Investors lost over $7 billion as Bitcoin crashed: Glassnode

Realized loss for Bitcoin investors hit a historic $7.3 billion over just three days last week, according to data from analytics firm Glassnode.

Per the firm’s data, investors reeling from sustained sell-off pressure exited positions they had taken at much higher prices, leading to the huge realized loss. In terms of definition, Glassnode looks at realized loss based on when a coin moves and what price it moves – basically it tells the difference in last price versus current price.

Long-term holders selling

As Bitcoin price crashed, investors quickly sold off roughly 555,000 BTC in the $23,000-$18,000 price range.

Notably, this included 178,000 BTC held by Long Term Holders, with some of the coins sold acquired at $69,000 – the price that marked Bitcoin’s all-time high in November 2021. The group of sellers took a -75% hit to their investment.

On average, LTH sold 1.31% of their total holdings, with aggregate long term investor balances shrinking to levels last registered in September last year.

“If we assess the damage, we can see that almost all wallet cohorts, from Shrimp to Whales, now hold massive unrealized losses, worse than March 2020. The least profitable wallet cohort holds 1-100 $BTC, and have unrealized losses equal to 30% of the Market Cap,” Glassnode wrote.

Bitcoin was trading around $20,190 on Monday evening, with intraday lows of $19,700 and intraday highs of $20,900 making the $21,000-$23,000 level a potentially new resistance zone.

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USDC could replace Tether despite skeptics

For a long time, Tether has been the biggest stablecoin in the market. Its market cap has sent it among the top 10 crypto assets. The importance of Tether also became even more underscored with the fall of Terra’s UST. But USDC, another major stablecoin is starting to make some progress. In fact, data shows that it could replace Tether despite growing skepticism about it. Here are some important points:

  • The total supply of USDC has been growing month after month

  • USDC has also seen a 1000% jump in its market cap since January

  • USDT on the other hand saw the largest number of redemptions in May

Data Source: TradingView 

Is USDC taking over?

Well, so far, USDC has not yet reached the same level as Tether. But it seems the fall of UST has accelerated the adoption of USDC in a huge way. Take this for example. At the start of the year, USDC had a market cap of around $4.1 billion. Today, the stablecoin has a market cap of above $55 billion. It’s almost 10 times higher than it was. 

Also, as USDC reported this growth, USDT on the other hand saw record numbers of redemptions over the past few weeks. In fact, redemptions for USDT hit -$13 billion in May alone. Now, these signs indicate that investor appetite for USDC is rising. If this trend continues, the coin will be much closer to USDT by the end of the year.

Are there risks of USDC de-pegging?

When Terra’s UST de-pegged from the dollar, it was largely the beginning of the end for the stablecoin. There are also fears that other dollar-pegged coins including USDC could follow the same fate. 

However, right now we do not see any immediate risks of USDC de-pegging. As a matter of fact, even during the most difficult months in crypto, USDC has maintained its peg quite impressively.

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Synthetix has surged 100% in 24 hours – Here is why

Synthetix (SNX) is now the top-performing cryptocurrency over the past 254 hours. While some of these gains are largely linked to a broader recovery in the market, there is also some outstanding platform news. Synthetix is a major DeFi platform that brings traditional financial assets into the blockchain. Here are some highlights.

  • SNX haD gained over 100% at some point in 24-hour intraday trading.

  • The token did however pull back slightly but was still above 60% in the green.

  • The surge came as news broke of massive growth in Synthetix’s daily trade volume.

Data Source: TradingView 

Synthetix: Why the surge will continue

As noted above, Synthetix reported some exciting on-chain news. Just recently, the platform introduced a new feature called ‘Atomic Swaps’. The feature helps to support derivative liquidity on Synthetix. Today, it was announced that Atomic Swap had seen a surge in trade volume. In fact, the platform is now able to process $200 million per day. 

This is one of the highest in the market. It beats other competitors like 1Inch and Curver by huge margins. It also seems that investors were quite upbeat about the news. SNX saw daily trade volume surge by nearly 1200%, suggesting that people are buying it in huge numbers.

The price also went up massively. At one point, SNX was higher by 100% before it retreated slightly. As the success of Atomic Swap continues, more investors will buy into SNX. The coin could see a bullish rally over the next 7 days, taking the price closer to $5.

Should you buy SNX

Well, the most important thing for any investor out there is the underlying fundamentals of a project. SNX has everything you would look for in a DeFi protocol, and it’s actually growing faster.

This is a good time to buy for a long-term investor. Also, short-term traders can still ride the Atomic Swap success this week and exit at around $5.

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Avalanche reclaims $14 support after June crash

June has been a devastating month for crypto investors. But despite this, we are seeing some recovery as major coins build modest upward momentum. AVAX is not any different, and the coin has now managed to reclaim an important support zone after crashing in June. So, where will it go next? Is the rally short-lived or permanent? Here are some highlights:

  • AVAX had crashed nearly 65% in June alone.

  • However, the coin has rallied in the past two days with a 15% gain in 24 hours.

  • More importantly, AVAX has reclaimed the $14 support.

Data Source: TradingView 

Where will Avalanche go from here?

Well, there are many scenarios at play here. First, the rally we have seen by AVAX over the past two days corresponds to a broader recovery in the market. This could suggest that perhaps we were seeing a short-term relief after massive sell-offs last week. If that’s the case, then AVAX could lose upward momentum very fast.

The good news though is that the coin is now trading above the $14 mark. For the most part in 2022, this support has held strong even in the face of massive bear pressure. So, even if the coin was to pull back from its current 2-day rally, the bulls will have a better chance of defending the $14 mark than they did a week ago.

However, failure to keep $14 could mark the beginning of a major decline for AVAX. In fact, after $14, the only other real support is at $10.70.

Why AVAX still poses major risks?

Despite rising above the $14 mark, we still see major risks with AVAX. First, the coin has in the past few weeks struggled to keep the momentum going above $20. 

As such, we expect it to begin losing momentum as it strives toward $20. This could lead to a sharp pullback that eventually puts the $14 support under real threat.

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Apecoin’s RSI divergence could trigger a 20% rally

Apecoin is currently seeing a relief rally after crashing considerably last week. This came after the coin set a new low of $3.13. APE has also seen a sharp fall from its May and April highs which were, at some point, well above $20. However, there are some signs that a short-term upswing could be on the cards. Here are some points:

  • APE has surged in the past 24 hours with a 15% gain

  • The coin has established a descending trendline with dynamic resistance

  • Consolidations above $3.2 could provide a decisively bullish trend reversal

Data Source: TradingView 

Apecoin price analysis

After dropping nearly 70% over the past month or so, APE finally sees some demand. The coin is coming from a bottom price of $3.13, which is its new 2022 low. However, a descending trendline in the price action has established dynamic resistance at around $3.2. 

So far, APE has managed to hold this and is in fact rallying today. The coin could see an upswing of at least 20% before any pullback. However, there is also reason to believe that the current momentum could in fact push further. The key for APE bulls would be to reclaim the $5.1 support.

Although this won’t be easy, looking at the kind of resilience APE has shown, it is probable. A surge above $5.1 will trigger massive buying pressure and could see APE settle at around $7. This would be almost double the current price. Nonetheless, if the coin falls below $3.2 in the coming days, this analysis becomes invalidated.

How to play this APE setup

The key is the $3.2 support. As long as the price stays above this, then the downside risk remains limited.

Also, there is a case to be made for a surge above $5.1. In case you don’t want to take risks, you can buy once APE hits $5 and exit at around $7.2 in the short term.

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