Solana price forecast: is $150 next amid US-Iran ceasefire?

  • Solana price has gained in the past 24 hours as Bitcoin retests $72,000.
  • The SOL token could rally to $150 amid the US-Iran ceasefire.
  • However, continued weakness could allow bears to target $70 or lower.

​Solana’s latest rebound has revived bullish speculation, with decent gains aligning with an uptick for risk asset markets.

As traders digest the impact of easing geopolitical tensions amid the ceasefire between the US and Iran, the key question is whether a shift in sentiment could propel Solana to its year-to-date highs of $150.

​Solana eyes $90 as geopolitical risk cools

As noted, the broader cryptocurrency market pushed higher overnight Tuesday after US President Donald Trump announced a two‑week ceasefire deal with Iran.

The news has eased fears of a deeper regional conflict, with the Pakistan‑brokered talks coming ahead of a 48‑hour deadline set by Washington.

Stocks and cryptocurrencies rose as risk sentiment changed from defensive positioning to an aggressive hunt for upside exposure.

The sharp gains saw more than $425 million in short positions liquidated in the past 24 hours, with over $100 billion added to the global crypto market capitalization.

​Bitcoin edged above the $72,000 mark, and Ethereum climbed to $2,270, boosting altcoins as traders rotated capital back into major tokens and high‑beta plays. Solana’s upswing had SOL advancing to above $86.

The move toward $90 erases part of last week’s drawdown that followed the Drift Protocol exploit.

​SOL price analysis

While SOL’s percentage gains pale in comparison to intraday moves of Zcash, Bittensor, and LayerZero, the uptick was still significant from a market‑structure point of view.

The recovery helped re‑establish a higher trading range, suggesting that the worst of the exploit‑driven capitulation may be over if the ceasefire holds and broader crypto inflows continue.

​On the charts, SOL has recently been shadowed by a developing bear flag formation.

The classic chart pattern usually signals downside continuation if a clean break occurs, and its formation had bears threatening a drop back toward the $70 region.

Solana Price Chart
Solana price chart by TradingView

​The bounce to near $90 is crucial even as the bearish structure remains.

If bulls can consistently defend the $80-$85 band and convert the area into a solid demand zone, the next immediate resistance is likely to emerge around $95-$100.

This is where prior supply and key moving averages converge, and a breakout could pave the way for a higher resistance cluster in the $120-$135 zone.

Bulls can target January 2026 highs near $150.

However, if buyers fail to break and hold above the $90 level, the technical backdrop would increasingly favor an extension of the downtrend.

This outlook exposes SOL to renewed downside pressure toward $70, with critical support near $54.

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Shiba Inu price outlook turns bearish as SHIB struggles below $0.0000060

  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) faces selling pressure amid rising exchange inflows.
  • The SHIB price remains stuck below the key $0.0000060 resistance.
  • Breakdown below the support at $0.0000053 may trigger a drop below $0.0000050.

The price outlook for Shiba Inu (SHIB) is starting to tilt bearish as the token continues to struggle below the $0.0000060 level.

Recent price action shows that despite a brief attempt to push higher, momentum has faded quickly, leaving SHIB trading near $0.0000058.

Over the past 24 hours, SHIB has declined by around 3%, underperforming a weak crypto market.

While the broader crypto market pullback has played a role, the weakness in SHIB appears more pronounced, suggesting that internal factors are also driving the decline.

Selling pressure and fading confidence weigh on SHIB

One of the clearest signals behind SHIB’s weakness is the sharp drop in derivatives activity.

Shiba Inu’s Open interest has fallen significantly from its earlier highs, pointing to a steady exit of traders from leveraged positions.

SHIB OI
Source: Coinglass

At the same time, on-chain activity shows a noticeable increase in tokens moving onto exchanges.

This trend is typically associated with selling intentions, as traders transfer assets to trading platforms when they plan to liquidate positions.

The combination of falling open interest and rising exchange inflows creates a strong bearish undertone.

This shift in behaviour suggests that the market is gradually leaning toward distribution. Without a reversal in these flows, it becomes difficult for the price to sustain any meaningful upside.

Broader market weakness adds to downside risk

The performance of Bitcoin has also played a role in SHIB’s recent decline. As the leading cryptocurrency edges lower, risk appetite across the market has weakened.

As a result, speculative assets like Shiba Inu (SHIB) tend to face greater pressure.

There is also clear evidence of capital rotating away from altcoins. Traders appear to be moving into more stable assets or stepping away from the market altogether.

