Polygon price forecast: Will it hold above $0.5?

  • Polygon erased all of its 2023 gains
  • The technical picture is bearish
  • Only a move above parity will change the bearish bias

What a ride it has been for Polygon investors. Since its inception, the cryptocurrency rallied strongly, only for the move to be faded.

Twice, it had tried at the $2.8 area, failing both times. The market has put a double top pattern there, as it was unable to break above the horizontal resistance area.

Following the double top, it all went wrong for Polygon investors. Another bearish pattern formed, a descending triangle, with a scary measured move for those that bought at the top.

The measured move sent the market all the way down to $ 0.4 before bouncing in the last part of 2022.

When cryptocurrencies rallied at the start of 2023 on the back of Bitcoin’s move higher, optimism emerged again. Polygon rallied, too, trading above $1.4, but those gains are long gone. However, Bitcoin still holds on most of its 2023 gains, which spells trouble for Polygon investors.

Polygon chart by TradingView

Polygon remains bearish while below $1

For the bearish bias to end, the market needs two things. First, it must break the bearish trendline on the chart above. Ideally, it should also break the series of lower highs.

Second, it must trade above parity with the dollar. That is a pivotal level; holding there builds energy for further advances.

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Judge rules in favour of Uniswap in class action lawsuit

  • A US court has dismissed the class action lawsuit against crypto platform Uniswap.
  • The suit alleged Uniswap users lost money in scam tokens on the platform,but the judge ruled you cannot sue software of provider of the software for crimes committed by third parties.

Judge Katherine Polk Failla of the US District Court for the Southern District of New York has thrown out a class action lawsuit filed against Uniswap

The judge ruled that Uniswap Labs and its CEO cannot be sued for providing the software, when its third-party users who committed alleged scams.

No identifiable defendant

The lawsuit filed in April 2022 alleged that the plaintiffs lost money in scam tokens bought via the DEX platform. Judge Failla, who is also the judge assigned to the Coinbase/SEC case, wrote that there is no “identifiable defendant” to sue as the identity of the scammers was unknown to either party.

Due to the Protocol’s decentralized nature, the identities of the Scam Token issuers are basically unknown and unknowable, leaving Plaintiffs with an identifiable injury but no identifiable defendant,” read part of the judge’s ruling.

The class action lawsuit had also named Uniwap founder Hayden Adams and VC backers Andreessen Horowitz and Paradigm as defendants. Other than the allegation that Uniswap listed the Scam Tokens, the suit also claimed that the decentralised exchange platform sold unregistered securities.

Commenting on the court’s decision, Uniswap’s chief legal officer Marvin Ammori said via X:

Another huge victory for the crypto world & software devs. SDNY court tossed out a class action against us, deciding that the “self-driving” Uniswap protocol has primarily *lawful* use & protocol devs aren’t liable when others misuse it. The trend in courts is obvious.”

Judge Failla’s ruling is the latest in a series of court decisions that reflect on the broader crypto ecosystem and the highly crucial question of clarity. Recent high profile wins for crypto companies include that of Ripple Labs and that of Grayscale Investments, both involving the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

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Bitcoin spot ETF? Experts say SEC has “very little wiggle room”

  • ETF analyst Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart say the odds of a Bitcoin spot ETF approval this year are 75%.
  • The Bloomberg ETF analysts say the SEC has “very little wiggle room” and that denying spot ETFs further would be “politically untenable”.
  • The SEC has suffered both legal and PR loss after Grayscale’s win.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has “very little wiggle room” now and will soon have to approve the first Bitcoin spot ETF for the US market.

That’s Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart’s take after yesterday’s court decision that granted a review petition filed by Grayscale Investments. The odds are up from 65%.

Experts say odds of spot ETF have increased

Balchunas shared his and Seyffart’s prediction of when the SEC could approve the ETF, noting a 75% probability it happens in 2023 and 95% by the end of next year. Noting that the SEC’s loss in the Grayscale lawsuit had increased odds of a spot ETF finally being approved, the senior ETF analyst said via a post on X:

According to the ETF experts, the SEC has suffered a double loss that leaves further denials “politically untenable.” Other than the legal blow that comes with Grayscale’s win, the US regulator is looking at a PR loss that has a far greater impact in terms of setting narratives and changing minds. Mainstream’s coverage of the story and what it implies doesn’t help the agency, Balchunas noted.

We think the legal and PR loss will combine to make denial politically untenable,” Balchunas wrote.

While the SEC could delay upcoming ETF decisions – or even deny them – the analysts say the regulator will find it difficult to deny the one by crypto asset management firm Hashdex.

The SEC recently delayed a decision on the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF proposal, while soft deadlines for several filings including for BlackRock, Fidelity and others are coming up.

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Bitcoin Cash price outlook: Sellers pounce after BCH spike above $220

  • Bitcoin Cash price is down 5% on the day after rising 21% on Tuesday as Grayscale news helped push BCH to above $228. 
  • Sellers could push the altcoin’s price lower amid broader market’s profit taking deals.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) was one of the biggest gainers Tuesday after crypto surged on news of Grayscale’s court victory against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Bitcoin Cash paring gains after huge spike

BCH rose to $228, rising a notable 21% on the day as the market repriced news of a Bitcoin ETF approval. The altcoin ended the day 18% up. Santiment shared the chart below showing BCH led the crypto spike.

Bitcoin Cash is however trading 5% down on the day as can be seen in the chart below. Sellers appear to be taking control after rejection at the critical horizontal level that also marked the point of further downward moves in mid-August.

The daily chart shows price is above the 100 SMA, which provides support near $198. The daily RSI is also still above the 50 mark. However, it’s beginning to slant to suggest possible selling pressure. Key price levels to watch are $183 and $252.

Bitcoin Cash price chart. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Cash price also jumped in June when a host of Wall Street companies looked to embrace crypto with a series of ETF filings.

At the time, BlackRock-fueled positivity sent Bitcoin to above $31k and Bitcoin Cash rose to above $329 – partly driven by the unveiling of Fidelity-backed crypto exchange EDX Markets. BCH was one of four crypto assets EDX Markets supported.

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