risk management while raising concerns about retail demand and overall market sentiment for HYPE tokens.

POPCAT attack led to a $5M HLP loss

The POPCAT attack unfolded on November 12, when a trader executed a series of manipulative trades across the POPCAT token market, using multiple wallets to create an artificial buy wall.

According to on-chain analysts, the trader deployed roughly $3 million in USDC from the OKX exchange, distributing it across 19 separate addresses.

These wallets then opened nearly $30 million in leveraged long positions, inflating the price of POPCAT to over $0.21.

Once the buy wall was removed, the POPCAT price plunged sharply, causing mass liquidations.

Hyperliquid’s market-making system, Hyperliquid Provider (HLP), was forced to absorb the resulting positions due to thin liquidity in the market.

In total, HLP incurred losses of approximately $4.9–$5 million.

During the crash, the price of POPCAT fell from $0.21 to $0.13, leaving Hyperliquid to manually close positions to prevent further financial damage.

The attack highlighted how coordinated movements of large capital through multiple wallets can destabilise decentralised platforms.

Looking at how the attack unfolded, there are connections to prior manipulative behaviour observed on tokens such as TST, ZEREBRO, JELLYJELLY, and HIFI, although Hyperliquid emphasised that deposits and withdrawals were ultimately restored and normal trading resumed.

Implications for Hyperliquid and DeFi markets

Notably, the POPCAT attack underscores ongoing risks for decentralised exchanges that handle leveraged tokens.

While HLP successfully absorbed the losses and protected liquidity providers, the event demonstrates how thin liquidity and concentrated positions can amplify the effects of market manipulation.

Some commentators on Crypto Twitter have suggested that such attacks may not always be profit-driven, but rather aimed at undermining the reputation of decentralised platforms.

On-chain forensic analyses have scrutinised links between wallets used in the manipulation and entities such as BTX Capital, though allegations remain unproven.

Hyperliquid’s response, including a temporary pause on its Arbitrum bridge, helped mitigate further destabilisation.

However, the incident is likely to weigh on investor sentiment, especially as retail demand for HYPE has remained low following a significant reduction in futures Open Interest over the past month.

Futures Open Interest for HYPE has also contracted from $2.08 billion at the end of October to $1.56 billion, signalling declining risk appetite among traders.

HYPE price reaction to the attack

Despite the loss, Hyperliquid’s HYPE token showed relative resilience in the immediate aftermath.

HYPE price rose modestly from $37.77 to $39.39 following the resolution of the attack, indicating that broader retail confidence in the token remained intact.

However, the token has since pulled back to around $38.09 at press time, hinting at a cautious long-term outlook.

Technical indicators paint a bearish picture, with HYPE trading below its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) just below $39 and failing to surpass the 50 and 100-day EMAs around $43.

Hyperliquid price analysis
Hyperliquid price chart | Source: CoinMarketCap

Momentum indicators, including the MACD and RSI, suggest persistent selling pressure, and analysts warn that a decisive break below the $35 support level could accelerate a decline toward the $30 mark.

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Bitcoin Cash price prediction: eyes on the $460 demand zone if support gives way

  • Bitcoin Cash price is under selling pressure, testing support near $470.8 and $460.3.
  • Bitcoin pullback and market fear amplify downside risks for the BCH price.
  • Key resistance sits at $528.85, with potential upside if support holds.

Bitcoin Cash price has come under significant pressure in the past 24 hours, with BCH slipping to $491.09 following a series of technical setbacks and broader market weakness.

After failing to hold above the $530 resistance level, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has seen selling momentum intensify, as a result of technical profit-taking and the influence of the Bitcoin price pullback.

Eyes are now on whether BCH can stabilise above critical support levels or if the selling pressure will push the cryptocurrency toward lower demand zones.

BCH struggles under resistance amid bear pressures

On November 13, Bitcoin Cash surged to $532 but faced rejection at the $530–$532 zone, failing to sustain a breakout.

The cryptocurrency’s inability to remain above the 200-day EMA at $510.56 led to a break below the crucial $515 support, triggering algorithmic sell orders.

Technical indicators such as the MACD, which remains below its signal line, have reinforced bearish momentum, while a close below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $500.23 has invalidated the short-term bullish structure.

Traders should now watch closely for a reclaim of $515 to stabilise prices, although a drop below $480 could open the door to deeper corrections.

Bitcoin price pullback drags BCH lower

BCH had not been immune to the broader weakness in the crypto market.

However, Bitcoin’s rejection near $107,000 caused capital rotation away from riskier altcoins, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) showing a 30-day correlation of 0.89 to Bitcoin (BTC).

This strong correlation amplified the downside, contributing to a 24-hour trading volume surge of 10.58% to $523 million as traders exited positions amid panic selling.

Market-wide risk aversion has further fueled the decline, with derivatives data showing a 4.58% drop in BCH futures open interest and overall spot volumes falling by more than 21%, reflecting low conviction across the market.

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, sitting at 22, indicating “Extreme Fear,” has also intensified the bearish sentiment.

Bitcoin Cash price short-term outlook

On shorter timeframes, the 6-hour chart highlights heavy selling momentum as BCH nears critical support.

The immediate support around $470.8 is under pressure, with a notable demand zone at $460.3 potentially acting as a floor for buyers.

Resistance is positioned near $528.85, though the price has shown limited strength to test it.

A confirmed reversal pattern above 470.8 could prompt a retracement toward $528.85, but without clear bullish signals, further decline toward the 460.3 demand zone is likely.

Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin price chart | Source: CoinMarketCap

Traders are advised to watch for momentum shifts before entering new positions, as failure to hold support could result in accelerated downside movement.

Longer-term resistance levels also frame the narrative for the BCH price.

According to market analysis, holding above $473.62 is crucial for any upward movement toward $493.23, and surpassing that could pave the way to $528.85, with $544.23 marking the third resistance target.

Conversely, if $473.62 fails to hold, BCH may slide toward the next support at $444.75, underscoring the importance of this critical level in guiding near-term market behaviour.

Traders and investors should keep a close eye on momentum shifts, as failure to hold key support could lead BCH toward lower levels, while maintaining stability could allow for a measured rebound.

For those tracking market dynamics, understanding the interplay between Bitcoin Cash price and broader crypto movements remains critical in anticipating potential swings and making informed decisions.

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