After worst October in six years, is Bitcoin poised for a November rally?

  • Bitcoin posted its first negative October performance in six years, now trading at $107k.
  • Fed’s hawkish comments on a potential December rate cut pressured the price.
  • November has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months (42% mean return).

Bitcoin is entering November on uncertain footing after suffering its first negative October performance in six years, a downturn that has left investors questioning whether the move was a healthy correction or the start of a deeper bear trend.

The leading cryptocurrency is currently trading around $107,000, down 1.4% in the last 24 hours.

The recent price weakness culminated in a significant deleveraging event on November 3, which saw over $1.16 billion in leveraged long positions liquidated, highlighting the intensity of the sell-off.

Macro headwinds drive a ‘red October’

The negative monthly performance occurred against a complex macroeconomic backdrop.

While the US Federal Reserve delivered an anticipated rate cut, subsequent comments from Chair Jerome Powell tempered market expectations for another cut in December, creating uncertainty that pressured risk assets like Bitcoin.

This caution was reflected in market data, with Bitcoin’s US-session returns cooling from a positive 0.94% on October 29 to a negative 4.56% over the past week, according to Velo data.

On a more positive note, geopolitical tensions have eased following the trade agreement reached between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

A mid-cycle correction or the end of the bull run?

Despite the recent downturn, some market experts believe the sell-off is a constructive development for the broader bull market.

“So could this red October actually set up the next major leg of Bitcoin’s bull cycle? I think that’s entirely possible,” Rachel Lin, CEO of SynFutures, told Decrypt.

Corrections like this tend to be the midpoint of a broader cycle rather than the end.

This optimistic view is supported by strong on-chain data, which indicates that long-term structural demand from holders remains robust despite the short-term price volatility.

History suggests a strong November rebound is possible

Historical performance data also provides a bullish case for the coming month. November has traditionally been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months, posting an average return of 42% over the past 12 years.

This trend, combined with a still-positive mean return of 6.05% for the third quarter, suggests the underlying uptrend remains intact.

“For November, I expect a period of stabilization and cautious optimism,” Lin said.

Bitcoin may trade sideways early in the month as markets absorb Fed commentary, but a decisive shift in tone could trigger a recovery.

The expert maintains that if Bitcoin continues to follow its typical post-halving cycle, the long-term outlook remains bright.

Citing strong fundamentals from ETF inflows to institutional adoption, Lin believes “a move toward $120,000 to $150,000 by the end of 2025 remains within reach.”


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Bitcoin holds $110k as cautious calm returns to crypto markets

  • Bitcoin is trading steadily around $110,300 as markets consolidate.
  • Traders have largely paused adding new risk after the recent Fed meeting.
  • Bitcoin dominance has risen to approximately 60% of the total crypto market.

With Bitcoin holding steady above the key $110,000 level as traders consolidate positions and reassess risk following last week’s hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve, a cautious calm settled over cryptocurrency markets at the start of the week.

While the market has stabilized after a volatile period, underlying data from the derivatives and credit markets suggests that a “wait-and-see” approach is now the dominant strategy, with investors looking for a fresh catalyst to dictate the next major move.

As the business week began in Hong Kong, Bitcoin was trading around $110,300, while Ether held near $3,880. Both assets remain down significantly over the past 30 days, by 10% and 14% respectively.

According to market maker FlowDesk, clients have largely “paused adding new risk” after the Fed meeting, with market activity dominated by short-term trading and portfolio rebalancing.

Despite the caution, FlowDesk noted that traders showed net buying in tokens with strong underlying fundamentals like BTC, HYPE, and SYRUP, even as Solana-linked assets lagged.

This deleveraging has left many traders “underexposed if the market rebounds,” suggesting a cleaner market position, the firm wrote.

Fear lingers in the derivatives market

While spot markets appear calm, the derivatives space still shows signs of fear. According to CoinGlass data, approximately $155 million in crypto derivatives were liquidated in the past 24 hours.

The split, with $97 million in long positions and $58 million in shorts being wiped out, points to a moderate flush of overleveraged bullish bets rather than broad panic selling.

FlowDesk observed “elevated put skew and lingering caution despite calmer volatility,” indicating that traders are still buying downside protection.

This cautious positioning, dominated by put buying and call selling, could present an opportunity if the market stabilizes.

“Cheap risk reversals could appeal if spot markets stabilize,” FlowDesk wrote, adding that volatility will likely “drift lower into year-end.”

Gold holds gains despite hawkish Fed

In the broader macroeconomic picture, gold is holding onto its recent gains despite headwinds from the Fed.

The precious metal closed Friday at about $4,003 per ounce, posting a 3.7% gain in October for its third consecutive monthly rise.

Despite hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve and a stronger dollar that have reduced the odds of a December rate cut, haven demand for gold remains strong.

Persistent geopolitical tensions and ongoing U.S. fiscal uncertainty have continued to support the metal’s appeal as a stable asset.


