Japan signals a friendlier crypto regime with sweeping tax reform plans

  • Current crypto profits can face tax rates of up to 55% under the miscellaneous income system.
  • Only specified crypto assets under Japan’s financial framework will qualify for the lower rate.
  • A three-year loss carry-forward for crypto investments will begin in 2026.

Japan is preparing to recalibrate how cryptocurrency gains are taxed, marking a notable change in its long-standing approach to digital assets.

Under the government’s 2026 tax reform plan, profits from certain crypto investments could be taxed at a flat rate of 20%, replacing a system that currently treats crypto gains as miscellaneous income.

That classification has pushed effective tax rates as high as 55%, drawing sustained criticism from investors and industry participants.

The proposed reform suggests that policymakers in Japan are moving toward a framework that recognises crypto as part of the broader financial market, while still maintaining firm regulatory controls.

A rethink of crypto taxation

For years, Japan’s crypto tax rules have stood apart from those applied to traditional investments. Shares and investment trusts benefit from a flat tax regime, offering clarity and predictability for investors.

Crypto, by contrast, has been subject to progressive income tax rates, often cited as a deterrent to participation.

The planned shift to a flat 20% rate aims to reduce this imbalance.

By aligning crypto gains more closely with equity taxation, the government appears to be addressing concerns that the current system discourages domestic trading and long-term holding.

The reform also reflects the growing role of digital assets in investment portfolios, moving beyond short-term speculation.

Scope and eligibility limits

The tax cut will not apply across the entire crypto market.

Instead, it will be limited to “specified crypto assets”, a category linked to digital assets handled by firms registered under Japan’s Financial Instruments and Exchange Act framework.

This structure is designed to ensure that only assets operating within a recognised regulatory perimeter benefit from the lower rate.

Major cryptocurrencies are widely expected to qualify, although authorities have yet to publish final criteria.

By narrowing eligibility, regulators can promote activity in established and liquid assets while maintaining tighter oversight of less transparent tokens.

Regulation alongside incentives

Tax reform is being paired with broader regulatory adjustments.

By bringing crypto under legal structures similar to those governing traditional financial instruments, Japan aims to strengthen investor protections.

Measures are expected to improve standards around custody, disclosures, and operational practices.

This approach signals that the government’s objective is not deregulation, but integration.

Clearer rules and stronger safeguards could make crypto participation more accessible to investors who have previously avoided the market due to uncertainty around compliance and risk.

Loss offsets and investment products

Another element of the 2026 reform is the introduction of a three-year loss carry-forward for crypto investments.

This would allow investors to offset future gains with past losses, a mechanism already familiar in equity markets but previously unavailable for crypto.

Japan is also expanding its range of crypto-linked investment products.

After launching its first XRP-linked exchange-traded fund, the country is reportedly considering additional funds tied to approved digital assets.

Together, these measures point to a gradual effort to embed crypto within the existing investment ecosystem rather than treat it as a parallel market.

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Why major crypto firms are diverging on Ether ahead of 2026

  • Trend Research has lifted its Ether holdings above 601,000 ETH using borrowed stablecoins.
  • The firm is now the third largest corporate Ether holder despite being unlisted.
  • Fundstrat expects Ether to fall toward $1,800 in the first quarter of 2026.

As 2026 approaches, Ether is becoming a clear dividing line for large crypto focused firms.

Some companies are increasing exposure aggressively, while others are preparing for a potential downturn in the months ahead.

Recent on chain data and market positioning show that corporate strategies around Ether are no longer aligned, reflecting different expectations around price behaviour, liquidity conditions, and the pace of crypto adoption within the financial system.

Trend Research pushes ahead

Hong Kong based investment firm Trend Research has continued to accumulate Ether despite growing discussion of downside risks in early 2026.

Blockchain data shared by Lookonchain shows the firm recently acquired about $35 million worth of ETH, lifting its total holdings above 601,000 ETH.

At current prices, the position is valued at roughly $1.83 billion.

The same data indicates that Trend Research has borrowed around $958 million in stablecoins from the decentralised lending protocol Aave.

