Crypto news today: Bitcoin holds $94K despite volatility; analyst warns market ignores risks

  • Bitcoin recovered from an intraday dip to trade near $94,700, down slightly over 24 hours.
  • US stocks also recovered late after falling over 2% early on weak economic data.
  • Altcoins generally underperformed Bitcoin, with the CoinDesk 20 index down 2%.

Cryptocurrency markets navigated a choppy session on Wednesday, ultimately demonstrating resilience alongside traditional US equities as both asset classes clawed back from earlier declines.

Despite this recovery, underlying economic concerns and persistent uncertainty surrounding US trade policy kept investors watchful, with some analysts questioning the market’s apparent disregard for potential headwinds.

Crypto recovers from dip, altcoins lag

While characterized by volatility, the overall trend for crypto on Wednesday remained one of range-bound trading.

Shortly after the close of US equity trading, Bitcoin (BTC) was holding steady around $94,700, marking only a marginal 0.4% decline over the preceding 24 hours.

This modest change, however, belied earlier volatility where the leading cryptocurrency had dipped nearly 2%, mirroring weakness seen in stocks during the initial part of the session.

While Bitcoin recovered most of its lost ground, many alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) failed to keep pace, suggesting a degree of risk aversion within the digital asset space.

The broader CoinDesk 20 index, which tracks leading cryptocurrencies excluding stablecoins and certain other tokens, slumped 2% over the 24-hour period.

Notable decliners included litecoin (LTC), Ripple’s XRP, Avalanche (AVAX), and Chainlink (LINK), each shedding roughly 4%.

Wall Street stages late-day comeback

This pattern of early weakness followed by a late recovery closely mirrored the action on Wall Street.

Major US stock indices initially tumbled by 2% or more following the release of less-than-stellar economic news, only to regain substantial ground throughout the trading day.

The S&P 500 managed to close slightly in positive territory, while the Nasdaq Composite finished with a minor dip of just 0.1%.

Economic jitters, tariff talk persist

Despite this market resilience, the underlying economic picture presented cause for concern, contributing to the earlier sell-off.

Data releases pointed towards potential slowing in the US economy.

Consumer confidence readings hit multi-year lows, and job opening figures came in below expectations, potentially reflecting the impact of ongoing trade tensions and tariff policies.

The continuing string of lackluster economic data, however, has not appeared to sway US President Trump from his assertive tariff policies.

Dismissing potential negative consequences for consumers, Trump remarked early Wednesday: “Somebody said all the shelves are going to be open… Well, maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, and maybe the two dolls will cost a couple of bucks more than they would normally. … They have ships that are loaded up with stuff, much of which we don’t need.”

These comments underscore the ongoing policy uncertainty contributing to market volatility.

Analyst flags market ‘blindness’ to deeper risks

This apparent disconnect between weakening economic signals and relatively buoyant market performance drew sharp commentary from some analysts.

Jeff Park, head of Alpha Strategies at digital asset investment firm Bitwise, expressed concern about the market’s focus.

“Hard to fathom how blind the market really is,” Park posted on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter).

He argued that the market’s fixation on potential near-term Federal Reserve interest rate cuts overlooks more significant fundamental risks related to US economic policy and its global standing.

“A Fed cut means nothing if U.S. creditworthiness is permanently impaired by the global community as resulted by dollar weaponization,” Park stated, suggesting aggressive policies could undermine trust in the US dollar and, by extension, the notion of a “risk-free” US Treasury asset.

“That’s the mispricing we are talking about here,” he continued.

“The myopic focus on whether [we] are getting a fed cut in May/June is completely irrelevant if the notion of the risk-free as we know it is fundamentally challenged forever, which means cost of capital globally is going higher.”

Mixed fortunes for crypto stocks

Reflecting the somewhat mixed day, crypto-related equities saw modest movements overall.

Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) posted slight gains, while Bitcoin miner Hut 8 (HUT) stood out as a notable underperformer, declining 5.7%.

The day’s trading ultimately highlighted a market grappling with conflicting signals – resilience in price action against a backdrop of concerning economic data and persistent policy uncertainty.

