Polymarket quietly changes fee model for short term crypto markets

  • Fees collected from takers are redistributed daily to liquidity providers in USDC.
  • The highest fees apply when market odds are near 50% and fall toward zero at extremes.
  • Longer-term crypto, political, and non-crypto markets remain fee-free.

Prediction market platform Polymarket has made a subtle but meaningful change to how some of its crypto markets operate.

Updated documentation on the site shows that 15-minute crypto up and down markets now carry taker fees, a break from the platform’s long-standing zero-fee trading model.

The update appeared without a formal announcement and applies only to a narrow segment of markets.

Most Polymarket markets remain fee-free, signalling a targeted structural adjustment rather than a platform-wide shift.

The change was identified through revisions to Polymarket’s Trading Fees and Maker Rebates Program documentation.

These sections now explain that taker-only fees have been enabled on short-duration crypto markets to fund liquidity incentives.

Archived versions of the documentation indicate that this language is new, suggesting the fee model was introduced recently and without public notice.

Documentation reveals new fee structure

According to the updated material, the taker fees apply solely to 15-minute crypto markets.

These are short-term contracts designed for rapid price movements, where liquidity conditions can change quickly.

The platform states that fees collected from takers are redistributed daily to liquidity providers in USDC stablecoin, rather than retained by Polymarket itself.

This redistribution mechanism positions the fee as a funding tool for market makers rather than a revenue stream for the platform.

Other markets, including longer-term crypto predictions, political markets, and non-crypto events, continue to operate without fees.

Fees tied to market odds

The documentation outlines a variable fee model based on market odds.

Fees are highest when prices are close to 50%, a range typically associated with the greatest uncertainty and trading activity. As odds move closer to 0% or 100%, the fee declines sharply toward zero.

Examples included in the documentation show how this plays out in practice.

A taker trade of 100 shares priced at $0.50 would incur a fee of about $1.56, which is slightly over 3% of the trade’s value at the peak of the curve.

Smaller trades and those placed near probability extremes face lower charges, with very small fees rounded down.

Social media reaction frames intent

The quiet rollout prompted discussion on X, where several users framed the move as a market-structure adjustment rather than a conventional fee increase.

X user 0x_opus said the change would increase protection from wash trading, arguing that the platform is not charging users in the traditional sense because the fees are redirected to liquidity providers.

Another trader, kiruwaaaaaa, described the move as being directed against high-frequency bots, saying the fee-funded rebates could incentivise tighter spreads and more consistent liquidity.

A third user, Tawer955, offered a more detailed breakdown, calling the headline effect of the change “scary, but not as bad as it sounds.”

He said the structure creates a sustainable cash flow for liquidity providers while reducing incentives for bots that previously exploited free liquidity.

Impact limited to select markets

For the majority of Polymarket users, the change is expected to have a limited impact. Only 15-minute crypto markets are affected, while the rest of the platform remains fee-free.

Even within the affected markets, the fee design reduces costs for directional trades and those placed near clear probability outcomes.

By concentrating fees around the most competitive price ranges and redistributing them to liquidity providers, Polymarket appears to be fine-tuning incentives in its fastest markets without altering the broader user experience.

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Critical wallet bug found in Bitcoin Core v30, users urged to backup

  • Legacy wallets risk deletion during Bitcoin Core v30 migration.
  • Back up wallet and data directories before attempting upgrades.
  • Modern wallets and hardware wallets remain largely safe.

A critical bug has been discovered in Bitcoin Core v30, raising alarms for users planning to upgrade their wallets.

The issue specifically affects the wallet migration process, which is designed to transfer old wallets to the latest software version.

Under certain conditions, this migration can delete wallet files, putting users’ funds at risk.

Developers have confirmed that the bug primarily impacts older legacy wallets, particularly those that have not been renamed or updated in years.

Modern wallets and hardware wallets are largely unaffected, according to official sources.

However, the risk remains significant for anyone running a node with outdated wallet files and attempting a migration.

The Bitcoin Core wallet bug

The problem arises when Bitcoin Core tries to migrate an unnamed legacy wallet located in a custom wallet directory.

If pruning is enabled, the software can misinterpret the migration process and inadvertently delete all files in the wallet directory.

This is not a network-level bug, so the Bitcoin blockchain itself remains secure.

Instead, the threat is local: users may lose access to their funds if no external backup exists.

The vulnerability only triggers during migration attempts.

Simply running the software or syncing the blockchain is not enough to cause file deletion.

Developers quickly responded by removing v30.0 and v30.1 binaries from the official download page.

Users are now urged to avoid running any wallet migrations until a fixed version is released.

Steps users should take

The Bitcoin Core v30 bug is dangerous but avoidable, provided users follow official guidance and prioritise backups.

