Bitcoin tests $116K resistance ahead of Fed decision; new token launches stir market

  • Bitcoin stalls near $116K as Fed’s policy decision draws focus.
  • Major altcoins trade sideways amid low volumes and uncertainty.
  • Velora (VLR) and Project Merlin (MRLN) set to redefine DeFi ecosystems.

Bitcoin is once again testing the nerves of crypto market participants as its price hovers near $1,16,000, battling a stubborn resistance just as the global spotlight turns to the US Federal Reserve’s mid-September policy meeting.

In the early hours of September 16, Bitcoin traded at $1,15,200, trimming modest overnight gains amid lower trading volumes and a cautious risk mood.

The benchmark cryptocurrency’s market cap stands at a robust $2.29 trillion, with 24-hour volumes just over $52 billion, evidence that, while enthusiasm has tempered, the appetite for digital gold remains very much alive.

The shadow of the Fed’s upcoming decision has left broader markets listless, and crypto is no exception. Investors remain on high alert for clues around possible rate adjustments after a string of resilient US inflation data.

Any shift in policy or surprise rhetoric could produce short, sharp moves across all risk assets, with Bitcoin particularly sensitive given its recent struggle to clear the $1,16,000 threshold.

Bullish momentum still elusive

Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset by market cap, followed suit, changing hands at $4,522.

Ether has struggled to regain bullish momentum since its recent spike to $4,609 and is now trading in a narrow band with tepid demand from larger holders.

Despite a record high in stablecoin activity on its chain last week, ETH appears tethered to macro narratives, quietly mirroring Bitcoin’s cautious trajectory.

XRP, meanwhile, steadied at $2.99 after pulling back from recent local highs.

Recent treasury movements from notable digital asset management firms have steadied sentiment but haven’t sparked breakout momentum, as regulatory debates around the token continue to play out in key jurisdictions.

Solana is also in the spotlight, with its price down slightly to $233.67 following last week’s rally.

The token, known for its fast and low-cost transaction capabilities, has seen volatility creep back in, as short-term traders wade in to capture swings on the back of the broader market’s uncertainty.

Technical analysts note the next major support levels sit close to $220, underscoring the need for positive catalysts to maintain current valuations.

Dogecoin, always the wildcard, is trading at $0.2677 after a 24-hour spell that saw the meme coin flirt with both $0.26 support and $0.28 resistance.

While DOGE’s narrative is often ruled by social media and celebrity hype, the current environment has left even seasoned “shibes” trading cautiously, awaiting clearer signals from both the Fed and broader risk markets.

With key resistance levels drawing closer across major coins, market eyes will remain glued to the outcome of the Fed meeting.

Until then, expect crypto prices to oscillate around their current bands, with Bitcoin eyeing that crucial $1,16,000 break as the catalyst for renewed bullish conviction or yet another test of market resolve.

New launches fuel crypto buzz

Several major crypto launches and ecosystem upgrades are about to shake up the market, promising to unleash a new spark of trading action.

On Tuesday, all eyes are on Velora (VLR) and Project Merlin (MRLN) as they make their much-anticipated debuts.

Velora’s launch signals a push into the next generation of DeFi, with its $VLR token powering intent-based cross-chain trading and unlocking gasless staking and community rewards.

Meanwhile, Project Merlin steps onto the scene offering an all-in-one Web3 ecosystem that connects blockchain entrepreneurs, communities, and investors, complete with a robust launchpad, crowdfunding, and freelance ecosystem, all tied together by the $MRLN token and launching with airdrops across major exchanges.

These releases are more than just hype; they reflect how the industry is charging ahead with technical innovation and shifting toward tailored, ecosystem-first infrastructure.

But it’s not just token launches grabbing investor attention. On the regulatory front, Hong Kong just locked in fresh banking capital guidelines for digital assets, set to take effect in January 2026.

The big shift? Banks are facing a 1:1 capital provision for any exposure to “permissionless” blockchains.

The move is expected to bolster confidence for institutional players looking for a safer entry into crypto markets.

