Uniswap price forecast: UNI eyes $7.2 after 30% pump

Key takeaways

  • Uniswap’s UNI is the best performer among the top 30 cryptos by market cap, up 20% in 24 hours.
  • The rally comes after Uniswap Labs and the Uniswap Foundation submitted a “UNIfication” governance proposal on Monday.

UNI pump on UNIfication proposal

UNI, the native coin of the Uniswap decentralized exchange, is the best performer among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap. The coin is currently up by 20% in the last 24 hours and is now trading above $8.5 per coin.

It had hit a monthly high of $10.2 on Monday but is currently retracing. The rally comes after Uniswap Labs and the Uniswap Foundation submitted a “UNIfication” governance proposal on Monday.

The proposal, co-authored by protocol founder Hayden Adams, Executive Director of the Uniswap Foundation Devin Walsh, and Uniswap researcher Kenneth Ng, will reduce the supply of Uniswap’s native UNI token in part by activating a burn mechanism. 

If approved, this will mark a significant shift for Uniswap and its token holders as they have been calling for the so-called “fee switch” that would divert a portion of the trading fees that historically accrued to liquidity providers to the Uniswap protocol’s treasury or UNI token holders.

The proposal will use protocol fees earned by the Uniswap DEX and Unichain sequencer to burn tokens, while also directly burning 100 million UNI tokens currently sitting in Uniswap’s treasury. 

Furthermore, the proposal would halt Uniswap Labs from earning fees on its interface, wallet, and API. However, it remains unclear the percentage of the fees will go towards token burns. 

UNI could retrace to $7.2 as the bullish surge subsides

The UNI/USD 4-hour chart is bullish but inefficient as the coin pumped on the UNIfication news on Monday. The coin is now retracing and could gain efficiency in the near term.

The technical indicators remain bullish, with the RSI of 73 showing that UNI could soon enter the overbought region. The MACD lines are also within the positive territory, indicating a bullish bias.

If the retracement continues, UNI could drop to the $7.2 level to gain efficiency in the near term. An extended dip would see the bulls forced to defend the support level at $6.6. 

However, if the bullish trend resumes, UNI could reclaim the $10.2 high created on Monday over the next few hours or days.

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Avalanche (AVAX) price eyes $20 breakout as US Treasury approves crypto ETF staking

  • Avalanche (AVAX) price hovers at $17.75 but could eye a breakout above $20.
  • This comes as major US asset managers take note of US Treasury guidance on ETF portfolios and staking.
  • Ethereum, Solana and Avalanche among altcoins likely to benefit if full implementation rolls out.

The Avalanche (AVAX) cryptocurrency is gaining attention as altcoins pop following a pivotal regulatory decision by the US Treasury and IRS.

As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, focus is on key projects and likely bullish breakouts. 

In this case, approval of staking for crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could influence market dynamics, and AVAX may be among the tokens to watch.

Avalanche price eyes $20 breakout

Avalanche, known for its high-throughput blockchain and robust ecosystem, could experience renewed investor interest amid favorable market conditions.

Currently, AVAX price is at $17.75, and has approached $20, a critical resistance level.

However, the price point is a key psychological and technical barrier after bulls failed to clear on multiple occasions.  

Nonetheless, AVAX has demonstrated resilience following the bulls’ plummeting to lows of $16.

Avalanche Chart
Avalanche price chart by CoinMarketCap

Price remaining near the level suggests a succession of green days amid upside volatility will buoy buyers.

Given current bearish sentiment, coupled with global risk asset jitters in recent weeks also suggests the asset may be undervalued. If so, it could present a potential buying opportunity for investors.

That may be the flip point if AVAX strikes and sustains an upward trajectory.

A break above the $20 threshold is key, largely as the correlation that AVAX has with other proof-of-stake (PoS) networks like Ethereum and Solana further bolsters its case.

It is because these assets are expected to benefit from fresh regulatory clarity.

US crypto ETFs to stake nod

The US Treasury and IRS have introduced Revenue Procedure 2025-31, a landmark decision that establishes a tax safe harbor for crypto ETFs and trusts to engage in staking activities.

This guidance allows regulated funds to stake digital assets such as ETH and SOL while maintaining a pass-through tax status. Analysts say the move eliminates previous legal uncertainties.

