Bitcoin ist um fast 30 % gefallen, seit es im Oktober zum großen Crash kam. Traditionelle sichere Häfen wie Gold und Silber haben hingegen durchgehend zugelegt.
River price defies market downturn, explodes 40% to new ATH
- River price rose sharply as bulls defied the broader market downturn.
- The token exploded more than 40% in 24 hours to hit a new all-time high above $87.
- RIVER recently received backing from Justin Sun and Arthur Hayes.
Several altcoins are deep in the red amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn that has pushed Bitcoin well under $90,000.
But as BTC struggles, River’s native token RIVER has defied the odds, with price surging 40% in the past 24 hours to reach a new all-time high above $87.
The move sees the token rank as one of the top gainers across the altcoin sector.
River price explodes to new all-time high
River is a crypto protocol building a chain abstraction stablecoin platform.
The protocol eyes traction across the ecosystem with its liquidity and yield offering.
RIVER, the native governance and utility token, has surged significantly in recent days and skyrocketed 40% over the past 24 hours to smash through resistance to a new all-time high.
The token has pumped more than 200% in the past week and by more than 2,070% in the past month.
It peaked at $87.79 across major exchanges on January 26, 2025, more than 70x off the all-time lows reached in September 2025.
River’s explosive rally comes as the token’s market capitalisation ballooned past $1.6 billion, which aligns with the robust demand highlighted by a 39% jump in daily trading volume.
CoinMarketCap data shows the altcoin’s trading volume spiked to over $108 million in the past 24 hours.
Meanwhile, total value locked (TVL) climbed to over $162 million, as DeFi users flocked to the protocol’s cross-chain offerings.
In terms of gains, River’s performance stands in stark contrast to the prevailing market sentiment.
Bitcoin, the bellwether asset, dipped below $88,000 amid macroeconomic jitters.
Ethereum and other altcoins followed suit as risk-off sentiment grips traders.
The same headwinds could see RIVER ‘s price retreat sharply.
What catalysed the RIVER price rally?
Likely catalysts for RIVER’s meteoric rise include the latest listings and major backing in a fresh round.
Of the more than $14 million in capital raised, a landmark $12 million is from a strategic funding round backed by heavyweight investors that attracted TRON DAO, Justin Sun, Maelstrom Fund founder Arthur Hayes, and The Spartan Group.
Notably, the round also drew commitments from Nasdaq-listed companies and blue-chip institutions across the United States and Europe, lending unprecedented credibility to River’s vision.
River plans to plough this capital infusion into its multi-chain expansion plans, with DeFi applications available across Sui, Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Polygon.
Amplifying the momentum for the token is fresh exchange listings.
Both HTX and OKX have injected new liquidity and retail access to the token. Bulls capitalised on this, stacking positions as open interest in RIVER perpetuals.
Resistance looms at $90, but with funding secured and listings live, RIVER could test $100 in the coming days. However, a sharp pullback is possible given profit-taking deals.
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Gold erreicht Rekordhoch: Bitcoin (BTC) rutscht ab
Gold erreichte angesichts der Handelsspannungen einen Rekordwert von über 5.000 US-Dollar, während Bitcoin auf 86.000 US-Dollar fiel. Das ist eine beträchtliche Divergenz.
XRM could dip below the January low of $413: Check forecast
Key takeaways
- Monero is down 4.5% in the last 24 hours and risks dropping below the January low.
- The coin has lost 42% of its value since hitting an all-time high price of $798 twelve days ago.
XMR continues to decline as the market remains bearish
XMR, the native coin of the Monero blockchain, is one of the worst performers among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap in the last 24 hours. It has lost 4.5% since Sunday and now trades below $460.
The bearish performance comes as the broader cryptocurrency market continues to underperform. XMR defied market conditions in December and early January, rallying to a new all-time high of $798 on January 14.
Its rally was fueled by growing demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies, with DASH, ZEC, and ZCash also rallying during that period.
However, the rally has died, and XMR has lost 42% of its value since then. It is currently trading at $459 and risks dropping below the January low of $413 if the bearish trend continues.
Monero could dip below the 100-day EMA support
The XMR/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as it has lost 42% in the last two weeks, suggesting reduced demand for the privacy coin.
