Toncoin eyes $2 as community cheers Cocoon launch on TON

  • A bounce for altcoins sees Toncoin price recover above $1.50.
  • The integration of Cocoon has boosted bulls and could allow for a retest of $2.00.
  • TON is the cryptocurrency token of the Telegram ecosystem.

Toncoin (TON) has reclaimed the $1.50 level as a broader market rebound lifts sentiment across major cryptocurrencies.

TON was trading near $1.51 on Tuesday, up about 1.5%, after Cocoon — a decentralized confidential compute network — went live on The Open Network.

The launch is viewed as a significant step for the TON ecosystem and aligns with Telegram’s push toward a private, decentralized AI framework.

The development has provided a fresh catalyst for bullish momentum, with the community looking to build on the optimism and potentially drive TON higher in the sessions ahead.

Toncoin price: bulls eye momentum above $1.50

Toncoin slipped sharply after months of consolidating below $3.50 and $4.00, with sellers driving the token to a low of $1.45 on Monday, December 1, 2025.

The move mirrored the broader market’s November slowdown and the weaker start to the new month.

A modest recovery has followed. TON has edged back above $1.50, even as 24-hour trading volumes across major exchanges have fallen by about 10%.

The rebound is limited, but it gives buyers a narrow window to attempt a stronger move.

A continued bounce could open the way for a push toward $1.60, which may allow Toncoin to retest and potentially flip the earlier resistance zone around $2.36 into support.

Toncoin Price Chart
Toncoin price chart by TradingView

TON integrates Cocoon for AI compute

Although Toncoin’s price remains vulnerable below $2.00, both traders and long-term holders are celebrating the arrival of Cocoon.

It is about real utility that ties GPU supply directly to TON token economics.

Per latest details, Cocoon has officially begun processing live user requests.

With the launch, the platform becomes the first decentralized artificial intelligence project on TON to offer fully confidential AI inference at scale.

Notably, the network enables GPU owners worldwide to rent out their hardware for privacy-preserving AI workloads, earning TON tokens as direct compensation.

Using Trusted Execution Environments (TEEs) and zero-knowledge proofs, Cocoon ensures that sensitive data never leaves the secure enclave.

In short, it eliminates the privacy risks and high costs associated with centralized providers like AWS or Google Cloud.

Telegram itself is Cocoon’s anchor client and first major user, routing select AI features through the decentralized network to guarantee end-to-end confidentiality for its nearly one billion users.

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Bitcoin’s downturn shows signs of bottoming as Grayscale sees new highs ahead

  • Grayscale says Bitcoin may bottom and could break the halving cycle with new highs in 2026.
  • ETF outflows ease with four days of inflows, signaling buyer interest returning.
  • Fed rate decisions and US crypto legislation may drive Bitcoin’s 2026 outlook.

Bitcoin’s latest retracement may already be stabilizing, with asset manager Grayscale arguing that the market is on track to break its traditional four-year halving cycle and could set fresh all-time highs in 2026.

Despite uncertainty following a 32% decline from recent peaks, emerging indicators suggest the current drawdown may be closer to a local bottom than the start of a prolonged downturn.

Market indicators point to a local bottom

According to Grayscale’s Monday research report, Bitcoin’s performance in 2025 has already shown characteristics that diverge from the typical post-halving trend.

The firm believes the long-held four-year cycle thesis is likely to prove incorrect and that Bitcoin may reach new highs next year.

One of the key signals cited is the elevated Bitcoin option skew, which has risen above 4.

This level indicates investors have already hedged extensively against additional downside, often a sign that selling pressure may be thinning out.

Grayscale argues that although the broader outlook remains uncertain, current dynamics support the case for a cyclical shift.

Still, analysts warn that a sustained recovery hinges on meaningful reversals in several major flow metrics.

These include futures open interest, ETF inflows, and selling activity from long-term Bitcoin holders—all of which have pressured prices in recent weeks.

ETF outflows ease as buyer appetite slowly returns

US spot Bitcoin ETFs, a major driver of the asset’s momentum throughout 2025, placed substantial downward pressure on the market in November.

The products recorded $3.48 billion in net outflows during their second-worst month on record, according to data from Farside Investors.

However, the trend has begun to reverse.

The funds have now posted four consecutive days of inflows, including a modest $8.5 million on Monday.

While early, the shift suggests investor interest may be gradually recovering following the recent sell-off.

Market positioning reflects what Nexo analyst Iliya Kalchev calls a “leverage reset rather than a sentiment break.”

He adds that the near-term trajectory depends on whether Bitcoin can reclaim the low-$90,000 range to avoid slipping toward stronger support in the mid-to-low $80,000 levels.

