Bitcoin price outlook: buy signals appear amid deep BTC correction

  • Bitcoin (BTC) is showing early buy signals amid an ongoing correction near $69,500.
  • The key support levels at $65,800 and $60,100 attract dip buyers.
  • A break above $74,500 could trigger renewed bullish momentum.

Bitcoin has been in a volatile state over the past month, with prices hovering near $69,500.

The cryptocurrency has faced a 23.2% drop over the last month, signalling a deeper correction in progress.

Despite the decline, recent market activity suggests early buy signals are starting to emerge.

Bitcoin price trapped in a sideways phase

BTC is currently trading in a sideways range between $62,800 and $78,900 over the past seven days.

This range indicates indecision among traders, with neither bulls nor bears fully controlling the market.

Analyst Doctor Profit warn that this sideways phase could be a trap, potentially leading to a deeper drop toward $44,000–$50,000.

However, this view is balanced by macroeconomic developments that may provide temporary support for Bitcoin.

The recent rebound above $70,000 came after a short squeeze pushed BTC higher, liquidating over $245 million in positions.

This shows that buying pressure still exists, particularly from opportunistic traders looking to enter at perceived lows.

Liquidity remains relatively strong, with 24-hour trading volume exceeding $46 billion, suggesting continued investor participation.

Bitcoin technical outlook: the buy signals

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin remains capped below key resistance at $69,000–$69,500.

Breaking above this level is essential for bulls to regain control of short-term momentum.

On the flip side, the support levels at $65,800 and $60,100 provide clear thresholds where buyers may step in.

Recent dip buying indicates that some traders are accumulating Bitcoin during the correction.

Notably, the reset of leveraged positions in derivatives markets points to reduced short-term selling pressure.

Meanwhile, macro factors such as strong US economic data and Federal Reserve liquidity injections provide additional tailwinds.

Political events like Japan’s election have also lifted global risk appetite, indirectly supporting BTC and other risk assets.

Historical trends show that Bitcoin often experiences deep corrections after major rallies, making the current slump consistent with past market cycles.

The all-time high of $126,080, reached in October 2025, remains distant, but the current consolidation may offer opportunities for medium-term accumulation.

Analysts emphasise that patience is critical, as further volatility is expected before a sustained uptrend emerges.

Bulls should watch these key technical zones carefully, knowing that a breakout above $74,500 could signal renewed upward momentum.

Conversely, a fall below $65,800 could intensify selling and extend the correction phase.

Overall, the market is balancing between lingering bearish pressure and emerging buying interest, creating a cautious but potentially rewarding environment.

Investors with a longer-term perspective may view current prices as an entry point amid market-wide corrections.

Short-term traders should remain alert to both upside breakouts and downside risks in the coming weeks.

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Bitcoin erases 15 months of gains, falls below $70K amid $840M liquidations

  • Bitcoin temporarily fell below $70,000, erasing gains built over the past 15 months.
  • Over $840 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated during the sell-off.
  • Traders now watch $65,000 support and $72,000 resistance for direction.

Bitcoin has suffered one of its sharpest corrections in recent years, wiping out roughly 15 months of bull market gains in a swift and brutal sell-off.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency temporarily plunged below the psychologically important $70,000 level, shocking traders who had grown accustomed to sustained upside momentum.

The move did not happen in isolation, as it was accompanied by heavy liquidations, weakening sentiment, and visible stress across centralised exchanges.

What initially appeared to be a routine pullback quickly evolved into a deeper reset for the broader crypto market.

Bitcoin price crash wipes out 15 months’ gains

Bitcoin’s drop to the $69,000–$70,000 range marked its lowest level in around 15 months, effectively erasing much of the progress made during the previous bull cycle.

This decline pushed BTC back toward price zones last seen before institutional inflows and ETF-driven optimism reshaped market expectations.

As the price broke below the key support level at $70,000, selling pressure intensified, and confidence among short-term traders deteriorated rapidly.