 

Why is this important?

While key conditions include holding a single crypto asset type with a qualified custodian and distributing staking rewards directly to investors, it’s a development that could unlock significant capital inflows into PoS networks.

That includes Avalanche, whose native token could tap into institutional participation.

Add anticipated ETF hype, and this could transform staking into a mainstream investment strategy.  

The convergence of Avalanche’s price potential and catalysts such as the US Treasury’s stance on crypto staking may turn out extremely bullish for AVAX.

Crypto treasury efforts are also a huge catalyst.

The AVAX price last tested a local peak above $20 when bulls saw a breakout taper out near $35 in September.

Beyond that, the altcoin reached highs of $55 in December 2024.

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Brazil’s new crypto rules to bring stablecoins under forex laws

  • Brazil’s central bank issued crypto rules under Resolutions 519, 520, and 521.
  • Transfers with unlicensed foreign parties are capped at $100,000.
  • Rules take effect on 2 February 2026, with reporting from 4 May.

Brazil has finalised a new regulatory framework that places stablecoin transactions and specific crypto wallet transfers within the scope of foreign exchange laws.

The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) published Resolutions 519, 520, and 521 on Monday, outlining how virtual asset service providers will operate under a model similar to licensed financial institutions.

The rules establish a new legal category known as Sociedades Prestadoras de Serviços de Ativos Virtuais (SPSAVs).

These licensed firms will now face mandatory procedures for consumer protection, transaction transparency, and anti-money laundering controls.

All major entities involved in brokering, custodianship, and crypto intermediation must comply.

Implementation is phased. The rules take full effect on 2 February 2026, while mandatory reporting for capital markets and cross-border activities begins on 4 May 2026.

Stablecoins treated as foreign currency

Under Resolution 521, the BCB redefined how stablecoins operate within Brazil’s financial system. Purchases, sales, and exchanges of fiat-pegged virtual assets now qualify as foreign exchange operations.

This reclassification applies to both domestic and international transactions, including payments made using stablecoins.

Such operations will only be allowed through institutions licensed to conduct foreign exchange or those registered as SPSAVs.

Any transaction involving an unlicensed foreign counterparty will be limited to $100,000 per transfer.

These limits are designed to prevent circumvention of formal financial channels while maintaining oversight of substantial flows.

The move allows Brazil to account for stablecoin-related financial movements within its official balance-of-payments data.

These transactions were previously unrecorded in the traditional financial framework, presenting blind spots in economic data and policy planning.

Self-custody wallets brought under compliance scope

Transfers involving self-custodied wallets will also be monitored under the new system, provided they are facilitated by licensed service providers.

In such cases, the intermediary will be responsible for identifying the wallet’s owner and verifying both the origin and destination of the assets.

This applies whether or not the transaction crosses international borders.

Although the regulation does not ban self-custody, it imposes rigorous documentation requirements on interactions between personal wallets and the regulated financial ecosystem.

This adjustment addresses long-standing gaps in compliance and AML enforcement that arose from the decentralised structure of crypto networks.

By extending banking-grade controls to wallet activity, the BCB aims to create continuity in its approach to financial data integrity.

It also ensures that all transactions linked to a regulated intermediary are held to the same standard, irrespective of the custody model.

New burdens for smaller crypto firms

While the regulatory shift strengthens oversight, it could create additional strain on smaller crypto businesses.

Meeting the new legal obligations will require internal restructuring, technological upgrades, and more robust compliance teams.

These changes may disproportionately affect startups and local exchanges with limited access to capital or international compliance infrastructure.

Larger platforms and financial institutions are expected to adapt more easily, using existing legal departments and regulatory experience to meet the new demands.

As a result, the competitive environment within Brazil’s crypto space may shift, with consolidation favouring better-resourced operators.

The Brazilian crypto market is the second-largest in Latin America after Argentina.

This regulatory move signals a departure from experimental approaches and an integration of crypto into the formal structure of the financial system.

With a high percentage of crypto activity in Brazil involving stablecoins, the government has chosen to extend the legal perimeter to include digital assets traditionally seen as being outside regulated finance.

Closing the data gap in Brazil’s financial system

The BCB has framed the new rules as necessary to promote legal certainty and prevent regulatory loopholes.

