HYPE drops below $70 as retail demand weakens despite ETF inflows

Key takeaways

  • Hyperliquid (HYPE) has fallen below $70, extending its losing streak as broader crypto market sentiment turns risk-off.
  • Retail participation is weakening, with futures open interest declining and long liquidations dominating the derivatives market.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) continued to trade lower on Wednesday, slipping below the $70 level as cautious sentiment across the cryptocurrency market dampened retail participation.

The token has recorded three consecutive days of losses, reflecting growing uncertainty among short-term traders. Despite the pullback, institutional investors continue to show confidence, highlighting a divergence between retail and professional market participants.

Retail traders reduce exposure

Recent derivatives data points to weakening retail demand for HYPE. According to CoinGlass, Hyperliquid futures open interest (OI) declined by more than 2% over the past 24 hours to $2.80 billion, indicating that traders are either reducing leverage or closing positions altogether.

During the same period, the market recorded $7.09 million in liquidations, with approximately $6.29 million coming from long positions. 

The dominance of long liquidations suggests that bullish traders have been forced to exit as prices moved lower, reinforcing short-term selling pressure.

Despite the decline in positioning, the funding rate remains positive at 0.0078%, indicating that some traders continue to maintain bullish expectations and are willing to pay a premium to hold long positions.

While retail sentiment has weakened, institutional interest continues to provide support.

Data from CoinGlass shows that HYPE exchange-traded funds (ETFs) attracted $4.32 million in net inflows on Tuesday, following $8.43 million in inflows recorded on Monday.

The continued inflows suggest that larger investors remain optimistic about Hyperliquid’s longer-term outlook despite ongoing short-term market volatility.

This divergence between institutional accumulation and cautious retail positioning could become an important factor in determining the token’s next major move.

Hyperliquid price outlook: Support near $64.75 comes into focus

At the time of writing, HYPE is trading around $68, maintaining its broader bullish structure despite recent weakness.

The token remains comfortably above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $62.36, which continues to trend above the 200-day EMA at $48.40—a positive sign for the longer-term trend.

However, the recent rejection from a local resistance trendline near $72.75 has increased the likelihood of a deeper short-term correction.

From a technical standpoint, HYPE could continue sliding toward a rising support trendline around $64.75, an area reinforced by the nearby 50-day EMA.

Momentum indicators continue to lean cautiously bullish but show signs of slowing. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains slightly above its signal line, indicating that positive momentum has not disappeared completely.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits around 54, reflecting moderate buying strength while gradually moving back toward neutral territory.

Unless buying activity strengthens, the current pullback could continue before the broader uptrend resumes.

The first major support lies near the ascending trendline around $64.75, followed by the 50-day EMA at $62.36. A decisive break below these levels could expose HYPE to a deeper correction, potentially bringing the $60 level into focus.

HYPE/USD 4H Chart

On the upside, bulls must reclaim the $72.73 resistance zone, which aligns with the recent descending trendline. A successful breakout above this level could restore upward momentum and pave the way toward the R1 Pivot Point at $77.09, followed by the R2 Pivot Point at $89.14.

For now, the short-term outlook remains cautious, with weakening retail demand offset by continued institutional accumulation.

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KuCoin partners with UAE team Emirates-XRG ahead of Tour de France

  • KuCoin partners with UAE Team Emirates–XRG ahead of Tour de France.
  • KuCoin debuts Tour de France sponsorship with UAE Team Emirates–XRG.
  • KuCoin expands global sports push with UAE Team Emirates–XRG deal.

KuCoin announced that it has become the official cryptocurrency partner of UAE Team Emirates – XRG, marking a new sports sponsorship agreement that will debut publicly during the 2026 Tour de France.

The partnership gives KuCoin exclusive rights in the Cryptocurrency Exchanges, Blockchain Trading Platforms and Crypto Wallet Services categories.

The company’s branding will appear across the team’s buses, support vehicles and fleet cars throughout the three-week Tour de France.

The agreement expands KuCoin’s sports sponsorship portfolio as the cryptocurrency exchange seeks to strengthen its global brand presence through partnerships with internationally recognized sporting organizations.

KuCoin secures exclusive sponsorship rights

Under the agreement, KuCoin will serve as UAE Team Emirates – XRG’s sole partner across cryptocurrency exchanges, blockchain trading platforms and crypto wallet services.

