Bitcoin drops to $73K amid renewed US strikes on Iran and ETF outflows

  • Bitcoin (BTC) is down to around $73K amid ETF outflows and geopolitical tension.
  • Over $2B in ETF outflows and $900M liquidations added selling pressure.
  • The key support sits at $72,650 with RSI near oversold levels at 34.82.

Bitcoin slipped below the $73,000 level as a combination of geopolitical escalation, heavy ETF redemptions, and large institutional sell pressure weighed on the market.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading around $73,235, after briefly touching an intraday low of $72,604 from a high of $74,490.

The decline has extended a multi-week decline that has already erased more than 8% over the past 14 days and nearly 33% over the last year.

Geopolitical shock and forced liquidations accelerate the downtrend

The sharpest part of the decline came after renewed US military strikes on Iran, which triggered a broad risk-off reaction across global markets.

Crypto assets were hit particularly hard due to their higher leverage exposure.

During the selloff, more than $900 million in crypto positions were liquidated, according to market data compiled during the session.

The liquidations were concentrated in over-leveraged long positions, which forced additional selling into already weakening order books.

This cascade effect pushed Bitcoin below the $73,000 threshold and briefly accelerated downside momentum before stabilising within the day’s range.

The move also coincided with increased correlation to traditional risk assets, with Bitcoin’s correlation to the Nasdaq Composite reported at 0.96, one of the highest levels seen in recent months.

Bitcoin ETF outflows deepen institutional selling pressure

Alongside macro-driven volatility, institutional flows added sustained pressure on Bitcoin’s price.

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded eight consecutive days of net outflows, marking one of the longest negative streaks since their introduction.

On May 27 alone, ETF outflows reached approximately $733 million, contributing to a broader net withdrawal exceeding $2 billion since mid-May.

These redemptions reflect consistent selling pressure from institutional investors, reducing exposure during the recent downturn.

The largest pressure point during the session was linked to a reported $1.3 billion institutional ETF-related block trade, involving approximately 29.2 million shares of BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), executed at an estimated price of $43.16 per share.

The trade was reportedly processed through private market channels before the impact was reflected in spot markets.

Following the execution, Bitcoin dropped roughly 1.4% to 1.5% within minutes, suggesting that liquidity conditions were thin enough for large orders to influence short-term pricing.

This added to the existing ETF-driven selling momentum already in place across the market.

Bitcoin price outlook

Over the past month, Bitcoin has declined by about 4.7%, while the 14-day drop of 8.4% points to a broader downtrend that has steadily developed in recent weeks.

The asset remains well below its highs, trading roughly 42% under the $126,080 peak recorded in October 2025.

Even with the pullback, market activity has remained elevated, with daily trading volume above $44 billion, suggesting that both institutional and retail participants are still actively positioning rather than exiting the market entirely.

This sustained activity suggests that the current move is being driven more by repositioning and flow shifts than by a drop in overall participation.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has broken below its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages, reinforcing a bearish short-term structure.

Bitcoin price chart

The immediate focus is now on the $72,650 support level, which represents the most recent swing low and the key area separating consolidation from deeper downside pressure.

On the upside, the nearest resistance is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $74,332, which has now become the first meaningful barrier for any recovery attempt.

If ETF outflows continue or geopolitical tensions remain elevated, a decisive break below $72,650 could expose the market to a potential move toward the psychologically important $70,000 level, where liquidity and buyer interest may be tested more aggressively.

At the same time, momentum indicators are showing early signs of exhaustion on the downside, with the 14-day RSI at 34.82, placing Bitcoin near oversold territory and increasing the likelihood of short-term relief bounces within the broader downtrend.

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Pi Network holds above $0.1500 as exchange outflows hint at recovery

Key takeaways

  • PI is up by 2% in the last 24 hours and maintains its value above $0.1500.
  • The momentum indicators suggest a potential recovery in the near term. 

