Bitcoin tests $116K resistance ahead of Fed decision; new token launches stir market

  • Bitcoin stalls near $116K as Fed’s policy decision draws focus.
  • Major altcoins trade sideways amid low volumes and uncertainty.
  • Velora (VLR) and Project Merlin (MRLN) set to redefine DeFi ecosystems.

Bitcoin is once again testing the nerves of crypto market participants as its price hovers near $1,16,000, battling a stubborn resistance just as the global spotlight turns to the US Federal Reserve’s mid-September policy meeting.

In the early hours of September 16, Bitcoin traded at $1,15,200, trimming modest overnight gains amid lower trading volumes and a cautious risk mood.

The benchmark cryptocurrency’s market cap stands at a robust $2.29 trillion, with 24-hour volumes just over $52 billion, evidence that, while enthusiasm has tempered, the appetite for digital gold remains very much alive.

The shadow of the Fed’s upcoming decision has left broader markets listless, and crypto is no exception. Investors remain on high alert for clues around possible rate adjustments after a string of resilient US inflation data.

Any shift in policy or surprise rhetoric could produce short, sharp moves across all risk assets, with Bitcoin particularly sensitive given its recent struggle to clear the $1,16,000 threshold.

Bullish momentum still elusive

Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset by market cap, followed suit, changing hands at $4,522.

Ether has struggled to regain bullish momentum since its recent spike to $4,609 and is now trading in a narrow band with tepid demand from larger holders.

Despite a record high in stablecoin activity on its chain last week, ETH appears tethered to macro narratives, quietly mirroring Bitcoin’s cautious trajectory.

XRP, meanwhile, steadied at $2.99 after pulling back from recent local highs.

Recent treasury movements from notable digital asset management firms have steadied sentiment but haven’t sparked breakout momentum, as regulatory debates around the token continue to play out in key jurisdictions.

Solana is also in the spotlight, with its price down slightly to $233.67 following last week’s rally.

The token, known for its fast and low-cost transaction capabilities, has seen volatility creep back in, as short-term traders wade in to capture swings on the back of the broader market’s uncertainty.

Technical analysts note the next major support levels sit close to $220, underscoring the need for positive catalysts to maintain current valuations.

Dogecoin, always the wildcard, is trading at $0.2677 after a 24-hour spell that saw the meme coin flirt with both $0.26 support and $0.28 resistance.

While DOGE’s narrative is often ruled by social media and celebrity hype, the current environment has left even seasoned “shibes” trading cautiously, awaiting clearer signals from both the Fed and broader risk markets.

With key resistance levels drawing closer across major coins, market eyes will remain glued to the outcome of the Fed meeting.

Until then, expect crypto prices to oscillate around their current bands, with Bitcoin eyeing that crucial $1,16,000 break as the catalyst for renewed bullish conviction or yet another test of market resolve.

New launches fuel crypto buzz

Several major crypto launches and ecosystem upgrades are about to shake up the market, promising to unleash a new spark of trading action.

On Tuesday, all eyes are on Velora (VLR) and Project Merlin (MRLN) as they make their much-anticipated debuts.

Velora’s launch signals a push into the next generation of DeFi, with its $VLR token powering intent-based cross-chain trading and unlocking gasless staking and community rewards.

Meanwhile, Project Merlin steps onto the scene offering an all-in-one Web3 ecosystem that connects blockchain entrepreneurs, communities, and investors, complete with a robust launchpad, crowdfunding, and freelance ecosystem, all tied together by the $MRLN token and launching with airdrops across major exchanges.

These releases are more than just hype; they reflect how the industry is charging ahead with technical innovation and shifting toward tailored, ecosystem-first infrastructure.

But it’s not just token launches grabbing investor attention. On the regulatory front, Hong Kong just locked in fresh banking capital guidelines for digital assets, set to take effect in January 2026.

The big shift? Banks are facing a 1:1 capital provision for any exposure to “permissionless” blockchains.

The move is expected to bolster confidence for institutional players looking for a safer entry into crypto markets.

Added to that, Ripple is making headlines via a new partnership in Japan that brings its RLUSD stablecoin further into the nation’s payments rails, underscoring digital assets’ climb toward mainstream financial integration.

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Pump.fun fundamental analysis points to more gains for PUMP price despite current pullback

  • Binance.US, MEXC, and Coins.ph listings boost Pump.fun token’s liquidity.
  • $33M buybacks support price, but whale exits add selling pressure.
  • $5.5B lawsuit and rising competition pose major long-term risks.

