Why Bitcoin could rebound up to 21% this week: experts explain

  • Bitcoin plunged 12% after Trump’s new China tariffs.

  • Crypto market saw $19B in liquidations amid panic selling.

  • Analysts predict possible strong rebound this week.

Bitcoin took a sharp plunge on Friday, falling more than 12% after President Trump announced a 100% tariff on Chinese imports, sparking fears of a new trade war.

The news sent shockwaves through the crypto market, wiping out over $19 billion in liquidations and causing panic selling among millions of traders.

Bitcoin briefly dropped below $105,000 before bouncing back slightly.

This plunge mirrored broader market fears as investors rushed to safer assets, amidst uncertainty over escalating US-China tensions and economic stability.

But, in the face of deep uncertainty, some experts are keeping calm and asked investors to show some faith in the fundamentals of the flagship cryptocurrency.

Why Bitcoin can make a big rebound this week

As per Cryptonews.com, economist Timothy Peterson thinks there’s a good chance Bitcoin could make a strong comeback this week, possibly jumping as much as 21%.

Looking at historical data going back to 2013, he notes that October has actually been Bitcoin’s second-best month, averaging a gain of 20.1%, just behind November.

Big drops in October are pretty rare; they’ve only happened four times in the past ten years, and three of those were followed by sharp recoveries.

Even though Bitcoin recently dipped below $102,000 after President Donald Trump announced new tariffs, Peterson stays optimistic.

He points out that about half of October’s usual gains might already be in the books, but the rest of the month still looks favorable for a solid rebound.

Based on Bitcoin’s typical cycles of liquidity and market sentiment, analysts are hopeful that the month could end with Bitcoin regaining momentum and possibly breaking through some key resistance levels in the weeks ahead.

Why the latest crash is not unusual

Volatility is just part of life in the crypto world. Digital assets don’t just react to economic headlines; they are also highly sensitive to social media chatter, regulatory news, and tech developments.

Experts say that while these ups-and-downs can be risky, they also open the door for traders and investors who know how to ride the waves.

Historically, October tends to be a bumpy month for crypto, but these dips are often followed by strong rebounds as the market finds its balance.

Bottom line: the crypto space is fast-moving and unpredictable, with big risks, but potentially big rewards too.

Several factors drive this heightened volatility. For one, the market is still relatively young, so price discovery is ongoing, new investors and speculative trades can swing prices dramatically.

Unlike traditional financial markets, crypto isn’t heavily regulated, so announcements of new policies or legal actions can spark sharp reactions.

The fact that crypto markets run 24/7 only adds fuel to the fire, with no breaks or circuit breakers to cool things down.

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Deutsche Bank sees parallels between Gold and Bitcoin as central banks boost gold reserves

  • Deutsche Bank says gold now makes up 24% of central bank reserves, the highest share since the 1990s.
  • Analyst Marion Laboure sees parallels between gold and Bitcoin as safe-haven, low-correlation assets.
  • Deutsche Bank predicts both Bitcoin and gold could join central bank reserves by 2030.

Global central banks are expanding their gold holdings at a pace not seen in decades, a trend that could have major implications for Bitcoin, according to a new report from Deutsche Bank.

The bank’s strategists noted that gold’s share of central bank reserves climbed to 24% in the second quarter, its highest level since the 1990s, marking a renewed confidence in the precious metal amid shifting global monetary dynamics.

Deutsche Bank’s findings highlight how gold’s resurgence and Bitcoin’s momentum in 2025 share several common characteristics, particularly as investors and policymakers seek alternative stores of value in an uncertain economic environment.

Central Banks’ Gold accumulation reaches multi-decade highs

The report shows that official demand for gold has doubled compared to the 2011–2021 average, signaling an intensified effort by central banks to diversify away from fiat currencies.

The strategists described this as a “significant shift in global finance,” echoing patterns seen throughout the 20th century when gold played a dominant role in global reserves.

Gold’s renewed accumulation coincides with its climb past inflation-adjusted all-time highs.

Although gold prices have been setting nominal records for several years, Deutsche Bank noted that only recently has the metal surpassed its real-adjusted peak from 1980.

“It’s only in recent weeks that gold has finally surpassed its real-adjusted all-time highs from around this point 45 years ago,” the bank’s strategists wrote.

They attributed the decades-long gap between those milestones to a combination of factors, including central bank gold sales, institutional sell-offs, and the rise of the fiat currency era.

The report also recalled that gold’s formal role as a reserve asset ended in 1979 when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) prohibited member countries from pegging exchange rates to gold — a move that cemented the end of the Bretton Woods system.

Bitcoin emerges as a modern parallel to Gold

Deutsche Bank’s macro strategist Marion Laboure explored potential parallels between gold and Bitcoin in a report titled Gold’s reign, Bitcoin’s rise.”

She observed that both assets have shown similar long-term performance patterns since their inception and share a reputation for high volatility and periods of underperformance.

