Bitcoin rises above $107K as Trump’s fiscal policy comments boost hard assets

  • Bitcoin traded above $107K Sunday as focus turned to U.S. fiscal policy and Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill.”
  • Trump urged “cost cutting Republicans” not to “go too crazy,” promising growth will “make it all up.”
  • Expectations of sustained deficits and loose fiscal policy are bolstering the bull case for hard assets like BTC and gold.

Bitcoin traded steadily above the $107,000 mark on Sunday, with market attention increasingly focused on fiscal policy tensions brewing in Washington.

A recent social media post from President Donald Trump, aimed at quelling dissent within his own party over a massive tax-and-spending package, has inadvertently bolstered the bullish case for assets like Bitcoin and gold, which are often seen as hedges against fiscal profligacy.

The latest market movements come as Bitcoin was changing hands at $107,937 as of 22:22 UTC on Sunday, up 0.54% over the past 24 hours.

Price action remained volatile, with the cryptocurrency fluctuating between $107,194 and $108,489 during that window, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.

The focus shifted to US fiscal policy following a pointed message from President Trump on his Truth Social platform on June 29, 2025.

Addressing Republican lawmakers amid a fierce internal debate over his sweeping legislative package, Trump wrote:

For all cost cutting Republicans, of which I am one, REMEMBER, you still have to get reelected. Don’t go too crazy! We will make it all up, times 10, with GROWTH, more than ever before.

This statement lays bare the deep divisions within the Republican party as it struggles to unify behind the ambitious legislation, which has been dubbed the “One Big Beautiful Bill.”

The bill itself, exceeding 900 pages, is a complex mix of fiscal measures.

It combines approximately $3.8 trillion in tax cuts with targeted spending reductions and increased funding for defense and border security.

A key component is the aim to make permanent many of the tax breaks from Trump’s 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including the elimination of taxes on tips, overtime pay, and certain auto loans.

The child tax credit would also rise to $2,200 under the Senate version, while deductions for seniors would be temporarily increased.

To offset the cost of these tax cuts, however, Republicans have proposed significant cuts to Medicaid and nutrition programs, a move that has sparked intense debate within the party.

Navigating a political tightrope

The path to passing the bill is fraught with political challenges.

Moderate Republicans, particularly those from high-tax states, are pushing for a higher cap on state and local tax (SALT) deductions.

In contrast, conservative factions are demanding deeper and more extensive spending cuts, with a particular focus on Medicaid.

These internal disagreements are complicating efforts to secure the narrow Republican majorities needed in both the House and the Senate to pass the legislation, which faces uniform opposition from Democrats, who argue it disproportionately favors the wealthy and will worsen economic inequality.

President Trump’s social media message appears to be an attempt to walk this political tightrope.

He is urging a degree of fiscal restraint to appease conservatives while simultaneously emphasizing a supply-side economic argument: that robust economic growth will ultimately compensate for near-term revenue losses and help reduce deficits over time.

This “growth will make it all up” approach comes as nonpartisan analysts estimate the bill could add trillions of dollars to the already substantial $36.2 trillion national debt.

A bullish signal for Bitcoin and gold?

This fiscal backdrop is being closely watched by market participants, with some interpreting it as a strong signal for holding hard assets.

Crypto analyst Will Clemente’s reaction on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), posted shortly after Trump’s message, captured a common sentiment among those skeptical of current fiscal policies:

How can you read this and hold long term US treasuries at current yields lol… Also, how can you read this and not hold any Bitcoin or gold.

Clemente’s skepticism towards long-term US Treasuries reflects a growing concern that the bill’s deficit-financed tax cuts and relatively modest spending reductions signal a loose fiscal policy that could fuel inflation and devalue the currency over time.

In such a scenario, traditional fixed-income assets like Treasuries can become less attractive, as rising deficits and potential monetary accommodation (to finance the debt) threaten to erode the value of both principal and interest payments.

Conversely, hard assets with limited supply, such as gold and Bitcoin, are increasingly viewed as reliable stores of value and effective hedges against inflation and fiscal irresponsibility.

