Solana price prediction: SOL risks drop to $100 despite institutional inflows

  • Solana price hovered near $122 on January 26, 2026.
  • ETFs’ inflows fail to influence SOL price.
  • Technical indicators signal a bearish continuation and likely dump to $100.

Solana’s price has faced mounting downward pressure, with SOL failing to hold onto gains seen at the start of the year.

On January 26, the altcoin traded around $122, down on the day and in tandem with the broader cryptocurrency market struggles.

While River (RIVER) skyrocketed, and Algorand flipped green, Solana aligned with Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP’s latest price struggles.

The SOL token changed hands nearly 8% down from the prior week, losses that persist despite positive institutional signals.

Analysts are largely bullish, but the overall bearish trend concerns a potential short-term dump to the critical $100 support level.

Solana continues to attract institutional interest

SOL’s price dip comes as top coins shed capital from various investment products.

But despite institutional investors showing selective enthusiasm last week amid a $1.73 billion outflow hole, Solana stood out as one of those to record inflows.

According to CoinShares’ report, investors still put over $17 million in SOL products, including a spot exchange-traded fund.

Bitcoin saw over $1 billion in outflows in the same period.

A week earlier, digital asset products recorded $2.17 billion in inflows, with Solana attracting over $45.5 million.

“Dwindling expectations for interest rate cuts, negative price momentum and disappointment that digital assets have not participated in the debasement trade yet have likely fuelled these outflows,” said James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares.

The Solana-specific interest highlights its appeal amid broader market caution.

However, bulls have failed to stem the price slide from highs of $133 in the past week.

Factors like profit-taking after 2025 highs and macroeconomic headwinds appear to override these inflows, keeping SOL within a bearish hold.

SOL price prediction: Bears eye $100

With price touching the psychological support level of $120 again, analysts say bears could target $100 next.

Sellers last hovered in this region in April 2025, with the bounce that followed pushing prices to above $200.

The downtrend risks such an extended move, and technical indicators reinforce the overall bearish outlook.

For instance, the MACD displays negative momentum and histogram divergence signaling further downside.

Elsewhere, the daily RSI hovers neutral in the 40-46 bracket. Although not decisively oversold, it’s not supportive of a quick rebound.

Price could drop lower if the pressure exposes buyers to key levels around $118 and $112 if profit hunters take out the $120 mark.

Network fundamentals remaining robust is a play for buyers, both in the short-term and long-term. In this case, a sustained rebound above $130 could accelerate gains toward $150-$180.

The price level of $200 is the main target.

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River price defies market downturn, explodes 40% to new ATH

  • River price rose sharply as bulls defied the broader market downturn.
  • The token exploded more than 40% in 24 hours to hit a new all-time high above $87.
  • RIVER recently received backing from Justin Sun and Arthur Hayes.

Several altcoins are deep in the red amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn that has pushed Bitcoin well under $90,000.

But as BTC struggles, River’s native token RIVER has defied the odds, with price surging 40% in the past 24 hours to reach a new all-time high above $87.

The move sees the token rank as one of the top gainers across the altcoin sector.

River price explodes to new all-time high

River is a crypto protocol building a chain abstraction stablecoin platform.

The protocol eyes traction across the ecosystem with its liquidity and yield offering.

RIVER, the native governance and utility token, has surged significantly in recent days and skyrocketed 40% over the past 24 hours to smash through resistance to a new all-time high.

The token has pumped more than 200% in the past week and by more than 2,070% in the past month.

It peaked at $87.79 across major exchanges on January 26, 2025, more than 70x off the all-time lows reached in September 2025.

River’s explosive rally comes as the token’s market capitalisation ballooned past $1.6 billion, which aligns with the robust demand highlighted by a 39% jump in daily trading volume.

CoinMarketCap data shows the altcoin’s trading volume spiked to over $108 million in the past 24 hours.

Meanwhile, total value locked (TVL) climbed to over $162 million, as DeFi users flocked to the protocol’s cross-chain offerings.

In terms of gains, River’s performance stands in stark contrast to the prevailing market sentiment.

Bitcoin, the bellwether asset, dipped below $88,000 amid macroeconomic jitters.

Ethereum and other altcoins followed suit as risk-off sentiment grips traders.

The same headwinds could see RIVER ‘s price retreat sharply.

What catalysed the RIVER price rally?

Likely catalysts for RIVER’s meteoric rise include the latest listings and major backing in a fresh round.

Of the more than $14 million in capital raised, a landmark $12 million is from a strategic funding round backed by heavyweight investors that attracted TRON DAO, Justin Sun, Maelstrom Fund founder Arthur Hayes, and The Spartan Group.

Notably, the round also drew commitments from Nasdaq-listed companies and blue-chip institutions across the United States and Europe, lending unprecedented credibility to River’s vision.

River plans to plough this capital infusion into its multi-chain expansion plans, with DeFi applications available across Sui, Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Polygon.

Amplifying the momentum for the token is fresh exchange listings.

Both HTX and OKX have injected new liquidity and retail access to the token. Bulls capitalised on this, stacking positions as open interest in RIVER perpetuals.

Resistance looms at $90, but with funding secured and listings live, RIVER could test $100 in the coming days. However, a sharp pullback is possible given profit-taking deals.

 

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XRM could dip below the January low of $413: Check forecast

Key takeaways

  • Monero is down 4.5% in the last 24 hours and risks dropping below the January low.
  • The coin has lost 42% of its value since hitting an all-time high price of $798 twelve days ago.

XMR continues to decline as the market remains bearish

XMR, the native coin of the Monero blockchain, is one of the worst performers among the top 20 cryptocurrencies by market cap in the last 24 hours. It has lost 4.5% since Sunday and now trades below $460.

The bearish performance comes as the broader cryptocurrency market continues to underperform. XMR defied market conditions in December and early January, rallying to a new all-time high of $798 on January 14.

Its rally was fueled by growing demand for privacy-focused cryptocurrencies, with DASH, ZEC, and ZCash also rallying during that period.

However, the rally has died, and XMR has lost 42% of its value since then. It is currently trading at $459 and risks dropping below the January low of $413 if the bearish trend continues. 

Monero could dip below the 100-day EMA support

The XMR/USD 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient as it has lost 42% in the last two weeks, suggesting reduced demand for the privacy coin.

Currently, XMR is hovering above $450, stabilizing above the 100-day EMA at $437, after a 10% drop on Sunday. 

If the bearish trend continues, XMR could drop below the January low of $413, wth the 200-day EMA at $383 still the primary trend floor. 

XMR/USD4H Chart

The MACD line stays below the signal with both falling toward the zero line, flagging firm bearish momentum. Furthermore, the RSI at 32 indicates a bearish shift as sellers retain the near-term edge without oversold conditions. 

On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, XMR could rally above the 50-day EMA at $485, clearing the path for further pump above $500.

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