XRP faces resistance below the 50-Day EMA despite improving momentum

Key takeaways

  • XRP continues to trade below its 50-day EMA, keeping the short-term trend bearish.
  • Momentum indicators are improving, with the MACD turning more positive and the RSI rising to around 55.
  • A break above $1.15 could strengthen the recovery, while failure to do so may trigger another pullback.

Ripple’s native token, XRP, remained under pressure on Thursday, extending its corrective phase as it traded below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). 

Although the cryptocurrency has rebounded from recent lows, buyers continue to face strong resistance that has limited the recovery.

The current technical setup suggests that while bullish momentum is gradually improving, XRP has yet to confirm a sustained trend reversal.

50-Day EMA continues to cap upside

XRP is currently trading below the 50-day EMA at $1.1458, while remaining well beneath the 200-day EMA at $1.4425.

These moving averages continue to act as significant resistance levels, preventing the token from building stronger upward momentum.

Recent price action indicates that buyers have successfully defended lower support zones, but rallies have repeatedly stalled before reclaiming key technical levels.

Despite the broader corrective trend, technical indicators suggest that buying pressure is slowly returning.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains on an upward trajectory, with both the MACD line and signal line advancing while the histogram continues expanding into positive territory. This indicates that bullish momentum is strengthening.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed to approximately 55, placing it above the neutral 50 level. The reading suggests buyers are gradually regaining control without the market entering overbought conditions.

Together, these indicators point to improving market sentiment, although confirmation of a sustained recovery will require a breakout above key resistance.

Key Resistance Levels

The first major obstacle for XRP is the 50-day EMA at $1.1458. Just above that sits the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent decline from $1.2935 to $1.0092, located around $1.1514.

A decisive move above this resistance zone would improve the short-term outlook and could encourage additional buying interest.

If XRP fails to break higher, traders will likely monitor several important support areas:

  • 38.2% Fibonacci retracement: $1.1178
  • Broken ascending trendline: Around $1.0937
  • 23.6% Fibonacci retracement: $1.0763
  • Recent swing low: $1.0092

Holding above these support levels would help preserve the current recovery structure, while a break below them could expose XRP to further downside.

XRP/USD 4H Chart

XRP remains in a cautious recovery phase, supported by improving momentum indicators but constrained by significant technical resistance.

A successful breakout above the $1.1458–$1.1514 resistance zone would provide the first meaningful signal that bulls are regaining control. Until then, the token is likely to remain in a consolidation phase, with traders watching whether support around $1.12 can withstand renewed selling pressure.

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XRP price eyes breakout as golden cross, whale accumulation and XRPL activity surge

  • XRP holds above the $1.13 breakout level.
  • Whale selling drops as large holders increase accumulation.
  • XRPL daily payments surpass 500,000 transactions.

XRP recently moved above the $1.13 level, a price zone that many traders had been watching as a major resistance area.

Holding above this level has shifted attention toward higher resistance levels, with market analyst Dark Defender identifying $1.22, or approximately $1.2269, as the next upside target using Elliott Wave analysis and Fibonacci extension levels.

Dark Defender’s analysis suggests that maintaining support above the breakout zone remains critical for the bullish structure to stay intact.

A sustained move above the current range would strengthen the technical setup, while a drop back below the breakout level could trigger another test of lower support.

Golden cross and breakout strengthen XRP’s technical picture

Another development attracting attention is the appearance of a golden cross, a chart pattern that occurs when a shorter-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average.

Shiba Inu price analysis

This signal has historically been associated with improving medium-term momentum.

Although a golden cross does not guarantee higher prices, it is widely regarded as one of the stronger confirmation signals when it appears alongside a confirmed breakout.

The combination of a resistance breakout and a golden cross has created a stronger technical backdrop than either signal would have provided independently.

Focus is now on whether XRP can build enough momentum to challenge the next resistance area identified by Dark Defender.

Whale accumulation replaces heavy selling pressure

On-chain data has also shown a noticeable change in the behaviour of large XRP holders.

Recent blockchain metrics indicate that whale selling pressure has dropped to its lowest level recorded since 2025.

Earlier in the year, hundreds of millions of XRP were regularly transferred by large holders to exchanges, increasing potential selling pressure.

Those exchange inflows have since declined sharply, suggesting that major holders are becoming less active sellers.

At the same time, blockchain data points to accelerating whale accumulation, indicating that some large investors are increasing their XRP positions instead of reducing them.

Normally, buying activity from large wallets reduces immediate selling pressure on the market.

Even so, whale accumulation alone does not determine future price direction. A sustained rally still depends on broader market demand and continued buying interest across both institutional and retail participants.

