China bans real-world asset tokenization, classifying it as illegal finance

  • RWA projects are treated as illegal fundraising, securities, or futures activities under existing law.
  • Hong Kong-linked and offshore structures with mainland staff are explicitly targeted.
  • Liability extends to the full Web3 service chain, not just token issuers.

China has delivered one of its clearest signals yet on digital finance, formally classifying real-world asset tokenization as an illegal financial activity.

A coordinated notice from seven major financial industry associations places RWA tokenization in the same prohibited category as stablecoins, cryptocurrencies, and crypto mining.

The move shuts down any remaining ambiguity around whether tokenized assets could evolve under future regulatory pilots.

Instead, regulators have drawn a hard line that reaches beyond project issuers to the entire Web3 service chain, including Hong Kong-linked operations and offshore structures with mainland staff.

The declaration was jointly issued by the China Internet Finance Association, the China Banking Association, the China Securities Association, the China Asset Management Association, the China Futures Association, the China Association of Listed Companies, and the China Payment and Clearing Association.

Unified regulatory warning

The associations stated that RWA activities have no legal basis under existing Chinese law.

Tokenization was defined as financing and trading through the issuance of tokens or token-like rights and debt instruments, a structure regulators say introduces layered risks tied to fictitious assets, operational failure, and speculative trading.

Crucially, authorities stressed that no Chinese regulator has approved any form of real-world asset tokenization, eliminating claims that projects are in trial phases or awaiting registration.

Legal observers described the announcement as a rare example of cross-industry coordination, typically reserved for moments when regulators aim to contain systemic financial risk.

Legal breaches outlined

The notice mapped RWA activity directly to violations under China’s Criminal Law and Securities Law.

Token issuance to the public while raising funds can be treated as illegal fundraising.

Facilitating token transactions or distributions without approval may constitute unauthorised public securities offerings.

Trading models that involve leverage or betting mechanisms can fall under illegal futures business operations.

Regulators also rejected the premise that token structures can guarantee ownership or liquidation of underlying assets.

Even where teams claim transparency or genuine collateral, authorities argue that risk spillovers remain uncontrollable.

Hong Kong and offshore routes

The warning explicitly targets projects that attempt to bypass mainland rules through overseas compliance narratives, asset anchoring claims, or technology service exports.

China’s securities regulator is urging domestic brokerages to halt involvement in RWA tokenization activities in Hong Kong, extending the policy reach beyond the mainland.

A key feature of the directive is the liability standard applied to service providers.

Institutions and individuals who knew or should have known that they were supporting virtual currency or RWA-related business can be held accountable.

This objective standard undermines common Web3 models that rely on offshore registration while maintaining teams and operations in China.

Web3 service chain impact

Responsibility is not limited to project founders.

Technology outsourcers, marketing agencies, influencers, payment interface providers, and operational staff all face legal exposure if they support RWA projects aimed at Chinese users.

The notice states that even employing a single operations worker in China can expose an offshore project to enforcement risk.

Regulators linked the crackdown to rising fraud under the RWA label, including schemes involving stablecoins, valueless tokens, and mining narratives used for illegal fundraising and pyramid activities.

The timing also aligns with China’s push to internationalise the digital yuan via a new Shanghai centre for cross-border payments and blockchain services, while restricting private stablecoin issuance to preserve state control over currency issuance.

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India tightens crypto oversight as exchanges move under FIU monitoring

  • FIU reviews linked crypto transactions to scams, fraud, gambling networks, and serious criminal activities.
  • Non-compliant crypto platforms were fined ₹28 crore in FY 2024–25 for AML breaches.
  • Authorities are building intelligence on transaction hotspots and high-risk digital assets.

India is accelerating its push to regulate the crypto sector as enforcement agencies sharpen their focus on financial crime risks linked to digital assets.

During the 2024–25 financial year, 49 cryptocurrency exchanges formally registered with the Financial Intelligence Unit, marking a decisive step toward tighter anti-money laundering and counter-terror financing controls.

