Gold erreichte angesichts der Handelsspannungen einen Rekordwert von über 5.000 US-Dollar, während Bitcoin auf 86.000 US-Dollar fiel. Das ist eine beträchtliche Divergenz.
XRM could dip below the January low of $413: Check forecast
Key takeaways
- Monero is down 4.5% in the last 24 hours and risks dropping below the January low.
- The coin has lost 42% of its value since hitting an all-time high price of $798 twelve days ago.
XMR continues to decline as the market remains bearish
XMR, the native coin of the Monero blockchain, is one of the worst performers among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap in the last 24 hours. It has lost 4.5% since Sunday and now trades below $460.
The bearish performance comes as the broader cryptocurrency market continues to underperform. XMR defied market conditions in December and early January, rallying to a new all-time high of $798 on January 14.
Its rally was fueled by growing demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies, with DASH, ZEC, and ZCash also rallying during that period.
However, the rally has died, and XMR has lost 42% of its value since then. It is currently trading at $459 and risks dropping below the January low of $413 if the bearish trend continues.
Monero could dip below the 100-day EMA support
The XMR/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as it has lost 42% in the last two weeks, suggesting reduced demand for the privacy coin.
Currently, XMR is hovering above $450, stabilizing above the 100-day EMA at $437, after a 10% drop on Sunday.
If the bearish trend continues, XMR could drop below the January low of $413, wth the 200-day EMA at $383 still the primary trend floor.
The MACD line stays below the signal with both falling toward the zero line, flagging firm bearish momentum. Furthermore, the RSI at 32 indicates a bearish shift as sellers retain the near-term edge without oversold conditions.
On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, XMR could rally above the 50-day EMA at $485, clearing the path for further pump above $500.
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Metaplanet boosts forecasts despite Bitcoin write-down clouding annual results
- The company lifted its 2025 operating income guidance to $40 million.
- A non-cash Bitcoin impairment of $680 million to $700 million is expected for 2025.
- Metaplanet projected a $632 million ordinary loss and $491 million net loss for 2025.
Metaplanet, a Tokyo-listed Bitcoin treasury company, has raised its revenue and operating income forecasts for 2025 and issued much higher guidance for 2026, even as it flagged a large non-cash Bitcoin write-down that is set to dominate its annual results.
In a notice released on Monday, the company said its Bitcoin income generation business is expected to deliver stronger-than-expected performance, particularly in the final quarter of the year.
However, Metaplanet also projected a steep ordinary loss and net loss for 2025, driven largely by accounting adjustments tied to Bitcoin’s valuation at year-end.
The company is scheduled to file its full-year results on Feb. 16.
Revenue upgrade driven by Bitcoin income generation
Metaplanet said it now expects 2025 revenue of 8.905 billion Japanese yen, or around $58 million, based on its updated guidance.
The company also raised its operating income forecast to $40 million, signalling improved performance at the operating level despite broader market volatility affecting its holdings.
Management said Q4 2025 revenue from its Bitcoin income generation business “is expected to significantly exceed initial projections,” which led it to lift full-year revenue guidance for that segment to about $55 million.
That compares with around $40 million previously announced, showing a sharp upgrade in the contribution from its Bitcoin-linked revenue stream.
Large impairment set to drive headline loss
Even with the stronger operating forecasts, Metaplanet expects to report a deep annual loss for 2025.
The company projected an ordinary loss of $632 million and a net loss of $491 million. These figures are largely attributed to a Bitcoin impairment loss estimated at roughly $680 million to $700 million, which is expected to be recognised in its year-end reporting.
Metaplanet explained that the impairment is a “non-cash accounting adjustment reflecting period-end price fluctuations” and said it has no direct impact on its cash flows or day-to-day operations.
The notice linked the impairment to quarter-end mark-to-market accounting treatment and referenced Bitcoin holdings valued at year-end prices, with Bitcoin shown at $87,876 in the disclosure.
BTC holdings and treasury metrics expand sharply
Metaplanet also reported rapid growth in its Bitcoin treasury business during 2025, underlining how the company has built up its exposure to Bitcoin while developing income generation activities around its holdings.