The expectation of sustained, large deficits and the clear political challenges to implementing meaningful fiscal discipline are bolstering the demand for these inflation-resistant assets.

As the Senate races to finalize the bill before the July 4 holiday, the ongoing negotiations and the ultimate fate of this consequential fiscal package will continue to be a key driver of market sentiment.

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Genius Group to split $1B lawsuit proceeds between shareholders and its Bitcoin treasury

  • Genius Group plans to split lawsuit wins between shareholder dividends and Bitcoin.
  • The company is pursuing two lawsuits seeking over $1 billion in shareholder-related damages.
  • Genius Group’s current BTC holdings stand at 100 BTC and it now targets 1,000 BTC as part of its treasury plan.

Singapore-based edtech firm Genius Group has unveiled an ambitious plan to share potential legal windfalls from its ongoing billion-dollar lawsuits with shareholders while simultaneously deepening its investment in Bitcoin.

In a move that could reshape the company’s financial future, the Board of Directors has approved a distribution framework that will allocate all net proceeds from its legal battles equally between direct payouts to shareholders and purchases of Bitcoin for its corporate treasury.

This strategy marks a bold fusion of legal recourse and crypto investment, driven by a promise to compensate shareholders for damages the company alleges were inflicted by third-party misconduct.

Genius Group is pursuing lawsuits seeking over $1B in damages

Genius Group is actively pursuing two major lawsuits with combined damage claims exceeding $1 billion, each targeting different alleged abuses that the company says have harmed its investors.

The first lawsuit, already filed in the US District Court for the Southern District of Florida, alleges violations under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO) and seeks over $750 million in damages from several individuals, including Peter Ritz, Michael Moe, Michael Carter, and former SEC Chairman John Clayton.

According to the company, these defendants, through their roles in LZGI International and related entities, engaged in actions that caused direct financial harm to Genius Group and its shareholders.

The second lawsuit, which is expected to be filed soon, focuses on alleged naked short-selling and spoofing activities that the company claims manipulated the trading of its shares.

Led by attorney Wes Christian, a well-known legal figure in financial market litigation, the short-selling case is estimated to involve damages between $251 million and $263 million, with that figure expected to rise following further analysis of 2024 and 2025 trading data.

A windfall for shareholders, if lawsuits succeed

Genius Group has committed to splitting all net proceeds from these lawsuits evenly, with 50% allocated as special dividends to shareholders and the remaining 50% used to acquire Bitcoin.

Chief Executive Officer Roger Hamilton emphasised that because these lawsuits seek to recover damages that directly affected shareholders, it is only fair that all recovered funds be returned to them or reinvested on their behalf.

If the company is successful in both cases, each shareholder could receive up to $7 per share, offering a substantial return given the company’s current stock price.

While there is no guarantee of a win in either lawsuit, the prospect of a significant payout and further crypto investment has drawn growing attention from retail traders and crypto enthusiasts alike.

Genius Group’s Bitcoin strategy

Genius Group’s interest in Bitcoin is not new, but the recent announcement reinforces the company’s serious intention to use BTC as a long-term treasury asset.

Just last week, the company revealed that it had increased its corporate Bitcoin holdings by 52%, acquiring an additional 34 BTC to bring its total to 100 BTC.

The purchases were made at an average price of approximately $100,600 per Bitcoin, amounting to an investment of more than $10 million.

The company has stated that it intends to grow its Bitcoin holdings to 1,000 BTC over time, especially now that a previous US court restriction barring it from using investor funds to buy crypto has been lifted.

Hamilton has framed Bitcoin as both a hedge against inflation and a vehicle for shareholder value, noting that future court winnings would also be subject to this new distribution model.

Legal uncertainties remain

Despite the company’s confidence, Hamilton acknowledged that there are legal uncertainties ahead, and no outcome can be guaranteed in either case.

However, the aggressive dual-pronged strategy of rewarding investors while reinforcing a decentralised financial position has attracted renewed investor interest.

This legal-crypto hybrid approach positions Genius Group as one of the few publicly traded companies tying shareholder dividends directly to potential lawsuit wins and Bitcoin acquisitions.

