Monat: April 2026

Key takeaways

• ETH is up by less than 1% and now trades above $2,050.
• The bulls defended the $2,000 support level, with further upward movement on the card. 

Ethereum is up by less than 1% at the time of writing on Friday, halting the bearish performance that gripped the market on Thursday. The coin could rally higher in the near term as buyers have stepped in over the past few hours. 

Onchain data paints a mixed picture for Ether

ETH is trading above $2,050 at press time, but onchain data paint a mixed picture for the top altcoin. Over the past week, investors across different cohorts have cracked under pressure.

According to the onchain data, wallets with a balance of 10K-100K, which have been major buyers throughout the recent downtrend, offloaded 340K ETH between March 24-30. 

However, the wallets flipped back to buying on Tuesday, scooping 270K ETH across the past two days.

On the other hand, wallets with 100-1K and 1K-10K ETH continued distribution, scaling down their holdings by roughly 200K ETH over the past week.

In addition to that, US spot ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have also posted a similar trend. The ETFs have recorded only two days of inflows over the past two weeks of trading, indicating a bearish bias. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: Bulls defend the $2k psychological level

The ETH/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient as Ether recorded its first monthly gain in six months. 

At press time, ETH is trading at $2,062. Its near-term bias remains mildly bullish as ETH is trading below the 20- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which cap advances at around $2,080 and $2,160.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 53, slightly above the neutral level, while the MACD has stabilized around the midline, both indicating a growing bullish momentum. 

If the recovery persists, the bulls would face immediate resistance at $2,108, followed by $2,389 and then $2,746. A daily close above $2,108 would be the first step to ease pressure and expose the higher resistance band toward the 100-day EMA and $2,389.

However, if the sellers regain control, ETH would test the initial support at $1,911, followed by $1,741 and $1,524. 

If ETH continues to trade below $2,108, it risks drifting back toward the $1,700 area in the near term.

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Key takeaways

• BTC is down 2%, erasing the recovery earlier this week,
• US-listed spot ETF recorded an outflow of $173.73 million on Wednesday, breaking its two days of inflow this week.

Bitcoin faces continued losses amid weaker institutional demand

Bitcoin (BTC) prices continued to decline on Thursday, trading below $67,000, almost completely erasing the recovery from earlier in the week. Institutional demand also appears to be faltering, as spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) experienced a significant outflow of over $173 million on Wednesday, ending a two-day streak of inflows. 

This decline in demand coincides with a growing sense of bearish sentiment in the market, which is further amplified by US President Donald Trump’s recent remarks suggesting an escalation of the ongoing conflict.

On Wednesday, President Trump addressed the nation, warning that the ongoing conflict could drag on until late April. He stated that the US would take extreme measures over the next two to three weeks, including threats to attack Iranian power plants and send Iran back to the “stone age” if no agreement is reached.

These statements have dampened hopes for de-escalation, which in turn has reduced investor appetite for riskier assets. The US Dollar (USD) and Oil prices have risen as a result, while US equities and other risk assets have suffered, effectively erasing the gains Bitcoin saw earlier this week.

Data from CoinGlass indicates that institutional interest in Bitcoin remains uncertain. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a significant outflow of $173.73 million on Wednesday, following two days of positive inflows earlier this week. This suggests indecisiveness among institutional investors, who appear hesitant to increase exposure to risk assets amid ongoing market uncertainty.

According to Glassnode’s weekly report on Wednesday, Bitcoin remains trapped within a broad trading range of $60,000 to $70,000. While the market shows early signs of stabilization, it has not yet shown enough momentum to break decisively in either direction.

The report indicates that Bitcoin’s on-chain conditions reflect a continued period of repair, with elevated supply in loss and long-term holder capitulation still not fully resolved. However, spot demand has shown some improvement, signaling that sellers are not entirely in control of the market anymore.

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC could record further losses

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as Bitcoin is trading below $66,400 on Thursday, erasing the recovery from earlier this week. The near-term bias is mildly bearish.

Bitcoin remains capped well below the clustered 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) between roughly $70,800 and $84,800, which reinforces downside pressure despite the recent bounce attempts. 