Pump.fun’s native token, PUMP, has been in the spotlight over the past month, delivering triple-digit gains while drawing fresh attention from retail traders and exchanges alike.

Despite a recent dip, fundamental and technical indicators suggest that the token may not be done with its rally just yet.

Several exchanges have listed the PUMP token recently

Over the past months, major exchanges have expanded access to PUMP, a move that has boosted liquidity and visibility.

In July, MEXC listed PUMP/USDT and PUMP/USDC in the Innovation Zone with a convert feature, opening up one of the deepest retail-driven order books in Asia.

On Thursday, last week, Binance.US introduced spot trading for the PUMP/USD pair, giving American traders direct exposure for the first time.

In addition, MEXC has promised to list a Pump.fun token every Monday.

Regional exchange Coins.ph has also joined in, offering PUMP/PHP on its Convert feature to capture demand from Southeast Asia’s growing Solana user base.

These listings signal that exchanges see sustained interest in Pump.fun despite questions over the token’s long-term stability.

The impact of these listings has been immediate. Trading volumes crossed $1.2 billion in 24 hours, with liquidity spreads tightening and new buyers entering the market.

PUMP token buybacks provide stability

Another key factor supporting PUMP’s price is the aggressive buyback program run by the Pump.fun platform.

Since August, the team has allocated roughly 35% of its fee revenue to purchasing tokens on the open market.

Data shows that around $33 million worth of PUMP has been bought back, with daily purchases averaging $1 million to $1.3 million.

These buybacks reduce circulating supply and inject confidence during volatile sessions.

Critics, however, argue that the buyback strategy functions more like market-making than organic demand, particularly since many of the purchases have been made at a premium to earlier trading levels.

Even so, the program has helped prevent sharper corrections and reassured retail traders that the team is willing to defend the token during dips.

$5.5 billion class-action lawsuit and platform rivalry

While the fundamentals appear strong, PUMP is not free of risks.

A $5.5 billion class-action lawsuit filed in July accuses Pump.fun of operating as an unlicensed casino and links the platform to more than $700 million in retail losses.

The case remains unresolved, but its timing coincided with PUMP’s price peak, raising concerns that legal proceedings could trigger risk-off sentiment among larger investors.

Competition has also intensified, with LetsBONK.fun overtaking Pump.fun in daily Solana memecoin launches and capturing more than half of August’s revenue in the segment.

This shift threatens Pump.fun’s fee-driven model, which underpins the buyback strategy and provides value to PUMP holders.

But for now, Pump.fun still maintains dominance in token listings, but sustained erosion of market share could weigh on growth.

ICO whales exit

Adding to the headwinds is selling pressure from early investors.

Reportedly, roughly 60% of ICO participants have exited their positions, with some whales offloading close to $40 million worth of tokens since July.

The initial sale price of $0.004 has become a psychological resistance level, and with more than half of the circulating supply still in the hands of ICO buyers, the risk of additional sell-offs looms over the market.

This dynamic has created persistent overhead resistance and raises questions about how much further buybacks can offset distribution from large holders.

The PUMP price outlook

Despite these challenges, the token’s recent performance has been impressive.

PUMP’s price has surged more than 125% over the past month and more than 60% in the past week, reaching an all-time high of $0.008819 before retreating slightly.

The token currently trades near $0.0078, down around 3.4% in 24 hours as traders lock in profits.

Key technical levels show solid support between $0.00613 and $0.00605, while resistance sits in the $0.00739 to $0.00797 band.

A breakout above the resistance zone could trigger another leg higher, with bulls eyeing $0.00846 as the next target.

Conversely, a break below support would bring the $0.0064 range into play, with potential panic selling if $0.007 fails to hold.

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Avantis (AVNT) price jumps 79%, sets new ATH, following multiple exchange listings

  • Avantis (AVNT) has hit a new ATH of $1.54 after listing on Binance, Upbit, and Bithumb.
  • Trading volume has surged to $1.47 billion, driven by strong growth in the futures market.
  • Avantis is gaining traction as a perpetual DEX backed by Coinbase and Pantera.

Avantis (AVNT), a fast-rising token on the Base network, has taken the cryptocurrency market by storm after soaring nearly 80% in a single day.

The price jumped to $1.54, setting a new all-time high and extending its remarkable rally that has seen the token surge more than 200% in just a week.

Avantis price chart

The sharp increase comes on the back of multiple major exchange listings, which have propelled the token into the spotlight and drawn significant global attention.

Listings drive strong demand

Avantis’ bullish momentum began when Coinbase, Bybit, and several other global exchanges added support for AVNT.