The partnership brings together two organizations that said they share a focus on innovation, precision and long-term performance.

The collaboration will make its public debut at the 2026 Tour de France, one of cycling’s most prominent events, where KuCoin branding will be prominently displayed on the team’s transportation fleet throughout the race.

Commenting on the partnership, BC Wong, Chief Executive Officer of KuCoin, said: “We are incredibly proud to partner with UAE Team Emirates – XRG and launch this collaboration on cycling’s grandest stage.”

He added that, “World-class achievements are never solitary; they require a dedicated team moving in unison toward a shared vision. These are the very values that have fueled KuCoin’s growth, and we look forward to empowering the team as they chase victory at the Tour de France.”

Tour de France provides global platform

The partnership will be introduced during the 2026 Tour de France, a three-week race regarded as one of the most prestigious events in professional cycling.

KuCoin said the competition reflects values that align with its business, including discipline, teamwork, trust and strategic coordination.

According to the company, success in the Tour de France depends on collaboration among riders, coaches, mechanics and support staff, principles that it said also underpin its approach to building a global digital asset infrastructure.

The sponsorship gives KuCoin visibility throughout the event by placing its branding on team buses, support vehicles and fleet cars used during the race.

Partnership expands KuCoin’s sports strategy

The agreement represents the latest addition to KuCoin’s global sports sponsorship initiatives as cryptocurrency companies continue using major sporting events to increase brand awareness.

UAE Team Emirates – XRG is one of the leading professional cycling teams and includes several high-profile riders, including multi-time Tour de France champion Tadej Pogačar.

KuCoin said the collaboration marks a significant expansion of its international sports sponsorship portfolio and is intended to reinforce the company’s global brand presence.

The company also said additional collaborative initiatives involving UAE Team Emirates – XRG and Tadej Pogačar will be announced later in the season, although no further details were disclosed.

The announcement comes as cryptocurrency firms continue pursuing partnerships in global sports as part of broader efforts to expand their visibility among mainstream audiences through internationally followed competitions and teams.

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Mixed market signals leave XLM at key technical levels

Key takeaways

  • Stellar (XLM) is trading lower as bullish momentum fades.
  • Derivatives data shows bearish positioning, with long-to-short ratios below 1 
  • Positive funding rates indicate traders are still willing to maintain long positions despite the pullback.

Stellar (XLM) remains under pressure on Tuesday as the coin extends its recent pullbacks.

Although prices have weakened, derivatives and on-chain metrics suggest investor sentiment has not turned decisively bearish. 

Instead, market participants appear cautiously optimistic, with traders balancing expectations for a potential recovery against continued short-term weakness.

Derivatives data shows mixed sentiment

Recent derivatives metrics present conflicting signals for the digital asset. According to CoinGlass, XLM’s long-to-short ratio stands at 0.84, also near a one-month low.

A ratio below 1 indicates that short positions outnumber long positions, suggesting traders are increasingly betting on further downside.

However, funding rates tell a different story. XLM’s funding rates read 0.0058%, indicating that the bulls are still paying the bears. 

Positive funding rates mean traders holding long positions are paying those holding shorts, indicating that bullish positioning still outweighs bearish conviction among leveraged participants.

The divergence between positioning and funding suggests many investors remain cautiously optimistic despite the recent correction.

Stellar technical outlook: XLM holds above key support

Stellar continues to trade above its short-term moving averages, preserving a modest bullish bias despite recent weakness.

XLM is currently trading near $0.193, holding above the 50-day EMA at $0.1922 and the 100-day EMA at $0.1872

However, the token remains capped below the 200-day EMA at $0.1985 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $0.2001

These levels represent immediate resistance for the current recovery attempt. Technical indicators continue to lean slightly positive. The RSI remains near 48, reflecting bearish momentum, while the MACD stays above the zero line, suggesting underlying bullish momentum has not yet faded completely.

If the bulls regain control, XLM could rally towards the $0.1985 (200-day EMA) and $0.2001 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement).

A daily candle close above these levels would allow XLM to extend its rally towards the $0.2188, $0.2376, and $0.2607 resistance zones. 

However, if the bearish trend persists, XLM could drop below $0.1922 (50-day EMA) and $0.1872 (100-day EMA) in the near term.

