SOL could retest $174 amid bearish price action; Check forecast

Ke takeaways

  • Solana is the worst performer in the top 10, down 6% in the last 24 hours.
  • The coin could retest the $174 support level as BTC and others underperform.

SOL dips 6% as the broader market sheds nearly $200b

The weekend was bearish for Bitcoin, and other leading cryptocurrencies recorded huge losses. Bitcoin dropped to the $115k region after setting a new all-time high price last week, while Ether is now trading around $4,285 after hitting $4,700 a few days ago.

The worst performer among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap is SOL, Solana’s native coin. SOL is down 6% in the last 24 hours and risks dropping below $180 soon if the bearish trend continues. 

Despite the bearish performance, SOL has maintained its position as the sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, behind Binance’s BNB. However, if the negative trend continues, SOL could lose more value and see its market cap drop below $90 billion.

The total cryptocurrency market cap dropped by nearly $200 billion over the weekend as SOL, ETH, XRP, and BTC all recorded heavy losses.

SOL eyes $174 support zone amid massive sell-off

The SOL/USD 4-hour chart remains bullish and efficient despite Solana recording losses over the last few hours. The technical indicators are switching bearish on the lower timeframe, indicating that sellers are now in control of the market.

The RSI of 37 shows that SOL is heading into the oversold territory if the bearish trend continues. The MACD lines have also crossed over into the negative region, suggesting a bearish trend.

SOL/USD 4H chart

If the sell-off continues, SOL could retest the first major support level and the TLQ at $174 in the coming hours or days. An extended bearish run would see SOL test the $155 low for the second time time month.

However, the market could embark on a recovery, and SOL could reclaim the recent high of $209. An extended bullish run would see SOL surge higher and hit $250 for the first time since February.

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Chainlink price prediction: LINK outperforms other coins in top 20

Key takeaways

  • LINK is the best performer among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap, up nearly 2%.
  • Chainlink’s native coin is now trading above $25 per coin.

LINK up nearly 2% as the broader market underperforms

The crypto market was extremely bearish over the weekend, with nearly $200 billion wiped out from the market during that period. Bitcoin has dropped to the $115k zone while Ether is trading above $4,200 after failing to make a new all-time high last week.

However, LINK, the native coin of the Chainlink blockchain, is the only cryptocurrency in the top 20 to perform positively. LINK is up by more than 1% over the last 24 hours and is now trading above $25.

Its rally comes following recent developments like the launch of the Chainlink Reserve and its partnership with ICE, the company behind the New York Stock Exchange. Analysts believe that LINK is currently undervalued and its price could soar higher in the near term. LINK is currently the 11th-largest cryptocurrency by market cap after surpassing Hypiliquid’s $HYPE earlier this month.

LINK targets $30 as bullish momentum continues

The LINK/USD 4-hour chart is bullish thanks to the coin’s ongoing rally. However, it is inefficient, suggesting that LINK could sweep liquidity to the downside before continuing its rally.

The MACD lines are deep within the positive region, indicating a bullish momentum. The RSI of 59 also shows that LINK is still far away from the overbought region, indicating further room for growth.

LINK/USD 4H chart

If the rally is sustained, LINK could surge past the first major resistance level at $30 over the next few days. An extended bullish run would allow LINK to trade around $35 for the first time in four years. However, $30 could serve as a profit-taking region for long-term holders. 

On the flip side, if LINK faces a correction like the broader market, it could drop to the TLQ and support level at $21 over the next few hours.

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Dogecoin price falls to $0.22 after pattern breakdown

  • Dogecoin price is down 5% in 24 hours to hover near $0.22.
  • The DOGE price movement is similar to that of most altcoins that are seeing profit-taking.
  • Analysts are bullish on DOGE as whale accumulation continues.

Dogecoin (DOGE) has experienced a slight decline in the past 24 hours, dropping to lows of $0.22 amid a technical pattern breakdown.

The top memecoin’s price movement mirrors the broader cryptocurrency market’s price action in the past few days.

