Prediction markets tokens rise as other tokens dip: Gnosis, Augur price outlook

  • Bitcoin has suffered its worst weekly percentage loss since the collapse of FTX.
  • Some of the factors behind the dip include reports of SpaceX selling its BTC holdings and the Chinese property giant Evergrande bankruptcy filing.
  • Top prediction markets tokens have maintained a bullish trend amid the crypto meltdown.

In what has caught most crypto investors by surprise, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has decreased by 11.2% to about US$26k. Last week has been the worst week for Bitcoin (BTC) since FTX’s demise in November 2022.

The market crash has not only affected BTC, seeing that the rest of the asset class has not fared any better. Ethereum (ETH) fell by approximately 9.5% to $1.7K and Binance-coin (BNB) dropped by about 9.8% to $217, just to mention a few of the top cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.

While most of the top cryptocurrencies experienced a price dip, popular prediction markets tokens like Gnosis (GNO), SX Network (SX), Kleros (PNK), and Augur (REP) registered significant gains. Chancer (CHANCER), a new prediction markets token is also gaining traction as its token presale continues to gain traction.

What caused the crypto market to drop?

The price decrease was caused by a number of causes. They included speculation that SpaceX wrote down the value of its Bitcoin assets, the collapse of the Chinese real estate firm Evergrande, and rising yields in the US.

SpaceX Bitcoin holdings

The Wall Street Journal published a report late last week stating that Elon Musk’s space exploration company SpaceX marked down the value of the Bitcoin it had on its books by US$373 million for the years 2022 and 2021. The report claims that the business also sold a portion of the BTC it had at one point over the previous two years. The WSJ has identified documents that it claims offer uncommon insights into the business’s finances.

However, the WSJ’s assertions cannot be independently verified because SpaceX is a privately held corporation. Musk acknowledged that SpaceX did acquire Bitcoin during a panel appearance in 2021, but it is unclear how much or when the commodity was purchased.

Evergrande bankruptcy 

In a disclosure made over the weekend, the Chinese real estate tycoon Evergrande filed for bankruptcy protection in the United States. The corporation reportedly took action to secure its assets while still trying to control its creditors.

Before proposing a comprehensive off-shore debt restructuring program in 2021, Evergrande experienced a public meltdown and went into default on its obligations. The business currently seems to be on life support.

Investors are worried that China’s enormous real estate market may become contagious. Country Gardens and other significant developers are not paying their debts either, and the industry—which is thought to account for up to 30% of Chinese GDP—is in serious need of government assistance.

US Treasury yields

US Treasury yields are skyrocketing and pushing away investors from risky markets like the crypto market and toward saving. As the US Federal Reserve gradually increased rates throughout the previous year to reach a target rate of slightly over 5%, bond yields increased.

As strong US economic data keeps coming out, yields have increased this week in anticipation that rate rises will continue. Since 2011, the 30-year US Treasury yield has never been higher. Treasury bonds give a high, secure yield, which is detracting from the value of other asset types like shares and cryptocurrencies.

Gnosis and Augur price prediction

Gnosis has risen by 0.2% while Augur has registered a 1% surge after a bear week. In the past seven days, Gnosis dropped by 8.8% while Augur fell by 11.7%.

Gnosis price daily chart

 

Having bounced off the support at $97.60, the Gnosis (GNO) token is expected to test the resistance at $104.75. However, that depends on whether the current daily candlestick closes above the lower band line of the Bollinger Bands indicator.

Augur price daily chart

 

Augur, on the other hand, seems to have slid into consolidation after erasing most of the gains it made between July 19 and July 20. All eyes are on the support at $0.3246 and the resistance at $2.1844. If the REP price jumps above the upper Bollinger Bands line, it could test the $2.1844 resistance level and if it drops below the lower Bollinger Bands line, it could drop to the support at $0.3246.

The prediction markets tokens including Chancer, are expected to experience significant price gains as popular games including the English Premier League and the American MSL gather steam.

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Bitcoin dropped below $26k in sudden crash: Will traders suffer more losses

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin dropped below the $26k level on Thursday, with traders losing nearly $1 billion in the process.

  • Chancer’s stage two presale is now closing in on the $1.5 million mark.