Currently, the technical indicators are bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on H4 sits at 51, just above the midline. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains below the signal line, indicating persistent selling pressure.

If the market continues its decline, sellers would meet immediate support at $65,900. Breaking this level would expose the key psychological level at $60,000.

On the flipside, if the bulls regain control of the market, they would encounter resistance at the $69,200 level, with the major resistance around $72,600. 

A daily close above $72,600 would signal a bullish break from the sideways structure and open the door toward the 100-day EMA near $76,400.

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Key takeaways

• Binance’s BNB is down 4.5% in the last 24 hours and now trades below $590.
• The bearish performance comes as President Trump threatens to attack Iran’s power plants. 

BNB (formerly Binance Coin) is currently trading below $585 as of Thursday, continuing its three-week decline. 

The correction has deepened following US President Donald Trump’s statement that the ongoing US-Iran conflict could last until late April, which has dampened investor sentiment towards riskier assets. 

From a technical standpoint, momentum indicators are signaling a potential for further downside in BNB.

Trump’s remarks weigh on market sentiment

Bitcoin, Ether, BNB, and XRP are in the red after President Trump warned on Wednesday that the US-Iran war could extend until late April. He also threatened to target Iranian power plants and stated that Iran would be sent back to the “Stone Age” if an agreement is not reached.

These statements have tempered hopes for de-escalation, further reducing investor appetite for riskier assets. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) and oil prices have strengthened, while US equities and other high-risk assets have come under pressure. 

Retail interest in BNB has also declined in recent days. According to CoinGlass, BNB’s long-to-short ratio reads 0.80 on Thursday, its lowest point in a month. 

A ratio below one indicates bearish market sentiment, with traders betting on a further decline in BNB’s price.

BNB could dip to February’s low

The BNB/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and inefficient as BNB has underperformed in recent days. 

Currently, BNB is trading well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages, which all trend higher above the current price and frame a broader bearish backdrop. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 42, below the neutral 50, indicating a bearish bias. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also drifting deeper below the zero, signaling persistent selling pressure rather than a completed downside exhaustion.

If the bearish trend persists, BNB will retest the initial support at $570.16 (February’s low). A break below this level would open the way toward lower daily lows and deepen the corrective phase toward the key psychological level at $500.

However, if the bulls regain control of the market, they would encounter immediate resistance at $697, in line with the descending EMAs.

A sustained recovery above this barrier would be needed to ease the current bearish tone and expose the next resistance at $790.79.

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Key takeaways

• ZCash is one of the worst performers among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap, down 3.5% in the last 24 hours.
• The coin could rally higher in the near term amid demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. 

ZEC slips as broader market recovers

ZEC, the native coin of the Zcash ecosystem, is down by 3.5% in the last 24 hours, making it one of the worst performers among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

It is trading at $241 per coin, down from the $257 recorded on Tuesday. The bearish performance comes amid a decline in Zcash’s derivatives data.

According to CoinGlass, ZEC’s futures’ Open Interest (OI) reads $438 million, down from the $473 million recorded on Tuesday, reflecting the decreased notional value of open contracts.
Typically, an OI decline during a dip in spot price reaffirms the bearish narrative as traders anticipate further recovery.

Technical outlook: Will Zcash price recover above $250 soon?

The ZEC/USD 4-hour chart is bullish but inefficient as Zcash’s price faced rejection above the $250 psychological level. 

It is currently trading below its 50-day EMA of $248c, suggesting that the bulls failed to take advantage of the recent rally. 

Despite that, the near-term bias is cautiously bullish as ZEC holds above the recent lows, while remaining capped beneath the long-standing descending resistance line.

If the bulls regain control and ZEC’s daily candle closes above $250, it would confirm the upside breakout and open the path toward the 200-day EMA at $274, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $362. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has turned higher above the signal line and moved back into positive territory on the 4-hour chart, suggesting strengthening upside pressure. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 61 reinforces the recovery of bullish momentum without signaling overbought conditions.

On the downside, if the rejection candle holds, ZEC could drop towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $231, followed by the rising trendline near the $200 psychological support level.

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