Bitcoin Core recommends backing up the entire wallet and data directories before attempting any upgrades.

This precaution can prevent potential loss, especially for legacy wallet users.

It is also advised to check whether the wallet is classified as “legacy” or “modern.”

For those with legacy setups, extra care should be taken when handling migration procedures.

Users should also verify their directory configurations, including the -walletdir parameter, to ensure files are not accidentally removed.

Keeping offline or external backups remains the safest way to protect funds.

While the bug does not compromise the network, the risk to individual wallets is real and immediate.

The community is awaiting the release of Bitcoin Core v30.2, which will address the migration bug and restore safe upgrade procedures.

Until then, cautious users are strongly advised to pause any wallet migrations and secure backups externally.

The discovery of this bug serves as a reminder that software updates, while necessary for security and performance, can introduce unforeseen risks to legacy systems.

By taking simple precautions, users can avoid potential losses and ensure their Bitcoin holdings remain safe.

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Stacks price forecast: STX channel breakout points to retest of $0.56

  • Stacks price rose 12% to near $0.38 as Bitcoin flipped green.
  • The layer-2 token could surge to $0.56 and target higher levels if BTC extends gains.
  • Bulls may, however, face a pullback as RSI hits overbought conditions.

Several altcoins, including Stacks, soared amid Bitcoin’s impressive rally on Monday. Ethereum and XRP also rose to key levels.

While BTC pumped to above $93,800, the impact was for buoyed altcoins such as Stacks to spike to multi-week highs.

As the flagship digital asset looks to hold onto the gains, the layer-2 solutions Stacks is off intraday highs and eyeing a key price level.

Volume spikes hint at buying pressure for STX.

Stacks price jumps 12% to above $0.37

On January 5, 2026, STX surged by over 12%, outperforming many peers in the altcoin space.

This upward movement coincided with Bitcoin’s push toward $94,000.

BTC came close to the mark as buyers touched intraday highs of $93,972 across top crypto exchanges.

Meanwhile, STX also briefly toyed with highs near $0.38 amid broad market optimism.

Traders see Stacks as a “Bitcoin beta” play, where movements in BTC often lead to outsized returns.

Utility for DeFi, NFTs, and scalable applications that are secured by Bitcoin’s network see several such tokens appeal to investors.

Stacks price forecast: channel breakout sees bulls eye $0.56

The STX token has extended its recent advance following a technical breakout from a long-standing descending channel that had defined its price action for several months.

The channel, characterised by a series of lower highs and lower lows, has been in place since the token peaked in May 2025, reflecting sustained bearish control.

During this period, STX largely traded below its 50-day simple moving average, reinforcing the downtrend.

The latest move above the upper boundary of the channel, however, has also pushed the token above its 50-day SMA, a development that suggests a potential shift in short-term momentum.

Analysts note that this breakout opens the door to a retest of the $0.56 level, which coincides with the extension of the broader downtrend line from the May 2025 high.

That area is viewed as technically significant, having previously marked the zone of a sharp 27% decline during the October 10, 2025 market sell-off, and could act as a key test of bullish conviction going forward.

Stacks Price Chart
Stacks price chart by TradingView

On the daily chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator continues to point to improving momentum, reinforcing the near-term bullish bias as long as buying interest remains dominant.

That said, the setup also carries signs of overheating. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved into overbought territory, suggesting the rally may be vulnerable to a pause or reversal.

Under these conditions, Stacks could see a period of consolidation or a sharper pullback if traders begin locking in profits.

In the event of renewed selling pressure, analysts flag the $0.30 level as initial support, with a deeper retracement potentially testing the $0.24 area.

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Starknet faces fresh mainnet disruption

  • Starknet uses zero-knowledge rollups to batch transactions off chain and settle on Ethereum.
  • The project is also pursuing Bitcoin DeFi integration through its BTCFi initiative.
  • The STRK token price remained stable despite the disruption.

Starknet, an Ethereum layer-2 network built on zero-knowledge rollups, entered 2026 dealing with an unexpected mainnet disruption that temporarily interrupted network activity.

The incident surfaced at a moment when layer-2 infrastructure is increasingly critical to Ethereum’s scaling roadmap, with developers and users relying on these networks for faster execution and lower costs.

As decentralised applications expand across finance, gaming, and experimental Bitcoin-linked use cases, even short periods of downtime draw attention to operational resilience.

The latest disruption placed Starknet under that spotlight, testing its response processes while the broader ecosystem monitored network stability.

The Starknet team acknowledged the issue through an X post, confirming that the network was experiencing downtime and that engineers were actively investigating the cause.

The update stressed that work was underway to restore full functionality as quickly as possible, although no technical explanation was shared at the time.

When the message was published, the mainnet had already been unavailable for just over two hours, marking a notable interruption for developers and users relying on live applications.

