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Solana price prediction: SOL risks drop to $100 despite institutional inflows

  • Solana price hovered near $122 on January 26, 2026.
  • ETFs’ inflows fail to influence SOL price.
  • Technical indicators signal a bearish continuation and likely dump to $100.

Solana’s price has faced mounting downward pressure, with SOL failing to hold onto gains seen at the start of the year.

On January 26, the altcoin traded around $122, down on the day and in tandem with the broader cryptocurrency market struggles.

While River (RIVER) skyrocketed, and Algorand flipped green, Solana aligned with Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP’s latest price struggles.

The SOL token changed hands nearly 8% down from the prior week, losses that persist despite positive institutional signals.

Analysts are largely bullish, but the overall bearish trend concerns a potential short-term dump to the critical $100 support level.

Solana continues to attract institutional interest

SOL’s price dip comes as top coins shed capital from various investment products.

But despite institutional investors showing selective enthusiasm last week amid a $1.73 billion outflow hole, Solana stood out as one of those to record inflows.

According to CoinShares’ report, investors still put over $17 million in SOL products, including a spot exchange-traded fund.

Bitcoin saw over $1 billion in outflows in the same period.

A week earlier, digital asset products recorded $2.17 billion in inflows, with Solana attracting over $45.5 million.

“Dwindling expectations for interest rate cuts, negative price momentum and disappointment that digital assets have not participated in the debasement trade yet have likely fuelled these outflows,” said James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares.

The Solana-specific interest highlights its appeal amid broader market caution.

However, bulls have failed to stem the price slide from highs of $133 in the past week.

Factors like profit-taking after 2025 highs and macroeconomic headwinds appear to override these inflows, keeping SOL within a bearish hold.

SOL price prediction: Bears eye $100

With price touching the psychological support level of $120 again, analysts say bears could target $100 next.

Sellers last hovered in this region in April 2025, with the bounce that followed pushing prices to above $200.

The downtrend risks such an extended move, and technical indicators reinforce the overall bearish outlook.

For instance, the MACD displays negative momentum and histogram divergence signaling further downside.

Elsewhere, the daily RSI hovers neutral in the 40-46 bracket. Although not decisively oversold, it’s not supportive of a quick rebound.

Price could drop lower if the pressure exposes buyers to key levels around $118 and $112 if profit hunters take out the $120 mark.

Network fundamentals remaining robust is a play for buyers, both in the short-term and long-term. In this case, a sustained rebound above $130 could accelerate gains toward $150-$180.

The price level of $200 is the main target.

The post Solana price prediction: SOL risks drop to $100 despite institutional inflows appeared first on CoinJournal.

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River price defies market downturn, explodes 40% to new ATH

  • River price rose sharply as bulls defied the broader market downturn.
  • The token exploded more than 40% in 24 hours to hit a new all-time high above $87.
  • RIVER recently received backing from Justin Sun and Arthur Hayes.

Several altcoins are deep in the red amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn that has pushed Bitcoin well under $90,000.

But as BTC struggles, River’s native token RIVER has defied the odds, with price surging 40% in the past 24 hours to reach a new all-time high above $87.

The move sees the token rank as one of the top gainers across the altcoin sector.

River price explodes to new all-time high

River is a crypto protocol building a chain abstraction stablecoin platform.

The protocol eyes traction across the ecosystem with its liquidity and yield offering.

RIVER, the native governance and utility token, has surged significantly in recent days and skyrocketed 40% over the past 24 hours to smash through resistance to a new all-time high.

The token has pumped more than 200% in the past week and by more than 2,070% in the past month.

It peaked at $87.79 across major exchanges on January 26, 2025, more than 70x off the all-time lows reached in September 2025.

River’s explosive rally comes as the token’s market capitalisation ballooned past $1.6 billion, which aligns with the robust demand highlighted by a 39% jump in daily trading volume.

CoinMarketCap data shows the altcoin’s trading volume spiked to over $108 million in the past 24 hours.

Meanwhile, total value locked (TVL) climbed to over $162 million, as DeFi users flocked to the protocol’s cross-chain offerings.

In terms of gains, River’s performance stands in stark contrast to the prevailing market sentiment.

Bitcoin, the bellwether asset, dipped below $88,000 amid macroeconomic jitters.

Ethereum and other altcoins followed suit as risk-off sentiment grips traders.

The same headwinds could see RIVER ‘s price retreat sharply.

What catalysed the RIVER price rally?

Likely catalysts for RIVER’s meteoric rise include the latest listings and major backing in a fresh round.