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First 100 days under President Trump: crypto industry faces new challenges and opportunities

  • SEC and CFTC leadership reshuffled to favour digital asset regulation.
  • Strategic Bitcoin Reserve created, but without new BTC purchases.
  • WLFI stablecoin launch triggered calls for an ethics investigation.

The first 100 days of US President Donald Trump’s second term have reshaped the cryptocurrency and blockchain landscape through sweeping policy moves, regulatory changes, and controversial personal involvement.

From the launch of a new meme coin ahead of the Inauguration Day to the creation of a US Bitcoin reserve, President Trump has pushed an aggressively pro-crypto stance, while simultaneously sparking regulatory concern, geopolitical tension, and significant market volatility.

A series of tariffs, executive orders, and personnel appointments have created both opportunity and uncertainty across digital asset markets.

WLFI token launch, SEC shakeup mark start of term

On 20 January, as Trump took the oath of office, his family’s investment firm World Liberty Financial (WLFI) launched the second phase of its token sale.

The non-transferable WLFI token was followed by a wave of crypto-friendly appointments.

Paul Atkins was named as SEC Chair on day one, replacing Gary Gensler, while Brian Quintenz was nominated to lead the CFTC.

David Sacks, a vocal supporter of crypto, was appointed to chair the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, positioning him as a central figure in both blockchain and AI policymaking.

The WLFI token, initially marketed as a patriotic memecoin aligned with Trump’s return to power, gained traction on platforms like X and Telegram.

The token’s branding heavily featured themes tied to American exceptionalism and conservative values.

Despite being non-tradable and unavailable on major exchanges, the project drew attention from retail investors hoping for eventual utility.

WLFI’s promotional material also teased exclusive access perks for top holders, culminating in a controversial event later in the quarter.

Trade tariffs shake miners, while Bitcoin reserve takes shape

Just weeks into the new administration, Trump’s economic nationalism began to impact the crypto industry.

On 1 February, broad tariffs were imposed on Mexico, China, and Canada, citing security and fentanyl concerns.

Markets dipped in response, with Bitcoin miners particularly affected due to higher import costs for essential hardware.

The situation escalated on 2 April when Trump introduced a 10% minimum tariff on all countries that tax US goods, branding it “Liberation Day.”

Meanwhile, on  March 7, the president signed an executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.

Though the move was intended to formalise the US’s stake in crypto markets, it disappointed many investors by not initiating fresh purchases.

$TRUMP token dinner fuels backlash and ethics probe

Donald Trump’s $TRUMP meme coin surged over 50% in value to reach a $2.7 billion market cap after the project announced that the top 220 token holders would be invited to a black-tie dinner with the former US president on 22 May.

The event, hosted at his private club in Washington, also includes a VIP White House tour for the top 25 holders.

According to Chainalysis, Trump and his allies earned nearly $900,000 in trading fees from the token in just two days following the announcement.

Since its January launch, the token has generated $324.5 million in trading fees through a mechanism that redirects a portion of each transaction to insider wallets.

The Trump Organisation and affiliates reportedly control around 80% of the token supply, which is locked under a three-year vesting schedule.

The dinner offer has triggered backlash from lawmakers and watchdogs, with Senators Elizabeth Warren and Adam Schiff calling for a federal ethics probe, alleging it may constitute “pay to play” behaviour.

Meanwhile, Trump’s broader crypto ventures, including the $MELANIA token and World Liberty Financial, have raised $550 million, with Trump-affiliated entities entitled to 75% of net revenue.

The shift comes amid weakened regulatory oversight of the crypto sector under Trump’s administration.

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Crypto news today: Bitcoin tops $95K, stocks rally despite analyst’s ‘blind market’ warning

  • Bitcoin traded above $95,400 Tuesday, showing resilience despite economic concerns.
  • US stocks (S&P 500, Nasdaq +0.55%) also continued their recovery from early April tariff fears.
  • Consumer confidence hit lowest since May 2020; JOLTS job openings missed estimates.

