BTC slips below $63K as Middle East tensions offset ETF inflows

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin fell to $63,000 after renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weakened investor risk appetite.
  • The U.S. military’s latest strikes on Iran and heightened tensions around the Strait of Hormuz boosted demand for safe-haven assets while pressuring cryptocurrencies.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $197.4 million in weekly inflows, ending an eight-week streak of net outflows, but institutional buying failed to offset broader market uncertainty.

Bitcoin (BTC) traded below $63,000 on Monday as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East weakened investor appetite for risk assets, overshadowing improving institutional demand through spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Although Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first week of net inflows in nearly two months, renewed uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz kept bullish momentum in check.

Middle East escalation sparks risk-off trading

Market sentiment deteriorated after the United States launched fresh military strikes against Iranian targets on Sunday.

According to the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), the operation targeted Iranian air defense systems, coastal radar installations, missile and drone capabilities, as well as naval assets using fighter aircraft, warships, and both aerial and maritime attack drones.

Iranian media reported multiple explosions near Sirik, Bandar Abbas, Qeshm, and Jask—areas located close to key military infrastructure surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.

The situation intensified after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly targeted another commercial vessel and announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil shipping routes.

The escalating conflict prompted investors to reduce exposure to riskier assets, driving West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil above $75 per barrel while cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, came under renewed selling pressure.

Despite the broader market weakness, institutional demand showed signs of recovery.

According to CoinGlass, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $197.4 million in net inflows last week, ending an eight-week streak of consecutive outflows that began in mid-May.

The return of institutional buying suggests long-term investor confidence remains intact. However, the renewed geopolitical uncertainty limited the immediate impact of these inflows on Bitcoin’s price.

Bitcoin price analysis: Bears continue to defend $64,000

Bitcoin was trading around $63,055 at the time of writing, remaining below the critical $64,000 resistance level.

The cryptocurrency continues to trade beneath all of its major exponential moving averages (EMAs), highlighting the prevailing bearish market structure.

Key resistance levels include:

  • 50-day EMA: $65,192
  • 100-day EMA: $68,686
  • 200-day EMA: $74,736

These technical barriers continue to form a strong overhead supply zone, limiting recovery attempts.

Momentum indicators suggest selling pressure may be easing, but a bullish reversal has yet to emerge. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains just below the neutral 50 level, indicating that buyers have not yet regained control.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in positive territory, suggesting downside momentum has moderated. 

However, the broader technical structure remains bearish as long as Bitcoin trades below key resistance levels.

The immediate resistance remains the $64,004 horizontal barrier, where recent rallies have repeatedly stalled.

If buyers successfully reclaim that level, attention will shift to the 50-day EMA at $65,192, the 100-day EMA ($68,686), and the 200-day EMA ($74,736).

A sustained breakout above these levels could open the door to a longer-term move toward the $84,410 resistance zone.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

On the downside, Bitcoin lacks strong technical support immediately below current prices. If selling pressure intensifies, traders are likely to focus on the $60,000 psychological level, which could serve as the next major support area.

For now, Bitcoin’s near-term direction will likely depend on whether geopolitical tensions ease and whether improving institutional demand through spot ETFs can outweigh broader macroeconomic and geopolitical risks.

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Ethereum approaches $1,800 as bulls test key resistance

Key takeaways

  • Ethereum (ETH) is extending its recovery, trading near $1,800, a key technical resistance level.
  • Despite improving momentum, ETH remains below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, keeping the broader trend cautious.
  • Technical indicators, including the RSI and MACD, suggest bullish momentum is strengthening.

Ethereum price nears $1,800 as recovery momentum builds

Ethereum (ETH) continued its recovery on Friday, climbing to around $1,790 as buyers pushed the cryptocurrency closer to the important $1,800 resistance level.

Although recent gains have improved short-term sentiment, Ethereum remains below several major moving averages, indicating that the broader trend has yet to shift decisively in favor of the bulls.