Pi Network trades steadily above $0.1500 on Friday as recent exchange data points to mild accumulation activity. 

While the token continues to face resistance near $0.1550, declining selling pressure and growing CEX outflows are supporting a cautiously bullish short-term outlook.

CEX outflows signal growing demand for PI

A decline in token balances on Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) is often viewed as a positive sign, as it suggests investors are moving assets into private wallets rather than preparing to sell.

According to PiScan data, roughly 400,000 PI tokens were withdrawn from exchanges over the past 24 hours. 

The steady reduction in exchange reserves may indicate renewed short-term demand and could help fuel Pi Network’s next recovery attempt if the trend continues.

PI technical analysis: PI faces key resistance near $0.1550

The PI/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish despite the positive performance today. At the time of writing, PI trades around $0.1536, remaining below both the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.1573 and the 200-period EMA at $0.1680.

For bullish momentum to strengthen, PI must break above the $0.1550 resistance zone and reclaim the 50-period EMA. A successful breakout could pave the way for a move toward the 200-period EMA near $0.1680.

Technical indicators suggest sellers may be losing control in the short term. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator and its signal line continue trending upward, although both remain below the zero line. This points to a potential recovery phase within a broader bearish structure.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near the neutral 50 level, signaling balanced momentum as downside pressure gradually fades.

PI/USD 4H Chart

If the bearish trend returns, immediate support emerges at Tuesday’s low of $0.1463. A break below this level could expose PI to further weakness and potentially retest its all-time low near $0.1310.

As long as support holds and exchange reserves continue falling, traders may keep watching for signs of a bullish breakout above the $0.1550 resistance zone.

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Celestia (TIA) extends recovery above $0.44 as retail traders fuel rally

Key takeaways

  • Celestia (TIA) climbed above $0.4400 on Friday, marking its third consecutive day of gains this week.
  • The coin could extend its rally towards the $0.50 psychological level.

Celestia (TIA) climbed above $0.4400 on Friday, marking its third consecutive day of gains this week. The rally appears to be driven largely by growing retail interest and rising social media attention rather than a major fundamental catalyst.

With momentum indicators strengthening and price approaching a key resistance zone, traders are now watching whether TIA can sustain its rebound and push toward the $0.50 level.

Retail demand and social buzz boost TIA

TIA is up10% in the last 24 hours and is now trading above $0.4400 per coin. Retail participation in Celestia has surged as the token emerges as one of the stronger performers in the broader crypto market.

According to CoinGlass data, TIA’s Open Interest (OI) climbed to $68.17 million, rising more than 10% in the past 24 hours. The increase suggests growing leveraged trading activity and heightened speculative interest.

At the same time, TIA’s funding rate stands at 0.0042%, indicating traders are paying a premium to maintain long positions — a sign of bullish market sentiment.

Santiment data also highlights a sharp increase in social engagement surrounding Celestia.

The token’s social dominance rose to 0.024% of all crypto-related discussions, signaling growing attention from retail traders and online communities.

The combination of rising Open Interest and increased social buzz suggests speculative momentum is currently driving the rally.

Celestia technical outlook: Bulls regain control

The TIA/USD 4-hour chart has flipped bullish as Celestia has surged by more than 15% in the last seven days.

The rally began with a strong 6% rebound on Wednesday and has since pushed TIA above several important technical levels, including the 100-day EMA at $0.4015 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.4104

These levels are measured from the January 13 high of $0.6257 to the February 6 low of $0.2693.

If the rally persists, the next major resistance lies between $0.4596 and $0.4722, a supply zone that previously rejected bullish attempts earlier this month.

A daily candle break above these levels could pave the way for TIA to extend its rally towards the $0.5224 resistance zone.

Technical indicators continue to favor bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 67, suggesting buying pressure remains healthy without entering overbought territory.

The MACD indicator is moving toward a bullish crossover as negative histogram bars continue to shrink, signaling weakening bearish momentum.