Hours later, South Korea’s largest trading platforms, Upbit and Bithumb, followed suit, sending demand into overdrive.

The announcement of AVNT’s listing on Upbit and Bithumb proved to be the most powerful catalyst for its latest rally.

Upbit, which dominates South Korea’s crypto trading scene, confirmed that it would support AVNT against the Korean won, Bitcoin, and Tether.

Deposits and withdrawals are only supported through the Base network, ensuring a streamlined but secure process for traders.

Bithumb mirrored the move by listing the token in a KRW trading pair, with both platforms going live at 13:30 KST on September 15.

Binance also joined the action, rolling out spot trading for AVNT against USDT, USDC, and the Turkish lira.

The exchange added the token to its Alpha platform before transitioning it to the main spot market, applying a seed tag to mark its early stage.

Binance further expanded support by enabling AVNT purchases through its “One-Click Buy” service, instant swaps with zero fees, and margin trading options that allow traders to borrow AVNT or use it as collateral.

These listings significantly boosted liquidity and improved access for retail and institutional investors alike.

Within hours of the recordings, the Avantis cryptocurrency has recorded massive spikes in trading activity and market capitalisation, cementing its position as one of the hottest new listings in 2025.

Rapid growth in Avantis trading activity

The flood of new listings coincided with a sharp increase in trading activity.

AVNT’s daily volume surged more than 37% to hit $1.469 billion, with Coinbase leading the charge in global market share.

The surge in demand also spilt over into the derivatives market, where open interest in AVNT futures has soared past $192 million for the first time.

Binance, Bybit, and KuCoin all recorded futures growth of nearly 100% or more, showing a strong appetite for leveraged exposure.

Such activity highlights the growing confidence in Avantis as more traders position themselves ahead of further potential gains.

The expanded liquidity across exchanges has also reduced barriers to entry, making it easier for investors worldwide to access the token.

This combination of spot and futures momentum has reinforced the perception of AVNT as one of the year’s breakout digital assets.

Avantis price outlook

The rapid climb of AVNT underscores how quickly sentiment can change in the cryptocurrency space when strong fundamentals meet the right catalysts.

From an all-time low of $0.1878 on September 9 to a record $1.54 less than a week later, the token has demonstrated remarkable volatility and potential.

With a market capitalisation of $349 million and a fully diluted valuation exceeding $1.4 billion, Avantis has already cemented its place among the year’s most talked-about launches.

However, the challenge now is sustaining momentum beyond the initial wave of listings.

As Binance warned in its announcement, newly listed tokens often display extreme volatility, and risk management will be crucial for traders navigating the market.

If the bullish momentum is maintained, then the Avantis (AVNT) price could easily rise above $2 by the end of this week.

But on the flip side, if profit-taking kicks in, the token could drop to its low of $0.1878 as quickly as it climbed high.

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Bitcoin climbs above $115K as on-chain metrics signal potential rally

  • Bitcoin tops $115K, moving above mid-term holders’ Realized Price near $114K, boosting sentiment.
  • Short-term holders show losses as SOPR dips, but no signs yet of “Extreme Greed” cycle top.
  • Analysts split: some see BTC peaking, others eye $150K by Christmas after Q4 rally.

Bitcoin has extended its gains in September, rising from around $108,000 at the start of the month to more than $115,000.

While the move represents a modest 4% increase over two weeks, new on-chain data suggests the cryptocurrency may be preparing for another leg higher that could eventually lead to fresh all-time highs.

Mid-term holders’ realized price breached

According to analysis published on CryptoQuant by contributor ShayanMarkets, Bitcoin’s rebound from $107,000 to $114,000 has pushed the asset above the Realized Price of mid-term holders — wallets that last moved coins within the past three to six months.

This Realized Price currently stands near $114,000.

The Realized Price is considered a key pivot level that often reflects market sentiment and possible sell pressure.

By climbing above this threshold, Bitcoin has reduced the likelihood of immediate selling from this cohort.

ShayanMarkets noted that a firm breakout and consolidation above $114,000 could signal renewed confidence among mid-term holders.

This, in turn, could provide the foundation for a new bullish phase capable of driving BTC toward record levels.

However, the analyst cautioned that failure to maintain this level risks weakening sentiment and could open the door to deeper corrective moves in the near term.

Short-term holders show signs of stress

Other on-chain signals paint a more cautious picture.

CryptoQuant contributor Gaah highlighted the behavior of short-term holders (STH) by examining the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), adjusted with a 30-day moving average.

This metric measures whether investors are selling their coins at a profit or loss.