Network interruption

The disruption did not come with immediate details on whether transaction sequencing, proof generation, or another component was affected.

Starknet’s architecture relies on batching large volumes of transactions off chain before submitting cryptographic proofs to Ethereum.

Any failure along that pipeline can temporarily halt activity, even if user funds remain secure on the base layer.

During the outage window, on-chain data indicated stalled execution rather than loss of state, aligning with typical safety mechanisms used by ZK-rollup networks.

How Starknet works

Starknet operates as a ZK-rollup based layer-2, processing transactions away from Ethereum’s main chain and periodically settling them with validity proofs.

This design aims to deliver higher throughput and lower fees while inheriting Ethereum’s security guarantees.

The network has positioned itself as an infrastructure for complex smart contracts, decentralised finance protocols, and gaming applications that require fast settlement.

Its reliance on cryptographic proofs means performance gains are tied closely to the reliability of off-chain components.

Bitcoin DeFi focus

Beyond Ethereum-native use cases, Starknet has been promoting a Bitcoin DeFi, or BTCFi, arc.

The initiative frames the network as a bridge for Bitcoin-related financial applications seeking exposure to Ethereum’s programmability.

By enabling Bitcoin-linked assets or logic to interact with decentralised applications, Starknet has aimed to broaden its relevance beyond a single ecosystem.

The timing of the disruption, however, highlights how operational stability remains central as these cross-ecosystem ambitions develop.

Market response

Despite the mainnet downtime, the STRK token price held steady at $0.08898 at the time of writing, suggesting limited immediate market reaction.

Starknet price
Source: CoinMarketCap

Short-term resilience in the token contrasted with the technical interruption, indicating that traders may be viewing the issue as operational rather than structural.

As engineers continued work on restoring full functionality, attention remained focused on updates from the team and the duration of the disruption rather than price volatility.

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Crypto ETFs may soon hit Japan amid tax cuts and regulatory reset

  • Crypto ETFs are being studied as a regulated gateway for public access to digital assets.
  • Japan will cut crypto taxes to 20% and reclassify major tokens as financial products.
  • Institutional shifts in Japan could have wider implications for global markets.

Japan is laying the groundwork for crypto exchange-traded funds as part of a broader effort to bring digital assets into its regulated financial system.

The shift was outlined by Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama during her New Year address at the Tokyo Stock Exchange, where she confirmed government backing for integrating blockchain-based assets into the country’s stock and commodity exchanges.

The comments place Japan alongside jurisdictions that are rethinking how digital assets fit within traditional markets, with 2026 framed as a pivotal year for implementation.

Katayama described 2026 as the first year of a new digital phase for Japan’s economy, pointing to developments overseas to underline the direction of travel.

She highlighted how crypto ETFs in the US have expanded access to digital assets by embedding them within familiar investment structures, rather than treating them as a separate asset class operating outside regulated exchanges.

ETFs enter policy debate

The minister’s remarks signalled a clear intention to use existing exchange infrastructure as the foundation for digital asset adoption.

By anchoring crypto trading to securities and commodity exchanges, policymakers appear focused on standardisation and oversight, rather than rapid deregulation.

Katayama also linked crypto ETFs in the US to their growing use as an inflation hedge for households, suggesting that Japan is assessing how similar products could function within domestic portfolios.

As Minister of State for Financial Services, she pledged full support for exchanges developing fintech-focused trading systems.

This backing indicates that crypto-linked products are no longer being treated as experimental but as instruments that could sit alongside equities, commodities, and derivatives.

Tax and legal reset for 2026

The ETF discussion coincides with sweeping regulatory changes already locked in for 2026.

Japan will cut its crypto tax rate from a maximum of 55% to a flat 20%, aligning digital assets with stocks and other conventional investments.

The government has also reclassified 105 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, as financial products under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.

These changes allow investors to carry forward crypto trading losses for up to three years, mirroring rules that apply to equities.

The clearer framework has prompted long-standing preparations by domestic firms.

Implications beyond domestic markets

Japan’s evolving stance is being watched closely outside the country.

As the largest foreign holder of US Treasury bonds, with holdings of about $1.2 trillion, Japan plays a significant role in global capital flows.

Any reallocation by Japanese institutions toward digital assets could influence market sentiment well beyond Asia.

At home, the Financial Services Agency has already approved the country’s first yen-pegged stablecoin, JPYC, and has discussed allowing banks to hold and trade crypto directly.

Katayama has characterised 2026 as a turning point for addressing Japan’s economic challenges through fiscal policy and targeted investment in growth sectors, with digital assets now firmly part of that strategy.

With lower taxes, clearer legal definitions, and ETF-style products edging closer, Japan is repositioning crypto from the fringes of finance toward the centre of its regulated markets.

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