The correction also dragged down major altcoins, reinforcing the idea that this was a market-wide deleveraging event rather than a Bitcoin-only move.

From a market structure perspective, the fall represented a decisive break from the higher-highs and higher-lows pattern that had defined Bitcoin’s uptrend.

Liquidations accelerate the sell-off

One of the most significant drivers behind the crash was a massive wave of forced liquidations across crypto derivatives markets.

CoinGlass data shows that more than $840 million worth of leveraged positions were wiped out in a short period, with long positions accounting for the majority of losses.

As Bitcoin slipped below critical price thresholds, automated liquidation engines kicked in, amplifying downside momentum.

This cascade effect turned a controlled decline into a sharp flush, catching overleveraged traders off guard.

The liquidation-heavy nature of the drop suggests the move was driven more by market positioning than by a single fundamental catalyst.

After months of elevated leverage and crowded long trades, the market finally reached a breaking point.

Massive Bitcoin outflows from exchanges

At the same time, on-chain data from CryptoQuant shows notable Bitcoin outflows from major exchanges, particularly Binance.

Net Bitcoin inflows
Bitcoin exchange netflow | Source: CryptoQuant

A community-driven withdrawal campaign contributed to a sharp net outflow of BTC, briefly reducing exchange reserves.

In recent press release, Binance publicly addressed speculation about these movements, denying claims of financial instability and emphasising that withdrawals were proceeding normally.

The exchange also encouraged users to practice self-custody if they felt uncertain, which further highlighted shifting trust dynamics within the market.

Despite the price crash, some analysts view sustained exchange outflows as a sign that long-term holders are not panic-selling.

This divergence between short-term trader behaviour and longer-term investor positioning adds complexity to the current market narrative.

Bitcoin price forecast – what to look at in the coming days

Looking ahead, traders should closely watch several key levels as Bitcoin attempts to stabilise after the sell-off.

The $70,000 zone now acts as immediate support, and a break below this level could push the price towards the $65,000 area, which stands out as a major support zone, as it aligns with previous consolidation ranges.

BTC price analysis
BTC price chart | Source: TradingView

A deeper breakdown could expose Bitcoin to a move toward the $60,000 psychological level, where buyers may attempt a stronger defence.

On the upside, a sustained recovery above $72,000 would be an early sign that selling pressure is easing.

For now, volatility remains elevated, and traders are likely to stay cautious until Bitcoin establishes a clearer direction.

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Bitcoin crashes to $84K, triggering $800M in crypto liquidations

  • Bitcoin fell below $85,000 and touched a low of $84,250.
  • CoinGlass data shows total liquidations hit $804 million over the past 24 hours.
  • The crash happened as gold fell from its peak above $5,500 on Thursday.

Cryptocurrency markets saw a sharp risk-off move on Thursday, with Bitcoin sliding to a low of $84,250.

The sell-off swept through major tokens, sending shockwaves across the crypto derivatives market.

Long positions bore the brunt of the move, as the drop pushed total liquidations over the past 24 hours above $800 million.

The downturn coincided with an abrupt reversal in gold prices, with the metal retreating from recent highs above $5,500.

Analysts cited mounting macroeconomic and geopolitical tensions as key drivers of the sudden shift in sentiment.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin price chart by CoinMarketCap

Bitcoin tanks as gold sheds gains

Bitcoin has struggled to reclaim the $90,000 support level, with a brief move toward that mark fading as gold surged.

During Asian and early European trading on January 29, the cryptocurrency began a steady decline, slipping below $88,000.

Selling accelerated as the US session opened, with Bitcoin sliding on above-average trading volumes.

The sell-off pushed the benchmark asset to an intraday low near $84,000, its weakest level since December 2025.

The same area had seen a bearish retest in November, a move that may have prompted at least one large holder to sell roughly 200 BTC.

Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin was down about 5%.

The broader market sell-off dragged Ethereum to around $2,800, XRP to $1.79, and Solana below $120.