Of the more than $14 million in capital raised, a landmark $12 million is from a strategic funding round backed by heavyweight investors that attracted TRON DAO, Justin Sun, Maelstrom Fund founder Arthur Hayes, and The Spartan Group.

Notably, the round also drew commitments from Nasdaq-listed companies and blue-chip institutions across the United States and Europe, lending unprecedented credibility to River’s vision.

River plans to plough this capital infusion into its multi-chain expansion plans, with DeFi applications available across Sui, Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Polygon.

Amplifying the momentum for the token is fresh exchange listings.

Both HTX and OKX have injected new liquidity and retail access to the token. Bulls capitalised on this, stacking positions as open interest in RIVER perpetuals.

Resistance looms at $90, but with funding secured and listings live, RIVER could test $100 in the coming days. However, a sharp pullback is possible given profit-taking deals.

 

The post River price defies market downturn, explodes 40% to new ATH appeared first on CoinJournal.

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XRM could dip below the January low of $413: Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • Monero is down 4.5% in the last 24 hours and risks dropping below the January low.
  • The coin has lost 42% of its value since hitting an all-time high price of $798 twelve days ago.

XMR continues to decline as the market remains bearish

XMR, the native coin of the Monero blockchain, is one of the worst performers among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap in the last 24 hours. It has lost 4.5% since Sunday and now trades below $460.

The bearish performance comes as the broader cryptocurrency market continues to underperform. XMR defied market conditions in December and early January, rallying to a new all-time high of $798 on January 14.

Its rally was fueled by growing demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies, with DASH, ZEC, and ZCash also rallying during that period.

However, the rally has died, and XMR has lost 42% of its value since then. It is currently trading at $459 and risks dropping below the January low of $413 if the bearish trend continues. 

Monero could dip below the 100-day EMA support

The XMR/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as it has lost 42% in the last two weeks, suggesting reduced demand for the privacy coin.

Currently, XMR is hovering above $450, stabilizing above the 100-day EMA at $437, after a 10% drop on Sunday. 

If the bearish trend continues, XMR could drop below the January low of $413, wth the 200-day EMA at $383 still the primary trend floor. 

XMR/USD4H Chart

The MACD line stays below the signal with both falling toward the zero line, flagging firm bearish momentum. Furthermore, the RSI at 32 indicates a bearish shift as sellers retain the near-term edge without oversold conditions. 

On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, XMR could rally above the 50-day EMA at $485, clearing the path for further pump above $500.

The post XRM could dip below the January low of $413: Check forecast appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results

  • The company lifted its 2025 operating income guidance to $40 million.
  • A non-cash Bitcoin impairment of $680 million to $700 million is expected for 2025.
  • Metaplanet projected a $632 million ordinary loss and $491 million net loss for 2025.

Metaplanet, a Tokyo-listed Bitcoin treasury company, has raised its revenue and operating income forecasts for 2025 and issued much higher guidance for 2026, even as it flagged a large non-cash Bitcoin write-down that is set to dominate its annual results.

In a notice released on Monday, the company said its Bitcoin income generation business is expected to deliver stronger-than-expected performance, particularly in the final quarter of the year.

However, Metaplanet also projected a steep ordinary loss and net loss for 2025, driven largely by accounting adjustments tied to Bitcoin’s valuation at year-end.

The company is scheduled to file its full-year results on Feb. 16.

Revenue upgrade driven by Bitcoin income generation

Metaplanet said it now expects 2025 revenue of 8.905 billion Japanese yen, or around $58 million, based on its updated guidance.

The company also raised its operating income forecast to $40 million, signalling improved performance at the operating level despite broader market volatility affecting its holdings.

Management said Q4 2025 revenue from its Bitcoin income generation business “is expected to significantly exceed initial projections,” which led it to lift full-year revenue guidance for that segment to about $55 million.

That compares with around $40 million previously announced, showing a sharp upgrade in the contribution from its Bitcoin-linked revenue stream.

Large impairment set to drive headline loss

Even with the stronger operating forecasts, Metaplanet expects to report a deep annual loss for 2025.

The company projected an ordinary loss of $632 million and a net loss of $491 million. These figures are largely attributed to a Bitcoin impairment loss estimated at roughly $680 million to $700 million, which is expected to be recognised in its year-end reporting.

Metaplanet explained that the impairment is a “non-cash accounting adjustment reflecting period-end price fluctuations” and said it has no direct impact on its cash flows or day-to-day operations.

The notice linked the impairment to quarter-end mark-to-market accounting treatment and referenced Bitcoin holdings valued at year-end prices, with Bitcoin shown at $87,876 in the disclosure.

