2 reasons why the Ethereum price is plummeting

Ethereum price drifted lower on Wednesday as its correlation with the Dow Jones and the Nasdaq 100 indices continued. The coin dropped to a low of $1,964, which was its lowest level this week. It was a sea of red as other cryptocurrency prices nosedived.

Don’t fight the Fed

ETH price declined sharply as volatility in the market continued. The closely-watched CBOE volatility index rose by more than 5%.

There were several catalysts for this volatility. First, investors were reacting to the statement by Jerome Powell on Wednesday during an event sponsored by Wall Street Journal. In it, he reiterated that inflation was the biggest challenge facing the economy. He then reiterated that the Fed would do whatever it could to push inflation towards its target of 2.0%. 

Therefore, investors believe that this means that the bank will not come to its rescue like it did in 2018 and during the Covid pandemic. As such, it will continue hiking interest rates by 0.50% in the remaining meetings. It will also start a period of quantitative tightening. As such, Ethereum price is falling as investors avoid fighting the Fed.

Read our Ethereum price prediction.

US stocks correlation

ETH price is also crashing as the correlation with American stocks continues. The Dow Jones declined by more than 1,100 points while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index declined by more than 560 points. 

The decline was triggered by the relatively weakness in the retail sector. The Target stock price crashed by more than 25% while Walmart fell by more than 10% after the firms published weak quarterly results. 

Their results showed that the biggest American companies were seeing wage inflation affect their businesses. As such, the trend could continue in other sectors of the economy. 

In the past few months, there has been a close correlation between American stocks and cryptocurrencies like Ethereum.

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10 Best Cryptocurrencies to Invest in 2022 for Short-term Gains

Cryptocurrency prices have had a difficult year in 2022 as investors continue worrying about a number of factors. The most important challenge in the industry is the Federal Reserve, which has committed to do whatever it could to lower inflation. It has already hiked interest rates by 0.75% and hinted that it will continue hiking rates this year. Most importantly, the Fed has said that it will start implementing quantitative tightening.

There have been other challenges in the crypto industry such as regulations and the crash of Terra LUNA, Terra USD, and affiliated platforms like Anchor Protocol. In this article, we will look at some of the best cryptocurrencies to invest for short-term gains. 

ApeCoin (APE)

ApeCoin is a relatively new cryptocurrency that was launched in 2022 by Yuga Labs. It is a digital coin that aims to power the Bored Ape Yacht Club ecosystem, which is the biggest NFT platform in the world. Yuga also hopes that ApeCoin will power its other products such as the metaverse and games. 

At the time of writing, ApeCoin price is trading at $8.50, giving it a market cap of over $2.4 billion. While its price has declined sharply, there is a possibility that it will bounce back as the developers launch new products. This makes it a good cryptocurrency to invest in for the short term.

Kyber Network Crystal (KNC)

Kyber Network is a relatively small cryptocurrency that could do well in the short term. It is a platform that allows traders to trade or invest in cryptocurrencies from across the chains. This means that you can swap tokens in chains like Ethereum, Polygon, Avalanche, and Cronos among others. According to its website, it has facilitated volumes of more than $7 billion. 

The Kyber Network Price declined sharply after the collapse of Terra. But it has done relatively well since then and I expect that its trend will continue as investors buy the dips. KNC has a market cap of more than $217 million.

Synthetix Network (SNX)

Synthetic Network is another crypto to invest in for short-term gains. It is a blockchain platform that is in the DeFi industry through its derivatives features. Its concept is that it allows developers to create derivatives products across multiple assets like cryptocurrencies, stocks, indices, and commodities. 

As a result, a derivative of Apple makes it possible for one to trade Apple shares in a derivative format. Synthetix has a total value locked (TVL) of more than $538 million. The SNX price will likely do well in the near term as the derivatives industry continues doing well.

STEPN (GMT)

STEPN is a relatively new blockchain project that is in the move-to-earn industry. Its concept is relatively simple. Users install an app in their smartphones and are then rewarded using GMT for running and walking. In addition to this, the network has an NFT element.

STEPN’s market is continually growing as the number of people embrace the platform. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the GMT price will keep rising in the coming months. A key challenge for STEPN is that competition from the likes of Step App and Sweat Coin.

Theta Network (THETA)

Theta Network price has crashed by more than 88% from the all-time high that it reached in 2021. Its market cap has dropped to more than $1.2 billion, making it the 56th biggest cryptocurrency in the world. For starters, Theta is a platform that is changing the video distribution industry. 

