Pi Network tops $0.1500 following mainnet upgrade

Key takeaways

  • PI has reclaimed the $0.1500 level after dropping below this critical area on Tuesday.
  • The positive performance comes following the mainnet upgrade. 

Pi Network has reversed its downward trend on Wednesday, climbing above the $0.1500 level following a major infrastructure upgrade to its mainnet nodes. 

At press time, PI traded around $0.1518, extending recent losses while technical indicators hinted at the possibility of a short-term rebound.

Pi Core team completes major mainnet upgrade

The Pi Core Team announced that major mainnet nodes have successfully upgraded to Stellar protocol version 23, reflecting the project’s reliance on the Stellar blockchain infrastructure.

The update also included several backend improvements, such as migrating the operating system from Ubuntu 20 to Ubuntu 24 and upgrading the database engine from PostgreSQL 12 to PostgreSQL 16.

The latest upgrade is aimed at improving network performance, security, and long-term scalability as the ecosystem continues to evolve.

PI price outlook: Technical indicators suggest a possible recovery

The PI/USD 4-hour chart is still bearish and efficient as PI has underperformed over the past few days.

The bearish performance comes despite the infrastructure progress. The token is currently trading below both the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $0.1605 and the 200-period EMA around $0.1709, maintaining a broader bearish outlook.

However, momentum indicators suggest selling pressure may be weakening. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to near 29, signaling oversold conditions while also forming a positive divergence as price approaches Tuesday’s low of $0.1463.

This type of divergence often points to a potential reversal or short-term bounce. If buying momentum increases, PI could attempt to retest a descending trendline resistance near $0.1519.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains flat below the zero line, indicating fading bearish momentum but not yet confirming a bullish recovery.

PI/USD 4H Chart

A successful breakout above the $0.1519 resistance level could open the door for a stronger recovery toward the 50-EMA at $0.1605, followed by the 200-EMA near $0.1709.

On the downside, the recent low at $0.1463 remains a critical support zone. A daily close below that level could invalidate rebound expectations and potentially trigger additional downside pressure for Pi Network.

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Will the CEX outflows allow PI to recover above $0.1500?

Key takeaways

  • PI is up by nearly 2% as bulls attempt to push the price above $0.1500.
  • The ongoing token unlock could still put further pressure on the coin. 

Bulls look to push PI above $0.1500

Pi Network (PI) has been one of the worst performers among the leading cryptocurrencies in recent days. 

The coin is down 12% in the last seven days, underperforming compared to the broader crypto market. However, it has slightly bounced back after adding 2% to its value since Monday.

PI is now trading at $0.1507 on Tuesday, thanks to the outflows from Centralized Exchanges (CEXs). 

Despite that, PI could continue to face selling pressure as the mainnet migration surpasses CEX withdrawals.

Data obtained from PiScan reveals that 2.55 million PI tokens left exchanges over the last 24 hours, a figure that typically signals a surge in buying activity. 

While the outflow to CEXs will reduce selling pressure on PI, it is still not enough to absorb the migration tokens. 

Migration statistics reveal that 4.36 million PI tokens were transferred from testnet to mainnet on Tuesday, enabling holders to deposit this unlocked supply on CEXs. 

This latest development comes after 7.65 million PI tokens were migrated on the previous day.

Will the $0.1500 support level hold?

The PI/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient despite PI adding 2% to its value in the last 24 hours. 

The short-term recovery might not hold as the selling pressure is currently outweighing the demand. 

Momentum indicators reinforce this pressure, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering just above oversold territory near 34. 

PI’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line on the 4-hour chart also remains slightly negative below the zero line, adding further confluence to the bearish narrative. 

PI/USD 4H Chart

If the sellers continue to dominate, PI could drop below the $0.1500 and test the support levels at $0.1440 and $0.1345 in the near term. 

However, if the bulls regain control and push the price above the $0.1605 resistance level, it could allow PI to extend its rally towards the 100-period EMA at roughly $0.1684.

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Chiliz targets new weekly highs as derivatives data flips bullish

Key takeaways

  • CHZ is up 5% in the last 24 hours and is now approaching the $0.05 resistance level.
  • The derivatives data indicate that the bulls are in control at the moment.

Chiliz outperforms the broader crypto market

Chiliz (CHZ) is one of the best performers among the top cryptocurrencies, as the coin is up by 5% in the last 24 hours. Thanks to its latest rally, CHZ is trading at $0.049 and could rally higher in the near term.

The momentum indicators remain constructive, indicating that CHZ could extend its rally over the next few hours and days. 

Data obtained from CoinGlass shows that the futures’ Open Interest (OI) at exchanges in Chiliz surges to $80 million on Tuesday, up from $58 million in the previous week.

This is the highest Chiliz’s OI has been since January. The rising OI indicates that new or additional bullish positions are opening in the market, suggesting a bullish outlook for CHZ. 

Furthermore, Chiliz’s funding rates flipped positive on Sunday and surged to 0.0043% on Tuesday. The funding rate turning positive means that the bulls are firmly in control of the market.

CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for CHZ read 1.01 on Tuesday, after sitting in the red territory for over a week. 

Chiliz price forecast: The $0.051 resistance level remains a key challenge

The CHZ/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient as Chiliz has outperformed the broader cryptocurrency market.

