Kategorie: Crypto Analysis

Daily headlines and news about crypto analysis.

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Bitcoin slips below $67k as ETF outflows curb risk appetite

Key takeaways

  • BTC is down 2%, erasing the recovery earlier this week,
  • US-listed spot ETF recorded an outflow of $173.73 million on Wednesday, breaking its two days of inflow this week.

Bitcoin faces continued losses amid weaker institutional demand

Bitcoin (BTC) prices continued to decline on Thursday, trading below $67,000, almost completely erasing the recovery from earlier in the week. Institutional demand also appears to be faltering, as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) experienced a significant outflow of over $173 million on Wednesday, ending a two-day streak of inflows. 

This decline in demand coincides with a growing sense of bearish sentiment in the market, which is further amplified by US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks suggesting an escalation of the ongoing conflict.

On Wednesday, President Trump addressed the nation, warning that the ongoing conflict could drag on until late April. He stated that the US would take extreme measures over the next two to three weeks, including threats to attack Iranian power plants and send Iran back to the “stone age” if no agreement is reached.

These statements have dampened hopes for de-escalation, which in turn has reduced investor appetite for riskier assets. The US Dollar (USD) and Oil prices have risen as a result, while US equities and other risk assets have suffered, effectively erasing the gains Bitcoin saw earlier this week.

Data from CoinGlass indicates that institutional interest in Bitcoin remains uncertain. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a significant outflow of $173.73 million on Wednesday, following two days of positive inflows earlier this week. This suggests indecisiveness among institutional investors, who appear hesitant to increase exposure to risk assets amid ongoing market uncertainty.

According to Glassnode’s weekly report on Wednesday, Bitcoin remains trapped within a broad trading range of $60,000 to $70,000. While the market shows early signs of stabilization, it has not yet shown enough momentum to break decisively in either direction.

The report indicates that Bitcoin’s on-chain conditions reflect a continued period of repair, with elevated supply in loss and long-term holder capitulation still not fully resolved. However, spot demand has shown some improvement, signaling that sellers are not entirely in control of the market anymore.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC could record further losses

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Bitcoin is trading below $66,400 on Thursday, erasing the recovery from earlier this week. The near-term bias is mildly bearish.

Bitcoin remains capped well below the clustered 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) between roughly $70,800 and $84,800, which reinforces downside pressure despite the recent bounce attempts. 

Currently, the technical indicators are bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on H4 sits at 51, just above the midline. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains below the signal line, indicating persistent selling pressure.

If the market continues its decline, sellers would meet immediate support at $65,900. Breaking this level would expose the key psychological level at $60,000.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

On the flipside, if the bulls regain control of the market, they would encounter resistance at the $69,200 level, with the major resistance around $72,600. 

A daily close above $72,600 would signal a bullish break from the sideways structure and open the door toward the 100-day EMA near $76,400.

The post Bitcoin slips below $67k as ETF outflows curb risk appetite appeared first on CoinJournal.

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BNB slips below $590 as Trump threatens to strike Iranian power plants

Key takeaways

  • Binance’s BNB is down 4.5% in the last 24 hours and now trades below $590.
  • The bearish performance comes as President Trump threatens to attack Iran’s power plants. 

BNB (formerly Binance Coin) is currently trading below $585 as of Thursday, continuing its three-week decline. 

The correction has deepened following US President Donald Trump’s statement that the ongoing US-Iran conflict could last until late April, which has dampened investor sentiment towards riskier assets. 

From a technical standpoint, momentum indicators are signaling a potential for further downside in BNB.

Trump’s remarks weigh on market sentiment

Bitcoin, Ether, BNB, and XRP are in the red after President Trump warned on Wednesday that the US-Iran war could extend until late April. He also threatened to target Iranian power plants and stated that Iran would be sent back to the “Stone Age” if an agreement is not reached.

These statements have tempered hopes for de-escalation, further reducing investor appetite for riskier assets. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) and oil prices have strengthened, while US equities and other high-risk assets have come under pressure. 

