Schlagwort: blockchain analysis

• Binance Coin (BNB) could rise to $1,229 if it breaks its current all-time high.
• Institutional BNB accumulation and Fed rate cuts support long-term bullish momentum.
• An RSI bearish divergence, however, hints at a possible pullback.

Binance Coin (BNB) has once captured market attention after surging to a new all-time high (ATH) above the $1,000 mark, fueled by institutional accumulation, macroeconomic shifts, and growing on-chain confidence.

The cryptocurrency, currently trading around $1,023, sits close to its all-time high of $1,079 but faces a delicate balance between bullish momentum and technical risks that could trigger a sizeable correction.

Institutional bets fuel optimism

BNB’s rise has been supported by institutional adoption.

Nasdaq-listed BNB Network Company, the treasury arm of CEA Industries, confirmed a $160 million BNB purchase in August as part of its $500 million treasury strategy.

The move echoes MicroStrategy’s early Bitcoin play, positioning the firm as a key public vehicle for BNB exposure.

The company also authorised a $250 million stock buyback program, reflecting its confidence in both its own growth and the long-term value of BNB.

Other corporates, including Nano Labs and Windtree Therapeutics, are reportedly exploring similar strategies, suggesting that BNB is becoming an attractive reserve asset.

Derivatives data point to bullish bias

Alongside corporate interest, derivatives data reveal a positive funding rate of 0.0062%, signalling that long traders are paying shorts.

Historically, such flips from negative to positive have preceded sharp rallies, and open interest in BNB futures recently reached an all-time high of $2.4 billion.

This suggests new money is flowing into the market, reinforcing the case for continued upside momentum.

Technical indicators are also bullish, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showing a bullish crossover, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 63.53, indicating strong momentum, though it edges close to overbought levels.

If BNB breaks above its recent high of $1,079, it could quickly move toward $1,229, a level aligned with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension.

Bearish divergence clouds outlook

Despite the optimism, warning signs have emerged on the charts.

BNB’s recent highs have formed alongside lower RSI readings, creating a bearish divergence that typically signals fading momentum.

Similar divergences in 2024 triggered corrections of between 20% and 37%, raising concerns that a repeat could drag BNB lower in the short term.

If selling pressure builds, key downside targets sit at the 20-day EMA near $947 and the 50-day EMA around $882.

A steeper decline could even test the 200-day EMA near $747, which would amount to a 25% drop from current levels.

Traders should closely watch these supports to gauge whether BNB can withstand the broader market correction.

The macro drivers at play

The wider crypto rally has also been influenced by macroeconomic shifts.

The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points on September 17, fueling risk appetite and lowering bond yields.

This policy move makes crypto staking rewards, such as BNB’s 4–6% APY, more attractive compared to traditional assets. It also weakens the dollar, encouraging capital to rotate into digital assets.

BNB’s performance has mirrored these developments, rising 2.06% in the past 24 hours and outperforming the broader crypto market, which rose just 0.46% in the same period.

The post BNB price prediction: bulls target $1,200, but bearish divergence hints at a 20% drop appeared first on CoinJournal.

• Notcoin (NOT) price rebounds 2% but still trades far below key averages.
• Community hype fuels optimism despite weak liquidity.
• TON ecosystem buzz adds short-term speculative support.

Notcoin price has rebounded by around 2% today, breaking the long bearish trend that has weighed the altcoin down from the long-awaited price recovery.

The modest uptick comes after weeks of pressure that pushed NOT toward fresh multi-month lows.

Early September brought a short-lived surge from $0.001619 to $0.002043 on September 13, but that rally faded quickly, and the token slid back, hitting an all-time low of $0.0016 on September 22, 2025.

The Telegram-linked coin now trades near $0.001678 with a market capitalisation of roughly $167.4 million and daily volumes approaching $27 million, figures that underline both renewed interest and fragile liquidity.

Technical bounce or false dawn?

Technically, the price action has characteristics of a short-term rebound.

The RSI on the 3-hour chart has risen from deeply oversold territory to about 34.94, while the MACD histogram has flattened and turned marginally less negative, signalling that traders have interpreted this as a cue for bargain hunting.

