Monat: Januar 2026

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Shiba Inu faces critical support amid modest rally prospects

  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) currently hovers near critical support; breaking it may trigger deeper losses.
  • Momentum is weak, and future rallies are expected to be modest.
  • Investors are shifting to utility and DeFi tokens for higher ROI.

Currently, Shiba Inu (SHIB) is hovering just above its critical support zone around $0.0000077.

Notably, this area represents the bottom of previous cycles and is closely watched for potential rebounds.

If it fails to hold above the support zone, a double-digit correction could follow.

Market sentiment and investor shifts

Investor sentiment around SHIB is cautious and the broader market conditions for altcoins and memecoins are fragile.

Many traders are increasingly favoring projects with real-world utility, a trend that has led some capital to rotate away from meme coins like SHIB.

This shift suggests that SHIB may face challenges regaining strong speculative demand.

Most analysts believe that Shiba Inu’s next rally would be modest compared to its past movements.

After a period of aggressive growth, the meme coin now appears to be in a consolidation phase and future price moves are likely to be gradual rather than explosive.

Investors looking for higher ROI are reportedly turning to DeFi tokens, meaning capital is flowing toward assets perceived as having greater long-term potential, which could ultimately limit the pace and size of SHIB’s short-term gains.

SHIB technical outlook and risks

Technically, Shiba Inu (SHIB) remains under pressure and its momentum has been weak after the early January gains.

The meme coin gained nearly 25% during the first weeks of the month but has given back most of those profits.

Short-term charts show lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish patterns, with resistance at moving averages, such as the 50 and 100-period EMA, limiting upward movements.

The relative strength index (RSI) also remains in weak territory, showing little sign of a sustained reversal.

Shiba Inu price analysis
Shiba Inu price chart | Source: TradingView

The current price action shows consolidation near the critical support at $0.0000077, but no strong breakout signals have emerged.

Holding the support at $0.0000077 is essential to prevent sharper declines.

A break below the support could lead to deeper corrections and erode investor confidence.

On-chain data and derivatives activity suggest that speculative demand is currently low.

This reduces the safety net against selling pressure, heightening risk.

However, despite these challenges, stabilizing at the support level could allow SHIB to maintain a trading range.

A measured recovery would likely require broader market strength or positive developments within SHIB’s ecosystem.

Analysts emphasize that while a modest rally is possible, the coin lacks catalysts for a parabolic surge.

Investors should monitor key support zones, market sentiment, and competition from utility-focused projects.

Shiba Inu’s near-term trajectory will largely depend on its ability to hold critical levels and adapt to shifting investor preferences.

The post Shiba Inu faces critical support amid modest rally prospects appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Netherlands to tax unrealised Bitcoin gains under new Box 3 rules

  • Wet werkelijk rendement Box 3 is set to begin on January 1, 2028, according to the Dutch parliament.
  • A 36% flat tax will apply to positive net returns above a €1,800 threshold per person.
  • Losses can be carried forward to offset future gains.

The Netherlands is preparing to change how it taxes investors, and the shift could have a direct impact on people holding Bitcoin and other crypto assets.

Starting in 2028, the country plans to tax unrealised gains, meaning investors could owe tax even if they have not sold their holdings.

According to a post shared by Crypto Rover, the Netherlands is moving towards taxing unrealised Bitcoin gains, bringing fresh attention to how governments may treat crypto under mainstream investment rules.

The policy is expected to cover a broad set of assets, including Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, stocks, bonds, and similar investments.

For many investors, the key issue is that tax would be triggered by changes in value over time, not by selling and locking in profits.

That makes the reform especially relevant for crypto holders, who often deal with sharp price swings and long holding periods.

Netherlands plans overhaul of Box 3 wealth tax

According to the Dutch parliament, the Netherlands will introduce a new tax system called Wet werkelijk rendement Box 3 starting January 1, 2028.

The idea is to tax investors based on the actual returns they make each year, rather than on estimated returns set by the government.

Under the planned approach, authorities would compare the value of a person’s assets at the start and end of the year. Any income earned during that period would also be included in the calculation.

This means investors could be taxed on both realised profits and unrealised gains that only exist on paper.