Cryptocurrency markets displayed notable stability on Tuesday, seemingly unfazed by mounting pessimism regarding the economic impact of the Trump administration’s tariff policies.

Bitcoin edged higher, reclaiming ground above $95,000, while traditional stock markets also continued a recovery trend, prompting some analysts to question whether markets are accurately pricing in underlying economic risks.

Markets march higher despite warning signs

Bitcoin (BTC) continued its recent positive momentum, gaining about 1% over the preceding 24 hours to trade near $95,400.

This move brought the key $96,000 level – last seen in late February – within striking distance.

The broader crypto market showed similar resilience, with the CoinDesk 20 index advancing 1.1%.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) stood out with a significant 6.3% surge.

Crypto-related equities also participated, albeit modestly, with Coinbase (COIN) up 0.9% and MicroStrategy (MSTR) adding 3.3%, while Janover (JNVR) continued its strong run (+16%) linked to its Solana accumulation strategy.

This relative calm in digital assets mirrored strength in traditional equities.

Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite posted gains of 0.55%, extending the recovery from the tariff-induced panic seen earlier in April.

Economic data paints sobering picture

However, this market buoyancy unfolded against a backdrop of increasingly concerning economic indicators, suggesting a potential slowdown possibly linked to the White House’s tariff strategies.

The Conference Board reported that US consumer confidence plummeted to its lowest level since May 2020, with the forward-looking consumer outlook component hitting its weakest point since 2011.

Simultaneously, the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) indicated a cooling labor market, with job openings falling to 7.19 million in March, significantly below the expected 7.5 million.

Adding to the complex policy environment, Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick mentioned Tuesday that a trade deal had been reached with an unspecified country, though he noted it still required ratification, offering little immediate clarity on the broader tariff situation.

Analyst warns of market ‘blindness’ to fundamental risks

This apparent disconnect between market performance and weakening economic data has raised red flags among some observers.

Jeff Park, head of Alpha Strategies at digital asset investment firm Bitwise, expressed strong concern about the market’s perspective.

“Hard to fathom how blind the market really is,” Park posted on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter).

He argued that the market’s intense focus on potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts misses a larger, more fundamental risk.

“A Fed cut means nothing if US creditworthiness is permanently impaired by the global community as resulted by dollar weaponization,” Park elaborated, linking the potential damage to Trump administration policies that leverage the dollar’s global role.

He suggested that speculation about whether the Fed might be forced to cut rates to offset tariff impacts is misplaced.

“That’s the mispricing we are talking about here,” he continued.

The myopic focus on whether [we] are getting a fed cut in May/June is completely irrelevant if the notion of the risk-free as we know it is fundamentally challenged forever, which means cost of capital globally is going higher.

Park’s comments highlight a deeper concern: that markets might be rallying on short-term hopes (like potential rate cuts) while ignoring potentially severe, longer-term structural damage to the US financial standing and the global cost of capital caused by ongoing policy uncertainty and aggressive trade tactics.

While Bitcoin holds firm near recent highs, the debate continues over whether current market strength reflects genuine resilience or a dangerous disregard for underlying economic headwinds.

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Donald Trump speech looms: can Bitcoin leverage exchange outflows, safe haven status for $100K?

  • Bitcoin climbed above $95,490 Monday ahead of Trump’s 100-day speech, eyeing policy clarity.
  • Potential confirmation of a US Bitcoin strategic reserve could be a major catalyst towards $100K.
  • Bitcoin shows resilience (YTD +5.6%) vs. US stocks (YTD -5%) amid tariff uncertainty, boosting safe-haven appeal.

Bitcoin demonstrated renewed strength on Monday, climbing back above the significant $95,000 mark as the broader financial markets turned their focus towards President Donald Trump’s upcoming 100-day policy review speech.

Amidst a complex macroeconomic backdrop shaped by Trump’s second term policies, on-chain data showing significant Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges added fuel to bullish sentiment, prompting speculation about a potential push towards the $100,000 milestone.