The cryptocurrency market is currently trading above key support levels thanks to its recent rally. The momentum indicators also suggest that the buyers could push CHZ’s price higher in the near term. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 58 shows that the bulls have regained control but still have more room for growth. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has turned positive, with the histogram marginally above zero, hinting at a steady rally.

If the bullish scenario continues, the buyers would face immediate resistance at the recent swing high of $0.051. 

A daily candle close above this level would allow the bulls to extend the rally towards the $0.057 resistance and then the January high at $0.064.

CHZ/USD 4H Chart

However, if the sellers regain control, immediate support would emerge around the $0.047 Inducement Liquidity (ILQ). 

Failure to defend this support level would expose the other major zones around the $0.043 and $0.041.

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Meme coins remain under pressure as Dogecoin extends losses

Key takeaways

  • Dogecoin extends its correction on Monday as memecoins record huge losses.
  • DOGE could drop below $0.10 if the bearish trend persists. 

Memecoins record huge losses

The cryptocurrency market opened the new weekly candle bearish, with Bitcoin (BTC) slipping below the $77,000 level on Monday and risk appetite deteriorating across digital assets.

Meme coins started the week on a weak footing as the broader cryptocurrency market continued to struggle. Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe all remain vulnerable to further downside after heavy selling pressure emerged following last week’s market correction.

DOGE is down by 5%, making it the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap. 

Dogecoin briefly rallied last week and retested the important weekly resistance zone near $0.119 on Thursday before sellers regained control.

The rejection triggered a fresh wave of downside pressure, with DOGE falling nearly 6% through Sunday and extending losses further on Monday as the token traded below the $0.106 level.

Technical outlook: DOGE risks a deeper correction below key EMAs

The DOGE/USD 4-hour chart is bearish as the leading memecoin has dropped below major support levels. 

If DOGE closes the daily candle below the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $0.106, selling pressure could intensify toward the 50-day EMA around $0.103.

A decisive breakdown below that support area may expose the previous trendline breakout region near $0.090, which now acts as the next major downside target.

Momentum indicators continue to reinforce the bearish outlook for Dogecoin. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart currently sits near 41, slipping below the neutral 50 threshold and signaling that bearish momentum is beginning to strengthen.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator confirmed a bearish crossover on Saturday, a signal that remains active and continues to support downside risk in the near term.

Despite the bearish setup, Dogecoin could still attempt a short-term rebound if buyers successfully defend the 100-day EMA support near $0.106.

DOGE/USD 4H Chart

A sustained hold above that level may allow DOGE to recover toward the key weekly resistance zone around $0.119.

However, broader market sentiment, particularly Bitcoin’s direction, is likely to remain the dominant driver for meme coin price action in the near term.

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Bitcoin slides below $76,800 as ETF outflows and inflation fears pressure crypto markets

Key takeaways

  • BTC dips lower for a fourth straight day on Monday after losing nearly 6% the previous week.
  • US-listed BTC spot ETFs record a weekly outflow of $1 billion, the highest in three months.

Bitcoin (BTC) remained under pressure on Monday, trading below $77,000 after declining nearly 6% last week, as persistent spot ETF outflows and stronger-than-expected US inflation data dampened investor appetite for risk assets.

The latest decline marks Bitcoin’s fourth consecutive day of losses, with the cryptocurrency continuing to retreat after failing to sustain momentum above the key $82,000 resistance zone.

Hot US inflation data boosts hawkish Fed expectations

Bitcoin’s recent weakness accelerated following hotter-than-expected US inflation data released last week, alongside stronger US retail sales figures that reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve.

The renewed inflation concerns strengthened the US dollar and pushed Treasury yields higher, creating additional pressure on risk-sensitive assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Higher interest rate expectations typically reduce market liquidity and shift investor capital toward safer, yield-generating assets, limiting demand for speculative markets like Bitcoin.

The rejection near the $82,000 level also triggered additional profit-taking from short-term holders, intensifying the correction.

Institutional demand for Bitcoin also weakened notably last week. According to data from CoinGlass, US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded net outflows of approximately $1 billion last week, marking the largest weekly withdrawal since late January.

The sharp reversal in ETF flows signals a cooling of institutional sentiment after several weeks of strong inflows that had previously supported Bitcoin’s rally.

If ETF outflows continue in the coming sessions, analysts warn that Bitcoin could face additional downside pressure.

Bitcoin price outlook: Bulls failed to take out a key resistance level

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish after Bitcoin’s price was rejected near the 100-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $82,289.

BTC also closed last week below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near $78,490, measured from the October all-time high of $126,199 to the February low around $60,000.

The breakdown below those key technical levels has shifted momentum firmly lower. If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could extend losses toward the major psychological support level at $75,000.

On the weekly chart, momentum indicators remain mixed but increasingly cautious. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) slipped below the neutral 50 level and currently sits near 35, signaling a strong bearish momentum.

Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is also in the negative region, suggesting that the bears are in control. 

If the bearish trend persists, immediate support sits near the clustered 50-day and 100-day EMAs below current price action.

Further downside targets include the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $74,487, followed by the previous trendline breakout zone around $70,576.

Below that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near $68,950 remains a critical level protecting Bitcoin’s broader bullish structure above the $60,000 swing low.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

However, if the bulls regain control, initial resistance emerges near the 50% Fibonacci retracement around $78,962, followed by the 200-day EMA near $81,853.

A stronger bullish continuation would likely require a daily close above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near $83,437 and the horizontal resistance barrier around $84,410.

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