Structural momentum also looks weak.

NOT sits below its key short-term averages, with the 7-day SMA sitting near $0.001644 and the 30-day EMA at around $0.001773.

Support holds near $0.00166, and a drop under $0.00155 would expose the token to the risk of fresh lows.

Community and TON tailwinds

Part of the rebound reflects social momentum and ecosystem spillover rather than fundamental upgrades.

Notcoin’s backers highlight a massive Telegram-driven holder base and a narrative of near-full circulation — roughly 97% of the max supply is already in the market — as reasons to expect lower future sell pressure.

That scarcity storyline has animated forums and encouraged accumulation despite macro headwinds.

Ecosystem headlines have helped, too.

The success of TON-focused projects such as Hamster Kombat has driven renewed interest in TON-linked tokens, and Notcoin’s perceived proximity to Telegram’s user base has fed bullish chatter.

This tailwind is speculative by nature: the coin benefits from association with TON’s growth, yet it has no formal partnership that would guarantee sustained flows.

Notcoin price forecast

Optimistic price targets have proliferated, with some analysts and community voices citing forecasts of a tenfold move to roughly $0.022 by 2025.

Those predictions hinge on aggressive listings, continued viral adoption across Telegram, and the rollout of mini-apps and game-fi features.

At the same time, rational scepticism remains warranted: dilution risk from remaining tokens, limited on-chain utility today, and thin liquidity make lofty targets contingent rather than probable.

Traders should watch three things closely: whether NOT can reclaim and hold the $0.00187 area, daily traded volume that helps sustain rallies, and broader crypto market dynamics, including Bitcoin dominance.

Notably, rising volume accompanying gains would lend credibility to the current bounce, while a weak volume would point to a likely retracement towards further lows.

The post Notcoin price rebounds: oversold bounce or bear trap? appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• Chainlink’s LINK is up nearly 3% and is now targeting the $25 level.
• The market is undergoing a recovery after a bearish start to the week.

LINK recovers from Monday’s dip

LINK, the native coin of the Chainlink blockchain, lost roughly 8% of its value on Monday as the market opened the new week bearish. The flush saw LINK drop to the $20.3 low yesterday, but it has now slightly recovered.

At press time, LINK is trading at $21.835 per coin, and could rally higher in the near term as the broader crypto market embarks on a recovery. BTC reclaimed the $113k level earlier today, while Ether, XRP, SOL, BNB, and DOGE are all performing well over the last few hours.

Chainlink remains one of the most widely used blockchains in the crypto space and beyond. As it continues to gain adoption, LINK’s value could soar higher in the medium to long term.

LINK targets $25 as $20 support holds

The LINK/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as LINK lost 8% of its value over the last seven days. The momentum indicators remain bearish but are showing signs of recovery in the near term. 

The MACD lines crossed over into bearish territory during the weekend, with the RSI of 36 also confirming a bearish bias in the near term. 

If the bearish trend continues, LINK could retest the $20.3 low again over the next few hours. Failure to defend this low could see LINK drop below $20 for the first time since August 9.

On the flip side, if the market recovery gains momentum, LINK could surge higher and hit the TLQ level at $23.89 over the next few hours. An extended bullish run would allow the coin to touch $25 for the second time this month.

The post LINK eyes $25 despite bearish PA; Check forecast appeared first on CoinJournal.

Key takeaways

• SOL is down 1% in the last 24 hours and is now trading below $220.
• The coin could reclaim the $250 psychological level soon if market recovery continues.

SOL dips below $220

As seen in recent weeks, the cryptocurrency market began the new week in a bearish mode. Bitcoin dropped below the $112k mark while Ether temporarily tested the $4k support level.

SOL, the native coin of the Solana blockchain, also lost roughly 5% of its value on Monday, dropping to the $212 support level. However, it has slightly bounced back and is now trading at $219 per coin. 

The positive performance comes as the broader cryptocurrency market embarks on a recovery. Bitcoin reclaimed the $113k mark earlier today, while Ether is now eyeing the $4,300 region.