BTC holdings rose from 1,762 BTC at the end of 2024 to 35,102 BTC at the end of 2025, showing a significant increase in the company’s balance sheet allocation.
It also reported BTC yield per diluted share of 568% for the year. The company uses this metric to measure how much Bitcoin backing each diluted share has increased, offering a per-share view of its Bitcoin accumulation.
While the impairment is expected to weigh heavily on reported net results, Metaplanet’s updated figures suggest it is still expanding its treasury position and Bitcoin-linked operations at a pace.
2026 guidance rises but earnings remain uncertain
For 2026, Metaplanet forecast revenue of around $103 million and operating income of $73 million, representing a sharp step up from its 2025 targets.
The company said almost all of its 2026 revenue is expected to come from the Bitcoin income generation business, reinforcing the segment’s central role in its business model.
Metaplanet also projected selling, general and administrative expenses of about $29 million for 2026 as it ramps up operations.
However, it said it will not provide guidance for ordinary income or net income for 2026 due to the difficulty of forecasting Bitcoin prices, signalling that future reported earnings could remain volatile even if operating performance strengthens.
The company added that it publishes daily data on its BTC holdings, unrealised gains and losses, and related metrics, offering investors regular visibility into how price swings affect its treasury position.
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Zilliqa (ZIL) price slides amid exchange delistings and supply update
- Zilliqa price drops 3.6%, extending a 7-day downtrend amid weak market sentiment.
- Binance delisting and Upbit supply increase reduce liquidity and add pressure.
- Technicals show ZIL below key EMAs with RSI near oversold levels.
Zilliqa (ZIL) has seen a sharp dip in its price over the past 24 hours.
The token is currently trading at $0.004822, down 3.6%, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market, which fell by 0.9%.
This decline extends a seven-day downtrend of approximately 7.75%, signalling sustained bearish sentiment.
Exchange delistings and market liquidity
One of the main drivers behind ZIL’s recent weakness is exchange delistings.
On January 23, 2026, Binance removed the ZIL/BTC spot trading pair as part of its market quality optimisation.
This followed a prior delisting of the ZIL/BTC margin pair in June 2025.
Delisting reduces liquidity and arbitrage opportunities for traders.
It also signals declining exchange support, often prompting sell-offs as market participants adjust their positions.
With fewer direct BTC and ETH trading pairs, ZIL now relies heavily on USD-stable pairs like ZIL/USDT for trading volume.
Traders are closely watching whether liquidity consolidates or further fragments on these remaining pairs.
Supply update adds to the downward pressure
Another factor influencing ZIL’s decline is a recent circulating supply update.
Upbit reported an increase of 443,195,861 ZIL in the first quarter of 2025.
This adjustment raised the circulating supply from roughly 19.905 billion to 20.349 billion ZIL.
The increase, representing about 2.2% of the quarterly supply, reflects staking rewards, protocol inflation, and team token unlocks.
A larger supply can dilute the value of each token if demand does not increase proportionally.
Public confirmation of the supply increase often renews focus on potential sell-side pressure, especially during periods of market weakness.
Combined with reduced exchange liquidity, the supply update has amplified bearish sentiment among traders.
ZIL technical analysis
Technical indicators further reinforce ZIL’s short-term bearish trend.
The token is trading below all major exponential moving averages on the daily chart.
Its 7-day simple moving average sits at $0.00497, while the 30-day SMA is at $0.00519, both above the current price.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is 38.37, suggesting that the token is approaching oversold conditions.
Meanwhile, the weekly RSI stands at 47.00, indicating neutral market conditions.
The MACD histogram is negative at –0.000095, confirming continued bearish momentum.
These technical signals suggest that selling pressure remains, although short-term consolidation could occur due to the oversold conditions.
Zilliqa price forecast
Traders should keep a close eye on key support and resistance levels in the coming days.
The immediate support is near the recent swing low of $0.0045846, which may act as a floor for further declines, according to analysts.
On the upside, the first significant resistance is at $0.0669, a level that ZIL must close above to trigger a potential trend reversal.
Market participants should also monitor trading volumes on remaining pairs to gauge whether the sell-off is stabilising.