As the cases proceed, both traders and shareholders will be watching closely, not just for court rulings but also for how Genius executes its promise to merge traditional legal settlements with modern digital asset strategies.

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Bitcoin holds above $107K ahead of major quarterly options expiry

  • Bitcoin (BTC) held steady above $107,500 ahead of a major options expiry on Friday.
  • 38% of Deribit’s $40B in BTC options open interest will expire, with a “max pain” price of $102,000.
  • Bitcoin’s implied volatility has dropped from 50% in April to 38%, signaling increased market confidence.

Bitcoin traded within a narrow range during US hours on Thursday, holding steady above the $107,000 mark as traders positioned themselves ahead of a significant quarterly options expiry scheduled for Friday.

While the broader crypto market saw slight declines, Bitcoin’s stability belied the underlying tension of a massive volume of derivatives contracts nearing their conclusion.

The top cryptocurrency was last changing hands around $107,500, down a negligible 0.2% over the past 24 hours.

In contrast, the CoinDesk 20—an index tracking the top 20 digital assets excluding stablecoins, exchange coins, and some memecoins—lost 0.9% during the same period, indicating some weakness in the altcoin market.

Market participants are keenly focused on Friday’s event, which is set to be one of the largest options expiries of the year.

“This Friday marks one of the largest option expiries of the year on Deribit,” Jean-David Péquignot, chief commercial officer at the popular derivatives exchange Deribit, told CoinDesk.

He noted that the total open interest for Bitcoin options currently stands at a staggering $40 billion, and a substantial 38% of these contracts are set to expire on Friday.

A key metric that traders are watching is the “max pain” price, which is the strike price at which the largest number of options (both puts and calls) would expire worthless, theoretically causing the maximum financial loss for option holders.

“Max pain price for Friday is at $102,000, with a put/call ratio of 0.73,” Péquignot said. This suggests a potential gravitational pull towards the $102,000 level as the expiry approaches.

Volatility eases, but caution remains

Despite the looming expiry, market volatility has shown signs of calming down.

Bitcoin’s implied volatility, as measured by the Deribit DVOL index, has dropped to 38% from the 50% levels seen during a wild April.

According to Péquignot, this could signal that “the market is increasingly confident in the cryptocurrency’s macro-hedge role.”

However, an analysis of put-call skews reveals no clear directional bias among traders in the short term, indicating a state of market neutrality.

Péquignot emphasized that the $105,000 level for Bitcoin is pivotal from a technical standpoint, suggesting that “technicals suggest caution if support fails.”

He also noted that “low open interest in perps [perpetual futures] and fairly depressed Bitcoin implied volatility and skew are indicative of limited expectations for sharp price movements going into Friday’s expiry.”

Crypto stocks show divergent performance

In the equity markets, several crypto-related stocks managed to post gains on Thursday.

Core Scientific (CORZ) was a standout performer, surging more than 33% following a report from The Wall Street Journal suggesting that the Bitcoin miner may soon be acquired by AI Hyperscaler CoreWeave (CRWV).

Other notable gainers included Circle (CRCL), Coinbase (COIN), Riot Platforms (RIOT), and Hut 8 (HUT), which were all higher by 5%-7%. In contrast, Strategy (MSTR) was down nearly 1%.

While stablecoins like USDT and USDC have been dominating US headlines recently, thanks to the GENIUS Act and Circle’s (CRCL) blockbuster IPO, a quieter but equally significant strategic adoption of these assets is reshaping cross-border finance in Asia.

Behind the scenes, stablecoins are already playing an important role in the region’s financial plumbing.

Asian banks are increasingly viewing stablecoins not just as a speculative asset class, but as a defensive tool to guard against potential deposit flight and to protect against lost transaction revenue.

Amy Zhang, Head of Asia at Fireblocks, explained in a recent interview with CoinDesk that major banks across Korea, Japan, and Hong Kong are proactively exploring the creation of their own local-currency stablecoins to mitigate these emerging threats.

“If I’m not one of the banks banking Circle or banking Tether, am I going to lose deposits?” Zhang told CoinDesk, articulating the core concern driving this exploration.