Its average purchase price stands near $3,265 per ETH. Lookonchain published these details in a Monday post on X.

According to a post by founder Jack Yi, Trend Research plans to keep buying Ether regardless of short term price moves of a few hundred dollars.

Alongside ETH, the firm also maintains a heavy position in the Trump family linked World Liberty Financial token, underlining a broader high conviction crypto stance going into next year.

Corporate holder rankings shift

With more than 601,000 ETH, Trend Research now ranks as the third largest corporate Ether holder.

It sits behind BitMine Immersion Technologies and SharpLink Gaming.

However, because Trend Research is not publicly listed, it does not appear on several widely followed tracking platforms, including the StrategicEthReserve.

BitMine, the largest corporate Ether holder, has historically relied on a dollar cost averaging strategy rather than large single phase accumulation.

The contrast highlights how firms with significant balance sheets are adopting different approaches as uncertainty builds around the next market cycle.

Fundstrat flags downside risk

While some firms continue to accumulate, others are bracing for a possible drawdown.

Fundstrat Global Advisors recently circulated an internal research note projecting that Ether could fall to a local bottom around $1,800 in the first quarter of 2026.

Screenshots of the note emerged on Dec. 21 and were attributed to Fundstrat co-founder and managing partner Tom Lee.

The analysis pointed to a meaningful pullback across major crypto assets in the first half of 2026, followed by the formation of a durable low either in the first or third quarter before a recovery into year-end.

The forecast drew attention because Lee is also chairman of BitMine, which holds roughly $12.3 billion worth of Ether, making it the largest known corporate ETH holder.

Smart money stays cautious

Positioning data suggests that professional traders are also leaning defensive.

According to blockchain intelligence platform Nansen, traders labelled as smart money remain net short on Ether by about $117 million.

At the same time, Nansen data shows these traders added around $15 million in long positions over the past 24 hours.

The move points to a modest pickup in risk appetite, even as overall positioning continues to reflect caution around near term price direction.

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FLOW price prediction: $3.9 exploit spells doom for the altcoin already down 39%

  • Flow Network halted after a $3.9M exploit triggered panic selling.
  • South Korean exchanges flagged FLOW, raising delisting concerns.
  • FLOW remains below key support, with bearish technical indicators.

The Flow Network is facing one of its most challenging moments following a serious exploit that raised fresh concerns about the network’s security and governance.

As the fallout continues to unfold, the pressure on FLOW has intensified, reflecting growing unease among market participants.

Over the past 24 hours alone, the FLOW price has fallen by roughly 15.25% to around $0.10, extending losses to nearly 39% over the last week.

The Flow exploit

The crisis began on December 27, when attackers exploited a vulnerability in Flow’s execution layer, draining roughly $3.9 million through a series of cross-chain bridges.

Validators responded by halting parts of the network to prevent further losses, pushing the Flow Network into a read-only state.

To contain the incident, the network underwent a chain restart and upgrades tied to the Mainnet-28 protocol.

 

Several ecosystem participants criticized Flow Network for inadequate communication and warned that halts and rollbacks could create cascading risks for exchanges and users alike.

South Korea exchanges place FLOW on watchlist

As technical concerns mounted, major South Korean exchanges, including Upbit and Bithumb, placed FLOW on investment watchlists, citing the recent security incident and ongoing investigation.

Under South Korea’s Virtual Asset User Protection Act, such a designation can lead to a 60-day review period and potential delisting, weighing heavily on market sentiment, given South Korea’s importance to FLOW trading activity.

Even the possibility of reduced access or liquidity has encouraged traders to exit positions aggressively.

Past precedents involving other tokens under similar reviews have only intensified fears, contributing to the sharp drop in price and the surge in sell-side volume.

FLOW market sentiment turns defensive

Technically, FLOW has broken below several key support levels, including the psychological $0.10 mark.

The selloff pushed the token to a fresh all-time low near $0.097, underscoring the depth of the capitulation.

FLOW price chart
FLOW price chart | Source: TradingView

Momentum indicators paint a bleak picture, with the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling to extreme oversold territory below 13.