Crypto investor Ted wrote on X that the latest drop has left Bitcoin trading near a critical technical level.

The Bitcoin sell-off unfolded amid a broader shift to risk aversion across global markets.

Equities moved lower, led by a sharp decline in Microsoft shares, while investors also reacted to a sudden reversal in precious metals.

Gold, which had climbed to a record high above $5,500 an ounce earlier on Thursday, reversed course and fell toward $5,300. Silver also retreated sharply from recent highs.

Analysts said the move reflects a mix of macroeconomic pressures and heightened geopolitical risks, including rising tensions between the United States and Iran.

The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates on Wednesday, alongside guidance suggesting rate cuts may be delayed until late 2026, further weighed on risk assets, prompting investors to favour short-term cash positions over digital assets or traditional safe havens.

Over $800 million was wiped out amid a surge in derivatives liquidations

Bitcoin’s sharp decline was mirrored in the derivatives market, where leveraged positions were unwound aggressively.

Data from crypto analytics platform Coinglass show that more than $800 million in positions across spot and futures markets were liquidated over the past 24 hours, with the bulk of losses borne by long traders.

Bitcoin alone accounted for $332 million in liquidations during the period, of which more than $318 million were long positions, according to the data.

While the scale of the sell-off and liquidations was smaller than the market dislocation seen on October 10, 2025, analysts say the episode underscores ongoing fragility in market positioning.

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Trump family-backed American Bitcoin achieves 116% BTC yield

  • American Bitcoin’s BTC reserve has grown to 5,843 BTC since its Nasdaq debut.
  • The company has achieved 116% BTC yield from Sept 2025 to Jan 2026.
  • Trump family backs ABTC’s mining and crypto expansion strategy.

American Bitcoin (ABTC), the publicly traded Bitcoin treasury and mining company backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., has reached a major milestone in its cryptocurrency holdings.

The company recently announced that its total Bitcoin reserve has increased to approximately 5,843 BTC.

This accumulation represents a significant achievement since its Nasdaq debut on September 3, 2025.

ABTC also reported a Bitcoin yield of around 116% over the period from its listing through January 25, 2026.

Strategic accumulation and mining

American Bitcoin’s strategy combines direct market purchases with large-scale mining operations.

The company operates Bitcoin mining facilities in North America, including a notable data centre in Vega, Texas.

This dual approach allows ABTC to grow its reserves steadily while continuing mining operations.

Early January saw the company adding 329 BTC, reflecting a consistent accumulation trend.

The Trump-backed firm positions itself as a major participant in industrial Bitcoin mining, aiming to strengthen US leadership in the sector.

Its public messaging emphasises the strategic importance of domestic Bitcoin production and energy use.

By focusing on mining and treasury accumulation, ABTC mirrors the strategy of other top corporate holders like MicroStrategy.

These companies treat Bitcoin as a long-term strategic asset rather than a short-term speculative holding.

Trump family’s role in American Bitcoin

American Bitcoin is part of a broader Trump family push into the cryptocurrency space.

Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. have positioned the venture as a key component of the family’s crypto ecosystem.

This includes investments in crypto apps, NFTs, and other digital assets.

According to reports, the Trump family’s crypto ventures collectively generated over $1 billion in pretax earnings within roughly a year.

The family also ties its crypto activities to a larger narrative of US innovation and market leadership.

While the firm’s stock has experienced volatility since its Nasdaq debut, insiders remain bullish, viewing price swings as opportunities for growth.

According to recent reports, American Bitcoin now ranks among the top 20 public companies in terms of Bitcoin reserves worldwide.

Its holdings are valued at more than $500 million at current Bitcoin prices, underscoring the scale of its treasury.

The company’s 116% BTC yield reflects strong performance relative to its initial listing price.

American Bitcoin continues to expand its footprint in the crypto industry while maintaining public transparency regarding its holdings. Its growth demonstrates how family-backed ventures can combine mining operations with strategic treasury management.