Laboure emphasized that both gold and Bitcoin have a low correlation with traditional financial assets, making them attractive options for diversification.

These shared traits, she suggested, contribute to their appeal as potential “safe-haven” assets in times of market uncertainty.

While Laboure acknowledged that Bitcoin’s volatility and lack of backing remain major concerns, she noted that volatility has declined to historic lows.

Other challenges — including limited adoption, speculative behavior, cybersecurity risks, and liquidity constraints — continue to limit Bitcoin’s suitability as a mainstream reserve asset, but its trajectory is drawing increasing institutional attention.

Looking ahead: Bitcoin and Gold in central bank reserves by 2030?

Despite lingering skepticism among policymakers, Laboure predicted that both Bitcoin and gold could feature on central bank balance sheets by 2030.

The forecast reflects a gradual convergence between traditional and digital stores of value, particularly as institutional adoption of Bitcoin expands and governments explore ways to diversify their reserves.

Still, she cautioned that Bitcoin’s volatility and perceived risk profile remain key barriers for central banks, whose primary mandate is to preserve capital stability.

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Bitcoin drops as bearish data sparks a 10% price dip warning

  • Bitcoin has dropped below the key 120,000 dollar level amid a fresh sell-off.
  • The market is showing signs of low volume and a lack of upward momentum.
  • Key on-chain data shows a lack of bid support below the 120,000 dollar mark.

The triumphant return of the bulls has proven to be a fleeting and fragile affair.

Just as the market was beginning to celebrate a new era of price discovery, a wave of determined selling has sent Bitcoin tumbling back below the critical 120,000 dollar level, a brutal rejection that has the bears once again in control and raises the grim prospect of a much deeper correction.

The sell-off, which has seen the leading cryptocurrency fall nearly 3 percent on the day, is a story of fading momentum and evaporating support.

The recent all-time highs now feel like a distant memory as the market slices through the bid liquidity that had once held it aloft.

A market bracing for a deeper cut

The mood among seasoned traders has shifted from cautious optimism to a grim acceptance of a new, more bearish reality.

The market is now at a critical inflection point, with the very support that was so hard-won now under a sustained and powerful assault.

“Market does still quote bid liquidity around 121K-120K but what we need to see next is absorption of sellers to rule out a sweep lower,” the popular trader Skew wrote in his latest market commentary on X.

His short-term outlook was stark, adding that the market was “quite likely to be dominated by new shorts opening.”

This view is being reinforced by the data.

The trading resource Material Indicators highlighted that the market is now facing its “3rd consecutive Daily support test at the trend line,” a technical setup that suggests the bears are growing bolder with each attempt.

Data from CoinGlass paints an even more worrying picture, showing a distinct lack of bid support much below the 120,000 dollar mark, while a wall of sell orders has multiplied overhead.

The return of the $108,000 ghost

This short-term weakness is taking place against a backdrop of a more troubling long-term picture.

The veteran trader Roman warned his followers on X that the situation for Bitcoin remains tenuous, despite its recent record highs.

“A friendly reminder that we are once again printing more bearish divergences, low volume, & lack of momentum on HTF. Both 1W & 1M,” he wrote, pointing to a series of classic warning signs that the rally is running out of steam.

His conclusion is a chilling one for the bulls: the local range lows at 108,000 dollars, a level that has been a key battleground in the past, could soon come back into play.

The king of crypto may have briefly touched the heavens, but the bears are now doing their best to drag it back down to earth.

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Economist Timothy Peterson puts Bitcoin price forecast at $140,000 by end of this month

  • Timothy Peterson’s market simulation shows a 50% chance Bitcoin hits $140K in October.
  • Bitcoin recently hit $126K, needing a 14.7% rise to reach $140K.
  • Other analysts, however, note likely short-term pullbacks before potential sustained gains.

Economist Timothy Peterson has projected that Bitcoin could reach $140,000 before the end of October, citing data-driven simulations that indicate a 50% probability of the world’s largest cryptocurrency closing the month above that mark.

The analysis, grounded in more than a decade of Bitcoin’s historical price behaviour, suggests that half of the cryptocurrency’s potential October gains may already have occurred.

Data-driven prediction, not speculation

Peterson’s projection, shared on X on October 7, 2025, was based on “hundreds of simulations” using Bitcoin’s daily price data since 2015.

“There is a 50% chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140K,” he wrote, adding that there is a 43% chance it could finish below $136,000.

According to Peterson, the forecast is purely statistical, not influenced by sentiment or subjective opinion.

He emphasised that the results were “based purely on real data, not human emotion or biased opinion,” designed to reflect Bitcoin’s historical volatility and cyclical rhythm.

At the time of his analysis, Bitcoin was trading at around $122,000, having cooled slightly after setting a new all-time high of $126,200 earlier in the week.

Reaching $140,000 would require a roughly 14.7% gain from current levels, a move that aligns closely with Bitcoin’s average October performance over the past decade.

