XRP stalls below $1.38 as weak momentum keeps breakout at bay

  • XRP price has slipped after failing to hold the $1.38 resistance level.
  • Momentum stays weak as volume and buying pressure remain low.
  • Price is compressed between $1.32 support and $1.39 resistance.

XRP slipped back after briefly pushing toward $1.38, marking another failed attempt to break higher.

Notably, XRP has spent the past several days moving between roughly $1.32 and the upper resistance zone near $1.35–$1.39.

But each push higher has struggled to attract enough buying pressure to sustain a breakout, and as a result, the market remains stuck in a tight range, with neither bulls nor bears fully in control.

Weak momentum keeps upside in check

One of the biggest issues for XRP right now is the lack of momentum.

Even with the impressive gains, the strength behind those gains is limited. Indicators are hovering around neutral levels, showing that buyers are not stepping in aggressively.

Volume has also been inconsistent, and in some cases, it has even declined during upward moves. That is usually a warning sign that the rally may not last.

This weakness becomes even more noticeable when compared to the broader market.

Bitcoin has been leading recent gains, lifting many altcoins along with it and while XRP has followed this trend, it has not shown much independent strength of its own.

That matters because externally driven rallies tend to be fragile.

If Bitcoin slows down or pulls back, XRP could quickly lose support and fall back into its lower range.

Without a strong internal catalyst, it is difficult for XRP to break away from this pattern.

A market in compression, not in trend

While momentum remains weak, there is another side to the story that cannot be ignored.

XRP’s supply on exchanges appears to be tightening, suggesting that more holders are choosing to keep their tokens rather than sell.

XRP supply on exchanges thining
Source: CryptoQuant

At the same time, there is very little leverage in the market. Traders are not taking large speculative positions, which reduces the chances of sudden, exaggerated moves in either direction.

This combination creates what would be termed a compression phase, since the price is not moving much, volatility is shrinking, and participation is relatively low.

XRP breakout potential vs downside risk

The current setup leaves XRP at a crossroads. On one hand, the tightening supply and improving broader sentiment suggest that a breakout is possible.

On the other hand, the lack of momentum and weak participation make it difficult to trust any move higher without confirmation.

If XRP manages to hold above the $1.28–$1.31 support zone, another attempt at testing the $1.35–$1.39 resistance zone is likely.

XRP price analysis
Source: TradingView

And a decisive push above $1.39, supported by stronger trading activity, could shift sentiment and push the price towards the multi-month resistance at $1.43.

However, the downside risk is just as important. A break below the $1.32–$1.33 support zone could lead to a quicker drop, with analysts highlighting $1.28 as the next support level to watch.

If selling pressure increases further, deeper support near $1.13 could come into focus.

For now, the market is not trending but rather preparing for its next move.

The pullback from $1.38 highlights the lack of strength, but it also reinforces how tightly price is coiling, and the longer XRP remains in this range, the more meaningful the eventual breakout or breakdown is likely to be.

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Enjin surges 45% as volume and open interest hit multi-month highs

Key takeaways

  • ENJ is one of the best performers in the crypto market, up 45% in the last 24 hours.
  • The rally could allow ENJ to surge towards $0.045 in the near term. 

Enjin Coin (ENJ) continues to rally

Enjin Coin (ENJ) extends its gains, holding steady above $0.035 on Thursday following a remarkable 45% price increase in the last 24 hours. 

This bullish momentum is underpinned by both on-chain and derivatives data, with a positive technical outlook suggesting that ENJ may continue its upward trend in the near future.

Data obtained from Santiment shows that Enjin Coin’s ecosystem trading volume surged to $216.97 million on Thursday, marking the highest trading volume since April 2025. 

Meanwhile, CoinGlass data shows that ENJ’s futures Open Interest (OI) reached a new record of $74.68 million on Thursday, up significantly from $19.82 million on Tuesday. A rising OI indicates fresh capital entering the market, which could further propel the coin’s price upward.

Despite the rally, traders remain cautious as some early signs of buyer fatigue begin to surface. According to CryptoQuant, there is a rise in retail activity, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. 

Furthermore, sell-side dominance in both the spot and futures markets may point to potential bearish pressure, signaling that the current rally could face resistance in the near term.

ENJ eyes further gains after 45% increase

The ENJ/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient thanks to the 45% rally. The rally has lifted ENJ price back above the short- and medium-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), leaving only the 200-day EMA at $0.035 as immediate overhead resistance.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 70, indicating a bullish bias. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram turning strongly positive reinforces growing upside momentum.

ENJ/USD 4H Chart

If the rally persists, initial resistance is seen at the 200-day EMA at $0.035. If the daily candle closes above this level, it could extend its rally towards the $0.051 resistance level, followed by $0.066 and $0.082 zones. 

However, if the bears regain control, ENJ would likely face the initial support at $0.031. The 100-day EMA at $0.024 and the 50-day EMA at $0.022, together with the lower horizontal level at $0.019, form a deeper demand zone that could also prove to be bouncing support levels in the near term.

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ADA could dip lower under broader market pressure

Key takeaways

  • ADA is down 3% and is now trading around $0.2512 per coin.
  • The bearish performance could see ADA slip below the $0.2400 support level.

Cardano (ADA) faces renewed selling pressure as bullish interest fades

Cardano (ADA) continues to face significant selling pressure, with the cryptocurrency extending its 4% loss from Wednesday, falling to the $0.2500 at the time of writing on Thursday. 

