Bitcoin holds above key support as momentum indicators hint at stabilization

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP are starting the week on a more stable footing after last week’s declines.
  • BTC is trading above $64,000 but remains below major moving averages, keeping the broader trend bearish.

Crypto market opens new weekly candle with signs of stability

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are showing resilience at the start of the week after experiencing notable declines during the previous trading period.

Bitcoin fell nearly 4% last week, while Ethereum and XRP dropped approximately 2% and 6%, respectively. 

Despite the weakness, all three assets have stabilized, with Bitcoin trading above $64,000, Ethereum holding the critical $1,700 support level, and XRP consolidating near $1.13.

For Bitcoin, traders are closely watching technical indicators for clues about whether the recent recovery can develop into a broader rebound.

Bitcoin remains below major resistance levels

Bitcoin is currently trading around $64,000, but the broader technical outlook remains cautious. BTC continues to trade below its key moving averages, 50-day EMA: approximately $69,106, 100-day EMA: approximately $72,123, and 200-day EMA: approximately $77,748.

The fact that Bitcoin remains below all three indicators suggests that sellers still maintain control of the broader trend.

Adding to the bearish outlook, BTC recently broke below a rising trendline that had previously supported the market. That trendline, now acting as resistance near $74,238, reinforces the view that Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase.

Although the overall trend remains weak, some technical indicators suggest that downside momentum may be slowing.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded from deeply oversold levels and is currently hovering in the high-40 range.

This improvement indicates that selling pressure has eased, but the indicator remains around the neutral 50 mark, meaning a clear bullish reversal has not yet been confirmed.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains in positive territory, which is generally supportive for prices.

For Bitcoin to regain bullish momentum, buyers must overcome several resistance zones, including $69,106 (50-day EMA), $72,123 (100-day EMA), and $77,748 (200-day EMA).

BTC/USD 4HChart

A move above these levels would significantly improve the technical outlook and potentially signal the end of the current correction.

On the downside, the first major support level remains at $64,005.A decisive break below this area could expose Bitcoin to further losses and extend the existing downtrend.

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Ethereum faces renewed downside risk as Fed concerns weigh on market sentiment

Key takeaways

  • Ethereum (ETH) has rebounded about 4% over the past week, but overall market sentiment remains weak.
  • Hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve have reduced expectations for interest rate cuts and increased pressure on risk assets.

Ethereum recovery faces macro headwinds

Ethereum has posted a modest 4% recovery over the past seven days as the broader cryptocurrency market staged a technical rebound. 

However, the bounce has done little to improve overall sentiment, which remains under pressure from worsening macroeconomic conditions.

Investor confidence took another hit after recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled a tougher stance on inflation. 

His remarks suggested that monetary policy could remain restrictive for longer, fueling concerns that interest rate hikes may still be on the table.

The shift has challenged earlier expectations that the Federal Reserve would begin cutting rates this year, creating a less favorable environment for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Earlier in the year, many analysts expected one or two rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Those expectations have weakened significantly as inflation continues to run above the central bank’s target.

Warsh’s comments reinforced concerns that policymakers remain focused on controlling inflation, even if tighter monetary conditions weigh on financial markets.

Historically, higher interest rates reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative assets, making cryptocurrencies particularly vulnerable during periods of monetary tightening.

Ethereum struggles at key resistance level

Ethereum’s recent recovery stalled near the $1,800 level, an area that previously served as support but has now become a significant resistance zone.

If selling pressure continues and ETH fails to reclaim $1,800, the next major support level sits near the April 2025 low of $1,400.

A move to that level would represent roughly an 18% decline from current prices and further deepen Ethereum’s yearly losses.

Among the largest cryptocurrencies, Ethereum has been one of the weakest performers, even lagging behind competitors such as Solana during the current market cycle.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has improved from oversold conditions but remains weak.

Currently hovering around 40, the indicator is approaching levels that could reinforce bearish momentum if selling pressure increases.

ETH/USD 4H Chart

From a broader technical perspective, Ethereum’s weekly chart continues to reflect a fragile market structure.