Such readings often signal exhaustion among sellers, but they do not guarantee a sustained rebound.

In addition, FLOW remains well below all major exponential moving averages, reflecting a firmly bearish trend.

Trading volume has also weakened on a longer-term basis, suggesting that buyers are reluctant to step in despite historically low prices.

FLOW price prediction amid the uncertainty

The broader technical outlook continues to lean bearish.

Out of a basket of commonly tracked indicators, the majority currently point to further downside risk rather than recovery.

While oversold conditions could spark short-lived bounces, the larger structure remains damaged.

On higher timeframes, the weekly RSI sits in neutral territory, indicating that the downtrend still has room to develop.

From a longer-term perspective, the distance between the current price and meaningful resistance levels highlights the scale of the challenge ahead.

For FLOW to signal a genuine trend reversal, it would need to reclaim lost ground well above current levels, including major moving averages.

Until confidence in network security, governance, and exchange support is restored, such a move appears unlikely.

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Trump-linked crypto firm faces auditor scrutiny as financial turmoil deepens

  • Alt5 Sigma faces scrutiny after missing filings and hiring an auditor whose licence expired earlier this year.
  • Trump-linked crypto deal draws attention as governance gaps and auditor penalties raise oversight concerns.
  • Board exits, audit delays, and legal disclosures put Alt5 Sigma at risk of Nasdaq delisting.

Alt5 Sigma, a US-listed crypto firm that struck a high-profile deal with a Trump-backed digital asset venture, is facing growing regulatory and governance scrutiny after a series of audit, filing, and board-level disruptions, Financial Times reported.

The company is yet to publish overdue financial results and is now working with an audit firm whose licence to practise lapsed earlier this year.

The developments have raised fresh questions about oversight at the company just months after it committed to holding large volumes of a politically connected crypto token.

Alt5 Sigma drew attention in August when it agreed to buy and hold tokens issued by World Liberty Financial, a crypto project backed by the Trump family.

The deal also saw Eric Trump join Alt5 Sigma as a board observer, while World Liberty Financial became an investor in the company.

Since then, Alt5 Sigma has struggled to meet its regulatory obligations, triggering concerns among investors and regulators.

Auditor under review

In December, Alt5 Sigma appointed Victor Mokuolu CPA PLLC as its new auditor.

However, filings in Texas show that the firm’s licence to practise expired in August and had not been renewed as of December 26.

Under state rules, the firm is barred from carrying out audit work until the licence is reactivated.

Alt5 Sigma told Financial Times, its auditor is undergoing a mandatory peer review under Texas State Board of Accountancy regulations, with the process expected to conclude by the end of January 2026.

The company said no audit or review of its financial statements will be issued until the firm’s licence becomes active.

While Victor Mokuolu renewed his personal certified public accountant licence on August 31, his firm’s licence remained inactive at year-end.

Past regulatory penalties

The audit firm has previously faced enforcement action.

In 2023, the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board fined Victor Mokuolu CPA PLLC $30,000 for failing to notify the regulator about audits of six public companies it conducted in 2022.

The Texas board imposed an additional $15,000 penalty last year for the same violations.

The firm has also been working for more than two years to address deficiencies that resulted in a failing grade under the profession’s peer review process in 2023.

Despite this, it disclosed 30 small-cap audit clients in a recent regulatory filing.

Mokuolu founded the firm in 2020 after working in the oil and gas industry.

Filing delays and board gaps

Alt5 Sigma has not filed its quarterly results for the period ending in late September, placing it at risk of being delisted from Nasdaq.

The company attributed the delay partly to the timeliness and responsiveness of its previous auditor, which formally resigned in November.

Governance issues have compounded the pressure.

Chief financial officer Jonathan Hugh, hired around the time of the Trump-linked deal, left after three months.

Chief executive Peter Tassiopoulos exited in October.

Board member David Danziger resigned last month, leaving Alt5 Sigma in violation of requirements to maintain an audit committee of a certain size with accounting expertise.

