ASTER price bounces back, but DeFiLlama exit and unlock threaten rally

  • Aster is rebounding after a sharp market crash, regaining key price levels.
  • DeFiLlama delisting, however, sparked trust concerns across the DeFi community.
  • Upcoming token unlock and delayed airdrop also pose new volatility risks.

After suffering one of its steepest crashes to date, the Aster (ASTER) cryptocurrency is once again showing signs of life.

The decentralised exchange token has rebounded more than 13% in the past 24 hours, recovering from a deep selloff that wiped out over half of its market value earlier this month.

The rebound follows a chaotic week in the crypto market that saw more than $20 billion in leveraged positions liquidated — the largest single-day wipeout in digital asset history.

Aster, which had climbed to prominence after rebranding from APX, was hit particularly hard, plunging nearly 52% from its September highs around $2.30 to as low as $1.10.

The crash came after a string of damaging events, including its abrupt removal from DeFiLlama, a $12 million token transfer to Binance, and a delay in its highly anticipated Stage 2 airdrop.

DeFiLlama delisting raises deeper questions

Aster’s removal from DeFiLlama last week was more than a simple data correction. It reignited a broader debate about transparency and trust in decentralised finance (DeFi).

The analytics platform flagged Aster’s reported volumes for suspicious similarities with Binance’s perpetual market data, suggesting the exchange’s activity might not be entirely organic.

For a project that had quickly climbed to the top of the DEX leaderboard, the delisting was a major credibility blow.

The controversy highlighted a deeper issue within DeFi of how much the supposedly trustless system still depends on centralised gatekeepers to define what’s real.

Experts note that roughly a quarter of exchanges still display signs of inflated activity through wash trading or automated self-dealing.

When DeFiLlama pulled Aster’s data, some, like Bolivian, accused the aggregator of acting as a centralised authority.

Others, like Simon Dedic, defended its decision, saying it protected the integrity of market data. The incident served as a reminder that in a world built on transparency, trust remains the weakest link.

Aster airdrop delay and token unlock weigh on outlook

Adding to the uncertainty is Aster’s upcoming Stage 2 airdrop, which the team postponed from October 14 to October 20 after complaints about allocation discrepancies.

The developers have, however, confirmed that 4% of the token supply will soon move from the Airdrop Reserve to the project’s Treasury contract, ready for the unlock.

While the delay has temporarily eased selling pressure, it has also raised concerns about future dilution.

More than half of Aster’s total supply remains designated for upcoming airdrops, and the lack of clear vesting details could spark volatility once tokens enter circulation.

Bulls return, but resistance looms

Despite these challenges, Aster’s price has rebounded sharply, trading around $1.56 after recovering key support at $1.50.

Technical indicators show improving sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has climbed above the neutral 50 mark, while the MACD has turned positive, suggesting renewed buying pressure.

A clean break above $1.60 could open the path to $1.70 and eventually the psychological $2 level if momentum holds.

On-chain data also supports the bullish turn. Aster’s total value locked (TVL) has risen slightly to $2.16 billion, signalling that liquidity is slowly returning to the protocol.

The rebound in TVL, while modest, suggests users are regaining confidence after last week’s panic.

However, analysts caution that the pattern resembles a “dead cat bounce” common after steep selloffs.

If the bullish pressure fades, the price could retreat toward $1.25 or even $0.97.

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Hyperliquid price forecast: HIP-3 upgrade and CEO’s transparency crusade fuel bullish momentum

  • The Hyperliquid Improvement Proposal 3 (HIP-3) upgrade enables permissionless perpetual market creation.
  • Jeff Yan’s transparency push boosts trust in on-chain trading.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE) price has held above $40, eyeing resistance near $43.82.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has rallied sharply today, with HYPE jumping about 13% to $41.67 as markets reacted to a major protocol upgrade and a renewed debate over exchange transparency.

The HYPE token price surge pared a weekly decline and sent market-cap metrics higher as traders digested both the technical and fundamental implications of recent events.

Activation of HIP-3 Hyperliquid upgrade

The headline driver is the activation of Hyperliquid Improvement Proposal 3 (HIP-3) on Oct. 13, a protocol upgrade that allows permissionless creation of perpetual futures markets.

Under the new rules, builders who stake 500,000 HYPE can deploy perp DEXs on HyperCore, a shift that explicitly links token utility to platform growth.

That staking mechanism creates immediate on-chain demand for HYPE while lowering barriers for derivatives builders, potentially expanding the range of tradable products and liquidity on the protocol.

This upgrade also aligns with Hyperliquid’s broader positioning as a fully on-chain DEX integrated with HyperEVM.