BTC holdings and treasury metrics expand sharply

Metaplanet also reported rapid growth in its Bitcoin treasury business during 2025, underlining how the company has built up its exposure to Bitcoin while developing income generation activities around its holdings.

BTC holdings rose from 1,762 BTC at the end of 2024 to 35,102 BTC at the end of 2025, showing a significant increase in the company’s balance sheet allocation.

It also reported BTC yield per diluted share of 568% for the year. The company uses this metric to measure how much Bitcoin backing each diluted share has increased, offering a per-share view of its Bitcoin accumulation.

While the impairment is expected to weigh heavily on reported net results, Metaplanet’s updated figures suggest it is still expanding its treasury position and Bitcoin-linked operations at a pace.

2026 guidance rises but earnings remain uncertain

For 2026, Metaplanet forecast revenue of around $103 million and operating income of $73 million, representing a sharp step up from its 2025 targets.

The company said almost all of its 2026 revenue is expected to come from the Bitcoin income generation business, reinforcing the segment’s central role in its business model.

Metaplanet also projected selling, general and administrative expenses of about $29 million for 2026 as it ramps up operations.

However, it said it will not provide guidance for ordinary income or net income for 2026 due to the difficulty of forecasting Bitcoin prices, signalling that future reported earnings could remain volatile even if operating performance strengthens.

The company added that it publishes daily data on its BTC holdings, unrealised gains and losses, and related metrics, offering investors regular visibility into how price swings affect its treasury position.

The post Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Zilliqa (ZIL) price slides amid exchange delistings and supply update

  • Zilliqa price drops 3.6%, extending a 7-day downtrend amid weak market sentiment.
  • Binance delisting and Upbit supply increase reduce liquidity and add pressure.
  • Technicals show ZIL below key EMAs with RSI near oversold levels.

Zilliqa (ZIL) has seen a sharp dip in its price over the past 24 hours.

The token is currently trading at $0.004822, down 3.6%, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market, which fell by 0.9%.

This decline extends a seven-day downtrend of approximately 7.75%, signalling sustained bearish sentiment.

Exchange delistings and market liquidity

One of the main drivers behind ZIL’s recent weakness is exchange delistings.

On January 23, 2026, Binance removed the ZIL/BTC spot trading pair as part of its market quality optimisation.

This followed a prior delisting of the ZIL/BTC margin pair in June 2025.

Delisting reduces liquidity and arbitrage opportunities for traders.

It also signals declining exchange support, often prompting sell-offs as market participants adjust their positions.

With fewer direct BTC and ETH trading pairs, ZIL now relies heavily on USD-stable pairs like ZIL/USDT for trading volume.

Traders are closely watching whether liquidity consolidates or further fragments on these remaining pairs.

Supply update adds to the downward pressure

Another factor influencing ZIL’s decline is a recent circulating supply update.

Upbit reported an increase of 443,195,861 ZIL in the first quarter of 2025.

This adjustment raised the circulating supply from roughly 19.905 billion to 20.349 billion ZIL.

The increase, representing about 2.2% of the quarterly supply, reflects staking rewards, protocol inflation, and team token unlocks.

A larger supply can dilute the value of each token if demand does not increase proportionally.

Public confirmation of the supply increase often renews focus on potential sell-side pressure, especially during periods of market weakness.

Combined with reduced exchange liquidity, the supply update has amplified bearish sentiment among traders.

ZIL technical analysis

Technical indicators further reinforce ZIL’s short-term bearish trend.

The token is trading below all major exponential moving averages on the daily chart.

Its 7-day simple moving average sits at $0.00497, while the 30-day SMA is at $0.00519, both above the current price.

The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is 38.37, suggesting that the token is approaching oversold conditions.

Zilliqa price analysis
Zilliqa price chart | Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the weekly RSI stands at 47.00, indicating neutral market conditions.

The MACD histogram is negative at –0.000095, confirming continued bearish momentum.

These technical signals suggest that selling pressure remains, although short-term consolidation could occur due to the oversold conditions.

Zilliqa price forecast

Traders should keep a close eye on key support and resistance levels in the coming days.

The immediate support is near the recent swing low of $0.0045846, which may act as a floor for further declines, according to analysts.

On the upside, the first significant resistance is at $0.0669, a level that ZIL must close above to trigger a potential trend reversal.

Market participants should also monitor trading volumes on remaining pairs to gauge whether the sell-off is stabilising.

Short-term price action will likely be influenced by liquidity trends, supply dynamics, and technical momentum.

Until a bullish catalyst emerges, ZIL may continue to face pressure, with consolidation around current levels being the most probable scenario.

The post Zilliqa (ZIL) price slides amid exchange delistings and supply update appeared first on CoinJournal.