Currently, XMR is hovering above $450, stabilizing above the 100-day EMA at $437, after a 10% drop on Sunday.
If the bearish trend continues, XMR could drop below the January low of $413, wth the 200-day EMA at $383 still the primary trend floor.
The MACD line stays below the signal with both falling toward the zero line, flagging firm bearish momentum. Furthermore, the RSI at 32 indicates a bearish shift as sellers retain the near-term edge without oversold conditions.
On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, XMR could rally above the 50-day EMA at $485, clearing the path for further pump above $500.
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Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results
- The company lifted its 2025 operating income guidance to $40 million.
- A non-cash Bitcoin impairment of $680 million to $700 million is expected for 2025.
- Metaplanet projected a $632 million ordinary loss and $491 million net loss for 2025.
Metaplanet, a Tokyo-listed Bitcoin treasury company, has raised its revenue and operating income forecasts for 2025 and issued much higher guidance for 2026, even as it flagged a large non-cash Bitcoin write-down that is set to dominate its annual results.
In a notice released on Monday, the company said its Bitcoin income generation business is expected to deliver stronger-than-expected performance, particularly in the final quarter of the year.
However, Metaplanet also projected a steep ordinary loss and net loss for 2025, driven largely by accounting adjustments tied to Bitcoin’s valuation at year-end.
The company is scheduled to file its full-year results on Feb. 16.
Revenue upgrade driven by Bitcoin income generation
Metaplanet said it now expects 2025 revenue of 8.905 billion Japanese yen, or around $58 million, based on its updated guidance.
The company also raised its operating income forecast to $40 million, signalling improved performance at the operating level despite broader market volatility affecting its holdings.
Management said Q4 2025 revenue from its Bitcoin income generation business “is expected to significantly exceed initial projections,” which led it to lift full-year revenue guidance for that segment to about $55 million.
That compares with around $40 million previously announced, showing a sharp upgrade in the contribution from its Bitcoin-linked revenue stream.
Large impairment set to drive headline loss
Even with the stronger operating forecasts, Metaplanet expects to report a deep annual loss for 2025.
The company projected an ordinary loss of $632 million and a net loss of $491 million. These figures are largely attributed to a Bitcoin impairment loss estimated at roughly $680 million to $700 million, which is expected to be recognised in its year-end reporting.
Metaplanet explained that the impairment is a “non-cash accounting adjustment reflecting period-end price fluctuations” and said it has no direct impact on its cash flows or day-to-day operations.
The notice linked the impairment to quarter-end mark-to-market accounting treatment and referenced Bitcoin holdings valued at year-end prices, with Bitcoin shown at $87,876 in the disclosure.
BTC holdings and treasury metrics expand sharply
Metaplanet also reported rapid growth in its Bitcoin treasury business during 2025, underlining how the company has built up its exposure to Bitcoin while developing income generation activities around its holdings.
BTC holdings rose from 1,762 BTC at the end of 2024 to 35,102 BTC at the end of 2025, showing a significant increase in the company’s balance sheet allocation.
It also reported BTC yield per diluted share of 568% for the year. The company uses this metric to measure how much Bitcoin backing each diluted share has increased, offering a per-share view of its Bitcoin accumulation.
While the impairment is expected to weigh heavily on reported net results, Metaplanet’s updated figures suggest it is still expanding its treasury position and Bitcoin-linked operations at a pace.
2026 guidance rises but earnings remain uncertain
For 2026, Metaplanet forecast revenue of around $103 million and operating income of $73 million, representing a sharp step up from its 2025 targets.
The company said almost all of its 2026 revenue is expected to come from the Bitcoin income generation business, reinforcing the segment’s central role in its business model.
Metaplanet also projected selling, general and administrative expenses of about $29 million for 2026 as it ramps up operations.
However, it said it will not provide guidance for ordinary income or net income for 2026 due to the difficulty of forecasting Bitcoin prices, signalling that future reported earnings could remain volatile even if operating performance strengthens.
The company added that it publishes daily data on its BTC holdings, unrealised gains and losses, and related metrics, offering investors regular visibility into how price swings affect its treasury position.
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