The tax will apply to Bitcoin, other cryptocurrencies, and traditional investment products.

The reform is designed to treat different asset classes equally and apply one consistent method across a modern portfolio.

Why the Netherlands is changing its tax model

The proposed change follows a court ruling that found the old Box 3 system unfair.

Under the previous framework, investors were taxed based on assumed returns, even if their holdings did not perform in line with those assumptions.

Lawmakers argue the new structure is more accurate because it is based on the real change in value of assets, rather than an estimate that may not reflect actual outcomes.

Supporters of the change believe it improves fairness, especially for investors whose returns have historically been overstated by the assumed-return method.

The planned system also reflects how investment behaviour has evolved over the years.

Many households now hold a mix of traditional assets and crypto, and the government appears to be moving towards rules that apply consistently across both categories.

How unrealised gains would be taxed each year?

Under the new rules, the government would calculate a person’s yearly investment result by comparing asset values at the beginning and end of the year, plus any income earned during that period.

A 36% flat tax would apply to positive net returns above a €1,800 annual threshold per person.

In simple terms, the tax would be linked to annual performance rather than transactions.

That means an investor could owe tax if their portfolio rises in value, even if they did not sell anything and did not receive cash from their holdings.

If an investor records a loss, that loss can be carried forward and used to offset future gains.

This gives investors some protection during negative years, although the timing mismatch between paper gains and cash flow remains a concern for some.

What the reform could mean for Bitcoin and crypto holders

For crypto investors, the biggest challenge is volatility. Bitcoin and other digital assets can rise sharply in a short time, and then fall just as quickly.

A year-end value increase could create a tax bill, even if the investor has not sold any crypto and has no cash available from those gains.

Critics warn this could create liquidity pressure, especially for long-term holders who do not want to sell their Bitcoin just to fund tax payments.

Some also fear it could push investors and crypto businesses to relocate if the system becomes too costly or difficult to manage.

With the Box 3 reform planned for 2028, the Netherlands is positioning itself for a major shift in investor taxation, and crypto holders may soon face annual tax calculations tied to market movements rather than selling decisions.

The post Netherlands to tax unrealised Bitcoin gains under new Box 3 rules appeared first on CoinJournal.

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Pancakeswap price forecast: CAKE surges 4% as derivatives data turn bullish

Key takeaways

  • CAKE is up 4.5%, approaching the $2 psychological level.
  • The derivatives data back the recovery as funding rates turn positive.

CAKE’S derivatives data support bullish movement

CAKE, the native coin of the Pancakeswap exchange, has added 4.5% to its value in the last 24 hours and is now approaching $2.0.

The rally comes as Coinglass’s OI-Weighted Funding Rate data shows that the number of traders betting that the price of CAKE will slide further is lower than that anticipating a price increase. 

The positive funding rate means that more traders are bullish on CAKE than bearish. The metric flipped positive on Wednesday and currently reads 0.0046%, indicating that longs are paying shorts.

In addition to that, Coinglass’s long-to-short ratio for CAKE reads 1.11 on Thursday, nearing the highest level over a month. The ratio moving above one indicates that more traders are betting on CAKE to rally higher. 

The bullish scenario comes after Pancakeswap announced earlier this week that the community had approved CAKE’s max supply reduction proposal. 

The max supply has been reduced from 450 million to 400 million, and burns consistently outweigh emissions. 

CAKE could rally towards $2.1

The CAKE/USDT 4-hour chart is bearish and efficient despite CAKE adding 4.5% to its value in the last 24 hours. 

CAKE’s price was rejected at the weekly resistance level of $2.13 on Saturday and declined by 10% earlier this week. However, it rebounded on Wednesday and is now approaching the $2.0 maerk once again. 

CAKE/USD 4H Chart

If CAKE continues its price recovery, it could rally towards the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.06.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is 46, pointing upward toward the neutral 50 level, indicating fading bearish momentum. For the rally to be sustained, the RSI must move above the neutral level. 

On the flip side, if CAKE’s daily candle closes below the $1.88 support level, it could extend the correction toward the support zone around $1.79.

The post Pancakeswap price forecast: CAKE surges 4% as derivatives data turn bullish appeared first on CoinJournal.