This shift has hit meme coins particularly hard, as they rely heavily on strong sentiment and active participation.

As a result, SHIB is not just dealing with its own internal challenges but also navigating a less supportive macro environment.

Resistance holds firm as price struggles to break higher

Technically, SHIB remains trapped below a key resistance zone between $0.0000060 and $0.0000063.

Several attempts to push above this range have failed, with sellers consistently stepping in to cap gains.

A closer look at the price structure shows that SHIB is currently consolidating within a narrow band.

Support is forming around $0.0000052–$0.0000053, while resistance remains firmly overhead.

This range has tightened in recent sessions, reflecting a market that is waiting for a decisive move.

Shiba Inu struggles below $0.0000060
Source: TradingView

Notably, the inability to reclaim $0.0000060 is particularly important. This level has acted as a short-term barrier, and until it is flipped into support, any upward movement is likely to remain limited.

For now, the balance of risks appears tilted to the downside.

The ongoing selling pressure, combined with weakening market participation, suggests that SHIB may continue to struggle unless conditions change.

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Bitcoin steadies above $68K as Iran tensions keep markets on edge

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin is holding near $69K as Iran-related geopolitical tensions keep markets cautious.
  • Rising oil prices and inflation concerns are limiting upside, but strong ETF inflows and institutional support are helping BTC stay resilient.

Bitcoin is trading sideways near the $69,000 mark as investors remain cautious amid escalating geopolitical tensions tied to the conflict in Iran.

The leading cryptocurrency briefly pushed above $70,000 on Monday—its first move past that level since March—but failed to sustain momentum. 

Geopolitics dominate market sentiment

The ongoing situation in Iran continues to shape global risk appetite. U.S. President Donald Trump has warned of severe consequences if a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is not reached by the Tuesday 20:00 ET deadline.

Iran has rejected a proposed 45-day ceasefire, instead calling for a permanent end to hostilities alongside the removal of sanctions.

For Bitcoin, this macro backdrop is significant—higher oil prices tend to support inflation, push Treasury yields higher, and reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates elevated for longer.

Despite the current situation, Bitcoin has held up better than some traditional markets. While it has not staged a breakout, its ability to maintain levels above $65,000 suggests underlying support from positioning and institutional demand.

Meanwhile, Gold has lost more than 10% of its value as investors scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

Flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have been a key factor. After four consecutive months of outflows, March saw $1.2 billion in net inflows. Momentum has continued into April, with spot ETFs recording $471.3 million in inflows in a single day—the largest since February.

These inflows have helped keep Bitcoin’s price, although resistance near $76,000 continues to cap upside.

For Bitcoin to break higher, a clear catalyst is likely required. A confirmed ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran could be pivotal, particularly if it drives oil prices below $100 per barrel and alleviates inflation concerns.

Technical forecast: Bitcoin eyes the $70k resistance once again

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient as Bitcoin continues to defend the $65,000 support level. 

The price has recovered from this low and is testing resistance around 69k, the 50-day EMA, and the lower band of the rising channel. 

The RSI of 61 on the 4-hour chart is above the neutral level, indicating a growing bullish bias. The MACD lines are also above the zero line, adding further confluence to the bullish narrative. 

Buyers will need to rise above $69,000 to bring $74,000 into focus, the mid-point of the rising channel and the falling trendline resistance dating back to October’s $126,000 record high. 

BTC/USD 4H Chart

A surge above the $74,000 resistance level would allow BTC to test the March high of $76,000 in the near term. 

However, failure to rally higher would see the bears push the price towards the $65,000 support level once again.

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Toncoin struggles near $1.23 despite Telegram boost and upgrade push

  • Toncoin adoption grows with 87 million Telegram wallet users in the US.
  • Market sentiment remains bearish due to altcoin rotation and whale activity.
  • The resistance at $1.28 will likely define Toncoin’s short-term price movements.

Toncoin (TON), the native token of the TON blockchain, has been in the spotlight recently due to the ongoing Sub-Second mainnet activation and its integration with Telegram’s massive user base.

The upgrade, which is scheduled to run from March 31 to April 12, is set to improve the network’s speed, efficiency, and scalability, which could impact Toncoin’s adoption and market behavior.

However, despite its technological potential, Toncoin has faced a challenging market environment in recent months.

Currently, TON coin trades around $1.23, down about 2.5% over the past 24 hours.

This underperformance is largely linked to a broader trend in the crypto market known as altcoin sector rotation, where investors move their capital from higher-risk altcoins into more stable assets.

