Ethereum $5K price forecast amid ETF inflows and Jack Ma’s ETH reserve boost

  • Spot ETF inflows and declining reserves boost Ethereum’s bullish outlook.
  • Jack Ma’s reported ETH reserve adds optimism to market sentiment.
  • $4,400 support and $4,800 resistance are key levels to watch.

Despite the current market correction, Ethereum’s technical and macro fundamentals point to a potential resurgence in the near term.

Strong institutional demand, continuous inflows into spot ETFs, and notable accumulation headlines, including the rumoured reserve by Jack Ma, have reinforced bullish sentiment among traders and analysts alike.

Institutional inflows driving momentum

US spot Ethereum ETFs have continued to attract significant attention, recording $420.90 million in inflows on October 7, marking the seventh consecutive day of positive flows.

Total Ethereum spot ETF net inflow
Source: Coinglass

The inflows not only bolster liquidity but also suggest growing institutional confidence, which is likely to support a medium-term recovery toward the $4,900–$5,000 range.

The sustained demand has coincided with a decrease in exchange reserves, which have fallen to a three-year low of 17.4 million ETH.

Corporate treasuries and the EIP-1559 burn mechanism are further tightening supply, creating a backdrop for potential price acceleration.

Technical patterns hint at a potential ETH price breakout

Ethereum’s price movements over the past weeks show a mix of consolidation and cautious upward pressure.

The token has been trading near $4,450, with short-term support holding around $4,400–$4,420.

Notably, there is an ascending triangle pattern forming since June, with rising support and a horizontal ceiling near $4,750–$4,800.

Ethereum price analysis
Source: CoinMarketCap

This formation suggests that ETH could be poised for a breakout if bulls can reclaim the $4,800 level, opening the path toward the psychological $5,000 milestone.

Despite the volatility, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering around 54, indicating that the market remains balanced and ready for renewed momentum.

Jack Ma’s Ethereum reserve boosts sentiment

While details remain unverified, the news that Jack Ma is accumulating a strategic Ethereum reserve has fueled optimism, particularly in Asian markets where Ethereum (ETH) adoption and staking activity are robust.

The combination of symbolic corporate accumulation and healthy technical positioning has prompted renewed interest among retail and institutional investors.

The report adds a layer of confidence to the bullish narrative, complementing ongoing ETF inflows and decreasing exchange balances.

The key Ethereum price levels to watch

Ethereum’s recent correction from $4,800 to around $4,450 highlights that the market is still quite volatile.

The hourly chart indicates resistance near $4,600 and key support levels at $4,400–$4,420.

If ETH fails to hold the support at $4,400, further downside to $4,320 or even $4,150 could occur.

However, analysts maintain that these dips appear more like momentum resets than trend reversals, especially seeing that even Bitcoin (BTC) is witnessing a similar retest after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) above $126,000.

For Bitcoin, some economists have projected that it could hit $140,000 before the end of October, which, as is usually the case, could lift the entire crypto market sentiment, boosting Ethereum’s price outlook.

If the Ethereum price maintains above $4,400, it could allow bulls to reassert control and drive the token toward its next major targets near $4,950–$5,050.

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Bitcoin dips below $122K after 16% rally, altcoins follow as analysts eye rebound

  • Bitcoin slips under $122K after a 16% surge fueled by ETFs and futures.
  • Profit-taking triggers a short-term dip, pulling major altcoins down 4–7%.
  • Analysts eye a potential rebound, with Bitcoin aiming past $130K and altcoins poised for recovery.

Bitcoin took a bit of a breather on Tuesday, slipping below the $122,000 mark after a blistering rally that had traders buzzing with excitement.

For the traders following the crypto rollercoaster, this pullback probably didn’t come as a huge surprise.

The market had been running pretty hot, and sometimes you just need to catch your breath before the next big move.

Bitcoin price: What’s behind the dip?

So, what’s causing Bitcoin and its crypto cousins like Solana, Cardano, and XRP to catch some cold feet right now? Well, a lot of it comes down to the fast-paced buying spree we saw over the past several days.

Bitcoin’s price zoomed up by around 16%, fueled by a flood of fresh investments pouring into ETFs and futures.

It’s like everyone piled onto the bandwagon at once, which can make things a little wobbly. When the crowd rushes in simultaneously, it often leads to what experts call an “overheated” market.

Basically, traders get a bit too optimistic, pushing prices higher than what fundamentals might support in the short term. Then, boom, some folks start locking in profits, and the selling begins.

We saw exactly that as bitcoin lost some steam, dragging most altcoins down with it, with drops ranging from 4% to 7% for the bigger names.

But here’s the thing, it’s not all doom and gloom. These kinds of corrections are pretty common in volatile markets like crypto.

Think of it this way: it cleans out the weak hands and sets the stage for healthier growth ahead. Plus, bitcoin still has strong support around the $118,000 to $120,000 zone, which many believe will keep the floor from falling out completely.