Bitcoin dipping to below $117k and Ethereum paring gains from near its all-time high buoyed bears.

While profit taking is driving current downside pressure, analysts are bullish on Dogecoin amid whale accumulation, spot ETF anticipation and long-term crypto trajectory.

Dogecoin price dips amid profit-taking

The latest decline in Dogecoin’s price has seen it breach a critical support level, driven by profit-taking and overall investor uncertainty.

DOGE reached highs of $0.24 as bulls attempted a breakout after an uptick from lows of $0.21 in the past week.

But as investors, wary of macroeconomic uncertainties, took profits, the top memecoin’s price dropped from above $0.24.

The move aligns with a rising wedge breakdown, which has accelerated the downturn to the support level around $0.22.

Bulls could face more pressure towards the psychological $0.20 area.

Despite the bearish price action, on-chain data reveals large investors are buying the dip.

Whale wallets, which have historically scooped DOGE amid price dips, have added to their portfolios.

Aggressive buying by whales has seen such wallets approach 100 billion DOGE in the past few weeks, the trend picking up momentum in the latest dip.

This is an outlook that could help DOGE price higher.

However, the memecoin is likely to hit the rocks if the Dogecoin network suffers a setback from a potential 51% attack, which could undermine network integrity if executed.

DOGE price prediction

The technical outlook for Dogecoin remains largely bullish, despite its notable dip in the past 24 hours.

However, losses have compounded to more than 12% in the past month, and the breakdown below $0.23, a critical threshold, has opened the door to further downside risks.

DOGE has, on multiple occasions, failed to convincingly break above the $0.24 mark.

With this supply wall helping to repeatedly cap Dogecoin’s upward potential, bears have tried to take advantage.

The breakdown of the rising wedge means the next target could be $0.20 or below.

Broader market conditions deteriorating will embolden bears.

DOGE chart by TradingView

Conversely, bullish signs that could help bulls include the recently formed golden cross and whale activity.

The technical indicators on the daily chart also show that DOGE is above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, and the MACD is also holding onto the bullish picture.

Daily RSI is suggesting extended pressure, though.

If buyers reclaim the $0.23 level, a retest of $0.40 and $0.65 is possible. Analysts say a breakout to $1 in 2025 is still possible.

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Crypto leverage surges 27% to $53.1 billion, hitting highest level since early 2022

  • Crypto leverage surges 27% to $53.1 billion, its highest since early 2022.
  • A recent Bitcoin dip triggered a massive $1 billion liquidation of long bets.
  • Stress points are emerging in DeFi lending and key dollar markets.

A ghost from bull markets past is haunting the cryptocurrency landscape: massive, unrestrained leverage.

A speculative fever is once again gripping traders, pushing borrowing to levels not seen since the last cycle’s peak.

But as a brutal billion-dollar liquidation event last Thursday proved, this double-edged sword can carve out devastating losses just as quickly as it creates gains.

The scale of this renewed appetite for risk is staggering. According to Galaxy Research’s Q2 State of Crypto Leverage report, the market for crypto-collateralized loans swelled by an incredible 27% last quarter, reaching a total of $53.1 billion.

Powered by record demand in DeFi and a return to risk-on sentiment, this represents the highest level of leverage in the system since the precarious heights of early 2022. This mountain of debt created the perfect backdrop for the violent shakeout that was to come.

The inevitable spark: a billion-dollar wipeout

When Bitcoin retreated from its high of $124,000 to as low as 118,000 last week, the over leveraged system snapped.

The price drop triggered a cascade of liquidations across crypto derivatives, wiping out more than 1 billion in long positions—the largest such event since early August.

While many analysts were quick to frame the purge as healthy profit-taking, it served as a stark and painful reminder of just how fragile the market becomes when speculative bets build this rapidly.

Cracks in the foundation

According to Galaxy’s analysts, this fragility is not just theoretical; the stress points are already visible and spreading. In July, a wave of withdrawals on the lending platform Aave caused ETH borrowing rates to spike above Ethereum’s staking yields.