“That’s a huge risk for banks.”

This strategic consideration highlights a deeper, more utility-focused integration of digital assets that is unfolding in the East, often away from the glare of Western market speculation.

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BTC recovers to $107K after weekly volatility; focus shifts to US economic data

  • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $107K Thursday, up 0.7%, after a sharp rebound from below $100K earlier in the week.
  • Markets pivoted from “flight-to-safety” on Mideast tensions to a “risk-on in full force” rally.
  • US GDP and unemployment data this week, plus quarterly options/futures expiry, could bring more volatility.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading firmly above the $107,000 mark as the Asian trading day gets underway on Thursday, with the broader digital asset market also showing strength.

This impressive performance comes at the end of a tumultuous week that saw markets swing dramatically from fear over Middle East conflict to a powerful risk-on rally, lifting crypto, tech stocks, and broader market sentiment in tandem.

Looking back at the week’s events, what began as a sell-off driven by escalating tensions – with Israel and Iran trading rocket fire and a US bombing campaign on Iran’s nuclear facilities – has transformed into a textbook risk-on rally.

The initial anxiety has given way to a surge in investor confidence, seemingly brushing off the geopolitical dangers that loomed just days ago.

“War drums fade, risk appetite roars,” wrote the trading firm QCP Capital in its June 25 market note, perfectly capturing the sudden and dramatic shift in mood.

Traders appeared to have priced in a resolution or simply stopped waiting for one. Instead of flight-to-safety, the move was risk-on in full force.

This pivot was visible across multiple asset classes.

US equities surged, oil prices retraced back to their pre-conflict levels, and shares of crypto exchange Coinbase jumped 12% on positive regulatory news.

For Bitcoin, the strong rebound above $107,000 signals not just relief from the recent tension but a renewed sense of upward momentum, even as savvy investors keep one eye on the macroeconomic calendar and the other on potential global flashpoints.

Navigating the swings: key data and volatility ahead

The recent price action has been nothing short of volatile. “It’s been a week of sharp swings in crypto,” commented Gracie Lin, CEO of OKX Singapore.

Bitcoin dipped below $100,000 earlier in the week when Middle East tensions rattled the markets, but rebounded quickly after news of a ceasefire – now trading just below its all-time high in a sharp reversal.

Lin points to a series of upcoming US economic data releases, including GDP figures and unemployment claims due later this week, as the next potential catalysts for Bitcoin’s price movement.

“Recent PMI numbers have held steady, but continued weakness in housing is raising questions about the broader economy,” she said.

If Thursday’s GDP or unemployment claims come in weaker than expected, bitcoin could benefit as investors look for hedges against traditional market weakness.

Adding another layer of potential turbulence, the quarterly expiration of Bitcoin futures and options is scheduled for June 27.

These events often bring increased price swings as traders close out or roll over their positions. “Another bout of volatility is expected,” Lin warned.

The bigger picture

While short-term volatility is expected, QCP Capital, in its analysis, is looking beyond the week’s sharp swings to spotlight the structural forces that are driving Bitcoin’s evolution into a recognized macro asset.

They point to significant institutional momentum, highlighted by events like ProCap’s $386 million BTC purchase and Coinbase’s recent regulatory win under the EU’s MiCA framework.

“If this accumulation trend persists,” QCP wrote, “bitcoin may not just rival gold as a macro hedge but potentially in total market capitalisation.”

This suggests a long-term bullish outlook underpinned by growing institutional adoption.

Still, QCP adds a crucial note of caution: “Geopolitics remains an ever-present undercurrent.”

While markets have largely shrugged off the recent Israeli strikes, new concerns are mounting over NATO–Russia tensions.

With Western nations increasing their defense budgets and President Trump set to attend the upcoming NATO summit, the next geopolitical shock may not originate from the Middle East.

For now, Bitcoin is riding the powerful wave of risk-on enthusiasm.

But just beneath the surface, the fundamental battle between short-term volatility and long-term conviction, between the fading sound of war drums and the steady rhythm of institutional buying sprees, continues to define this dynamic market.

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