It uses a decentralized method where anyone can host videos in their free storage and then earn money from it. The platform launched TDROP,  a platform that lets people mint and buy NFTs. Therefore, while the token has declined sharply, there is a likelihood that it will bounce back in the near term.

The Sandbox (SAND)

The Sandbox is one of the biggest platforms in the gaming, metaverse, and NFT industries. The platform allows people to buy virtual land, host virtual events, play games, and trade NFTs. It has managed to attract leading companies like HSBC and Standard Chartered, which are some of the biggest banks in the industry. 

The SAND price has dropped by more than 85% from its all-time high. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the Sandbox price will have a relief rally in 2022.

Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR)

Hedera Hashgraph has been one of the best cryptocurrencies to buy for short-term gains. For starters, Hedera is a blockchain project that aims to become a better alternative to Ethereum and Solana. It claims to have faster speeds and that its blockchain is carbon negative. Hedera is also owned by some of the leading companies like IBM, Google, LG, Ubisoft, and Boeing. 

The Hedera Hashgraph price has fallen by 83% from its all-time high while its total market cap has moved to $2 billion. With its ecosystem growing, there is a possibility that the HBAR price will bounce back.

Cosmos (ATOM)

The Cosmos price has had a difficult performance this year. The most recent catalyst for the sell-off was the collapse of the Terra ecosystem. This was a notable event since Terra was built using Cosmos’ SDK. Therefore, the ATOM price declined as investors predicted reduced activity. 

However, these fears are likely overblown since Cosmos is much bigger than Terra. Besides, Terra did not collapse because it was built using the SDK. Therefore, ATOM is a good short-term and long-term investment.

Ethereum Name Service (ENS)

Ethereum Name Service is a unique blockchain project that is changing the domain registry business. People can use its network to buy domains that have a .eth suffix. The network has a near-monopoly in this industry. It has also moved to the NFT industry. Therefore, while the ENS price has declined sharply, there is a possibility that the coin will recover.

Learn how to buy Ethereum.

Litecoin (LTC)

Litecoin price has declined sharply this year. To a large extent, the coin has even lost its correlation with Bitcoin. Still, it is one of the oldest coins in the industry, meaning that it has trust of investors. If the digital coins bounce back, there is a possibility that Litecoin will also rise.

Learn how to buy Bitcoin with a debit card.

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Internet Computer price prediction: Is ICP a good investment?

The Internet Computer (ICP/USD) price moved sideways as the consolidation in the cryptocurrency industry continued. The token is trading at $8, which is about 36% above the lowest level last week. It remains about 98% below its all-time high, bringing its total market cap to about $1.8 billion.

Will ICP bounce back? 

Internet Computer is a blockchain project that was launched in 2021 by Dfinity, a Swiss-based organization. The platform’s goal is to form a foundation of web 3.0 by helping developers build quality applications. 

Its platform has better features than other blockchains like Ethereum and Solana. For example, its data storage costs are about $0.46 GB per month, which is about 100,000x lower than that of Solana. At the same time, its decentralized applications run 100% on-chain and are owned by DAOs.

According to the developers, its ecosystem has become popular among creators. Some of the most popular applications built using Internet Computer are Fleek, OpenChat, Internet Identity, and Motoko Playground among others. They believe that more developers will embrace the platform in the future.

While activity in the Internet Computer blockchain is rising, the ICP price has not performed equally well. It has lost over 98% of its value and is now the 40th biggest project in the world.

There are several reasons why the ICP price has lagged the market. First, investors have not embraced the coin after its crash that happened shortly after its launch. Second, there are concerns about the competitive nature of the industry. Some of the most notable players it is competing with include Avalanche, Solana, and even Ethereum.

Further, like other cryptocurrencies, investors are afraid of the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. The bank has committed to continue hiking interest rates in its bid to fight inflation. Further, the recent crash of Terra LUNA has not helped ICP and other coins.

Internet Computer price prediction

On the four-hour chart, we see that the ICP price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few weeks. It fell to a low of $5.87 during the Terra LUNA bloodbath that happened last week. It has remained below the descending trendline that is shown in purple. The coin has also declined below the 25-day and 50-day moving averages.

Therefore, the path of the least resistance for Internet Computer price is lower, with the next key support level being at $5.50.