Fed policy and US crypto legislation emerging as key catalysts

Investors now turn to the next major macro catalyst: the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on December 10.

Markets currently assign an 87% probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut, sharply higher than the 63% odds priced in one month ago.

Grayscale notes that the Fed’s decision and its forward guidance could play an important role in shaping Bitcoin’s trajectory into 2026.

Later in the year, continued progress on US digital asset regulation may offer another catalyst.

Attention has focused on the Digital Asset Market Structure bill, which Grayscale says could help accelerate institutional adoption if it maintains bipartisan support ahead of the midterm elections.

Momentum began with the passage of the CLARITY Act in the House earlier this year, part of a broader Republican “crypto week” initiative.

Senate leaders from both parties have expressed interest in building on the legislation through the Responsible Financial Innovation Act, which aims to establish a clearer regulatory framework for digital asset markets.

The bill is under review in both the Senate Agriculture Committee and the Senate Banking Committee.

Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott has stated that lawmakers aim to finalize and sign the legislation into law by early 2026, a timeline that could align with what Grayscale sees as a pivotal year for Bitcoin’s next phase of growth.

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Regulators ramp up US stablecoin rules as GENIUS Act takes effect

  • A second FDIC rule on prudential requirements will follow early next year.
  • The FDIC will supervise bank subsidiaries issuing payment stablecoins.
  • Guidance on tokenised deposits is under development.

US regulators are moving quickly to build the country’s new stablecoin supervision system, with federal agencies preparing detailed rulemaking as the GENIUS Act begins to shape policy.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is set to publish an application framework for payment stablecoin issuers later this month, marking one of the earliest steps in implementing the law signed by President Donald Trump earlier this year.

Alongside the FDIC, the Federal Reserve, and the Treasury Department are working on their own regulatory responsibilities, signalling a coordinated effort to bring stablecoins under a clearer, more structured oversight regime.

FDIC develops licensing framework for stablecoin issuers

The FDIC has confirmed through written testimony scheduled for delivery to the House Financial Services Committee on December 2 that it is close to releasing a proposed rule outlining how payment stablecoin issuers will apply for approval.

The agency began the process earlier this year as part of its duty to implement the GENIUS Act, and the first formal proposal is expected before the end of the month.

Another proposal focusing on prudential requirements for FDIC-supervised issuers is planned for early next year.

Once the application framework is published, the agency will gather public comments before moving toward a final rule, a phase that typically spans several months.

GENIUS Act expands oversight for bank-linked stablecoins

The GENIUS Act introduces a national structure that requires federal and state regulators to coordinate their supervision of stablecoin issuers.

Under the law, the FDIC will oversee and license subsidiaries of insured depository institutions that issue payment stablecoins.

The agency will also set out capital rules, liquidity expectations, and reserve diversification standards.

Much of this work will roll out over the coming year, as several rulemakings are needed to meet the obligations laid out in the legislation.

The FDIC is also consulting recommendations released in July by the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, which urged regulators to clarify digital asset activities allowed for banks, including asset and liability tokenisation.

Tokenised deposits included in regulatory review

In addition to its stablecoin responsibilities, the FDIC is preparing new guidance aimed at clarifying how tokenised deposits will be treated under federal regulation.

This area has gained attention as banks explore digital versions of traditional deposit products.

The forthcoming guidance is expected to help institutions understand which activities fall within supervisory boundaries and how they will be monitored.

Federal Reserve coordinates its own stablecoin standards

The Federal Reserve will join the FDIC at Tuesday’s House hearing, with Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman detailing the central bank’s work on stablecoin rules.

The Federal Reserve is coordinating with other banking regulators to craft capital, liquidity, and diversification standards required under the GENIUS Act.

The focus includes creating clarity for banks engaged in digital asset activities and providing regulatory feedback on new use cases as they emerge.

This joint push aims to ensure the banking system can support digital asset development while maintaining stability and compliance.

Other agencies are also advancing their obligations under the GENIUS Act.

The Treasury Department has already completed its public consultations, which concluded in November, and is developing its own rules.

These efforts will run in parallel with the FDIC and Federal Reserve processes, contributing to the broader national framework being built to govern stablecoins across the US.

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Cardano risks dropping to $0.32 as bearish trend thickens

Key takeaways

  • ADA has lost 7% of its value in the last seven days.
  • The coin could record further losses as the market remains bearish.

ADA sheds 35% in November

ADA, the native coin of the Cardano blockchain, is up by less than 1% on Tuesday after recovering from the 6% dip on Monday. The bearish performance occurred as the  Cardano derivatives market saw a decline in traders’ interest.