Together, these signals suggest the current recovery still has room to extend higher if buyers maintain control.

TIA/USD 4H Chart

However, if TIA loses momentum near resistance, traders will likely focus on several key support zones. The first major support zone is the $0.4104 level, which served as a previous demand region.

Failure to defend this support could expose lower demand zones like the 100-day EMA at $0.4015 and the 50-day EMA at $0.3844. Holding above these levels would help preserve the token’s short-term bullish structure.

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Dogecoin extends recovery as meme coins regain momentum

Key takeaways

  • DOGE is up by nearly 1% and is now trading above $0.10.
  • The rally comes as memecoins recorded gains amid the broader crypto market recovery.

Memecoins surge higher as market rebounds

Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe (PEPE) are extending their recovery on Thursday following recent corrections.

The positive performance comes as market sentiment helps lift major meme coins. Renewed optimism around a potential peace agreement between the United States and Iran has also contributed to the broader rebound across crypto markets.

Dogecoin is showing a very strong technical structure after rebounding from a key support zone. The coin is now approaching a major moving average level that could determine its next directional move.

Dogecoin price outlook: DOGE rebounds from key support zone

The DOGE/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient despite Dogecoin adding 1% to its value. The leading memecoin faced rejection at the weekly resistance level of $0.119 last week, triggering a decline of more than 11% through Tuesday.

However, it has now bounced back above $0.10 after retesting a key support area around the previous trendline breakout zone, which aligns with the daily support at $0.102,

At the moment, DOGE is approaching the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.106.

If the memecoin closes the daily candle above the 200-day EMA, it could strengthen its bullish momentum and open the path toward a retest of the $0.119 weekly resistance.

The momentum indicators suggest that the buyers are stepping in. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 43, indicating neutral conditions after the recent pullback. 

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in negative territory, suggesting that upside momentum is still fragile and could face resistance from overhead moving averages.

DOGE/USD 4H Chart

However, if the sellers return and DOGE drops below the $0.102 support, the bearish trend could push the price below the psychological level of $0.100.

Currently, DOGE remains in a short-term recovery phase, but traders are closely watching whether it can reclaim key technical levels to confirm a stronger bullish continuation.

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Zcash approaches $700 as buying pressure builds

Key takeaways

  • ZEC is up 12% in the last 24 hours, making it the second-best performer in the top 10.
  • The coin could rally past the $700 mark in the near term. 

ZEC rallies as broader crypto market underperforms

ZEC, the native coin of the Zcash ecosystem, is up 12% in the last 24 hours, making it the second-best performer among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

The rally allowed ZEC to hit the $692 mark earlier today, adding 26% to its market cap so far this week.

ZEC’s rally over the past few days comes as regulatory clarity for ZCash has improved following the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s announcement closing its investigation into the Zcash Foundation. 

The Zcash Foundation also reported holding approximately $36.7 million in liquid assets, mostly in ZEC, according to its Q1 update. Core technical development continues on the Zcash protocol despite organizational changes at the Electric Coin Company.

Zcash technical outlook: ZEC targets higher resistance levels above $700

The ZEC/USD 4-hour chart is extremely bullish as Zcash has only been outperformed by Hyperliquid over the last seven days. 

At press time, ZEC is trading at $655 after hitting the $692 level. The momentum indicators are extremely bullish, suggesting that the buyers are in full control. 

The RSI of 70 means that ZEC is now in the overbought region. The coin could undergo a correction, but the current momentum remains bullish. The MACD lines are also within the overbought territory.

If the rally continues, ZEC could extend its gains past $700 and hit the $745 resistance level for the first time since November. An extended rally would allow ZEC to target the $800 psychological level.

ZEC/USD 4H Chart

However, if the market undergoes a correction, ZEC could retest the $580 low created on Wednesday. 

Failure to defend this support level could expose ZEC to lower demand zones around $485.

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