The Altcoin Season Index, which measures market interest in altcoins, has dropped significantly, highlighting the cautious sentiment among traders.

This environment has made it difficult for Toncoin to break out from its current range, despite ongoing development progress.

TON adoption and ecosystem growth

TON’s growth is closely tied to its adoption within Telegram, which now supports over 87 million active users in the United States with its self-custodial TON Wallet.

This wallet allows users to transfer and stake Toncoin directly within the messaging app, offering a seamless on-ramp for millions of potential users.

Such integration provides Toncoin with a unique advantage, as it could benefit from network effects far faster than many other Layer-1 blockchains.

On-chain activity supports this potential, with Toncoin showing consistent daily usage.

According to available data, the network records hundreds of thousands of active wallets and millions of daily transactions.

This suggests that while Toncoin’s price has been stagnant, actual usage is steadily growing, signaling a foundation for long-term adoption.

However, a significant portion of the token supply, around 68%, is held by whales.

This concentration increases the risk of large sell-offs, making sudden price spikes less predictable.

Toncoin technical analysis

Toncoin presents an intriguing case of technological potential versus market sentiment.

Its integration with Telegram gives it a unique edge, and the Sub-Second mainnet activation may improve network performance, but short-term price action remains uncertain.

From a technical perspective the short-term support lies near $1.02, with a secondary floor around $0.81.

If the price rebounds following the Sub-Second mainnet activation, the immediate resistance sits at $1.34, followed by higher resistance levels at $1.50 and $1.90.

Toncoin price analysis

Historically, a break above $1.28 has always meant momentum for higher price ranges.

But while the Sub-Second mainnet activation could provide a short-term positive driver, the token’s price is still largely influenced by broader market conditions rather than project-specific developments.

On the downside, analysts highlight that failure to hold the $1.20 level could lead to tests of the yearly low around $1.10, especially if broader altcoin rotation continues.

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XRP nears $1.30 as 41% holder losses signal capitulation risk

  • XRP price dropped to near $1.30 on Tuesday, April 7, 2027.
  • Santiment data showed holder returns have dipped by 41% over the past year.
  • Bulls need to reclaim $1.35, but sellers may be eyeing $1.10.

XRP faces fresh downside pressure amid an intraday dip to near $1.30, with the overall picture exacerbated by the broader cryptocurrency market weakness.

Notably, the Ripple-linked token’s slide comes as on-chain metrics reveal stark underperformance for holders, with average returns plummeting 41% over the past year.

Analysts say that while the surge in underwater wallets signals potential capitulation, it echoes past market patterns that have ended with a sharp bounce.

XRP Ledger returns down 41%

Data from analytics platform Santiment has noted that wallets active on the XRP Ledger have slipped into significant loss over the past 12 months.

XRP holders are nursing an average loss of -41% on their investments, the firm posted on X.

The average loss marks one of the most severe drawdowns in active recent history.

This figure stems from the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, a key indicator that compares current market prices to the average cost basis of holders.

Santiment’s on-chain analysis shows XRP’s MVRV hitting its lowest level since the FTX collapse in November 2022, when the exchange’s implosion triggered widespread panic selling across crypto markets.

Back then, XRP’s MVRV plunged into deeply negative territory, reflecting widespread unrealized losses as traders offloaded positions at fire-sale prices.

Today’s reading mirrors that despair, with the metric signaling that the average XRP holder is far underwater.

XRP price outlook

This 41% dip in returns highlights that a growing number of wallets are unprofitable, which means pressure on short-term traders.

XRP is now changing hands near $1.32, slightly up on the day after the latest altcoin dip. However, daily trading volume, down 14% to around $1.6 billion, suggests prevailing weakness.

The failed breakout above $1.40 earlier this week injected fresh jitters, leaving sellers in control.

On the technical charts, XRP struggles below the 50-day exponential moving average. The RSI indicates fresh losses towards oversold conditions.

However, such a scenario could spark a rebound.

XRP Price Chart
XRP price chart by TradingView

A decisive uptick above $1.35 might embolden bulls to target higher resistance at $1.50, with 200-day EMA above $1.80.

Santiment shared their take via X:

“Because cryptocurrencies are zero-sum trading games, significantly negative average returns (not just a price drop, but actual trader returns) imply that there is much lower risk than average in buying or adding on to your $XRP positions, due to the fact that competing traders are already in severe ‘blood in the streets’ territory.”

If price swings below $1.30 will mean buyers risk a deeper correction toward $1.10.

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