The move reflects a broader regulatory recalibration as authorities respond to growing evidence of crypto misuse and expand scrutiny across platforms operating in the country.

The regulatory shift has also triggered wider discussion within the domestic crypto ecosystem.

A recent post on X by CoinDCX CEO Sumit Gupta drew attention to the intensifying compliance environment, as exchanges increasingly operate under FIU supervision.

The post circulated as registration, monitoring, and enforcement became central themes in India’s crypto policy during the financial year.

FIU flags misuse risks

A review of Suspicious Transaction Reports submitted by crypto platforms during FY 2024–25 revealed repeated patterns of high-risk activity, reported the Press Trust of India.

The analysis found crypto funds linked to scams, fraud, gambling networks, unaccounted transfers, and peer-to-peer misuse.

The FIU also identified more serious risks, including links to dark net services, terror financing, and child sexual abuse material.

Exchanges under one regulator

Of the 49 registered exchanges, 45 are based in India, and four operate overseas.

Unlike several jurisdictions where crypto oversight is split across multiple agencies, India has designated the FIU, which operates under the Ministry of Finance, as the single authority responsible for supervising crypto exchanges.

Industry leaders have pointed out that India’s crypto market is more competitive than it is often perceived, with multiple platforms vying for users and liquidity.

This competitive environment, they argue, can support innovation, provided regulatory expectations are clear and consistently enforced across all players.

Compliance rules explained

Crypto exchanges in India are classified as Virtual Digital Asset Service Providers and have been covered under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act since 2023.

As part of this framework, platforms are required to submit Suspicious Transaction Reports, identify wallet owners, track token fundraising activity such as IPO-style launches, and monitor transfers between hosted and un-hosted wallets.

Following registration, exchanges must also disclose their banking relationships, appoint compliance officers, conduct internal audits, apply risk-based customer checks, screen transactions against sanctions lists, and carry out regular risk assessments.

All relevant data must be shared with the FIU to support ongoing supervision.

Enforcement and penalties

Enforcement has accompanied registration. During FY 2024–25, crypto platforms that failed to meet Anti Money Laundering (AML) obligations were fined a combined ₹28 crore.

The FIU also mapped regional transaction hotspots and identified digital assets frequently associated with illicit activity, strengthening the government’s broader monitoring and intelligence capabilities.

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Stacks price forecast: STX channel breakout points to retest of $0.56

  • Stacks price rose 12% to near $0.38 as Bitcoin flipped green.
  • The layer-2 token could surge to $0.56 and target higher levels if BTC extends gains.
  • Bulls may, however, face a pullback as RSI hits overbought conditions.

Several altcoins, including Stacks, soared amid Bitcoin’s impressive rally on Monday. Ethereum and XRP also rose to key levels.

While BTC pumped to above $93,800, the impact was for buoyed altcoins such as Stacks to spike to multi-week highs.

As the flagship digital asset looks to hold onto the gains, the layer-2 solutions Stacks is off intraday highs and eyeing a key price level.

Volume spikes hint at buying pressure for STX.

Stacks price jumps 12% to above $0.37

On January 5, 2026, STX surged by over 12%, outperforming many peers in the altcoin space.

This upward movement coincided with Bitcoin’s push toward $94,000.

BTC came close to the mark as buyers touched intraday highs of $93,972 across top crypto exchanges.

Meanwhile, STX also briefly toyed with highs near $0.38 amid broad market optimism.

Traders see Stacks as a “Bitcoin beta” play, where movements in BTC often lead to outsized returns.

Utility for DeFi, NFTs, and scalable applications that are secured by Bitcoin’s network see several such tokens appeal to investors.

Stacks price forecast: channel breakout sees bulls eye $0.56

The STX token has extended its recent advance following a technical breakout from a long-standing descending channel that had defined its price action for several months.

The channel, characterised by a series of lower highs and lower lows, has been in place since the token peaked in May 2025, reflecting sustained bearish control.

During this period, STX largely traded below its 50-day simple moving average, reinforcing the downtrend.

The latest move above the upper boundary of the channel, however, has also pushed the token above its 50-day SMA, a development that suggests a potential shift in short-term momentum.