Short-term price action will likely be influenced by liquidity trends, supply dynamics, and technical momentum.
Until a bullish catalyst emerges, ZIL may continue to face pressure, with consolidation around current levels being the most probable scenario.
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XRP price nears key support amid conflicting signals
- XRP trades near $1.88 as buyers defend the $1.80–$1.84 support zone.
- Technicals conflict as oversold signals clash with a strong downtrend.
- Break below $1.80 risks $1.70, while $2.05 is key for recovery.
XRP is trading at a critical juncture as price action compresses near a well-defined support zone.
The token is currently hovering around the $1.88 level after several sessions of persistent selling pressure.
The level has become a near-term inflection point, with buyers seeking to support prices while sellers continue to reinforce the broader downtrend.
Market participants are increasingly divided on whether XRP is forming a local bottom or preparing for another leg lower.
Macro weakness limits XRP bulls’ ability to sustain rebounds
Recent data shows XRP has erased most of its January gains amid a broader market-wide capitulation.
The wider crypto market has remained under pressure as risk sentiment deteriorates and leverage continues to unwind.
This macro weakness has limited the ability of XRP bulls to sustain rebounds, even when technical indicators flash early recovery signals.
At the same time, XRP’s long-term fundamentals continue to generate cautious optimism.
Japan’s plans to recognise XRP as a regulated financial asset under its Financial Instruments and Exchange Act have drawn significant attention.
This potential regulatory clarity could improve institutional confidence and liquidity over the medium to long term.
However, regulatory optimism has not yet translated into immediate price strength.
Short-term traders remain focused on technical structure rather than distant policy developments.
Technical signals paint a mixed picture
From a technical perspective, XRP is showing both constructive and concerning signals.
Several analysts note that XRP recently bounced from oversold territory on the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
This RSI recovery has historically preceded short-term relief rallies.
On-chain metrics also suggest declining sell pressure, with long-term holders showing signs of accumulation.
These factors support the argument that XRP may be carving out a local bottom.
However, bearish structure remains intact on higher timeframes.
XRP continues to trade below a descending trendline that has capped its price since early January.
The token is also struggling to reclaim key moving averages, including the 30-day and the 100-day simple moving averages.
In addition, momentum indicators such as the MACD remain in bearish territory, reinforcing downside risk.
Repeated failures near the $1.90 to $1.95 zone suggest sellers are still in control of rallies.
This technical rejection aligns with broader market weakness rather than isolated XRP-specific selling.
Adding to uncertainty, institutional demand signals have cooled.
Reports indicate waning enthusiasm around XRP-linked investment products.
This decline in demand removes a potential source of upside momentum in the near term.
Sentiment is divided between capitulation and recovery hopes
Market sentiment surrounding XRP reflects deep uncertainty.
Some traders view the recent decline as a classic capitulation phase, arguing that weak hands are exiting while stronger holders quietly accumulate.
Others warn that support levels have not yet been convincingly defended.
Most importantly, the failure to reclaim $2.00 has kept confidence fragile, and breakdowns from prolonged consolidation can accelerate quickly.
Despite this, XRP’s long-term narrative remains intact for many investors.
Regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions and Ripple’s continued role in cross-border payments provide structural support.
This creates a tension between bearish short-term price action and constructive longer-term expectations.
As a result, XRP remains highly reactive to both technical levels and broader market sentiment shifts.
XRP price forecast
XRP’s near-term outlook hinges on a narrow range of key price levels.
The immediate support lies around $1.84 to $1.80, a zone that has repeatedly attracted buyers.
A decisive breakdown below $1.80 could expose XRP to deeper losses toward $1.73 and potentially $1.70.
Such a move would likely confirm bearish continuation in the short term.
On the upside, initial resistance sits near $1.92 to $1.95.
A break above this zone would challenge the descending trendline and shift short-term momentum.
The $2.01 to $2.05 region remains a critical bullish trigger.
A sustained move above $2.05 could open the door for a recovery toward $2.10 and $2.20.
Until those resistance levels are reclaimed, XRP remains vulnerable to renewed selling pressure.
For now, traders are watching support closely as XRP balances between breakdown risk and rebound potential.
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