XRPL network activity reaches important milestone

Beyond price action, the XRP Ledger has also recorded stronger network usage.

Daily payment activity on the XRPL recently climbed above 500,000 transactions, marking one of the strongest levels of network utilisation in recent months.

XRPL payment transaction

Payment volume is one of the key indicators used to measure blockchain activity because it reflects how frequently the network is being used for transfers and settlement.

The increase in payment activity comes alongside growing development across the XRPL ecosystem, including projects focused on integrating artificial intelligence with blockchain infrastructure.

While these initiatives are still developing, they point to broader activity taking place beyond simple token trading.

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Dogecoin price outlook: whales accumulate as memecoin momentum decline

  • Whale bought about 200 million DOGE near the $0.07 support.
  • Dogecoin has stayed below its 20-day EMA for a record 65 days.
  • Bulls must reclaim $0.075-$0.08 to improve momentum.

Dogecoin has struggled to keep pace with the broader cryptocurrency market, even as Bitcoin and several large-cap digital assets have posted stronger performances in recent weeks.

The popular memecoin is trading at $0.07267, down 0.7% over the past 24 hours, with its price confined to a narrow $0.07207–$0.07381 trading range.

While the subdued price action reflects weaker momentum, on-chain activity and technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook.

Whale buying contrasts with weak price action

One of the notable developments in recent days has been renewed whale activity.

Reports indicate that a large investor acquired roughly 200 million DOGE, a purchase valued at about $14 million, while the token traded near the $0.07 level.

Large purchases of this size often attract attention because they can signal confidence from investors with significant capital.

However, the buying has not yet translated into a broader recovery in price.

Dogecoin remains nearly 90.1% below its all-time high of $0.7316, reached in May 2021, although it is still more than 83,000% above its all-time low recorded in 2015.

The muted reaction reflects the broader slowdown in the memecoin market, where trading enthusiasm has eased compared with earlier phases of the crypto cycle.

Technical indicators show key support facing an important test

Price action continues to revolve around the $0.07-$0.071 support zone, an area identified by several market analysts as a key technical level.

Holding above this range would preserve the possibility of a recovery, while a decisive move below it could expose Dogecoin to additional downside toward the $0.060-$0.058 region.

On the upside, resistance begins around $0.07394, which aligns with the 20-day exponential moving average.

Additional resistance sits near $0.075, followed by the 50-day EMA around $0.07950.

Beyond that, traders are watching the $0.08 level, with $0.08736 near the 100-day EMA and the 200-day EMA around $0.10368 representing higher resistance levels.

The technical picture remains challenging because Dogecoin has now spent 65 consecutive trading sessions below its 20-day moving average, the longest streak on record.

Investor Jordi Visser said this prolonged weakness suggests retail participation has yet to return to the market, raising questions about whether the broader crypto rally has fully expanded beyond Bitcoin and other leading assets.

Despite the bearish trend, momentum indicators are beginning to show signs of exhaustion.

The monthly Stochastic RSI has moved into oversold territory, a condition that technical analyst Trader Tardigrade compared with previous market cycles that were later followed by strong recoveries.

Oversold readings alone do not guarantee a reversal, but they indicate that selling pressure may be weakening.

DOGE’s recovery depends on reclaiming key resistance levels

Dogecoin’s technical outlook now depends on whether Dogecoin can maintain support above $0.07.

A sustained move above $0.075 would represent an early improvement in momentum, while reclaiming $0.08 would strengthen the short-term outlook.

Some technical models point to $0.105 as a potential upside target if support continues to hold and buying momentum builds.

Other longer-term projections have suggested that Dogecoin could revisit the $0.15-$0.22 range under favourable market conditions.

Those projections, however, depend on stronger participation across the cryptocurrency market and a broader recovery in memecoin sentiment rather than current price action alone.

For now, Dogecoin remains in a consolidation phase, and whether it can defend the $0.07 support zone and reclaim nearby resistance levels is likely to determine the next significant move for the memecoin.

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BTC trades near $66K as a break above the 50-Day EMA strengthens bullish momentum

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $66,300, extending gains after reclaiming the 50-day EMA.
  • The leading cryptocurrency remains below the 100-day and 200-day EMAs, leaving key resistance levels intact.
  • Technical indicators, including the RSI and MACD, point to strengthening bullish momentum.

Bitcoin (BTC) remained firm around $65,800 on Wednesday, extending this week’s rally as the broader cryptocurrency market continued its recovery.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency strengthened its short-term outlook after closing above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a technical development that suggests buyers are gradually regaining control. 

However, Bitcoin still faces significant resistance from longer-term moving averages that must be cleared before a stronger bullish trend can emerge.