XLM/USD 4H Chart

A decisive close below these levels would expose lower demand zones at $0.1774, $0.1735 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement), and $0.1421 (major structural support)

Holding above the 50-day EMA would help preserve XLM’s near-term recovery, while a break below $0.1872 could shift momentum back in favor of sellers.

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Bitcoin could drop below $63k as market structure remains volatile

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $64,000 despite improving derivatives data.
  • Analysts at QCP note that July has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, averaging gains of around 7.5%.
  • Glassnode says Bitcoin is showing signs of structural stabilization, with spot selling pressure easing significantly.

Bitcoin (BTC) started July on firmer footing, recovering above the $63,000 level as improving derivatives positioning and easing selling pressure helped stabilize the cryptocurrency market.

The rebound follows several weeks of volatility and comes as analysts point to historically favorable seasonal trends, strengthening technical conditions, and improving institutional flows as factors supporting Bitcoin’s recovery.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading near $63,190, up approximately 0.6% over the past 24 hours.

July seasonality favors Bitcoin bulls

Analysts at crypto trading firm QCP noted that Bitcoin’s early-July recovery aligns with historical market patterns.

According to the firm, July has traditionally been one of Bitcoin’s strongest-performing months, delivering average returns of roughly 7.5%.

QCP added that lighter trading volumes during the U.S. Independence Day holiday helped preserve the bullish momentum that emerged after softer-than-expected U.S. labor market data eased pressure on risk assets.

The firm also observed that stress across Bitcoin’s derivatives market has begun to ease.

Recent derivatives data suggests traders are becoming less defensive. QCP highlighted several encouraging developments:

  • Implied volatility continues to trend lower.
  • Near-term put option skew has moderated after rising sharply during the recent market decline.
  • Traders have shown notable interest in $70,000 call options expiring at the end of July, indicating expectations for additional upside.

However, optimism remains measured.

The firm also pointed to ongoing demand for $58,000 put options expiring later this year, reflecting concerns among some investors that Bitcoin’s current rebound could resemble the temporary recovery seen during the 2022 bear market before prices resumed their decline.

Bitcoin price forecast: BTC could drop below $63,000

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bullish and efficient following last week’s rally. The momentum indicators suggest that the market is currently consolidating.

The RSI of 55 means that neither the buyers nor the sellers are in control. The MACD lines are also in the neutral zone, reinforcing the current bias.

BTC/USD 4H Chart

If the bearish trend resumes, BTC could slip below the $63,000 level and test the 4-hour TLQ at $61,365. 

However, if the bulls regain control, Bitcoin could surge past the $64,000 barrier and retest the June 15 high of $67,125.

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Ethereum begins new week on strong footing as bulls target key breakout levels

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP started the week holding onto last week’s strong gains.
  • Ethereum is approaching its 50-day EMA near $1,806, a key hurdle for extending its recovery.

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) began the week on a constructive note after surging over 6%, 13% and 10% in the previous week. 

BTC holds steady below $63,000, ETH approaches a key technical resistance at $1,800, while XRP has broken above the upper boundary of a falling channel, strengthening the bullish outlook.

Ethereum tests key resistance near the 50-Day EMA

Ethereum (ETH) is also extending last week’s recovery after climbing more than 13%, trading near $1,784 on Monday.

The cryptocurrency is approaching a significant technical hurdle at the 50-day EMA around $1,806, which currently serves as the first major resistance level.

Despite the recent rebound, Ethereum remains below the 100-day EMA near $1,972 and the 200-day EMA around $2,241, leaving the broader trend tilted to the downside.

However, technical momentum continues to strengthen. The RSI is hovering near 57, indicating healthy buying momentum, while the MACD remains firmly positive, suggesting bulls continue to regain control after recent weakness.

If ETH successfully breaks above the 50-day EMA, attention would shift toward resistance near $1,972, followed by the psychologically important $2,000 level and the 200-day EMA around $2,242.

On the downside, the strongest support remains near $1,385, where buyers previously stepped in to defend the market.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have all entered the new week with improving momentum following strong performances last week.

ETH/USD 4H Chart

While each asset faces important technical resistance, bullish indicators continue to strengthen.

A decisive move above $64,000 for Bitcoin, $1,806 for Ethereum, and continued strength above XRP’s channel breakout could reinforce the recovery across the broader cryptocurrency market and set the stage for further gains.

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