Anticipation builds ahead of Trump’s 100-day review

After a period of consolidation, Bitcoin prices pushed higher, reaching levels above $95,490 according to CoinGecko data, marking an 0.8% gain over 24 hours and reflecting a robust 8.9% increase week-over-week.

This price action mirrored gains seen in US equity markets, particularly among top technology stocks, as investors awaited clarity from Trump’s address.

Crypto-related policies have been a notable feature of Trump’s second term thus far, and market participants are particularly keen for updates on proposals like the potential creation of a US Bitcoin strategic reserve.

A definitive announcement confirming the strategic reserve initiative could serve as a powerful catalyst, potentially triggering a rapid (“parabolic”) move towards and beyond $100,000.

Conversely, renewed emphasis on aggressive tariff strategies or drastic budget cuts in the speech could dampen overall market sentiment, potentially capping Bitcoin’s near-term upside despite its recent resilience.

Macro crosscurrents: tariffs, inflation, and Fed pressure

The first 100 days of Trump’s term have been marked by distinct policy trends influencing market dynamics.

While US inflation has continued its downward trend (falling from a 9.1% peak in 2022 to 2.4% in March 2025, per TradingEconomics), Trump’s continued advocacy for tariffs – measures widely warned by economists as potentially inflationary – creates tension.

The President has claimed victory over inflation while simultaneously pushing for policies that could reignite price pressures.

This backdrop informs Trump’s recently intensified calls for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, including public pressure and threats aimed at replacing Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

While these pronouncements have sparked market speculation, data from the CME FedWatch tool still indicates a dominant (90.1%) probability that the Fed will maintain current rates at its upcoming May 7 FOMC meeting.

However, the administration’s focus on tariffs (“impose across-the-board tariffs on most foreign-made goods”) continues to inject uncertainty into US stock markets.

This uncertainty appears to be bolstering Bitcoin’s narrative as a potential safe-haven asset, relatively insulated from direct geopolitical trade spats and supply chain disruptions.

Notably, Bitcoin has posted year-to-date gains of 5.6%, contrasting with declines seen in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices (down 5% YTD) during the same period.

Should Trump’s policies continue to foster volatility in traditional financial (TradFi) markets, Bitcoin’s perceived resilience could attract further capital inflows.

On-chain flows signal accumulation?

Adding weight to the bullish case is compelling on-chain data indicating significant Bitcoin movement off cryptocurrency exchanges.

Analysis from CryptoQuant reveals that investors have withdrawn over $4 billion worth of Bitcoin from tracked exchange wallets since Trump’s recent calls for rate cuts began around April 22.

Total exchange reserve balances reportedly fell from $237.8 billion to $233.8 billion during this period.

This trend of coins leaving exchanges is often interpreted bullishly, as it suggests investors are moving Bitcoin into private storage (“cold wallets”) for longer-term holding rather than keeping it readily available for sale on trading platforms.

This reduction in easily accessible supply, coupled with potentially steady or increasing demand triggers (like the safe-haven narrative or strategic reserve news), strengthens the argument for a potential price breakout.

Bitcoin tests $95K resistance, eyes $100K breakout

With demand factors seemingly active and exchange supply tightening, the technical picture comes into sharp focus. Bitcoin is currently testing the significant resistance zone around 95,000−95,500.

Successfully overcoming and holding above this level is seen as crucial for confirming the next leg higher.

The $100,000 psychological milestone remains the key upside target in the near term, with the confluence of macro uncertainty, potential policy catalysts from Trump’s speech, and supportive on-chain data suggesting the stage could be set for such a move.

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Crypto news today: Bitcoin bulls eye $100K breakout; SUI, AVAX charts show potential

  • Bitcoin gained over 10% this week, testing key resistance near $95,000 amid strong buying.
  • US Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw massive $3.06 billion weekly inflows, signaling renewed institutional interest.
  • Avalanche (AVAX) consolidates near $23.50 resistance; a breakout could target $31.73 (double-bottom).

Bitcoin demonstrated renewed strength this week, posting gains of over 10% as determined buyers pushed the price back towards the significant overhead resistance level near $95,000.