By design, every trade, order, and liquidation is logged transparently on the chain. For traders and market makers, the promise of open verification reduces counterparty risk tied to opaque internal reporting.

Hyperliquid’s founder criticises CEX’s non-transparent liquidation

Hyperliquid’s founder, Jeff Yan, amplified HYPE’s value proposition by publicly criticising centralised exchanges for underreporting liquidation events.

Yan pointed to documentation showing Binance’s CEX liquidation streams only publish a single event per 1,000 milliseconds, which can mask multiple simultaneous liquidations.

In the wake of a $19 billion liquidation cascade over Oct. 10–11, those comments hit home for many market participants.

The contrast between Hyperliquid’s on-chain record and alleged CEX underreporting has become a tradeable narrative.

Institutional and retail traders who prioritise verifiable execution may reallocate activity and capital toward venues where every liquidation is public and auditable.

That trust shift, if it persists, could support sustained volume on Hyperliquid.

HYPE token price analysis

Technically, HYPE has bounced off a longer-term support near the 200-day simple moving average, around $36.17, which attracted dip buying.

Momentum indicators look mixed: RSI sits close to oversold territory at about 38.8, suggesting room to run, while MACD readings remain bearish.

Hyperliquid price chart

While Hyperliquid’s price has today cleared a short-term hurdle, meaningful overhead resistance exists, and bears have not yet capitulated.

According to some analysts like CoinLore, the token needs to hold above $39.80 to target the first resistance at $43.82, with higher resistances at $49.45 and $57.30.

On the downside, a failure of $39.87 could open the path toward $35.03, where longer-term support may be tested.

Hyperliquid price forecast and key levels to watch

In the near term, bullish momentum looks plausible if adoption follows the upgrade and if the transparency narrative continues to redirect volume into Hyperliquid.

A sustained hold above $40 is critical; it would validate the recent rebound and increase the chance of testing $43.82 as the next objective.

Failure to defend that zone, however, could see HYPE retest lower support near $35.

Traders should watch for concrete adoption signals over the next 48 hours: new perp deployments, on-chain staking activity, and consistent trade volumes on freshly minted markets.

The traders should also monitor how the broader market digests macro news, since systemic events can quickly overwhelm idiosyncratic catalysts.

If builders and traders embrace HIP-3, HYPE’s utility and demand could meaningfully outpace speculative momentum alone.

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Ripple price forecast: XRP could slip below $2.70

Key takeaways

  • XRP is down 1% in the last 24 hours and risks dropping below the $2.70 support level.
  • The bearish performance comes as Bitcoin and other leading altcoins underperform.

XRP continues to struggle below $3

XRP, the native coin of the Ripple ecosystem, is the worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap this week. The coin lost 7% of its value in the last seven days and gave up its spot in the market list to BNB. 

The poor performance has seen XRP struggle to hit the $3.0 mark despite Bitcoin racing to a new all-time high and Ether surpassing $4,700. With Bitcoin’s rally currently undergoing a correction, XRP could face further downside movement in the near term.

The futures Open Interest (OI) continues to be poor, suggesting that traders are not optimistic of an XRP rally in the near term. The poor performance could see XRP drop below its crucial support level in the near term. 

XRP could dip below $2.70 as the bearish trend continues

The XRP/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient despite XRP losing 7% of its value this week. Its price faced rejection from the upper trendline boundary since last week and has lost 8% of its value by Thursday. The poor performance saw XRP close below the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.85. At press time, XRP is trading at $2.808 per coin. 

XRP/USD 4H Chart

The RSI of 36 is below the neutral level of 50, indicating bearish momentum is gaining traction. If the bearish trend continues, XRP could enter the oversold region soon. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bearish crossover earlier this week, flashing sell signals in the near term. 

If the correction persists, XRP could extend its decline towards the daily support at $2.70. A further downward movement could see XRP drop to the $2.68 low in the near term. 

However, if XRP recovers, it could extend its rally towards the key resistance level at $3.0 over the coming hours and days.

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JUP eyes $0.50 on JupUSD stablecoin launch; Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • JUP, the native token of the Jupiter DEX, is up by less than 1% in the last 24 hours, but could rally higher in the near term.
  • Jupiter is developing its own stablecoin, JupUSD, thanks to its partnership with Ethana Labs.

Jupiter to launch the JupUSD stablecoin

Solana-based decentralized exchange Jupiter announced on Wednesday that it will launch its own stablecoin, JupUSD, by the end of the year. The team added that the stablecoin will be native to the Solana blockchain and tightly integrated across Jupiter’s ecosystem, including its perpetuals platform, lending markets, and trading interfaces.