Historical data from CoinGlass shows that October has been Bitcoin’s second-best month since 2013, typically delivering gains of about 20.75%.

October’s historical significance for Bitcoin

Peterson explained that “Bitcoin’s performance in October isn’t ‘set up’ by September, it’s set up throughout the entire year.”

The economist linked Bitcoin’s seasonal strength to broader financial patterns, such as the end of third-quarter portfolio rebalancing, the start of fiscal year planning, and the approach of year-end reporting windows for investment funds.

These factors, he suggested, create favourable conditions for renewed capital inflows into Bitcoin and other risk assets.

While Peterson’s model offers a probability-based outlook, he cautioned that markets do not always conform perfectly to historical patterns.

Bitcoin’s past behaviour has occasionally diverged from expectations even when data indicated high confidence levels.

Nonetheless, he maintains that the model provides a “clear, probability-based picture” of where Bitcoin’s value is most likely to move in the short term.

Market sentiment leans bullish

Peterson’s forecast comes as market sentiment around Bitcoin remains generally optimistic.

Crypto analysts such as Jelle and Matthew Hyland have echoed bullish outlooks in recent days, highlighting Bitcoin’s successful retest of previous highs and suggesting that momentum could push prices further upward.

Earlier this week, Jelle posted, “It’s definitely over for bears. Send it higher,” while Hyland noted that “the pressure is building.”

However, not all voices in the market are calling for an immediate surge.

Analyst Ardi, known for his technical commentary, pointed out that Bitcoin often experiences a short-term pullback of around 5% after hitting new all-time highs.

Such moves, Ardi said, are typically followed by a period of choppiness and consolidation—a pattern that could play out again before any sustained rally.

Technical outlook supports Bitcoin’s upward potential

Technical indicators also appear to support a bullish bias in the near term.

According to market analysis, Bitcoin’s key support level stands at $120,899, with immediate resistance at $124,148 and a higher target of $126,021.

The cryptocurrency is currently trading above all major exponential moving averages (10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs), signalling strong upward momentum.

Projections are that Bitcoin could reach around $121,633 in the coming days, with longer-term forecasts setting ambitious price targets of $221,485 for 2025.

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Bitcoin dips below $122K after 16% rally, altcoins follow as analysts eye rebound

  • Bitcoin slips under $122K after a 16% surge fueled by ETFs and futures.
  • Profit-taking triggers a short-term dip, pulling major altcoins down 4–7%.
  • Analysts eye a potential rebound, with Bitcoin aiming past $130K and altcoins poised for recovery.

Bitcoin took a bit of a breather on Tuesday, slipping below the $122,000 mark after a blistering rally that had traders buzzing with excitement.

For the traders following the crypto rollercoaster, this pullback probably didn’t come as a huge surprise.

The market had been running pretty hot, and sometimes you just need to catch your breath before the next big move.

Bitcoin price: What’s behind the dip?

So, what’s causing Bitcoin and its crypto cousins like Solana, Cardano, and XRP to catch some cold feet right now? Well, a lot of it comes down to the fast-paced buying spree we saw over the past several days.

Bitcoin’s price zoomed up by around 16%, fueled by a flood of fresh investments pouring into ETFs and futures.

It’s like everyone piled onto the bandwagon at once, which can make things a little wobbly. When the crowd rushes in simultaneously, it often leads to what experts call an “overheated” market.

Basically, traders get a bit too optimistic, pushing prices higher than what fundamentals might support in the short term. Then, boom, some folks start locking in profits, and the selling begins.

We saw exactly that as bitcoin lost some steam, dragging most altcoins down with it, with drops ranging from 4% to 7% for the bigger names.

But here’s the thing, it’s not all doom and gloom. These kinds of corrections are pretty common in volatile markets like crypto.

Think of it this way: it cleans out the weak hands and sets the stage for healthier growth ahead. Plus, bitcoin still has strong support around the $118,000 to $120,000 zone, which many believe will keep the floor from falling out completely.

What’s next for crypto?

Many analysts are keeping a hopeful eye on the coming weeks. If Bitcoin can hang onto those key support levels, the path might just be clear for it to climb back past $130,000, riding the momentum of a strong finish to 2025.

Of course, the crypto world isn’t just about Bitcoin. Ethereum, for one, has been holding up relatively well, partly thanks to growing interest in staking and the ongoing development of decentralized finance platforms.

The altcoin scene may have taken a hit during this pullback, but it’s not out of the game.

Tokens like Solana and XRP are still on many investors’ radars, especially with potential new ETF approvals on the horizon and technical upgrades underway.

October has historically been a lively month for crypto, so don’t be surprised if the market springs back with a classic “Uptober” rally soon.

That said, this ride isn’t for the faint of heart. The market’s inherent volatility means prices can swing wildly, sometimes on little more than speculation or headlines.

Plus, global economic factors and regulatory news can turn the tide pretty quickly.

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