Ethereum’s recovery is approaching a significant technical hurdle at the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $1,800.

The asset continues to trade below all of its major trend indicators, including the 50-day EMA at $1,800, the 100-day EMA ($1,956), and the 200-day EMA ($2,235)

This cluster of moving averages continues to cap upside momentum and suggests that the broader market remains in a corrective phase despite the recent rebound.

Momentum Indicators Turn More Constructive

Technical indicators point to improving buying momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 60, moving above the neutral 50 level and indicating that buyers are gradually regaining control.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in positive territory, signaling strengthening bullish momentum as Ethereum attempts to build on its recent recovery.

While both indicators support additional upside in the short term, a confirmed breakout above the major resistance levels is still needed to establish a stronger bullish trend.

The immediate resistance remains the 50-day EMA near $1,800. A successful daily close above this level could allow Ethereum to target the 100-day EMA around $1,956, followed by the important $2,000 psychological resistance. 

Beyond that, the 200-day EMA near $2,236 represents the next major obstacle for bulls.

ETH/USD 4H Chart

On the downside, the primary support level sits around $1,385. A break below this area would signal renewed bearish pressure and could revive the broader downtrend.

As long as Ethereum remains above its key support while momentum indicators continue to improve, the possibility of further consolidation—and eventually a breakout above the $1,800 resistance zone—remains intact.

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Bitcoin tops $64K as improving risk sentiment boosts crypto market recovery

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP extended their recovery as geopolitical concerns eased.
  • Market sentiment improved after US President Donald Trump said Iran had reached out to discuss a potential agreement.
  • Bitcoin has surpassed the key $64,000 resistance level, with a breakout potentially strengthening the short-term outlook.

Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recovery on Friday, climbing above the $64,000 level as improving investor sentiment supported a broader rebound across the cryptocurrency market.

The recovery comes after geopolitical concerns eased following comments from US President Donald Trump, who said Iran had contacted the United States to discuss a potential agreement. 

The remarks fueled hopes of reduced tensions in the Middle East, encouraging investors to return to risk assets.

The positive sentiment also helped Ethereum (ETH) edge closer to $1,800, while XRP stabilized after finding support near key technical levels.

Improving risk appetite supports Bitcoin recovery

Cryptocurrency markets gained ground as fears surrounding the recent escalation in the Middle East began to subside.

Investor confidence improved after Trump indicated that Iran had initiated contact with the United States regarding possible negotiations, raising expectations that diplomatic efforts could help prevent further conflict.

The shift in market sentiment prompted renewed buying across digital assets, allowing Bitcoin to recover toward an important technical resistance zone.

Bitcoin price analysis: Bulls target higher resistance levels

Bitcoin was trading around $64,300 at the time of writing, placing it just below the significant $65,000 resistance area.

Although the recent rebound has strengthened short-term momentum, BTC remains below several key trend indicators, suggesting the broader market structure has yet to turn decisively bullish.

Bitcoin continues to trade beneath the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $65,399, the 100-day EMA ($68,991), and the 200-day EMA ($75,024)

These moving averages form a strong overhead resistance zone that bulls must overcome before confirming a broader trend reversal.

Technical indicators suggest buying momentum is slowly returning. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above the neutral 50 level, indicating strengthening bullish momentum after weeks of weakness.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in positive territory, with the MACD line holding above zero and the histogram continuing to expand, signaling that upward momentum is gradually building.

While these indicators favor buyers in the short term, they have yet to invalidate the broader bearish structure.

The first major resistance for Bitcoin sits near the $64,686 horizontal level. A decisive daily close above this area would bring the 50-day EMA at $65,399 into focus. 

If buyers clear that hurdle, attention could shift toward the 100-day EMA at $68,991, followed by the 200-day EMA at $75,024.

Beyond those levels, the next significant long-term resistance lies around $84,410.

On the downside, Bitcoin lacks a strong nearby technical support zone, making the market vulnerable to renewed selling pressure if the current recovery loses momentum. 