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Why is KLAY up by more than 5% today?

The cryptocurrency market has underperformed over the last 24 hours after having a positive start to the week.

The cryptocurrency market’s recovery journey has encountered a slight challenge as the market lost nearly 2% of its value in the last 24 hours.

The total cryptocurrency market cap has dropped below the $1.3 trillion mark again following this latest bearish performance.

Bitcoin is struggling to surpass the $31k resistance level and has lost 1.7% of its value in the last 24 hours. Ether, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is down by more than 2% today but maintains its value above the $2,000 psychological level.

However, KLAY, the native token of the Klaytn ecosystem is up by more than 5% today. KLAY is the best performer amongst the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market cap at the moment. However, it has lost more than 7% of its value in the last seven days.

There is no apparent catalyst behind KLAY’s ongoing positive performance. KLAY has outperformed the broader cryptocurrency market and the other leading cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Solana and Cardano.

Key levels to watch

The KLAY/USDT 4-hour chart is currently bullish thanks to KLAY’s ongoing positive performance. 

The MACD line has just entered the neutral zone and could move into the positive territory if the rally continues. 

The 14-day relative strength index of 61 shows that KLAY could soon enter the overbought region if it can maintain its current momentum.

At press time, KLAY is trading at $0.442 per coin. If the rally continues, KLAY could move past the first major resistance level at $0.511 before the end of the day. However, it would need the support of the broader crypto market to surpass its second major resistance level at $0.724 in the short term. 

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Bitcoin bottom not in yet, according to on-chain analysis

On-chain analysis is fascinating to me. Exclusive to the blockchain, it doesn’t exist outside of crypto. But in jumping on-chain, we can often get intriguing insights into market sentiment, and specific indicators have even been predictive of future price action.  

Of course, given Bitcoin’s short history of just over a decade, it’s not yet clear which indicators are merely coincidences and which carry actual value. But that’s part of the fun, no?

Percentage of Supply in Profit

I came across an exciting indicator this week on Twitter, compiled by @OnChainCollege, who is a great follow if you’re into on-chain analysis. He looks at the percentage of Bitcoin supply in profit to gauge how overheated (or cooled off) the market is. Historically, this has signalled the start and end of the bear markets quite well for Bitcoin.

And these bands are very close to crossing at the moment.

To explain what the metric is, for those unaware, the percentage of supply in profit refers to the percentage of existing bitcoins where the current price is higher than the price at which those bitcoins were purchased. When the percentage of supply in profit rises above 50%, this is a top signal. When the percentage drops below 50%, this is a bottom signal. Or so the theory goes.

The graph below shows this, going back to 2011. Note that @OnChainCollege graphed it by placing the percentage of supply in loss (red) on the chart too, as well as the percentage of supply in profit (green). These two lines crossing would be the indicator.

Historical Accuracy

As you can see, this has crossed only four times previously. The most recent was March 2020, when the onset of COVID rattled the markets. In my view, this was the scariest time in crypto history – a true existential event (to be honest, it felt like it was an existential crisis for the world as a whole).

To play devil’s advocate, you could probably write this instance off as a black swan event, and overlook the impressive bounce that followed the crossover here – fine. But in looking at the other cases, the prediction ability holds in all three cases: 2019, 2014 and 2011.  

That’s all well and good. But what is the market saying now? Well, the percentage of supply in loss has not crossed the percentage in profit – yet. If the pattern holds, that means there may still be more pain to give before the bottom is in.

Caveats to On-Chain Analysis

Obviously, any on-chain analysis comes with the caveat that not only is the sample space small, but the data may be non-structural, with material changes to the landscape. Today, we are seeing rampant inflation, a hawkish Fed and a scary geopolitical climate. This has triggered the worst start to a year for stocks since 1939.

These macro headwinds mean that, for the first time in Bitcoin’s history, it is swimming upstream against serious and consistent bearish sentiment – April was the worst month for stocks since October 2008. Additionally, Bitcoin has almost nothing in common today with the niche Internet money it was back in 2011, or even 2014. Today, it takes its place amid bonafide asset classes, with institutional money pouring in and a seat at the macro table.

All this means that there is far from a guarantee that history repeats itself here, should these bands cross again. Nonetheless, it’s a fascinating trend to keep an eye on and a neat use of on-chain analysis from an analyst who is a personal favourite of mine. It will be fun to track going forward.

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