While consolidating below this key hurdle, the fact that buyers haven’t ceded significant ground suggests underlying bullish conviction, further supported by robust institutional inflows and optimistic analyst projections.

ETF inflows signal renewed institutional appetite

The sharp upward move in Bitcoin’s price has been significantly bolstered by resurgent buying activity in the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Data from Farside Investors revealed impressive weekly inflows totaling $3.06 billion into these funds.

Commenting on this influx, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas highlighted on X (formerly Twitter) how notable it was to witness “HOW FAST the flows can go from 1st gear to 5th gear,” indicating a rapid acceleration in institutional demand.

This renewed buying coincides with bullish technical and quantitative signals. 21st Capital co-founder Sina noted on X that Bitcoin had reclaimed its “power-law price,” a model suggesting considerable long-term upside.

Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile Model projects potential targets between $130,000 and $163,000 before the end of 2025.

Other anonymous analysts, like apsk32, hold even more ambitious short-term targets, predicting a move above $200,000 in the fourth quarter of this year.

Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis: bulls target $100K

The price chart reveals a tense battle unfolding near the critical $95,000 resistance.

Technical indicators currently favor the bulls: the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), sitting around $88,619, is sloping upwards, and the relative strength index (RSI) is positioned near overbought territory, signaling strong buying momentum.

A decisive close above the $95,000 mark could act as a powerful catalyst, potentially propelling the BTC/USDT pair towards $100,000 and subsequently to the $107,000 region.

However, sellers are expected to mount a strong defense in the zone between $107,000 and $109,588.

Conversely, the 20-day EMA serves as crucial near-term support.

A break below this level could invalidate the immediate bullish momentum and potentially pull the price back into the broader range between $73,777 and $95,000.

Looking at the 4-hour chart, bears are actively defending the $95,000 level but have struggled to push the price decisively below the shorter-term 20-EMA.

A rebound off this moving average would strengthen the case for an eventual breakout above $95,000, targeting $100,000.

However, failure to hold the 4-hour 20-EMA could lead to a deeper pullback towards the 50-simple moving average (SMA), a key level bulls must defend to prevent a slide towards $86,000.

Sui (SUI) price analysis: testing resistance, eyeing upside

Sui (SUI) has encountered resistance near the $3.90 level.

However, the pullback from this high has been relatively shallow, indicating that bulls are holding their positions rather than rushing to take profits.

If the price remains above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $3.14, buyers are likely to make another attempt to push the SUI/USDT pair above $3.90.

A successful breakout could see the price surge towards $4.25 and potentially $5.00.

On the downside, a break below $3.14 would signal the start of a more significant correction, potentially targeting the 50% retracement level at $2.94.

Buyers are expected to defend the zone between $2.94 and the 20-day EMA (currently around $2.69).

The 4-hour chart shows support near the 20-EMA, but sellers remain active at higher levels.

A break below the 4-hour 20-EMA could trigger a drop to $3.14, while a push above the
3.81−3.90 resistance is needed to confirm the next leg up towards $4.25.

Avalanche (AVAX) price analysis: range consolidation, breakout potential

Avalanche (AVAX) has been consolidating within a range defined by support at $15.27 and resistance near $23.50.

Trading within such ranges often involves buying near support and selling near resistance.

While buyers haven’t yet managed to decisively break above $23.50, the fact they haven’t given up much ground suggests accumulation might be occurring.

A breakout above $23.50 would complete a potential double-bottom pattern, a bullish formation with a calculated target objective near $31.73.

However, this optimistic scenario would be invalidated if the price turns down and breaks below the moving averages, suggesting the range-bound action might persist.

On the 4-hour chart, AVAX has been consolidating tightly between $21.60 and $23.10. This narrow range indicates bulls are holding firm, anticipating further upside.

A break above $23.10 could trigger a move towards $25, likely overcoming the resistance at $23.50.

Conversely, a drop below $21.60 would signal weakening bullish resolve, potentially pulling the price down towards $19.50.

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