Kategorie: Crypto Analysis

Key takeaways

• BTC dips lower for a fourth straight day on Monday after losing nearly 6% the previous week.
• US-listed BTC spot ETFs record a weekly outflow of $1 billion, the highest in three months.

Bitcoin (BTC) remained under pressure on Monday, trading below $77,000 after declining nearly 6% last week, as persistent spot ETF outflows and stronger-than-expected US inflation data dampened investor appetite for risk assets.

The latest decline marks Bitcoin’s fourth consecutive day of losses, with the cryptocurrency continuing to retreat after failing to sustain momentum above the key $82,000 resistance zone.

Hot US inflation data boosts hawkish Fed expectations

Bitcoin’s recent weakness accelerated following hotter-than-expected US inflation data released last week, alongside stronger US retail sales figures that reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve.

The renewed inflation concerns strengthened the US dollar and pushed Treasury yields higher, creating additional pressure on risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Higher interest rate expectations typically reduce market liquidity and shift investor capital toward safer, yield-generating assets, limiting demand for speculative markets like Bitcoin.

The rejection near the $82,000 level also triggered additional profit-taking from short-term holders, intensifying the correction.

Institutional demand for Bitcoin also weakened notably last week. According to data from CoinGlass, US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded net outflows of approximately $1 billion last week, marking the largest weekly withdrawal since late January.

The sharp reversal in ETF flows signals a cooling of institutional sentiment after several weeks of strong inflows that had previously supported Bitcoin’s rally.

If ETF outflows continue in the coming sessions, analysts warn that Bitcoin could face additional downside pressure.

Bitcoin price outlook: Bulls failed to take out a key resistance level

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish after Bitcoin’s price was rejected near the 100-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $82,289.

BTC also closed last week below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near $78,490, measured from the October all-time high of $126,199 to the February low around $60,000.

The breakdown below those key technical levels has shifted momentum firmly lower. If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could extend losses toward the major psychological support level at $75,000.

On the weekly chart, momentum indicators remain mixed but increasingly cautious. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) slipped below the neutral 50 level and currently sits near 35, signaling a strong bearish momentum.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is also in the negative region, suggesting that the bears are in control. 

If the bearish trend persists, immediate support sits near the clustered 50-day and 100-day EMAs below current price action.

Further downside targets include the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $74,487, followed by the previous trendline breakout zone around $70,576.

Below that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near $68,950 remains a critical level protecting Bitcoin’s broader bullish structure above the $60,000 swing low.

However, if the bulls regain control, initial resistance emerges near the 50% Fibonacci retracement around $78,962, followed by the 200-day EMA near $81,853.

A stronger bullish continuation would likely require a daily close above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near $83,437 and the horizontal resistance barrier around $84,410.

The post Bitcoin slides below $76,800 as ETF outflows and inflation fears pressure crypto markets appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Ripple (XRP) tests support at $1.43 amid selling pressure from the $1.50 supply zone. 
• Institutional ETF inflows rebound to $1.37B, while futures open interest rises to $3.09B, signaling cautious optimism. 

Ripple (XRP) is grinding lower on Friday, testing key support at $1.43 after being capped by strong selling from the $1.50 supply range since Monday. 

Despite the US Senate Banking Committee advancing the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (Clarity Act) on Thursday, overall market sentiment remains constrained amid a cautious recovery outlook.

XRP addresses in profit tick up

The proportion of XRP addresses with unrealized profit rose to approximately 65% on Thursday, up from 63% the previous day, coinciding with the token’s test of $1.50 resistance. 

This reflects a modest increase in risk-on sentiment, though traders should remain wary of potential profit-taking in a fragile technical environment.

Institutional flows into XRP spot ETFs rebounded sharply, with nearly $19 million in fresh inflows on Thursday. Cumulative ETF inflows now total $1.37 billion, while average net assets under management rose to $1.25 billion from $1.14 billion.

Retail participation in XRP derivatives also continues to grow. Futures Open Interest (OI) averaged $2.97 billion on Friday, up from $2.90 billion, signaling rising conviction among traders in XRP’s potential to extend an upward trajectory.

Technical outlook: consolidation within the corrective phase

The XRP/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as XRP has lost lost 2.5% of its value in the last 24 hours. XRP trades at $1.43, holding a neutral to mildly constructive bias.

It is trading above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.42 while remaining capped beneath the 100-day EMA at $1.49 and the 200-day EMA at $1.70. This configuration suggests an ongoing consolidation within a broader corrective phase.

If the bears stay in control, immediate support will emerge at the 50-day EMA around $1.42, with a rising trendline near $1.39 providing a stronger floor. A daily close below $1.39 could expose deeper losses.

However, if the bulls push harder, they would encounter initial resistance at the 100-day EMA at $1.49. A sustained break above this level would open the path toward the 200-day EMA near $1.70, where broader bearish pressure would be challenged.

The momentum indicator suggests that the bears are slowly regaining control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51, and the MACD histogram is slightly positive, indicating limited directional conviction rather than a strong impulsive move.

XRP’s price action suggests ongoing consolidation within a corrective phase, with both buyers and sellers vying for control around critical EMA levels.

The post Ripple (XRP) tests $1.43 support amid mixed market sentiment appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Pi Network extends losses on Friday as a 50-period EMA caps short-term recovery attempts.
• The token could drop below the $0.1600 if the bearish trend persists. 