SOL is also recovering excellently and could reclaim the $250 psychological level in the near term.

SOL could surge to $250

The SOL/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient, as Solana has lost 7% of its value over the last seven days. The technical indicators are also negative, suggesting that sellers remain in control.

However, the bears are losing steam as SOL has found support around the $212 region. The RSI of 34 is below the neutral 50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD lines also dropped below the neutral zone over the weekend.

If the selloff continues, SOL could retest Monday’s low of $212 over the next few hours. An extended bearish run could see the cryptocurrency drop below $200 for the first time since September 1st.

However, the broader crypto market is undergoing a correction. If the correction persists, SOL could reclaim the nearest resistance and TLQ level at $250 over the next few hours. It would need the support of the broader cryptocurrency market if it intends to hit $260 for the first time since January.

The post Solana price prediction: SOL could reclaim $250 soon as bears lose momentum appeared first on CoinJournal.

• DAO participation highlights investor engagement in decisions.
• Whale activity drives volatility with accumulation and distribution.
• Shibarium growth supports DeFi expansion amid rising competition.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has slipped 6% in the past 24 hours, trading at $0.00001209. The decline comes as the ecosystem prepares for a series of structural changes, including decentralised governance, token burns, and DeFi expansion.

While short-term sentiment reflects volatility, developers and investors are looking to 2025 as a year of transition.

Technical indicators present a mixed outlook, with scenarios ranging from further consolidation to sharp rallies.

At the same time, whale activity, broader crypto market conditions, and ongoing network growth continue to play a major role in determining SHIB’s price path, especially as competition intensifies across the meme coin sector.

Shiba Inu expands governance with community elections

Shiba Inu’s developers are introducing governance reforms to move beyond its meme coin origins.

Lead developer Shytoshi Kusama recently unveiled the SHIB State presidential election, a community-driven process designed to formalise decision-making.

The election follows recent decentralised autonomous organisation (DAO) votes, which showed strong participation among investors.

By allowing token holders to shape proposals and strategic directions, SHIB is attempting to embed governance into its core ecosystem.

This shift reflects an effort to strengthen Shiba Inu’s long-term stability and increase investor engagement, with the team hoping to align community input more closely with development priorities.

Technical forecasts show both upside and downside

The latest price drop highlights SHIB’s volatility, but analysts see several possible technical paths.

The token is currently trading below near-term support levels, with projections indicating possible stabilisation around $0.0000191 if liquidity holds.

Bullish scenarios suggest a rally could push SHIB toward $0.0000315, while longer-term forecasts see potential highs at $0.00006392.

More cautious views suggest the token could trade in a range between $0.000022 and $0.000034 through late 2025 and into 2026.

If negative sentiment or weak liquidity dominates, however, SHIB could slide closer to $0.0000201, underscoring the balance of risk in the current environment and the importance of sustained investor confidence.

Whale activity adds to volatility

On-chain data shows that large holders remain influential in shaping SHIB’s price action.

Recent whale transactions have coincided with increased volatility, suggesting that accumulation or distribution by these players can spark major swings.

Analysts tracking whale wallets note that such movements often precede short-term breakouts or corrections.

Combined with ongoing token burns and governance reforms, whale participation is expected to remain a decisive factor in Shiba Inu’s performance over the coming months, keeping smaller investors highly attentive to wallet monitoring platforms.

Shibarium growth and competition from new tokens

Shiba Inu’s layer-2 solution, Shibarium, is central to its DeFi strategy.

The network is seeing growing activity in decentralised applications (dApps), alongside continuous token burns designed to reduce supply.

These efforts could support gradual long-term price stability. However, Shiba Inu faces competition from newer tokens such as Little Pepe, which are drawing attention for faster short-term gains.

While SHIB’s ecosystem is expanding, its ability to maintain momentum depends on adoption, community governance, and the effectiveness of its DeFi initiatives in 2025, especially as rival meme coins attempt to capture similar market share with more aggressive campaigns.

The post Shiba Inu price drops 6% as governance and DeFi plans advance appeared first on CoinJournal.