What’s next for crypto?

Many analysts are keeping a hopeful eye on the coming weeks. If Bitcoin can hang onto those key support levels, the path might just be clear for it to climb back past $130,000, riding the momentum of a strong finish to 2025.

Of course, the crypto world isn’t just about Bitcoin. Ethereum, for one, has been holding up relatively well, partly thanks to growing interest in staking and the ongoing development of decentralized finance platforms.

The altcoin scene may have taken a hit during this pullback, but it’s not out of the game.

Tokens like Solana and XRP are still on many investors’ radars, especially with potential new ETF approvals on the horizon and technical upgrades underway.

October has historically been a lively month for crypto, so don’t be surprised if the market springs back with a classic “Uptober” rally soon.

That said, this ride isn’t for the faint of heart. The market’s inherent volatility means prices can swing wildly, sometimes on little more than speculation or headlines.

Plus, global economic factors and regulatory news can turn the tide pretty quickly.

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Crypto trader claims $1.4 million lost in OTC scam, KuCoin deposit stirs speculation

  • $1.40 million USDC moved on Ethereum.
  • The community is split between fraud concerns and trolling theories.
  • ZachXBT stated he would not investigate the case, criticising the lack of evidence provided by the alleged victim.

A dispute over $1.4 million has set off heated discussion on Crypto Twitter after a trader reported being scammed in an over-the-counter (OTC) deal, only for another account to later announce depositing the exact same amount into KuCoin.

The timing and similarity of the amounts have triggered a wave of speculation, with the crypto community debating whether the two incidents are linked or if the second post was a trolling attempt.

The case underscores the fragile nature of OTC transactions in crypto, where trust is critical but difficult to enforce.

OTC trading risks in focus after $1.4 million transfer

The controversy began when trader 0x_Leo_ shared a post on X (Twitter), saying they had lost $1.4 million in an OTC deal.

They called on blockchain investigator ZachXBT and urged KuCoin to block the destination address.

On-chain records show that 1.40 million USDC (≈ $1.399 million) was moved on Ethereum from address 0x887e…d35260 to 0xd04d…41b8724.

The transfer was confirmed in block 23493672 and cost just $0.06 in fees.

OTC deals, carried out privately outside centralised exchanges, remain popular for high-value trades.

But without legal recourse or built-in guarantees, they are prone to fraud and disputes.

This incident has highlighted the limited protection traders face when such transactions go wrong.

KuCoin deposit claim heightens speculation

Just two hours after the scam allegation, an account under the name based16z posted,

Just dropped $1.4M in KuCoin, what are we aping?

The overlap in value between the two posts triggered speculation across the community.

Some suggested it could be connected to the missing funds, while others saw it as a coincidence or an attempt to farm engagement by capitalising on the viral story.

The sequence of events sparked further division among users.

While one group believed the posts might be linked, others dismissed them as an example of Crypto Twitter’s mix of irony, memes, and misinformation.

In either case, the episode has amplified concerns over transparency in private crypto deals.

Blockchain sleuth declines involvement

Despite being tagged, ZachXBT stated he would not investigate the case, criticising the lack of evidence provided by the alleged victim.

He said no chat logs or transaction details were shared privately, raising doubts about the account’s claim.

The lack of follow-up information has left the case unresolved, adding to confusion within the community.

Without clear on-chain evidence or exchange confirmation, linking the two posts remains speculative.

Past links between the two accounts raise questions

Further scrutiny revealed some overlap in activity between 0x_Leo_ and based16z.

Both accounts had posted about Aster DEX on September 20, showing bullish sentiment.

They also commented on the PUMP meme coin in mid-July, raising questions about whether their interaction was coincidental or suggested some level of collusion.

At present, there has been no official comment from KuCoin, nor any evidence that the funds reported lost were directly connected to the $1.4 million deposit claim.

The incident remains unresolved, leaving many in the community uncertain whether this was a scam, a staged stunt, or simply a poorly timed coincidence.

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Spot Ether ETFs see five-day outflow streak amid 10% price drop

  • Ether ETFs post $795.8M outflows over 5 days as ETH price drops 10.8% to $3,995.
  • SEC staking decision looms; Grayscale readies to stake ETH holdings amid pressure.
  • Bitcoin ETFs face $897.6M outflows, but analysts call them “the biggest launch ever.”

US-based spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded their second prolonged outflow streak in less than a month, underscoring ongoing investor caution in the market.

The sell-off coincides with Ether’s (ETH) price slipping more than 10% over the past week, reflecting broader concerns around crypto demand and regulatory uncertainty.

Five straight days of outflows for Ether ETFs

According to data from Farside, spot Ether ETFs posted five consecutive days of net outflows this week, totaling $795.8 million.

Friday alone saw $248.4 million withdrawn, capping a difficult week for the products.