The decline has been driven by intense long liquidations in ADA futures over the last 24 hours, signaling a diminishing bullish sentiment among traders. For a potential recovery, Cardano must reclaim the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2672.

The broader market sentiment remains mixed, as the US-Iran ceasefire risks being undermined by Israel’s ongoing missile strikes on Lebanon. While Cardano futures initially saw some bullish interest following Tuesday’s ceasefire announcement, this has since diminished.

Data from CoinGlass reveals that liquidated ADA derivatives positions over the past 24 hours totaled $602,370, with $544,540 coming from long liquidations, indicating a significant wipeout of bullish positions. This liquidation pressure has contributed to an 6% drop in ADA futures Open Interest (OI), which now stands at $412.36 million.

Furthermore, the OI-weighted funding rate dropped to -0.0045% on Thursday, indicating that traders are increasingly shifting towards short positions.

ADA could dip below the $0.2400 support level

The ADA/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient following the recent day. ADA is currently trading below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

Momentum indicators only hint at tentative stabilization rather than a clear bullish shift. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a marginally positive reading, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 hovers just above the neutral midline level.

ADA/USD 4H Chart

If the selloff continues, ADA could slip towards the March 29 low at $0.2328, with the February 6 low at $0.2205 providing further support.

On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, they would encounter initial resistance at the 50-day EMA around $0.2673. A daily close above this barrier would ease the immediate bearish tone and open the way toward the $0.2991 resistance level.

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Hyperliquid outperforms other major coins, eyes further gains

Key takeaways

  • HYPE is up 10% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the other major cryptocurrencies.
  • The coin could surge towards the $50 psychological level in the near term.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) nears $40 as US-Iran ceasefire boosts market sentiment

HYPE, the native coin of the Hyperliquid DEX, is approaching the $40 mark on Wednesday, extending its recovery linked to the US-Iran ceasefire. 

Retail demand for HYPE continues to rise, driving increased futures Open Interest amid a broader market rally. Technically, HYPE has broken out of a falling channel pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling a bullish near-term outlook.

Throughout the US-Iran conflict, Hyperliquid showed resilience, with its 24/7 trading platform for crude oil and other commodities gaining traction during the crisis. The ongoing recovery in the crypto market, driven by the ceasefire, has increased anticipation for HYPE’s recovery.

According to CoinGlass data, HYPE futures Open Interest (OI) reached $1.64 billion on Wednesday, marking a 9% increase in the last 24 hours. Typically, such an OI expansion during a spot market rally signals growing demand entering the leverage market.

Liquidations in the last 24 hours totaled $4.49 million, led by $4.28 million in short liquidations, indicating a sell-side weakness. Additionally, the OI-weighted funding rate remains positive at 0.0082%, showing sustained bullish sentiment among traders.

Will HYPE rally towards the $50 mark?

The HYPE/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient as Hyperliquid is the best performer among the leading cryptocurrencies. 

HYPE is trading above the 50- and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the 4-hour chart, reflecting a potential trend reversal. 

At the time of writing, HYPE trades around $39.00, extending the breakout gains of a falling channel pattern.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is above its signal and the zero line, suggesting strengthening upside momentum. 

HYPE/USD 4H Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 66 remains below overbought territory, suggesting firm buying pressure without clear exhaustion at this stage.

If the rally persists, HYPE would likely surge towards the first major resistance level at $43. A daily candle close above this level would pave the way for further rally towards the $50 psychological zone.

However, if the market reverses, HYPE could test the 200-period EMA at $37.10. A drop below this support zone would nullify the bullish breakout and deepen the downside risk.

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Bitcoin recovers as US and Iran Agree a Ceasefire Deal

Key takeaways

  • BTC is up 4% and is now trading above $71k.
  • The rally could push Bitcoin’s price above $76k for the first time since March 16.

Bitcoin and crypto market surge following U.S.-Iran ceasefire announcement

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and the broader cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rise over the last 24 hours after the U.S. and Iran reached a ceasefire agreement.

At press time, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $71,640, up 4.3% in the last 24 hours. Earlier in the day, the cryptocurrency briefly surpassed $72,700, marking its highest value since March 18.

Ethereum gained 6.7%, reaching $2,257, while XRP increased 5.8% to $1.37. Solana surged 6.5%, hitting $84.81. The overall crypto market was up 3.95% during the same period.

The surge coincided with President Donald Trump’s announcement that the U.S. and Iran had agreed to a two-week “double-sided ceasefire.” Trump, who had previously warned of a possible military response if Iran failed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, emphasized that the ceasefire was a result of having met all military objectives and being close to a long-term peace agreement.

Iran’s official statement confirmed its commitment to allowing safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most vital oil trade route. This had previously caused significant volatility in global oil prices and disrupted supply chains.

BTC eyes $76k as bullish momentum persists

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient despite the recent rally. The leading cryptocurrency has surpassed the $69,200 resistance level and could challenge the swing high of $76,000 over the next few hours or days.

The momentum indicators show that the bulls are currently in control of the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 70, approaching the overbought condition, indicating that the bulls are in control.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

The MACD lines are also within the positive territory, reaffirming the bullish bias. If the rally persists, BTC could retest the $76,000 resistance level for the first time since March 16. Surpassing this resistance level would pave the way for Bitcoin to surge toward the $80k psychological zone.

However, if the bulls fail to capitalize on this rally, Bitcoin will find immediate support around the Tuesday low of $67,719.

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