Pi Network (PI) extended losses on Friday, risking a bearish breakout from its short-term consolidation on the 4-hour chart. 

The token remains capped by the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.1733, limiting recovery despite the recent launch of vibe coding features within the Pi ecosystem.

Vibe coding features aim to boost ecosystem development

The Pi Network has introduced vibe coding tools for developers, enabling the conversion of AI-assisted apps—from platforms like Codex, Claude Code, Replit, Cursor, and Lovable—into Pi Apps. 

This integration could reduce app development time and strengthen the ecosystem, which boasts over 60 million engaged users.

Technical outlook: correction pressure persists

The PI/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient as PI is down by more than 2% in the last 24 hours. 

PI is currently under a corrective bias, capped by the 50-period EMA at $0.1733 on the 4-hour chart and the 200-period EMA at $0.1771. 

The pair also sits below a nearby downtrend resistance line around $0.1741, reinforcing the upside barrier.

If the bulls regain control, initial resistance would be seen at the 50-period EMA at $0.1733 and the 200-period EMA at $0.1771 cap short-term upside. A nearby downtrend resistance line around $0.1741 adds to the barrier.

The momentum indicators also suggest that the bears are still in control.  The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 45, below the midline, signaling persistent selling pressure. 

The MACD remains near-flat, suggesting weak, consolidative momentum rather than a decisive rebound.

However, if the bearish trend persists, immediate support would emerge at the S1 Pivot Point at $0.1645.

Pi Network’s short-term outlook remains cautious, and traders should monitor both EMA and trendline levels for signs of a breakout or deeper correction.

The post PI faces corrective pressure as token struggles below $0.17 appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Sui is down 10% on Friday, extending its decline for the fifth consecutive day.
• The technical outlook for SUI is bearish, with a risk of a steeper decline toward $1.00.

Sui (SUI) is down roughly 10% on Friday, continuing a five-day decline this week as retail interest in the token wanes. 

The broader market is shifting focus away from underperforming layer-1 assets, and technical indicators suggest a potential double-digit drop toward $1.00.

Weakness in derivatives signals sell-side dominance

SUI is also losing traction in the derivatives market. According to CoinGlass, SUI futures Open Interest (OI) fell 10.5% over the past 24 hours to $727.97 million, reflecting a reduced notional value of outstanding contracts. 

In the same period, $7.2 million in positions were liquidated, with $7. million coming from long positions—indicating strong sell-side pressure.

Technical outlook: Will SUI drop below $1?

The SUI/USD 4H chart is bearish and efficient as Sui is down by 10% in the last 24 hours. At press time, SUI is trading below the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.1558 and the lower Bollinger Band at $1.1442, showing short-term bearish bias. 

The token remains above the 200-period EMA at $1.0270, suggesting that the broader recovery structure is still intact despite waning momentum.

Momentum indicators indicate that the bears are still in play. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped to 46, below the midline, while the MACD histogram remains in negative territory, implying that rebounds may face persistent selling pressure.

If the bearish trend persists, the bulls would encounter the first support at the 200-day EMA at $1.0270 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $0.9972.

A daily close below this level could see SUI approach the prior cycle low near $0.8815.

However, if the bulls regain control, SUI could rally towards the first resistance level at $1.2171. An extended rally could see SUI hit the upper Bollinger Band near $1.2900, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $1.2947.

SUI’s technical structure shows deteriorating momentum, and traders should monitor both spot and derivatives markets for signs of further downside or potential relief rallies.

The post Sui (SUI) extends losses amid weak retail demand appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Quant (QNT) extends its rally toward $80, supported by rising whale and retail demand. 
• A breakout above the $80 resistance could set the stage for a potential rise toward $100. 

Quant (QNT) has extended its recent gains towards the $80 mark on Thursday, testing the potential breakout from a long-standing resistance trendline. 

The cryptocurrency’s bullish technical outlook is supported by rising leverage-based activity from large wallet investors, or whales, with a daily close above $80 paving the way for a possible rally toward the $100 target.

Whale and retail demand fuel Quant’s steady recovery

Quant’s steady short-term recovery is being driven by growing demand from both retail and large-wallet investors. 

CryptoQuant data reveals an increase in the average order size of executed orders in the leverage market, indicating heightened whale activity. Additionally, the 90-day cumulative volume difference between buy and sell orders reflects a clear buy dominance, further supporting bullish sentiment.

CoinGlass data shows that QNT futures Open Interest (OI) has surged to $17.61 million, up significantly from $16.96 million on May 1. 

This steady recovery in QNT futures is now approaching the peak of $38.27 million reached on September 21, indicating continued investor interest and positive market sentiment.

Technical outlook: Will Quant reach $100?

The QNT/USD 4-hour chart is bullish as Quant is up by 7% in the last 24 hours. It is currently trading at $78, above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $77.52. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is positive, with the MACD line crossing above its signal and both moving above zero, signaling strong bullish momentum. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 64, indicating firm bullish momentum, though edging closer to overbought territory as price approaches higher resistance levels.

If the rally continues, a decisive close above the descending trendline break level near $77.89 would confirm a breakout from the triangle pattern on the daily chart. 

Such a breakout could pave the way for a rally toward the $88.30 swing high, followed by the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level at $101.14.

However, if the bears regain control of the market, they would encounter initial support at the 50-day EMA near $72.03. 

A deeper pullback would target the 50% retracement level around $68.79, with further support found at the former rising trendline region near $67.86 and the 38.2% retracement near $66.86.

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