Retail interest in BNB has also declined in recent days. According to CoinGlass, BNB’s long-to-short ratio reads 0.80 on Thursday, its lowest point in a month. 

A ratio below one indicates bearish market sentiment, with traders betting on a further decline in BNB’s price.

BNB could dip to February’s low

The BNB/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and inefficient as BNB has underperformed in recent days. 

Currently, BNB is trading well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages, which all trend higher above the current price and frame a broader bearish backdrop. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 42, below the neutral 50, indicating a bearish bias. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also drifting deeper below the zero, signaling persistent selling pressure rather than a completed downside exhaustion.

BNB/USD 4H Chart

If the bearish trend persists, BNB will retest the initial support at $570.16 (February’s low). A break below this level would open the way toward lower daily lows and deepen the corrective phase toward the key psychological level at $500.

However, if the bulls regain control of the market, they would encounter immediate resistance at $697, in line with the descending EMAs.

A sustained recovery above this barrier would be needed to ease the current bearish tone and expose the next resistance at $790.79.

 

The post BNB slips below $590 as Trump threatens to strike Iranian power plants appeared first on CoinJournal.

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ZEC dips 3.5% despite broader crypto market’s recovery

Key takeaways

  • ZCash is one of the worst performers among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap, down 3.5% in the last 24 hours.
  • The coin could rally higher in the near term amid demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. 

ZEC slips as broader market recovers

ZEC, the native coin of the Zcash ecosystem, is down by 3.5% in the last 24 hours, making it one of the worst performers among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

It is trading at $241 per coin, down from the $257 recorded on Tuesday. The bearish performance comes amid a decline in Zcash’s derivatives data.

According to CoinGlass, ZEC’s futures’ Open Interest (OI) reads $438 million, down from the $473 million recorded on Tuesday, reflecting the decreased notional value of open contracts.
Typically, an OI decline during a dip in spot price reaffirms the bearish narrative as traders anticipate further recovery.

Technical outlook: Will Zcash price recover above $250 soon?

The ZEC/USD 4-hour chart is bullish but inefficient as Zcash’s price faced rejection above the $250 psychological level. 

It is currently trading below its 50-day EMA of $248c, suggesting that the bulls failed to take advantage of the recent rally. 

Despite that, the near-term bias is cautiously bullish as ZEC holds above the recent lows, while remaining capped beneath the long-standing descending resistance line.

If the bulls regain control and ZEC’s daily candle closes above $250, it would confirm the upside breakout and open the path toward the 200-day EMA at $274, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $362. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has turned higher above the signal line and moved back into positive territory on the 4-hour chart, suggesting strengthening upside pressure. 

ZEC/USD 4H Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 61 reinforces the recovery of bullish momentum without signaling overbought conditions.

On the downside, if the rejection candle holds, ZEC could drop towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $231, followed by the rising trendline near the $200 psychological support level.

The post ZEC dips 3.5% despite broader crypto market’s recovery appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Bitcoin stalls near $66K: is a bigger drop coming this week?

  • Bitcoin price tests $65,000 support amid oversold conditions and weak momentum.
  • Rising US real yields and oil prices weigh on short-term buying pressure.
  • Traders should watch the $68,400 resistance and $65,100 support for the next moves.

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of short-term fatigue as it navigates a tricky market environment.

After failing to break above resistance near $68,400, BTC has retreated toward critical support between $65,600 and $65,100.

The cryptocurrency is now hovering in a delicate range, where technical oversold signals clash with potent macroeconomic pressures.

Technical analysis

The seven-day RSI currently sits at 32.37, suggesting that Bitcoin is nearly oversold.

Bitcoin price chart

This level often indicates a potential bounce, but the market has yet to show sustained buying strength. Short-term momentum is fragile, with price action struggling to maintain levels above $66,000.

Even though buyers have defended the $65,600 band so far, a break below $65,100 could signal a deeper correction.

Resistance remains firmly in place at $68,400, and attempts to push past it have been met with immediate selling. Traders should closely watch the $68,000–$68,500 zone, as it represents the ceiling for any short-term recovery attempts.