Unless buyers successfully push the price above $1,800, analysts expect the downtrend to remain intact, increasing the likelihood of a retest of lower support zones.

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) struggles near key support as burn rate and Shibarium activity weaken

  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) trades near $0.00000476 with weak short-term momentum.
  • Shiba Inu burn activity has dropped to about $5 worth of SHIB daily.
  • SHIB’s price remains below all major EMAs, maintaining a bearish trend.

Shiba Inu is trading at $0.00000476, holding a tight range between $0.000004638 and $0.000004789 over the past 24 hours.

The memecoin has remained under pressure in recent sessions, with a -0.4% daily change, extending a broader weakness that has seen it fall 17% over the past 30 days and nearly 59% over the past year.

Market activity, however, remains elevated, with 24-hour trading volume at roughly $54.7 million.

SHIB price structure tightens as support zone comes under pressure

Shiba Inu is testing a support region around $0.0000046, while a deeper support level sits at $0.00000430.

On the upside, resistance is forming near $0.0000048, with a further barrier at $0.00000491.

Notably, SHIB is trading below all major daily exponential moving averages (EMAs), including the 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs.

This alignment places the broader trend firmly in bearish territory, with no short-term average currently supporting price from below.

In addition, out of 23 tracked technical indicators, 13 are bearish, 9 neutral, and only 1 bullish, giving bears roughly 57% control of the signal distribution.

The RSI (14) sits around 35.47 on the daily chart, while the weekly reading is near 35.68, both pointing to nearly oversold conditions.

While this does not confirm a reversal, it does suggest the market is approaching levels where short-term reactions have historically occurred.

A close below $0.00000455 would expose SHIB to lower support levels, while a recovery above $0.0000048 would be required to shift short-term momentum toward $0.00000507.

Shiba Inu price chart

Burn activity and Shibarium engagement decline

Shiba Inu token burn activity has weakened significantly.

Data from the Shibburn website shows that daily burns have fallen to extremely low levels, with estimates indicating only around 1 million SHIB burned per day, valued at roughly $5.

Weekly burn totals remain similarly small, around 15 million SHIB, worth approximately $75.

At current levels, the burn activity has minimal effect on SHIB’s total supply dynamics.

The scale of the supply reduction is too small to influence price behaviour in the short or medium term, especially during periods of weak demand.

Shibarium activity has also shown limited market impact recently.

While the Layer-2 network continues to process transactions, there has been no measurable effect on SHIB price stability or upside momentum in recent trading sessions.

The lack of strong network-driven demand has left price action largely dependent on broader market sentiment and technical levels.

Exchange flows show accumulation, but price response remains weak

Exchange flow data presents a mixed picture.

CryptoQuant has stated that total SHIB exchange reserves have dropped below 80 trillion tokens.

Net outflows of approximately 266 billion SHIB in 24 hours have been recorded, suggesting that holders are moving tokens off exchanges, a behaviour often associated with accumulation or longer-term holding.

Despite this, the Shiba Inu price has not reacted strongly to the shift in flows.

SHIB continues to trade near the lower end of its recent range, indicating that buying pressure has not yet outweighed broader selling activity.

This divergence between on-chain accumulation and price response highlights a market that is still waiting for stronger confirmation from demand-side activity.

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Cardano price analysis: can ADA avoid a drop to $0.13?

  • Cardano (ADA) trades near $0.160 with weak momentum and fading buying pressure.
  • The key support at $0.157 is critical, with $0.13 risk if it breaks.
  • Oversold signals and the Leios testnet could trigger a short rebound soon.

Cardano (ADA) continues to trade under pressure, holding near the lower end of its recent range as both spot and derivatives markets reflect cautious sentiment.

The token is priced at $0.1607, down 3.2% in the past 24 hours.

Over longer timeframes, the token is down 6.1% over the past 7 days, down 35.6% over the past month, and down 73.2% in the past year, reflecting sustained downside pressure across the broader trend structure.

Daily trading activity, however, remains active, with $368.8 million in 24-hour volume.

Weak derivatives positioning and fading participation

In the derivatives market, the long-to-short ratio stands at 0.96, indicating slightly more short positions than long positions among traders.