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Venezuela to integrate Bitcoin and stablecoins into its banking network by December

  • Local banks will offer custody, transfers, and crypto-to-fiat exchange services.
  • The bolivar’s sharp depreciation has driven a surge in stablecoin adoption.
  • Conexus currently processes nearly 40% of Venezuela’s electronic payments.

Venezuela is preparing to merge its struggling traditional banking system with digital currencies as payment giant Conexus plans to integrate Bitcoin and stablecoins into the national banking infrastructure.

The move, expected to launch in December 2025, marks a significant step in the country’s financial transformation, offering Venezuelans a regulated channel for cryptocurrency use.

With the bolivar’s persistent depreciation and rising adoption of stablecoins, this development could make Venezuela one of the first nations to formally blend fiat and crypto operations under a unified system.

The integration also reflects Venezuela’s long-standing struggle with international sanctions that have limited access to global banking.

By adopting blockchain-based systems, Conexus aims to provide citizens with a more resilient alternative that can facilitate remittances, domestic transfers, and business payments without heavy dependence on foreign intermediaries and unstable local exchange rates.

The initiative also seeks to improve financial inclusion nationwide, making digital transactions more accessible to individuals and businesses across the country.

Conexus aims to bridge banks and blockchain

Conexus, which currently processes nearly 40% of Venezuela’s electronic transactions, is leading this shift by allowing local banks to offer direct crypto services such as custody, transfers, and fiat conversion for Bitcoin and stablecoins.

The integration seeks to make digital currency access seamless for customers within their regular bank accounts, eliminating the need for external wallets or apps.

The new infrastructure will be built on blockchain technology to enhance transparency and transaction security.

According to the company, the system will enable both individuals and businesses to move between digital and traditional currencies safely, reducing reliance on unregulated exchanges.

Growing reliance on stablecoins amid inflation

Years of hyperinflation have eroded confidence in the bolivar, pushing Venezuelans to rely heavily on stablecoins like Tether (USDT) as a store of value and medium of exchange.

From small retailers to freelancers, many now prefer stablecoins to protect earnings from volatility.

Conexus President Rodolfo Gasparri has highlighted that this surge in stablecoin transactions demonstrates a clear public demand for better integration between crypto and banking systems.

The company’s upcoming model aims to formalise this reality by providing regulated access to crypto within Venezuela’s financial framework, allowing citizens to transact and save using digital assets with greater confidence.

Potential blueprint for emerging economies

The Conexus initiative could reshape not only Venezuela’s financial sector but also set an example for other economies facing currency crises.

By offering a direct bridge between fiat and digital assets, the model could help millions gain access to stable, low-cost, and transparent financial services.

Venezuela’s attempt to merge traditional finance with blockchain technology aligns with global trends toward digitalisation of money, particularly in regions where economic instability drives innovation.

If implemented successfully, this system could serve as a prototype for countries in Latin America and beyond, where inflation and limited banking access continue to affect economic stability.

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Jiuzi Holdings taps SOLV Foundation for its $1B Bitcoin investment plan

  • Jiuzi commits up to $1B and 10,000 BTC to SOLV’s DeFi yield platform.
  • The partnership bridges TradFi compliance with DeFi Bitcoin finance.
  • JZXN shares have surged over 17% following the strategic announcement.

Jiuzi Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: JZXN) has unveiled a sweeping $1 billion Bitcoin finance initiative through a strategic partnership with SOLV Foundation, a decentralised finance (DeFi) platform managing more than $2.8 billion in total value locked.

The move positions Jiuzi as one of the few Nasdaq-listed firms actively bridging traditional finance (TradFi) with DeFi to create compliant, yield-generating Bitcoin products for institutional investors.

10,000 Bitcoin commitment to SOLV’s flagship SolvBTC.BNB vault

The partnership will see Jiuzi allocate up to $1 billion from its digital asset plan into Bitcoin staking and yield-focused blockchain products.

Central to the strategy is a commitment of up to 10,000 Bitcoin to SOLV’s flagship SolvBTC.BNB vault on the BNB Chain — one of the largest Bitcoin yield platforms in the ecosystem.

The assets will be safeguarded by regulated third-party custodians and verified through Chainlink’s proof-of-reserves auditing system, ensuring transparency and institutional-grade security.

This marks a pivotal moment for Jiuzi Holdings, which is best known for its new energy vehicle infrastructure business in China.

The company has been steadily diversifying into blockchain finance, and its partnership with SOLV Foundation signals a deepened commitment to positioning Bitcoin as a productive, yield-bearing asset rather than a passive store of value.

Building a compliant bridge between TradFi and DeFi

Jiuzi and SOLV have emphasised that the partnership will operate under strict compliance with US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations and Nasdaq listing standards.

The collaboration will establish a joint Steering Committee composed of senior representatives from both organisations.

This committee will develop and oversee Bitcoin-centric DeFi initiatives, including expanding the adoption of SolvBTC across additional blockchain networks such as Solana and Base.

By combining Jiuzi’s regulatory standing and institutional access with SOLV’s on-chain expertise, the partnership aims to create a secure, transparent, and scalable financial framework for Bitcoin-based products.