In this range-bound setup, the market is consolidating rather than trending decisively.

The macro headwinds shaping Bitcoin price movements

Bitcoin’s short-term struggles are compounded by external pressures.

Rising real yields, especially on 10-year TIPS in the United States, have increased the appeal of government bonds over risk assets like BTC.

As a result, investors seeking yield are diverting capital toward these safer instruments, leaving Bitcoin with weaker demand.

At the same time, WTI crude oil prices have surged past $103 per barrel and Brent crude oil prices have hit $114, adding another layer of market uncertainty.

Energy-driven inflationary concerns make the broader financial environment more cautious, further dampening appetite for speculative assets.

Adding to the pressure, a $2.2 billion payout by the FTX Recovery Trust to FTX creditors is scheduled for March 31, 2026.

Recipients may choose to liquidate portions of their holdings, which could add temporary selling pressure and keep BTC range-bound.

Even large buyers, often referred to as whales, are active but appear to be accumulating cautiously below $70,000.

This cautious accumulation suggests that institutional players are positioning for the long term but are unwilling to push aggressively at current levels.

What traders should expect this week?

Short-term momentum is still weak, so any bounce is likely to be contained unless macro conditions improve.

Overall, Bitcoin is at a crossroads, balancing oversold technical conditions against persistent bear pressures from rates, oil prices, and potential selling catalysts.

Traders should monitor the $65,100 level closely, as a decisive hold here would support consolidation between $65,100 and $68,000.

A break below this band could open the door to a further decline toward $63,000 or lower.

On the upside, sustained moves above $68,400–$68,500 would be required to challenge resistance near $70,000.

The post Bitcoin stalls near $66K: is a bigger drop coming this week? appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Why TRON price turned bearish even as Anchorage Digital added institutional TRX custody

  • TRX dips despite Anchorage Digital enabling institutional custody.
  • $0.309 is the key support, with $0.3189 acting as the immediate resistance.
  • Market awaits active institutional adoption to boost TRX price.

TRON (TRX) has seen a slight dip to around $0.309, even as news broke that Anchorage Digital, the only crypto firm with a US federal banking charter, will add institutional TRX custody.

On the surface, this might seem contradictory since institutional adoption is usually bullish for digital assets.

But TRX’s price action suggests the market is not always immediately responsive to structural developments.

What Anchorage Digital’s move means for TRON

Anchorage Digital’s integration of TRON into its platform gives US institutional investors a regulated avenue to store, manage, and potentially stake TRX.

It is also part of a phased rollout, with plans including TRC‑20 token support and native staking.

From a technical standpoint, this is a strong signal of growing infrastructure and trust around TRON.

It lowers barriers for institutions that previously faced compliance or custody challenges.

In theory, such developments should increase demand for TRX and push the price upward.

However, markets often take time to internalise these structural changes.

Understanding the current bearish trend

There are likely several reasons for the temporary bearishness.

First, broader crypto market trends have been mixed, with key assets showing minor declines over the past 24 hours as oil rises over $110.

Second, some traders may be waiting for confirmation that institutions are actively using the custody service before entering positions.

Finally, TRX is facing a strong resistance near $0.3189, and on the lower side, there is a strong support around $0.3090 that, if broken, could trigger further downward pressure toward $0.3012.

Going by these levels, it is evident that the TRX price is currently bound in a narrow range, reflecting a period of consolidation.

What to expect over the weekend

While the short-term trend may seem bearish, the institutional integration remains a positive signal.

If adoption by institutions picks up, it could unlock new price ranges for TRX in the coming weeks.

The market may also respond to growing stablecoin activity on the TRON network, which highlights its ongoing utility.

For now, traders should watch for a breakout on either side of the current consolidation range.

A breakout above $0.3189 would confirm the continuation of its recent bullish momentum, while a break below $0.3090 would mean the beginning of a pullback after weeks of bullish trend that has seen it gain over 8%.

The post Why TRON price turned bearish even as Anchorage Digital added institutional TRX custody appeared first on CoinJournal.