Ether’s price fell 10.8% to $3995.33 in the last 7 days at the time of writing.

This marks the first time Ether ETFs have logged a five-day outflow streak since the week ending September 5, when the asset traded near $4,300.

The repeated pressure suggests waning investor appetite in the short term, even as longer-term developments around staking could reshape market sentiment.

Staking approval could shift market dynamics

Market participants continue to watch for signals from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on whether staking will eventually be permitted within spot Ether ETFs.

Staking, which allows investors to earn yield by locking up ETH, could provide an added incentive for long-term holders and bolster the utility of these products.

On September 19, it was reported that Grayscale is preparing to stake part of its significant Ether holdings, a move interpreted by some as a vote of confidence that regulators may soon allow staking within exchange-traded products.

Despite this potential catalyst, current trading data highlights persistent sell-side pressure.

Cointelegraph noted that net taker volume on Binance has remained negative over the past month, signaling that retail participation in Ether is cooling.

Crypto analyst Bitbull described the ETF outflow streak as “a sign of capitulation as the panic selling has been so high.”

Bitcoin ETFs also face withdrawals

The selling trend was not limited to Ether.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded five days of outflows, amounting to $897.6 million over the same period.

Bitcoin’s price fell 5.28% in the past week, trading at $109,551 at the time of publication.

While recent outflows reflect cooling momentum, analysts remain broadly optimistic about Bitcoin ETFs’ long-term trajectory.

ETF analyst James Seyffart, speaking on a podcast Thursday, said that while Bitcoin ETFs haven’t been “perfectly hot the past couple of months,” they remain “the biggest launch of all time.”

“The amount of money that has come in here is unlike anything we have ever seen,” Seyffart said, adding that Bitcoin ETFs are performing “as good as you could possibly hope.”

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Ethereum price at crossroads, tests key support at $3,800 as analysts point at possible rebound

  • Ethereum ETF inflows show smart money buying despite short-term weakness.
  • Whales are reducing holdings while mid-sized sharks drive accumulation.
  • Heavy ETH liquidations are fueling bearish sentiment.

Ethereum (ETH) finds itself at a critical juncture as price tests support near $3,800 after a sharp pullback from recent highs.

Analysts are now weighing the technical damage against on-chain signals that point in different directions.

Ethereum price under bear pressure

Recently, the price of ETH slipped below $4,000 and is now trading around the mid-$3,800s.

The 24-hour range shows intraday swings between $3,833.75 and $4,051.26, while analysts single out the $3,800–$3,850 band as the immediate line of defence and $3,500–$3,400 as deeper liquidity zones if sellers push further.

Notably, the Ethereum price has fallen beneath the clustered 20, 50 and 100-EMAs, which currently sit roughly between $4,083 and $4,238 and now act as resistance.

Momentum indicators have also weakened, with the four‑hour RSI sitting near 29, indicating oversold conditions that often precede short relief rallies.

Whales offload as sharks accumulate

On-chain flow metrics show notable exchange inflows, with a recent spike of about $66.7 million moved onto spot venues.

That movement coincided with ETH dropping below $4,000, and it signals that some holders are routing coins to exchanges to sell.

Large wallets holding more than 100,000 ETH have trimmed positions sharply, a development many analysts interpret as increased selling by the largest holders.

At the same time, mid‑sized entities — addresses holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH — are accumulating and taking a more prominent role in on‑chain ownership dynamics as highlighted by Joao Wedson.

This transfer of supply from the very largest wallets toward a concentrated set of mid‑sized “sharks” has nudged the Gini coefficient higher after months of decline, underscoring renewed ownership concentration among wealthier addresses.

While these movements are seen as dynamic by some, it is also viewed as a double‑edged sword by others since it reduces one class of outsized selling but increase concentration risk.

Liquidations spoil the party as ETFs see hyped inflows

The Ethereum price correction has triggered heavy market liquidations, with roughly $409 million in Ethereum long positions liquidated.

Funding rates on ETH futures have also flashed negative recently, according to Coinglass data, adding to the momentum behind short‑term selling.

Institutional flows, especially on the Ethereum ETFs front, also paint a mixed picture, with some funds recording large inflows while others see significant outflows.

Notably, over the recent week, more than $560 million reportedly moved into ETH‑linked funds, with BlackRock‑led products among the largest recipients, even as REX‑Osprey launched the first US staking Ether ETF.

Ethereum price forecast

Views among market commentators diverge sharply, and long‑term bulls like Ted Pillows argue that ETH could ultimately trend well above $10,000 this cycle, though he anticipates a short‑term revisit to the $3,600–$3,800 area.

Most importantly, reclaiming the $4,083–$4,330 zone would ease bearish pressure and could open a path back to $5,000.

Conversely, a failure to hold critical supports would expose lower bands at $3,162 and $2,874, while the 200‑day EMA sits as a structural defence near $3,350.

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