The company’s success may influence other institutional and corporate players considering Bitcoin accumulation.

As American Bitcoin continues its trajectory, the Trump family’s influence in the cryptocurrency sector is likely to grow further.

With strong reserves, consistent yield, and ambitious plans, American Bitcoin exemplifies the intersection of corporate strategy, crypto investment, and high-profile leadership.

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Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results

  • The company lifted its 2025 operating income guidance to $40 million.
  • A non-cash Bitcoin impairment of $680 million to $700 million is expected for 2025.
  • Metaplanet projected a $632 million ordinary loss and $491 million net loss for 2025.

Metaplanet, a Tokyo-listed Bitcoin treasury company, has raised its revenue and operating income forecasts for 2025 and issued much higher guidance for 2026, even as it flagged a large non-cash Bitcoin write-down that is set to dominate its annual results.

In a notice released on Monday, the company said its Bitcoin income generation business is expected to deliver stronger-than-expected performance, particularly in the final quarter of the year.

However, Metaplanet also projected a steep ordinary loss and net loss for 2025, driven largely by accounting adjustments tied to Bitcoin’s valuation at year-end.

The company is scheduled to file its full-year results on Feb. 16.

Revenue upgrade driven by Bitcoin income generation

Metaplanet said it now expects 2025 revenue of 8.905 billion Japanese yen, or around $58 million, based on its updated guidance.

The company also raised its operating income forecast to $40 million, signalling improved performance at the operating level despite broader market volatility affecting its holdings.

Management said Q4 2025 revenue from its Bitcoin income generation business “is expected to significantly exceed initial projections,” which led it to lift full-year revenue guidance for that segment to about $55 million.

That compares with around $40 million previously announced, showing a sharp upgrade in the contribution from its Bitcoin-linked revenue stream.

Large impairment set to drive headline loss

Even with the stronger operating forecasts, Metaplanet expects to report a deep annual loss for 2025.

The company projected an ordinary loss of $632 million and a net loss of $491 million. These figures are largely attributed to a Bitcoin impairment loss estimated at roughly $680 million to $700 million, which is expected to be recognised in its year-end reporting.

Metaplanet explained that the impairment is a “non-cash accounting adjustment reflecting period-end price fluctuations” and said it has no direct impact on its cash flows or day-to-day operations.

The notice linked the impairment to quarter-end mark-to-market accounting treatment and referenced Bitcoin holdings valued at year-end prices, with Bitcoin shown at $87,876 in the disclosure.

BTC holdings and treasury metrics expand sharply

Metaplanet also reported rapid growth in its Bitcoin treasury business during 2025, underlining how the company has built up its exposure to Bitcoin while developing income generation activities around its holdings.

BTC holdings rose from 1,762 BTC at the end of 2024 to 35,102 BTC at the end of 2025, showing a significant increase in the company’s balance sheet allocation.

It also reported BTC yield per diluted share of 568% for the year. The company uses this metric to measure how much Bitcoin backing each diluted share has increased, offering a per-share view of its Bitcoin accumulation.

While the impairment is expected to weigh heavily on reported net results, Metaplanet’s updated figures suggest it is still expanding its treasury position and Bitcoin-linked operations at a pace.

2026 guidance rises but earnings remain uncertain

For 2026, Metaplanet forecast revenue of around $103 million and operating income of $73 million, representing a sharp step up from its 2025 targets.

The company said almost all of its 2026 revenue is expected to come from the Bitcoin income generation business, reinforcing the segment’s central role in its business model.

Metaplanet also projected selling, general and administrative expenses of about $29 million for 2026 as it ramps up operations.

However, it said it will not provide guidance for ordinary income or net income for 2026 due to the difficulty of forecasting Bitcoin prices, signalling that future reported earnings could remain volatile even if operating performance strengthens.

The company added that it publishes daily data on its BTC holdings, unrealised gains and losses, and related metrics, offering investors regular visibility into how price swings affect its treasury position.

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