Bitcoin reclaims key technical support

Bitcoin’s recent move above the 50-day EMA at $65,150 marks an important improvement in market structure after weeks of corrective trading.

While the breakout has strengthened short-term momentum, BTC continues to trade below the 100-day EMA at $68,082 and the 200-day EMA at $73,982, indicating that the broader recovery remains incomplete.

As long as Bitcoin holds above the 50-day EMA, buyers maintain a near-term advantage. However, reclaiming the higher moving averages will be essential to confirm a sustained bullish trend.

Technical indicators continue to support the improving market outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed to 60, remaining comfortably above the neutral 50 level while staying below overbought territory. This suggests buying momentum is strengthening without showing signs of exhaustion.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in positive territory, indicating that bullish momentum continues to build. Although the indicator has yet to signal a decisive breakout, it reinforces the view that buyers are steadily gaining confidence.

Bulls eye the $68k resistance level

The next major hurdle for Bitcoin sits at the 100-day EMA around $68,082. A successful breakout above this resistance would improve the medium-term outlook and shift attention toward the 200-day EMA at $73,982. 

If bullish momentum continues beyond that level, BTC could target the longer-term resistance zone near $84,410.

On the downside, immediate support is provided by the 50-day EMA at $65,150. A stronger support area lies around $64,004, where buyers may attempt to defend the recent breakout.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

However, a sustained move below $64,004 would weaken the current bullish structure and increase the risk of a broader correction.

For now, Bitcoin’s recovery above its 50-day EMA, coupled with strengthening momentum indicators, suggests bulls are regaining control. The next decisive test will be whether buyers can overcome resistance near $68,082 to extend the current rally.

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SOL holds $77 as ETF inflows and bullish derivatives signal further upside

Key takeaways

  • Solana (SOL) trades around $78, gaining more than 2% this week.
  • Spot Solana ETFs recorded $5.83 million in inflows, marking the second straight day of institutional buying.
  • Derivatives data points to growing bullish sentiment, with the long-to-short ratio rising to 1.12.

Solana (SOL) remained steady around $77 on Wednesday, extending its weekly gains to more than 2% as institutional investors returned to the market.

Growing inflows into spot Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs), combined with increasingly bullish derivatives positioning, are improving the outlook for the cryptocurrency despite technical resistance continuing to cap upside momentum.

Solana ETFs record strongest inflows in weeks

Institutional demand for Solana showed further improvement this week. According to SoSoValue, spot Solana ETFs attracted $5.83 million in net inflows on Tuesday, marking the second consecutive day of positive flows. 

It was also the largest single-day inflow since July 6, suggesting institutional confidence may be recovering after a quieter period.

If ETF inflows continue throughout the week, they could provide additional buying pressure and support a broader price recovery for SOL.

The derivatives market is also showing signs of growing optimism. Data from CoinGlass reveals that Solana’s long-to-short ratio climbed to 1.12 on Wednesday, approaching its highest level in more than a month. 

The increase indicates that leveraged traders are increasingly positioning for additional price gains.

The stronger long positioning reinforces the improving institutional sentiment reflected in recent ETF inflows, suggesting both retail and professional traders are becoming more constructive on SOL’s near-term outlook.

Solana price analysis: Can SOL break above $80?

From a technical standpoint, Solana continues to consolidate after recovering above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

SOL is currently trading near $78.05, holding above the 50-day EMA at $76.76 and the horizontal support level around $77.06. 

These levels continue to provide a solid foundation for the current recovery. However, the cryptocurrency remains below the 100-day EMA at $80.39 and well beneath the 200-day EMA at $92.87, leaving the broader trend cautious until these resistance levels are reclaimed.

Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits around 54, indicating modest bullish momentum without reaching overbought territory. 

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains slightly below the neutral line, suggesting buyers have gained some traction but have yet to establish a decisive uptrend.

The first resistance level lies at the 50% Fibonacci retracement around $79.27, followed closely by the 100-day EMA at $80.39.

A sustained daily close above this resistance zone would strengthen the bullish outlook and could open the door for a rally toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $83.78.

On the downside, immediate support remains at $77.06, reinforced by the 50-day EMA at $76.76. A break below this area could trigger a decline toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $74.75.

SOL/USD 4H Chart

If bearish momentum intensifies, additional support levels are located at $69.16 and $60.13, although those areas are likely to come into focus only if sellers regain firm control of the broader trend.

For now, improving ETF inflows, rising bullish positioning in the derivatives market, and resilient price action above key support suggest Solana retains a cautiously optimistic outlook, provided buyers can push the token above the critical $80.39 resistance level.

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