Futures open interest is around $348 million, continuing a broader decline from mid-May levels.

This reduction in open interest signals lower speculative engagement and suggests that traders are reducing exposure rather than building conviction positions in either direction.

On-chain indicators also reflect strain in market behaviour.

The Network Realised Profit/Loss (NPL) metric has dropped sharply, showing that a large portion of recent holders have been realising losses rather than gains.

This type of activity is commonly associated with capitulation phases, where weaker holders exit positions under sustained price pressure.

Cardano technical analysis

Cardano remains below its major long-term moving averages, confirming that the broader trend is still bearish.

The altcoin’s price is trading under the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which typically reinforces resistance during attempted recoveries.

Cardano price chart

The RSI (14) on the daily chart is around 31, suggesting bearish control is still present, though no longer in extreme oversold territory.

Cardano price outlook heading into the Leios testnet catalyst

A key event in the near-term outlook is the expected Leios scaling upgrade testnet around June 23.

This upgrade testnet is being closely watched as a potential catalyst for renewed activity within the Cardano ecosystem.

The current market structure at this stage remains weak, but conditions are showing early signs of compression.

Oversold readings on higher timeframes, combined with reduced selling momentum, suggest that price is approaching a decision point rather than continuing in a steady decline without interruption.

If bulls step in around the $0.157 support zone, a short-term rebound toward $0.172 remains the primary recovery scenario.

However, failure to hold this level would keep downside projections toward $0.148 and potentially $0.13 in focus, depending on how market liquidity and sentiment evolve.

Notably, a bearish flag breakdown has also been noted in recent technical assessments, a formation that typically signals continuation of an existing downtrend after a brief consolidation phase.

This adds weight to the downside risk scenario unless buyers regain control above key resistance levels.

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Zcash dips 4% as broader crypto market remains bearish

Key takeaways

  • ZEC is still struggling under the $477-$500 zone. 
  • Although momentum indicators show signs of stabilization, Zcash remains vulnerable to further downside as investors react to persistent macroeconomic uncertainty and rising rate-hike expectations. 

Zcash (ZEC) remains under pressure on Thursday as bearish sentiment continued to dominate the cryptocurrency market. ZEC is facing mounting resistance beneath the $500 mark as investors reduce exposure to risk assets.

Fed’s policy stance causes a negative market reaction

The broader crypto market weakened following remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh during his first post-meeting press conference on Wednesday.

Although the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept interest rates unchanged, in line with expectations, investors reacted negatively to the central bank’s firm commitment to bringing inflation back to its long-term 2% target. The Fed’s emphasis on price stability signaled that policymakers are not yet prepared to pivot toward monetary easing.

Warsh’s comments reinforced expectations that higher interest rates could remain in place for longer. Market participants are even assigning a roughly 30% probability to a future rate hike, reviving concerns about tighter financial conditions and reduced liquidity for risk assets.

Investor confidence weakened further as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 15 on Thursday from 22 a day earlier, remaining firmly within the “Extreme Fear” zone. The reading highlights growing caution among traders and suggests subdued market participation in the near term.

ZEC price forecast: Zcash faces growing downside risks

Zcash has also remained on the defensive, recording three straight days of losses while trading below its 50-day EMA near $477. 

The continued inability to reclaim this level has reinforced bearish sentiment and increased the likelihood of further downside.

A sustained move lower could encourage additional de-risking among traders, placing the spotlight on key support zones near $434 and $376.

While the MACD histogram remains marginally positive, suggesting some recovery attempts may be forming, the Money Flow Index remains in the mid-40s, indicating relatively weak buying momentum compared with Monero.

The immediate resistance level remains the 50-day EMA at approximately $477. If buyers manage to regain control, attention could shift toward the upper boundary of the descending channel near $549.

ZEC/USD 4H Chart

On the downside, support is located near the 100-day EMA around $434, followed by the 200-day EMA near $376. 

Should bearish pressure intensify, the lower boundary of the descending channel near $279 could emerge as a critical medium-term support zone.

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