BTC/USD 4H Chart

In that scenario, traders will likely look to the $60,000 psychological level as the next major area where buying interest could emerge.

For now, improving geopolitical sentiment has provided Bitcoin with short-term support, but bulls will need to reclaim $64,000 and overcome the cluster of moving average resistance to strengthen the case for a sustained recovery.

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Solana price prediction: Why analysts see more upside for SOL

  • Solana (SOL) is up 18.5% over the past 30 days.
  • Analysts are watching the $85–$90 resistance zone.
  • B3 futures and FullSend add to Solana’s momentum.

Solana has regained momentum after a difficult stretch earlier this year, with the token climbing back above the $77 mark and extending its monthly recovery.

At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $77.73, up 0.8% over the past 24 hours after moving between $76.25 and $78.62 during the session.

Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has gained 18.5%, while its two-week performance stands at 21.6%.

The recent recovery has renewed interest in Solana’s outlook, particularly as technical indicators, institutional activity, and network developments begin to align.

While the token remains well below its all-time high of $293.31, several analysts believe the current trend has created room for further upside if key resistance levels are cleared.

Technical picture points to key breakout levels

SOL’s latest rally follows a rebound of roughly 38% from its recent low near $60, bringing renewed attention to the asset’s technical structure.

The recovery also marked Solana’s first positive monthly performance in several months, suggesting that selling pressure has eased.

Market analyst Ali Martinez has identified the $85 to $90 region as an important resistance zone.

A sustained move above that range would bring the psychologically significant $100 level back into focus.

Another closely watched analyst, Michaël van de Poppe, has highlighted the importance of the $73- $76 area, describing it as a major support zone that continues to underpin the broader recovery.

According to Poppe, as long as that area remains intact, the longer-term structure remains constructive from a technical standpoint.

Attention has also shifted to Solana’s performance against Bitcoin.

The SOL/BTC trading pair has shown signs of strengthening after spending months in decline.

According to technical analysis, a breakout above the long-term resistance around 0.00140–0.00145 BTC could indicate improving relative strength for Solana compared with Bitcoin.

If that breakout is confirmed, technical projections place the next major value area between $140 and $150.

Those levels are based on historical trading activity rather than guaranteed price targets, meaning further confirmation would still be needed before the market could sustain such a move.

At the same time, focus is on the $75 to $78 range as an important near-term support area.

Holding above that zone would help preserve the current recovery, while a break below it could slow bullish momentum.

Institutional adoption continues to expand

Beyond price action, Solana has also benefited from growing institutional participation.

Brazil’s stock exchange, B3, recently expanded its regulated cryptocurrency derivatives offering by introducing Solana futures alongside Ethereum futures and Bitcoin options.

The contracts are settled in US dollars and reference Nasdaq’s digital asset benchmark prices.

Each Solana futures contract represents 5 SOL, giving professional investors another regulated instrument for gaining exposure to the asset or managing risk through hedging strategies.

B3 also reduced the size of its Bitcoin futures contracts to improve accessibility, a move that reflects broader efforts to increase participation in regulated crypto derivatives.

The expansion places Solana alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum within one of Latin America’s largest regulated exchange environments.

While derivatives products do not directly determine price direction, they typically improve market efficiency by expanding trading and hedging opportunities for institutional participants.

Recent infrastructure developments have also focused attention on Solana’s ability to support high-volume financial applications.

Privy, the wallet infrastructure provider acquired by Stripe, has partnered with Jito Labs to launch FullSend, a transaction routing system designed specifically for the Solana blockchain.

Instead of relying solely on traditional RPC infrastructure, FullSend routes transactions directly to the validator responsible for producing the next block.

According to the companies, the system has been operating in production since January and has processed millions of transactions with 99.999% landing reliability.

The technology also reduces transaction inclusion latency to approximately 50 milliseconds, compared with roughly 200 milliseconds or more under conventional routing methods.