Corporate shifts and disclosures

Alt5 Sigma was incorporated in July 2024 by biotech firm JanOne Inc., which merged with Alt5 Sigma and adopted its name in the same month.

JanOne had previously rebranded in 2019, having earlier operated as Appliance Recycling Centers of America.

The company says it provides infrastructure that allows financial institutions to integrate with digital assets.

As of December 8, it held about 7.3 billion $WLFI tokens valued at roughly $1.1 billion.

Since August, its chair has been Zack Witkoff, co-founder of World Liberty Financial and son of Steve Witkoff, President Donald Trump’s special envoy for peace negotiations.

Alt5 Sigma has also disclosed that its Canadian subsidiary and former principal were found criminally liable by a Rwandan court in May for offences including illicit enrichment and money laundering.

That ruling is under appeal, with both parties denying wrongdoing.

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BNB Smart Chain’s Fermi hard fork scheduled to launch in January 2026

  • The Fermi hard fork will cut block times to 250ms, enabling faster DeFi and real-time apps.
  • It will also introduce extended voting and partial indexing, leading to stability and lighter nodes.
  • The experimental BAL showed ~18.6% execution gains in local tests.

BNB Smart Chain is preparing for a major protocol upgrade early next year.

The network’s upcoming Fermi hard fork, scheduled for mainnet activation in January 2026, signals a renewed push toward faster block times, higher throughput, and infrastructure designed for time-sensitive applications.

Notably, the upgrade follows months of testing and reflects broader efforts across the blockchain sector to close the performance gap with traditional financial systems.

BNB Smart Chain block times set for a major cut

According to a press release on GitHub, the Fermi hard fork is set to activate on the BNB Smart Chain mainnet on Jan. 14, after roughly two months of live testing on the Fermi testnet.

At the core of the upgrade is a sharp reduction in block times, which will fall to 250 milliseconds from the current 750 milliseconds.

This change places BNB Smart Chain firmly in the sub-second block time category.

It is designed to support applications that depend on rapid confirmation, including high-frequency trading tools, real-time gaming, and advanced decentralised finance (DeFi) protocols.

Shorter block intervals often come with trade-offs, especially around network communication and validator coordination.

To address this, the Fermi upgrade introduces extended voting parameters that help compensate for message propagation delays between nodes.

These adjustments aim to preserve consensus stability even as blocks are produced three times faster than before.

The result is a network that can process transactions more quickly without sacrificing correctness or security, a balance that has proven difficult for many layer-1 blockchains.

Currently, BNB Smart Chain ranks among the most actively used layer-1 networks, processing around 165 transactions per second, according to Chainspect.

This places behind L1 networks like Solana, which currently process up to 799 transactions per second.

With the Fermi hard fork, BNB Smart Chain aims for faster block production and reduced confirmation delays, especially during peak sessions, which would be important for DeFi applications.

The upgrade also introduces a new partial-ledger indexing mechanism. Instead of forcing users and node operators to download the full historical ledger, the new system allows participants to sync only the data they need.

This will significantly reduce storage and computing requirements, making it easier to run nodes and interact with the network.

Experimental gains point to future potential

Notably, the Fermi hard fork builds on recent experimental work aimed at improving execution performance, with one notable effort being the v1.6.4-feature-BAL7928 client release introduced late last year.

That experimental release implements a non-consensus Block-Access-List, or BAL, based on EIP-7928 and similar in design to BEP-592.

Rather than altering consensus rules, BAL data is shared through peer-to-peer block propagation messages, allowing for more efficient transaction execution when the data is available.

In local testing environments, the BAL implementation delivered an average performance improvement of roughly 18.6% in million gas per second.

Developers note, however, that real-world benefits depend on broad network adoption, as nodes only gain performance improvements when peers also support the feature.

As competition intensifies among layer-1 blockchains, these upgrades position the BNB Smart Chain network to better serve high-demand applications and growing user activity.

This will possibly support renewed interest in Binance Coin (BNB), thus spurring a price rebound from the three-month decline, where it has dropped to around $833.48 from its October 2025 peak of $1,369.99.

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