The cryptocurrency market has been extremely bearish since the start of the week. The prices of most cryptocurrencies are down by more than 5% over the last seven days.

Despite the bearish sentiment, Chancer’s presale is set to hit another benchmark as stage two is approaching the $1.5 million mark.

Bitcoin drops to the $25k zone

Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency by market cap, has been extremely bearish over the past 24 hours. BTC lost nearly 10% of its value and dropped to the $25,300 level late on Thursday.

The bearish trend saw long traders lose nearly $1 billion. However, the market is starting to recover, with Bitcoin and others setting new support levels. At press time, the price of Bitcoin stands at $26,543. 

What does this mean for Chancer?

The bearish performance could see some investors take advantage of the discount price to invest in more cryptocurrency projects. Investors could be looking to purchase more bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies ahead of a likely bullish cycle.

As more investors look for projects to invest in, Chancer could be one of the projects they might consider. 

Chancer is one of the exciting and new projects currently in the cryptocurrency space. With stage two presale set to hit an important milestone, it is clear Chancer is gathering momentum amongst retail investors. 

The Chancer team is currently developing a unique Web3 peer-to-peer (P2P) custom betting platform that would make it possible for users to live-stream betting events. 

Chancer wants to decentralise the betting industry and is leveraging blockchain technology to achieve its objectives. 

With Chancer, there are no restrictions to betting opportunities for users. This implies that users can bet on a wide range of events, beyond traditional sports and casino bets. 

The Chancer presale is in its second stage and has raised nearly $1.5 million of the $2 million required. In the second presale, CHANCER is selling for $0.011 USDT but will be increased to $0.012 in the third stage. 

Funds raised from the multiple presale events will be geared towards building Chancer’s decentralised P2P betting platform. 

The developers will use the funds raised from the various funding rounds to build a P2P betting platform. 

According to their whitepaper, Chancer users will have access to a wide range of features, including, betting markets in real-time and based on user interests, social media connections, and expertise. 

Furthermore, with Chancer, users will no longer have to deal with the problems associated with using bookmakers when betting as they would be allowed to set up their custom P2P betting markets. 

An important feature of Chancer is that users can bet on various activities. Users can bet on important sporting or political events or trivial ones like the first to complete a task amongst friends. 

CHANCER to go for $0.012 in the third presale stage

Chancer’s second presale stage will be completed soon and the team will move to the next phase. In this current stage, the CHANCER token is going for $0.011 USDT

However, the team will increase the token price to $0.012 in the third presale round. Funds generated from the presale will be used to develop Chancer’s suite of products. There would be 12 presale events, with an accumulated target of $15 million. 

The CHANCER token will power numerous activities within the ecosystem. Token holders can create and invest in markets within the Chancer ecosystem. Furthermore, token holders can also create, participate in, and profit from their very own predictive markets. 

The CHANCER token can be purchased using numerous wallets, including, Trust Wallet, MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet, and Rainbow. 

Visit the Chancer website to get more information about the presale. 

Should you invest in Chancer now?

The recent bearish trend in the market could see more investors troop into the market as they look for buying opportunities. 

Investors could be looking to invest in projects in their early stages and Chancer could be one of the projects to consider due to its unique native. 

By decentralising the betting ecosystem, Chancer could gain massive adoption within the Web3 space and beyond. The adoption of the Chancer platform could result in a rally by its native CHANCER token. 

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Bitcoin could go higher but ‘not before it goes lower’: Wolfe Research

  • Rob Ginsberg says Bitcoin could go further down in the near-term.
  • The Wolfe Research analyst explained why in a research note today.
  • Bitcoin (BTC) has already lost more than 11% in about a month.

Bitcoin has already lost more than 11% in about a month but a Wolfe Research analyst says a further price decline is still likely.

Bitcoin could see more weakness ahead

Rob Ginsberg is convinced that the world’s largest cryptocurrency that has pulled back sharply from its year-to-date high in recent weeks will eventually break out to the upside.

In the near-term, though, he expects Bitcoin to see more weakness. According to the analyst’s research note on Thursday:

Could it finally breakout and expand higher? Certainly, but likely not before it goes lower, as has been the trend.