Both companies view the collaboration as a model for how regulated capital can participate safely in decentralised yield markets.

Optimising treasury strategy through blockchain

Beyond its yield products, Jiuzi will anchor its corporate treasury around Bitcoin as its primary digital asset.

The firm’s Bitcoin holdings, including those of its subsidiaries, will be deposited on SOLV’s platform and managed under the supervision of approved custodians.

This approach is designed to maximise capital efficiency while maintaining visibility and accountability through blockchain-based auditing tools.

Li Tao, Chief Executive Officer of Jiuzi Holdings, described the partnership as “a transformative step forward” that strengthens the company’s Bitcoin vault strategy and aligns it with one of the most advanced ecosystems for Bitcoin liquidity and staking.

SOLV Protocol co-founder Ryan Chow added that the partnership merges Jiuzi’s regulatory stature with SOLV’s expertise in managing large-scale Bitcoin assets, paving the way for secure institutional capital flow into DeFi.

Notably, the news of the partnership sparked a sharp rally in Jiuzi’s stock, with shares surging more than 22% in trading following the announcement.

Investors responded positively to the company’s expansion into digital asset finance, recognising the potential for Jiuzi to play a pivotal role in institutional Bitcoin adoption.

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Brazil explores Bitcoin reserves as central bankers meet in Rio

  • Lawmakers previously proposed a $19 billion Bitcoin reserve.
  • Countries like Germany, Pakistan, and the Philippines are reviewing similar plans.
  • Brazil’s Drex CBDC could support future digital reserve systems.

Brazil’s central bank is preparing to host one of Latin America’s most closely watched financial events next month, as global reserve managers gather in Rio de Janeiro for the Central Banking Autumn Meetings.

Among the top items on the agenda is the growing debate over whether Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could play a role in national reserves.

The meetings, as reported by local media, will bring together central bankers and policymakers from across the region to discuss new approaches to financial resilience, digital innovation, and inflation management.

Brazil’s participation marks a critical step in positioning the country at the centre of the region’s emerging digital asset strategy.

Brazil’s growing focus on Bitcoin as a reserve asset

At the Rio meetings, Brazil’s representatives will join officials from Colombia, Jamaica, and the Bahamas to discuss how Bitcoin could be integrated into sovereign reserves.

The discussions will cover issues such as volatility, liquidity, and the potential of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation.

This focus comes as Brazil’s lawmakers continue to evaluate a proposal to create a $19 billion sovereign Bitcoin reserve.

The plan, which was previously discussed in parliamentary hearings, seeks to position Bitcoin as both a strategic financial asset and a tool to diversify the country’s holdings.

During earlier sessions, policymakers heard from technical experts in the digital asset sector on how Bitcoin could serve as a reserve asset alongside gold and foreign currencies.

By taking these discussions to an international policy forum, Brazil is signalling that the question of Bitcoin reserves is no longer limited to domestic politics but is becoming a subject of regional collaboration.

Global momentum behind national Bitcoin reserves

Brazil’s renewed interest in digital reserves comes amid a wider global shift toward rethinking reserve composition.

In the United States, officials have begun evaluating a proposal to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve that could act as a safeguard against economic shocks.

Although the plan is still in early stages, it has drawn significant international attention, prompting other economies to assess similar measures.

In Europe, Germany’s second-largest political party recently submitted a motion calling for the creation of a national Bitcoin reserve.

The proposal urged the government to consider Bitcoin as a protection against inflation and currency depreciation, reflecting growing institutional acceptance of digital assets within traditional finance.

Elsewhere, countries such as the Philippines and Pakistan have also initiated reviews of policy drafts that would allow Bitcoin to be recognised as a strategic asset.

While most central banks do not yet hold cryptocurrencies in their reserves, the shift in dialogue from speculation to formal policy review suggests the idea is becoming increasingly mainstream.

Infrastructure and policy implications for Brazil

Brazil’s exploration of Bitcoin reserves is likely to overlap with its ongoing work on the Drex, the country’s central bank digital currency.

The Drex project aims to create a tokenised version of the Brazilian real that could facilitate interoperability between fiat and blockchain-based systems.

Experts believe that the infrastructure developed for Drex could eventually provide the technical foundation needed for managing reserve assets in digital form.

However, central banks worldwide still face challenges in safely storing, auditing, and reporting digital reserves. Market volatility and accounting standards remain major considerations.

For Brazil, next month’s meetings could help shape a roadmap for addressing these operational hurdles through regional cooperation.

A strategic moment for Latin America’s financial policy

The upcoming Rio meetings could mark a turning point for how Latin American economies view digital reserves.

With inflation pressures and currency volatility continuing to shape monetary policy, Bitcoin’s inclusion in sovereign strategies may no longer be a distant possibility.

Although no immediate policy shift is expected, Brazil’s leadership in hosting these discussions places it at the forefront of digital finance policymaking in the region.

The outcomes could determine how quickly central banks move from debate to implementation, setting the stage for future integration of Bitcoin into the global reserve system.

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