According to CoinGlass, ADA futures Open Interest (OI) dropped 6.82% over the last 24 hours to $693 million. This decline suggests that investors are adopting a risk-off approach to the market.

Furthermore, the OI-weighted funding rate stands at -0.0057% suggesting increased confidence among bearish-aligned traders. Due to the current market conditions, the long-to-short ratio stands at 0.8765, with short positions building to 53.29% of all derivatives contracts over the last 24 hours.

This data suggests that there is a sell-side dominance in Cardano derivatives, with traders anticipating a decline in ADA’s price in the near term.

Will ADA close below the 2025 low?

The ADA/USD daily chart is bearish and inefficient as Cardano has underperformed in recent weeks. The coin dropped below $0.40 after losing 35% of its value in November and could dip lower over the coming days and weeks. 

ADA/USD Daily Chart

The technical indicators are also bearish, with the daily RSI now at 28, indicating an oversold condition. The MACD lines are also within the negative territory, suggesting heavy selling pressure. If the RSI remains below 30, Cardano remains at risk of steeper corrections. 

If the daily candle closes below the November 21 low of $0.3876, ADA could suffer heavy losses and retest the September 16, 2024, low of $0.3264. On the upside, if the buyers regain control and ADA stays bullish above $0.3876, it could reclaim the $0.40 resistance level in the near term. 

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Vanguard reverses course, opens door to Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana ETFs

  • Vanguard now allows clients to trade Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana ETFs.
  • XRP ETFs have seen $756M inflows in 11 days, with no outflows recorded.
  • Goldman and other firms are boosting crypto exposure alongside Vanguard.

In a dramatic shift that signals growing acceptance of digital assets by mainstream finance, Vanguard has opened its brokerage platform to regulated crypto ETFs.

Starting this week, US investors can access exchange-traded funds tied to Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana, marking a major reversal from the firm’s long-held resistance to cryptocurrency.

Notably, the move comes amid surging client demand and increasing institutional interest in digital assets, reshaping Vanguard’s traditional investment philosophy.

Vanguard finally embraces crypto

For years, Vanguard maintained a cautious stance toward cryptocurrencies, with former CEO Tim Buckley publicly dismissing BTC and other digital assets as too speculative and unsuitable for long-term portfolios.

The firm consistently refused to offer crypto ETFs, emphasising stability and low-risk investments for retirement-focused clients.

However, leadership changes paved the way for a rethink.

Salim Ramji, formerly the global head of ETFs at BlackRock, assumed the CEO role and gradually steered Vanguard toward regulated crypto offerings.

While the firm still will not create its own crypto ETFs or mutual funds, it now supports third-party products that meet regulatory standards, providing clients with access to digital assets while maintaining compliance.

The platform expansion enables more than 50 million US brokerage clients to trade crypto ETFs alongside other non-core assets like gold.

This could significantly increase market participation, with some predicting near-term price boosts in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

Vanguard’s inclusion of XRP ETFs

Among the new offerings, XRP-based ETFs have generated particular excitement.

In just 11 trading days, spot XRP ETFs have recorded net inflows exceeding $756 million, with total assets under management reaching $723 million.

Remarkably, there have been no outflows, and major inflow events include $243 million during Canary Capital’s launch, $164 million tied to Grayscale and Franklin Templeton ETFs, and $89.65 million in the most recent session.

This rapid accumulation is reducing the liquid XRP supply on exchanges, potentially creating a supply shock that could influence pricing.

Mainstream finance accelerates crypto adoption

Vanguard’s pivot reflects a broader trend among traditional financial institutions embracing crypto.

Goldman Sachs, for example, is deepening its exposure through a $2 billion acquisition of Innovator Capital Management, which issues defined-outcome ETFs, including Bitcoin-linked structured funds.

The bank has rapidly increased its holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, totalling billions in assets, while also developing infrastructure for tokenised financial products.

Industry observers view these moves as part of a gradual yet significant integration of digital assets into mainstream portfolios, indicating that regulated, institutionally backed crypto investment is shifting from a niche to a standard.

The implications of Vanguard’s decision extend beyond immediate market activity.

By allowing access to regulated crypto ETFs, the firm is providing a channel for both retail and institutional investors to participate in digital asset markets within a familiar, compliant framework.

This could draw additional inflows, potentially reshaping liquidity dynamics and market sentiment across Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana.

For Vanguard, the shift represents not only a strategic response to client demand but also an acknowledgement that digital assets have become a permanent fixture in the global financial landscape.

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