Added to that, Ripple is making headlines via a new partnership in Japan that brings its RLUSD stablecoin further into the nation’s payments rails, underscoring digital assets’ climb toward mainstream financial integration.

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Bitcoin price braces for liftoff: Can a Fed’s rate cut spark a $200K rally?

  • Fed rate cut hopes fuel optimism for a powerful Q4 Bitcoin price rally.
  • Whales, ETFs, and PayPal integration boost institutional demand.
  • Analysts see BTC hitting $140K–$200K this year, with $250K possible if flows persist.

Bitcoin is once again at a crossroads. After touching an all-time high of $124,128 in August, the price of the world’s largest cryptocurrency has pulled back to trade just below $115,000.

But the pullback has done little to dampen enthusiasm.

With a Federal Reserve interest rate cut now widely expected, optimism is building that Bitcoin could be gearing up for its next explosive leg higher, possibly toward $200,000 and beyond.

Over the recent days, the price has been stuck in a narrow band between $114,000 and $116,000 for the past week.

Market analysis hints at $115,000 being a critical resistance level that will shape the next major move.

According to analysts at CoinLore, if Bitcoin clears $116,000 and holds above $117,500, it could unlock a rally toward the $122,000–$130,000 range in the short term and $135,000 or even $140,000 in the long term.

Fed decision looms large

Notably, the immediate catalyst for a BTC price breakout could come as soon as September 17, when the Fed is expected to cut interest rates.

Lower borrowing costs generally boost liquidity and favour risk assets such as crypto.

Sean Dawson, head of research at Derive, in a note to investors, told investors that the market is “only halfway through what could be a very powerful Q4 rally.”

He predicts Bitcoin’s price could reach $140,000 by year-end, with $200,000 as a conservative cycle peak if institutional flows continue.

Options data supports this bullish trend with Deribit showing heavy open interest clustered between $140,000 and $200,000 for December contracts, with calls outnumbering puts.

At the same time, US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen $2.3 billion in inflows over the past five days, underscoring robust institutional demand.

Whales and institutions step in

On-chain data indicates that whales have resumed accumulation, adding to the buying pressure. Stablecoin liquidity and steady ETF inflows are providing additional fuel.

Volatility, however, remains likely because the market depth near resistance is thin, although whales and large holders could anchor Bitcoin’s next surge.

Institutional positioning is also strengthening, with PayPal recently announcing plans to integrate Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) into its revamped peer-to-peer (P2P) payment system, allowing users to send crypto across PayPal, Venmo, and other wallets.

PayPal’s move signals a step toward mainstream adoption and adds to the narrative that Bitcoin is becoming more deeply embedded in global payments.

Galaxy Digital’s Mike Novogratz signals an altcoin season

While Bitcoin consolidates, altcoins are drawing attention.

Galaxy Digital’s Mike Novogratz argues that the “real fireworks” are in alternative assets and corporate treasuries tied to coins like Solana (SOL).

Novogratz pointed to Forward Industries’ $1.6 billion raise as evidence of fresh institutional capital flowing into crypto outside of Bitcoin.

Even so, Novogratz insists Bitcoin remains “digital gold” with a long-term trajectory that points higher.

Wall Street’s interest is also growing, with Nasdaq recently filing to list tokenised versions of stocks and ETFs on-chain, while SEC Chair Paul Atkins has pledged to “move all markets on-chain.”

Together with faster, more secure blockchains, the regulatory pivot is laying the groundwork for broader adoption across traditional finance.

So, can Bitcoin’s price really hit $200,000?

Despite an 8% pullback from August’s high, sentiment remains firmly bullish.

Industry voices from Arthur Hayes to analysts at Bitwise, Bernstein, and Standard Chartered have all predicted Bitcoin will reach at least $200,000 this cycle.

Hayes goes further, projecting $250,000, while Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong sees the possibility of $1 million Bitcoin by 2030.

Sceptics, however, warn that heavy leverage in derivatives and potential whale sell-offs could spark turbulence.

But falling rates, strong ETF inflows, and corporate adoption are fueling expectations that this is not the cycle top.

Instead, traders and institutions alike are preparing for Bitcoin’s next move, with $200,000 now firmly in view.

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