Analysts note that this breakout opens the door to a retest of the $0.56 level, which coincides with the extension of the broader downtrend line from the May 2025 high.

That area is viewed as technically significant, having previously marked the zone of a sharp 27% decline during the October 10, 2025 market sell-off, and could act as a key test of bullish conviction going forward.

Stacks Price Chart
Stacks price chart by TradingView

On the daily chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator continues to point to improving momentum, reinforcing the near-term bullish bias as long as buying interest remains dominant.

That said, the setup also carries signs of overheating. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into overbought territory, suggesting the rally may be vulnerable to a pause or reversal.

Under these conditions, Stacks could see a period of consolidation or a sharper pullback if traders begin locking in profits.

In the event of renewed selling pressure, analysts flag the $0.30 level as initial support, with a deeper retracement potentially testing the $0.24 area.

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DOGE could retrace below $0.14 following recent rally: Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • DOGE is trading above $0.146 after adding 18% to its value in seven days.
  • The leading memecoin could face a correction below $0.14.

DOGE trades above $0.14

Meme coins such as Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe (PEPE) are leading the cryptocurrency market rally thanks to the geopolitical tension in Venezuela. 

The United States conducted an operation in Venezuela over the weekend, capturing Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife. They were brought to the U.S. and will appear in federal court at noon on Monday, according to a spokesperson for the U.S. District Court in the Southern District of New York.

This tension allowed the crypto market to rally higher, with Dogecoin extending its gain for the fifth consecutive day while SHIB and PEPE take a pause. The outlook remains bullish, but DOGE could face a slight retrace below the $0.14 level in the near term. 

Dogecoin could retrace below $0.14

The DOGE/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient thanks to Dogecoin’s rally over the past seven days. The dog-themed meme coin extends its recovery over the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.14339 and could rally higher in the near term. 

DOGE/USD 4H Chart

If the bulls continue to push higher, DOGE could aim for the 200-day EMA at $0.18202, aligning with the overhead supply zone between $0.18100 and $0.18500.

The technical indicators are bullish. The RSI of 73 shows that DOGE is heading into the overbought region. The MACD lines continue to rise alongside green histogram bars, signaling a surge in bullish momentum.

However, if the bullish trend subsides, DOGE could slip below $0.14339 and risk retesting the $0.1300 psychological level.

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Ripple price prediction: XRP eyes breakout above $2.3

Key takeaways

  • XRP has flipped BNB to become the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
  • The coin could rally towards the $2.3 resistance level in the near term.

XRP tops $2.1

XRP, the native coin of the Ripple ecosystem, is up 13% in the last seven days, outperforming Bitcoin and Ether in the process. The rally comes as institutional and retail demand push prices higher.

XRP spot ETFs listed in the United States (US) experienced inflows of $43 million last week. Data revealed that since their debut in November, the funds have maintained steady weekly inflows, suggesting growing institutional investor interest.

The five XRP ETF products recorded approximately $13.6 million in inflows on Friday, taking the cumulative net inflow to $1.18 billion and net assets to $1.37 billion.

In addition to that, retail interest in XRP is slowly returning following the coin’s poor performance in December. Data obtained from Coinglass shows that XRP’s futures Open Interest (OI) increased to approximately $3.8 billion on Monday, up from $3.6 billion the previous day. The OI averaged $3.3 billion on Thursday, signaling that retail demand is slowly returning. 

XRP eyes a breakout above $2.3

The XRP/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient as the coin has performed well over the past few days. At press time, XRP is trading at $2.12, above the 50-day EMA support level of $2.05.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator upholds a positive outlook on the daily chart, with green histogram bars expanding above the mean line. 

XRP/USD 4H Chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 75 and rising supports XRP’s bullish thesis. If the RSI continues to increase, XRP could enter the overbought region.

If the bullish trend continues, XRP could rally towards the next resistance levels represented by the 100-day EMA at $2.22 and the 200-day EMA at $2.34. However, failure to push higher could see XRP retest the $2.00 psychological level once again.

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