Note that the BTC has aggressively rallied following a period of tight consolidation over the past two years. Christopher Jaszczynski – another crypto analyst also dubbed Bitcoin on knife’s edge today (read more).

Headwinds that could weigh on Bitcoin

A day earlier, the U.S. Federal Reserve released minutes of its July meeting that showed most members saw a possibility of further rate hikes ahead – a potential headwind for Bitcoin.

Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg noted the U.S. dollar regaining strength as a mounting challenge for the cryptocurrency as well.

These near-term headwinds are likely to force price lower and keep volume muted across the space. If history is any indication, however, when price does expand, expect it to be abrupt.

He said the $31,000 level was one to watch as it coincides with a key resistance. Bitcoin has rejected from that level multiple times this year.

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Recently listed Bitcoin Depot reports record revenue for its Q2

  • Bitcoin Depot reports an 18% annualised growth in its Q2 revenue.
  • The Bitcoin ATM operator also updated its full-year guidance today.
  • Bitcoin Depot stock is in the green only marginally on Monday.

Bitcoin Depot Inc says its revenue jumped 18% to a record $197.5 million in the second quarter. The stock is still only marginally in the green at writing.

Bitcoin Depot reports a big increase in loss

Shares of the Bitcoin ATM operator are having a hard time this morning primarily because the Georgia-based company lost $6.1 million in its recently concluded quarter, down an alarming 249% versus last year.

Its adjusted EBITDA, though, went up 54% to $19.8 million in Q2. Brandon Mintz – the Chief Executive of Bitcoin Depot said today in the press release:

We’re in position to further strengthen our balance sheet as we execute on our growth strategy … we’re positioned to support mass crypto adoption as the leading Bitcoin ATM network.

Note that the U.S. firm debuted on Nasdaq only last month on July 3rd.

Bitcoin Depot’s guidance for the full year

Bitcoin Depot had $20.5 million worth of total operating expenses in its second quarter – up significantly from $12 million a year ago.

In Q2, the Nasdaq-listed firm partnered with a bunch of notable names including Stinker Stores, Jacksons Food Store, Gas Express, FastLane etc. According to CEO Mintz:

We’ve announced multiple partnerships and expanded our BDCheckout program. We look forward to increasing the number of our Bitcoin access points across North America.

Just days ago, he said the Bitcoin ATM space was ready for consolidation. Bitcoin Depot Inc now forecasts its revenue to grow by 8% to 13% this year on up to 44% increase in adjusted EBITDA.

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CleanSpark reports a 47% annualised growth in quarterly revenue

  • CleanSpark narrowed its loss in its fiscal third quarter.
  • The bitcoin mining company had a blockbuster July.
  • CleanSpark shares are up over 150% YTD at writing.

Bitcoin miner CleanSpark Inc is trading slightly up in extended hours after reporting a narrower-than-expected loss for its fiscal third quarter.

CleanSpark Q3 financial highlights

Lost $14.2 million versus the year-ago $29.3 million

Per-share loss also narrowed from 40 cents to 12 cents

Revenue jumped 47% year-on-year to $45.5 million

Consensus was 17 cents loss on $45.7 million revenue

Ended the quarter with $125 million of cash and bitcoin

The bitcoin mining company now has assets worth more than liabilities on its balance sheet. Gary Vecchiarelli – the Chief Financial Officer of CleanSpark said today in the press release:

I like the flexibility of our balance sheet and our operational performance. We have all pieces in place to extend our strong track record of growth and operational excellence.

CleanSpark had a blockbuster July

CleanSpark had its Georgia location go live in July that added more than 15,000 miners and 50 megawatts of power, as per the press release.

The Nasdaq-listed firm trailed only Marathon Digital and Core Scientific in terms of the number of bitcoin mined last month. According to its CEO Zach Bradford:

We have fully funded our growth to 16 EH/s, including miners, facilities, and other infrastructure. We continue to build on our track record of executing on commitments.

The hash rate improved to 9 EH/s in its recently concluded quarter. At writing, shares of CleanSpark Inc are up more than 150% versus the start of 2023. Its peer Marathon Digital also reports its quarterly update earlier this week (read more).

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