Gaah observed that after four months of trading above break-even, the STH SOPR has slipped into negative territory, indicating that short-term holders are now realizing losses.

This shift suggests a temporary loss of confidence among speculative investors, who are more sensitive to price fluctuations.

Despite Bitcoin’s broader rally from $60,000 to $125,000 over the past year, the SOPR STH metric has shown declining peaks.

In previous cycles, sharp price surges were accompanied by SOPR readings in the “Extreme Greed” zone, reflecting strong retail participation.

This time, however, such dynamics have not been observed, implying that institutional investors may be the primary drivers behind recent gains.

Gaah added that historically, market tops are usually confirmed when short-term holders exhibit extreme greed.

As this has not occurred, the analyst suggested the current pullback may simply be part of a healthy consolidation rather than a signal of a long-term reversal.

Mixed outlook as year-end approaches

Market observers remain divided on Bitcoin’s near-term prospects.

Some analysts caution that the cryptocurrency may be approaching the peak of its current cycle, while others anticipate a short-term downturn in September before a renewed rally in the final quarter of 2025.

Forecasts vary widely, with some projecting Bitcoin could reach as high as $150,000 by Christmas if bullish momentum persists.

For now, the asset trades at $115,050, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours, as it attempts to build support above key on-chain levels.

With both bullish and cautionary signals present, investors are closely watching Bitcoin’s ability to hold above the mid-term holders’ Realized Price, as this may determine whether the next phase of the rally begins or if a deeper correction unfolds.

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Solana gains momentum with institutional backing

  • Solana posts 17% weekly gain, eyeing $300 as institutional demand grows.
  • Galaxy Digital buys $326M SOL for Multicoin, with $1B more cash to deploy.
  • $250 remains Solana’s key pivot; a breakout could retest $295 ATH soon.

Solana (SOL) is closing one of its strongest weeks of 2025, recording a 17% gain over the past seven days.

Among the top 20 crypto assets, only Dogecoin and Hyperliquid have outperformed it.

The rally positions SOL for its highest weekly candle close since January, fueling speculation of a potential move toward the $300 level.

Currently trading about 15% below its all-time high of $295, Solana has drawn attention for its technical resilience and rising institutional support.

Futures and spot data show healthy market structure

According to CoinGlass, Solana futures open interest (OI) hit a record $16.6 billion on Friday.

Despite this surge, perpetual funding rates have remained stable, indicating that positions are not excessively leveraged.

This balance suggests the market still has room for further upside if momentum continues.

Market structure data adds to the bullish case.

Net taker volume has leaned buy-heavy, signaling more aggressive buyers entering positions.

At the same time, aggregated futures cumulative volume delta (CVD) has stayed flat, suggesting long and short positions are well-balanced despite record OI levels.

Importantly, spot CVD is climbing higher, pointing to a rally driven by spot markets rather than futures—a dynamic often viewed as healthier for sustained growth.

From a momentum standpoint, relative strength index (RSI) data is also notable.

In previous rallies near $295, Solana’s RSI entered overbought territory, raising the risk of sharp pullbacks.

This time, RSI has not reached those extremes, leaving room for the rally to extend further before encountering significant technical resistance.

Institutional interest and key technical levels

Institutional activity has been another major driver of Solana’s recent strength.

Arkham Intelligence reported that Galaxy Digital has begun executing a large-scale SOL purchase program for Multicoin Capital’s Solana Designated Allocation Trust (DAT).

On September 12, Galaxy acquired $326 million worth of SOL on behalf of the trust.

The vehicle still holds $354 million in stablecoins and up to $1 billion in cash, which could be deployed for additional purchases.

This development follows Forward Industries’ announcement of a $1.65 billion SOL-native treasury, supported by Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital.

As the first Nasdaq-listed company to raise institutional capital for direct deployment on Solana, Forward’s move underscores the growing trend of corporate adoption.

From a technical perspective, $250 remains a crucial pivot point for SOL.

The level has served as a multi-year resistance zone, capping rallies in 2021, November 2024, and January 2025.

In each instance, Solana traded between $275 and $295 before retreating to close near $250, highlighting the significance of this level for profit-taking.

Analysts note that if SOL can close the week strongly above $250 and follow with consecutive closes above that threshold, sentiment could shift toward retesting the $295 all-time high and potentially entering price discovery beyond $300 in the fourth quarter.

The presence of the Solana Strategic Reserve, often compared to Ethereum’s institutional support, may also provide a buffer against sharp reversals.

By offering institutional-grade liquidity, the reserve could change the way the market reacts to traditional resistance levels.

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