This seemingly small shift broke the economics of the wildly popular “looping” trade, where investors use staked ETH as collateral to borrow more ETH to stake again.

The sudden unwinding of these positions triggered a frantic rush for the exits, overwhelming the network and sending the Ethereum Beacon Chain’s exit queue to a record-breaking 13 days.

The trouble doesn’t end there. Galaxy has also flagged a growing and worrying disconnect in the dollar markets. Since July, the borrowing costs for USDC in the over-the-counter (OTC) market have been climbing, even as rates on DeFi platforms remain flat.

This has widened the spread between the two to its highest point since late 2024, suggesting off-chain demand for dollars is critically outpacing on-chain liquidity. It is a dangerous mismatch that could dramatically amplify volatility if market conditions tighten.

Beneath the deceptive calm of a market waiting for Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s next move, a different story is unfolding.

While institutional demand and ETF inflows paint a bullish picture, the system’s plumbing is showing more and more points of stress.

Last Thursday’s billion-dollar flush was not an anomaly; it was a warning that the return of leverage is a fire that can warm the market or burn it to the ground.

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Norway’s $1.6 trillion wealth fund boosts indirect Bitcoin exposure by 192% in Q2 2025

  • NBIM now holds the equivalent of 7,161 BTC through listed equities.
  • Institutional interest in Bitcoin grows through ETFs and corporate holdings.
  • The move may signal early stages of sovereign-backed Bitcoin adoption.

Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, the largest in the world, has taken a significant step into the cryptocurrency market, increasing its Bitcoin (BTC) exposure by 192% during the second quarter of 2025.

Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), which manages the country’s $1.6 trillion oil-funded portfolio, expanded its holdings from the equivalent of 2,446 BTC from the June quarter in 2024 to 7,161 BTC.

The move underscores a broader shift among institutional investors who are using publicly listed equities and ETFs to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency market without holding digital assets directly.

Bitcoin exposure rises through equities and ETFs

NBIM’s largest Bitcoin exposure comes via its stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), the biggest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. The fund also initiated a smaller position equivalent to 200 BTC in Japan-based Metaplanet.

These holdings are reflected in the fund’s Q2 2025 13F filings, which track institutional investments in US-listed companies.

The data, compiled by analysts, highlights NBIM’s increased allocation to Bitcoin-linked equities during a period of growing global interest in the asset class.

Sovereign wealth funds are typically known for their conservative, long-term investment strategies, making this level of exposure notable.

Institutional participation strengthens

The move by NBIM comes amid rising institutional adoption of Bitcoin, driven in part by strong inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and increased corporate interest.

These products have made it easier for large investors to gain exposure without managing the complexities of digital asset custody.

Industry analysts note that sovereign wealth funds and large pension managers are beginning to explore Bitcoin as part of diversified long-term portfolios.

While NBIM has not publicly commented on its decision, the timing aligns with Bitcoin’s steady price gains over the past quarter, supported by favourable macroeconomic conditions and increased demand.

Strategic hedge potential

For NBIM, the Bitcoin allocation remains a small portion of its total assets, but it may serve as a hedge against currency debasement and geopolitical risks.

Such positioning reflects a growing recognition among large investors that Bitcoin could play a role in risk-adjusted portfolio diversification.

The increase also follows a global trend where state-backed investment vehicles cautiously test exposure to emerging asset classes, particularly those viewed as potential stores of value.

If this allocation pattern continues, the participation of sovereign funds could have a meaningful impact on Bitcoin’s market liquidity and institutional legitimacy.

Broader implications for sovereign-backed Bitcoin adoption

The developments at NBIM may signal the early stages of more widespread sovereign-backed Bitcoin adoption.

Although the current exposure is small relative to the size of the fund, the scale of sovereign wealth fund capital means even incremental moves can influence market dynamics.

As other funds monitor NBIM’s strategy, institutional activity in Bitcoin-linked assets could increase further.

For the cryptocurrency market, these flows represent a structural change in the investor base, moving beyond retail speculation to long-term, strategic capital from the world’s largest pools of wealth.

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