By redefining stablecoin activity as a form of foreign exchange, the central bank gains visibility into financial transactions that were previously obscured.

The new framework does not eliminate the use of crypto assets, but subjects them to rules already applicable to fiat currency.

These include oversight mechanisms intended to reduce fraud, improve tax compliance, and align the treatment of crypto assets with Brazil’s financial reporting standards.

Though implementation is set for 2026, market participants are expected to begin adapting well in advance, anticipating the compliance demands of a financial system that now sees crypto as subject to the same rules as money.

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Bitcoin faces quantum risk: why SegWit wallets may offer limited protection

  • SegWit wallets delay public key exposure until the point of transaction.
  • Holding Bitcoin in SegWit addresses offers temporary protection if left untouched.
  • Critics believe practical quantum computing remains decades away.

Quantum computing’s long-theorised threat to Bitcoin is resurfacing in the crypto conversation.

The idea that a powerful enough quantum machine could break cryptographic security and expose Bitcoin keys has moved from theoretical chatter to practical concern.

Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo recently suggested a short-term safeguard: store Bitcoin in SegWit addresses for the next seven years.

While the tactic has sparked debate, the broader community remains divided over whether quantum computers are a real, imminent threat or just the latest tech-driven scare.

SegWit offers delayed public key exposure

Segregated Witness (SegWit), introduced on 23 August 2017, is a protocol upgrade that changes how data is stored in Bitcoin transactions. Woo suggests that SegWit’s delayed public key exposure could act as a deterrent against quantum attacks.

Unlike Taproot, which exposes the public key immediately within the address, SegWit only reveals it during transaction execution.

This delay makes it harder for a quantum computer to reverse-engineer the private key from the public one before the transaction is completed.

Under current conditions, exposing a public key does not present much of a problem. However, if and when quantum computing advances to the point of real-time decryption capabilities, the exposure window of Taproot wallets could be a key vulnerability.

In contrast, SegWit’s hashing conceals the public key behind a layer of encryption until absolutely necessary. This may keep Bitcoin more secure during this anticipated transition period.

Hodling in SegWit comes with major constraints

While the SegWit method may offer protection, it carries a critical limitation. According to Woo, users must not move their Bitcoin from the SegWit address.

Any outgoing transaction would expose the public key, potentially inviting a quantum attack if executed during the transaction.

As such, this method is not viable for active traders or anyone needing liquidity in the short term. It is a static defence mechanism, not a dynamic solution.

This approach effectively puts Bitcoin in a vault. It is safe but inaccessible. It is also only as secure as the continued absence of real-time quantum decryption.

If a breakthrough comes earlier than anticipated, even SegWit-held coins could be compromised during withdrawal. Woo acknowledges that this is only an intermediary measure.

It is meant to bridge the gap until a quantum-resistant Bitcoin protocol becomes available.

Experts disagree over SegWit’s efficacy

Not everyone agrees that SegWit provides any meaningful protection. Charles Edwards, founder of digital asset fund Capriole, has dismissed the idea as ineffective.

He argues that SegWit is not a quantum-safe model and relying on it could delay necessary network upgrades.

According to Edwards, the belief that Bitcoin has a seven-year buffer period could create complacency, weakening pressure to accelerate work on quantum-resistant algorithms.

This disagreement underscores a broader lack of consensus in the crypto space on how seriously the community should take quantum risk.

Although protocol upgrades are under development, there is concern among developers that current initiatives are progressing too slowly.

Some argue that existing security layers were not built with quantum capabilities in mind, making them structurally vulnerable regardless of transaction format.

Sceptics say quantum fears are overblown

Despite the alarm, some in the community believe the risk is being overstated. Critics point to quantum computing’s persistent technical limitations.

In a post in February, Bitcoin advocate Adrian Morris claimed quantum tech is “barely viable”, citing issues with thermodynamics, memory, and persistent calculations.

Others argue that traditional financial systems and major banks would be far more attractive targets for early quantum attacks than a decentralised network like Bitcoin.

Woo notes that Bitcoin held by custodians, such as ETFs or treasury firms, may be better shielded in the interim. This is only true if those institutions take proactive steps to secure their holdings.

Until a comprehensive upgrade is implemented, the quantum debate will continue to shape discourse around Bitcoin’s long-term security.

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