Jupiter is developing the stablecoin thanks to its partnership with Ethana Labs. Furthermore, JupUSD will be fully collateralized by Ethana Labs’ USDtb, a stablecoin that’s backed by treasury funds, including BlackRock’s USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL).

JUP eyes $0.50 despite bearish PA

The JUP/USD 4H chart is bearish and efficient as Jupiter has lost 7% of its value in the last seven days. The news of the development of the JupUSD stablecoin could push JUP’s price higher in the near term.

The RSI of 43 is below the neutral 50, indicating that sellers are currently in control of the JUP/US pair. Furthermore, the MACD lines are within the negative territory, suggesting a bearish trend.

JUP/USD 4H Chart

At press time, JUP is trading at $0.4367. If the coin recovers from its slump, it could surge higher towards the TLQ and resistance level at $0.477. An extended rally would allow the coin to top the $0.50 mark for the first time since September 22. 

However, failure to leverage the positive ecosystem news could see JUP drop to the support level at $0.41. This support level will likely hold in the near term, with bulls looking to leverage the growth of the broader cryptocurrency market. 

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Economist Timothy Peterson puts Bitcoin price forecast at $140,000 by end of this month

  • Timothy Peterson’s market simulation shows a 50% chance Bitcoin hits $140K in October.
  • Bitcoin recently hit $126K, needing a 14.7% rise to reach $140K.
  • Other analysts, however, note likely short-term pullbacks before potential sustained gains.

Economist Timothy Peterson has projected that Bitcoin could reach $140,000 before the end of October, citing data-driven simulations that indicate a 50% probability of the world’s largest cryptocurrency closing the month above that mark.

The analysis, grounded in more than a decade of Bitcoin’s historical price behaviour, suggests that half of the cryptocurrency’s potential October gains may already have occurred.

Data-driven prediction, not speculation

Peterson’s projection, shared on X on October 7, 2025, was based on “hundreds of simulations” using Bitcoin’s daily price data since 2015.

“There is a 50% chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140K,” he wrote, adding that there is a 43% chance it could finish below $136,000.

According to Peterson, the forecast is purely statistical, not influenced by sentiment or subjective opinion.

He emphasised that the results were “based purely on real data, not human emotion or biased opinion,” designed to reflect Bitcoin’s historical volatility and cyclical rhythm.

At the time of his analysis, Bitcoin was trading at around $122,000, having cooled slightly after setting a new all-time high of $126,200 earlier in the week.

Reaching $140,000 would require a roughly 14.7% gain from current levels, a move that aligns closely with Bitcoin’s average October performance over the past decade.

Historical data from CoinGlass shows that October has been Bitcoin’s second-best month since 2013, typically delivering gains of about 20.75%.

October’s historical significance for Bitcoin

Peterson explained that “Bitcoin’s performance in October isn’t ‘set up’ by September, it’s set up throughout the entire year.”

The economist linked Bitcoin’s seasonal strength to broader financial patterns, such as the end of third-quarter portfolio rebalancing, the start of fiscal year planning, and the approach of year-end reporting windows for investment funds.

These factors, he suggested, create favourable conditions for renewed capital inflows into Bitcoin and other risk assets.

While Peterson’s model offers a probability-based outlook, he cautioned that markets do not always conform perfectly to historical patterns.

Bitcoin’s past behaviour has occasionally diverged from expectations even when data indicated high confidence levels.

Nonetheless, he maintains that the model provides a “clear, probability-based picture” of where Bitcoin’s value is most likely to move in the short term.

Market sentiment leans bullish

Peterson’s forecast comes as market sentiment around Bitcoin remains generally optimistic.

Crypto analysts such as Jelle and Matthew Hyland have echoed bullish outlooks in recent days, highlighting Bitcoin’s successful retest of previous highs and suggesting that momentum could push prices further upward.

Earlier this week, Jelle posted, “It’s definitely over for bears. Send it higher,” while Hyland noted that “the pressure is building.”

However, not all voices in the market are calling for an immediate surge.

Analyst Ardi, known for his technical commentary, pointed out that Bitcoin often experiences a short-term pullback of around 5% after hitting new all-time highs.

Such moves, Ardi said, are typically followed by a period of choppiness and consolidation—a pattern that could play out again before any sustained rally.

Technical outlook supports Bitcoin’s upward potential

Technical indicators also appear to support a bullish bias in the near term.

According to market analysis, Bitcoin’s key support level stands at $120,899, with immediate resistance at $124,148 and a higher target of $126,021.

The cryptocurrency is currently trading above all major exponential moving averages (10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs), signalling strong upward momentum.

Projections are that Bitcoin could reach around $121,633 in the coming days, with longer-term forecasts setting ambitious price targets of $221,485 for 2025.

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