For developers building payment platforms, trading applications, or financial services, those improvements reduce failed transactions during periods of network congestion while simplifying transaction management.

Developers using Privy’s wallet infrastructure receive these routing improvements without implementing additional software.

The announcement also highlights Privy’s growing reach following its acquisition by Stripe.

The company supports approximately 140 million accounts across applications that collectively process billions of dollars in monthly transaction volume.

The immediate focus now remains on whether buyers can push the token above the $85–$90 resistance range.

A successful breakout would place $100 at the centre of market attention, while continued strength in the SOL/BTC pair could reinforce the view that Solana is beginning to outperform Bitcoin once again.

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ARB jumps as Robinhood Chain fee-sharing strengthens long-term outlook

Key takeaways

  • Arbitrum (ARB) rebounded above $0.081 after recovering losses from earlier in the week.
  • Offchain Labs co-founder Steven Goldfeder announced that 10% of fees generated by Robinhood Chain and other Arbitrum Layer 2 networks will flow back into the Arbitrum ecosystem.
  • The revenue-sharing model is expected to strengthen the DAO treasury, fund development, and enhance ARB’s long-term value.

Arbitrum (ARB) extended its recovery on Thursday, climbing above $0.081 after erasing losses recorded earlier in the week. 

The rally followed a major announcement from Offchain Labs co-founder Steven Goldfeder, who revealed that a portion of transaction fees generated by Robinhood Chain and other Arbitrum Layer 2 (L2) networks will be redirected to the broader Arbitrum ecosystem.

The announcement has boosted investor confidence by highlighting a sustainable revenue model that could strengthen the network’s long-term fundamentals, while improving technical indicators suggest ARB may have room for further gains.

Robinhood Chain revenue-sharing strengthens Arbitrum ecosystem

In a post on X, Offchain Labs co-founder and Arbitrum developer Steven Goldfeder disclosed that 10% of fees collected by Robinhood Chain and every other Arbitrum Layer 2 chain are allocated back to the Arbitrum ecosystem.

According to Goldfeder, 8% of those fees are directed to the tokenholder-controlled Arbitrum DAO treasury, while the remaining 2% is used to support ongoing network development.

He also noted that 100% of fees generated on Arbitrum One continue to flow directly into the Arbitrum treasury, further reinforcing the ecosystem’s long-term funding model.

The fee-sharing mechanism is viewed as a positive development for Arbitrum because it creates an ongoing source of revenue for governance, ecosystem expansion, and developer incentives. As enterprise adoption of Layer 2 networks accelerates, the model could significantly increase the value captured by the Arbitrum ecosystem over time.

Investors responded positively to the announcement, sending ARB more than 7% higher during Thursday’s trading session.

Technical outlook improves, but key resistance remains

ARB has recovered above $0.085, reversing the losses recorded over the previous three sessions. 

However, the token still trades below several important moving averages, suggesting the broader trend has yet to turn decisively bullish.

The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) remains well above the current price at $0.1409, underscoring the longer-term bearish structure.

Meanwhile, momentum indicators are beginning to stabilize. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing signs of improving momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 50, indicating that selling pressure is easing without confirming a full bullish reversal.

The first major resistance zone sits between $0.0878 and $0.0891, where several technical barriers converge.

This area includes the 50-day EMA at $0.0878, a horizontal resistance level at $0.0883, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.0891.

A successful breakout above this cluster could shift momentum further in favor of buyers and open the path toward the next resistance levels.

On the downside, the key support remains around $0.0705, which marks both the previous swing low and the primary Fibonacci support level.

ARB/USD 4H Chart

Holding above this area would preserve the recent recovery. However, a daily close below $0.0705 could invalidate the current rebound and expose ARB to another leg lower despite improving momentum indicators.

For now, traders will be watching whether growing ecosystem revenues and stronger investor sentiment can help ARB break above the critical $0.09 resistance zone and build a more sustained recovery.

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